ok what the fuck is happening in ukraine

Not sure where the last few posts went but anyway here's Perun's look at what's actually in the aid package and what impact it may have

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qc436PwqeqM

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/05/11/victoria-nuland-state-department-diplomat-interview-00157408

Pretty innocuous interview, doesn't really say anything of note. She's kind of a strange in that certain articles or circles she's made into a kind of Soros type figure, where invocation of name alone is enough to convey all sorts of information

her demonization could be an after effect of Trump's first impeachment over his "perfect" phone call to Zelensky

I can't really tell whats happening with Russia's new Kharkiv offensive. It doesn't look they've anywhere near enough personnel to be able to take the city, which leaves either buffer zone or diversion to fix Ukrainian troops as possible reasons

But fixing troops here also involves diverting Russia's troops too

The only thing I can think is maybe getting a bit closer to the city might bring it within more reachable tube artillery range, making strikes both more effective and more cost-effective and potentially induce the population to leave, as apparently many have moved back home over the last 12-18 months, and the population isn't that far off what it was in 2021, back above a million again

Though It might be there isn't a specific plan and its more of a speculative approach

getting a bit closer to the city might bring it within more reachable tube artillery range, making strikes both more effective and more cost-effective

As speculations go, that's quite plausible. Also, the pipeline of US military aid that just started back up recently hasn't had much time to backfill the shortages caused by the long wrangle in Congress.

Its not all that clear what Russia prefers to do with the population of Kharkiv. Getting closer to it would increase its ability to shell it with lower cost munitions which would presumably pressure inhabitants to start leaving again for safer locations.

But with Mariupol Russia seemed reluctant to let the population leave, though eventually they replaced some of the inhabitants via population transfer (I'm unclear on how large this transfer was but given the reported numbers I presume the majority of these were from Mariupol, maybe Melitopol)