yea i'm curious if polls from this far out are actually predictive of anything
once election season actually starts the downsides of both candidates are gonna be talked about a ton and Trump not only has way way more his are also a lot more serious, also he has been acting like an absolute lunatic lately, think this'll once again be a referendum on if people really want more Trump in their lives
― frogbs, Monday, 25 September 2023 02:29 (seven months ago) link
polls this far out usually give no more than a blurry picture of the mostly amorphous feelings of an electorate that's not particularly engaged. but in this case the odds of a rematch of 2020 are unusually high, so the trick right now is figuring out which polls to trust. sadly, that's nearly impossible. (shrugs)
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Monday, 25 September 2023 02:45 (seven months ago) link
eh that's close enuf for me
― blurry picture of mostly amorphous feelings (Hunt3r), Monday, 25 September 2023 03:20 (seven months ago) link
Complete outlier of a poll, not approximating any of the others in the last week.
Also some of this is Hunter Biden news influenced and will fade
― McNugget Aggressive Growth Fund (Neanderthal), Monday, 25 September 2023 07:01 (seven months ago) link
the trick right now is figuring out which polls to trust
None of them. Not even the ones that tell you what you want to hear. It's all fiction.
― read-only (unperson), Monday, 25 September 2023 12:28 (seven months ago) link
What are you talking about, they're totally rooted in data based on (checks notes) unverifiable opinions strangers report to the poll. In *this* house, we *believe* in science!
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 September 2023 13:26 (seven months ago) link
I thought they were based on boat parades?
― henry s, Monday, 25 September 2023 13:34 (seven months ago) link
Or general lack thereof?
― henry s, Monday, 25 September 2023 13:36 (seven months ago) link
They take into account all sorts of data. Boat parades, those pain-level smiley faces, rolling D&D dice ...
― Josh in Chicago, Monday, 25 September 2023 13:59 (seven months ago) link
THE WINDMILLS ARE DRIVING THE WHALES BATTY.
― scott seward, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 12:31 (seven months ago) link
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p4DLzpB8e84
― scott seward, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 12:43 (seven months ago) link
I think we have underestimated the comedic genius of Donald Trump.
― immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:00 (seven months ago) link
Trump's beef with windmills is personal:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_International_Golf_Club_Scotland_Ltd_v_The_Scottish_Ministers
― c u (crüt), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:08 (seven months ago) link
Of course. For him, everything is about his personal grudges.
― immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:11 (seven months ago) link
at the the Trump rallies, in between rants about ripping up the constitution and destroying the free press and executing generals etc... He keeps telling his followers that the deep state is coming for them. But luckily he's the human shield protecting them! I don't why I find that so funny, but there is just something so ridiculous and unreal about the whole spectacle that cracks me up.
― vodkaitamin effrtvescent (calzino), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:32 (seven months ago) link
It's of a piece with his saying in 2016 that "I alone can fix it." He is playing into his followers' need for a savior, and I think on some level he really believes he is some kind of superhero.
― immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:48 (seven months ago) link
it's a handy way for him to deflect all the ongoing legal cases against him
― c u (crüt), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:57 (seven months ago) link
Muad'Dumb.
― immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 13:59 (seven months ago) link
one of his former staffers, who I think has flipped, has said he used classified documents as post-it notes. He was writing to-do lists on the other side of them! I don't think anyone in his position would do something so dumb out of carelessness. I think that was his way of demonstrating to staff that he's a real president and he can do what he likes with classified docs. Because that is the kind of prick he is.
― vodkaitamin effrtvescent (calzino), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 14:20 (seven months ago) link
Q: What do you despise? By this are you truly known.
DT: Windmills
― underminer of twenty years of excellent contribution to this borad (dan m), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 14:37 (seven months ago) link
donkey hotelier
― Chyiv Kyiv (Fetchboy), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 15:01 (seven months ago) link
I saw some clip of him posing with a gun dude and it was so creepy. He just repeatedly pops his gruesome smile as needed, giving the thumbs up, while the gun dude grins like a goon. And then as soon as the picture is taken goes back to his usual default frown.
― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 15:30 (seven months ago) link
The Trump supporter who posted the viral video of Donald insisting he wanted to buy a Glock – which legally could have gotten Donald in a lot of legal trouble – DELETED it.Too late. I already put it in the family archive. 🧵👇 pic.twitter.com/gN2buUVlLd— Mary L Trump (@MaryLTrump) September 25, 2023
Trump's beef with windmills is personal:
― c u (crüt), Tuesday, September 26, 2023 9:08 AM (two hours ago) bookmarkflaglink
https://bpb-us-w2.wpmucdn.com/blogs.baylor.edu/dist/c/3127/files/2015/12/DQ-Screen-Shot-2015-12-04-at-4.10.29-PM-29wbxtz.png
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 15:37 (seven months ago) link
Well now we know what Q stands for
― Beyond Goo and Evol (President Keyes), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 15:40 (seven months ago) link
lol they should incorporate that into their theory
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 15:41 (seven months ago) link
Curious what the Secret Service thinks about these dudes with their pistols waving around by the ex-prez
― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 16:21 (seven months ago) link
They probably think, these are my people.
― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 16:22 (seven months ago) link
So if I just put on a vest and get a doofy Richard Spencer buzz cut, I can get right up next to him with a pistol?
Good to know
― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 16:27 (seven months ago) link
― assert (matttkkkk), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:23 (seven months ago) link
Add getting a glock and instantly dropping it and shooting himself in the dick and balls to funniest ways he could die
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:42 (seven months ago) link
You think Alec Baldwin does a good Trump impression? Wait till you see Trump's Baldwin impression.
― Beyond Goo and Evol (President Keyes), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:43 (seven months ago) link
He should really buy an American-made pistol, but Trump has never shot a firearm in his life, so he can be forgiven for not knowing what a Colt is
― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:48 (seven months ago) link
It's of a piece with his saying in 2016 that "I alone can fix it."
Worst Live cover ever
― papal hotwife (milo z), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:51 (seven months ago) link
they could just photoshop him doing that goofy low thumbs-up into any stupid situation and I'd accept the photo as legit
― ɥɯ ︵ (°□°) (mh), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 17:52 (seven months ago) link
https://static01.nyt.com/images/2021/03/19/lens/19xp-waxfigure-photo/19xp-waxfigure-photo-mediumSquareAt3X.jpg
― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 18:16 (seven months ago) link
thats him
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 18:17 (seven months ago) link
arms are too high, must be fake donald
― ɥɯ ︵ (°□°) (mh), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 18:43 (seven months ago) link
Well this is satisfying
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-fraud-ruling_n_65133e02e4b0b4348f453a3f?5ye
― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:33 (seven months ago) link
A judge has ruled that Donald Trump committed fraud for years while building the real estate empire that catapulted him to fame and the White House.Judge Arthur Engoron, ruling Tuesday in a civil lawsuit brought by New York’s attorney general, found that the former president and his company deceived banks, insurers and others by massively overvaluing his assets and exaggerating his net worth on paperwork used in making deals and securing financing....Engoron’s ruling, in a phase of the case known as summary judgment, resolves the key claim in James’ lawsuit, but six others remain.Engoron is slated to hold a non-jury trial starting Oct. 2 before deciding on those claims and any punishments he may impose.
Judge Arthur Engoron, ruling Tuesday in a civil lawsuit brought by New York’s attorney general, found that the former president and his company deceived banks, insurers and others by massively overvaluing his assets and exaggerating his net worth on paperwork used in making deals and securing financing....
Engoron’s ruling, in a phase of the case known as summary judgment, resolves the key claim in James’ lawsuit, but six others remain.
Engoron is slated to hold a non-jury trial starting Oct. 2 before deciding on those claims and any punishments he may impose.
a stern warning and a middling fine
― Beyond Goo and Evol (President Keyes), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:35 (seven months ago) link
Two whole bucks!
― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:35 (seven months ago) link
IDK wasn't this the judge that was pounding the bench in rage the other day?
― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:38 (seven months ago) link
Yeah. Iirc, this call for summary judgement came about because the fraud was so blatant the prosecution basically argued to the judge that a trial was irrelevant, since no one disagreed on the facts. Apparently (again, if I was reading correctly) this kind of ruling is relatively rare.
― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:38 (seven months ago) link
Pretty much. It's why they were desperately trying to get him thrown off the case too, I think they read the tea leaves.
― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:39 (seven months ago) link
Oh looks like Engoron sanctioned Trump's lawyers too!
― Ned Raggett, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:47 (seven months ago) link
Wait, this judgement also orders the Trump Org and all its LLCs ... dissolved?
― Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:51 (seven months ago) link
engoron spengelerer
― come on barbo let’s go parpo (bizarro gazzara), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:53 (seven months ago) link
hopefully dissolved in acid
― Andy the Grasshopper, Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:54 (seven months ago) link
From MSN:
"The documents here clearly contain fraudulent valuations that defendants used in business," Engoron wrote in his ruling, in which he ordered the defendants' New York business certificates canceled. He ordered that within 10 days, they must recommend potential independent receivers to manage the dissolution of the canceled LLCs.
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Tuesday, 26 September 2023 20:56 (seven months ago) link