Trout Catches Salmon: What Next?

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They're both in their age-31 season--I guess it's easy to forget that Trout's still young (and Judge got a late start). I don't know: would the Yankees trade Judge straight up for Trout right now? Would you?

clemenza, Wednesday, 9 August 2023 20:35 (eight months ago) link

xp They're less than a year apart in age, yet both having trouble avoiding the IL which keeps luring them back making it a contest of health.

citation needed (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 9 August 2023 20:36 (eight months ago) link

Here's bWAR for the five guys I listed, plus Trout, for 2018 (when Acuna and Ohtani break in) to today:

Betts -- 37.2
Ohtani -- 33.2
Judge - 31.9
Trout - 30.7
Freeman - 28.6
Acuna -- 23.4

So: you can certainly argue for Trout as belonging, if you believe he's better right now than Freeman or Acuna.

clemenza, Wednesday, 9 August 2023 20:48 (eight months ago) link

Using the OFF component (stripping away any DEF boosts/penalties which... don't get me started) of fWAR 2018-2023:

1 Freddie Freeman (33yo) 232.3
2 Mike Trout (32yo) 231.5
3 Mookie Betts (30yo) 220.4
4 Aaron Judge (31yo) 210.0
5 Juan Soto (24yo) 205.8

I could see Soto overtaking Judge this year into #4. Judge's battles with injuries are really sad, combined with the frustration of the Yankees kept him down in the minors for so many years.

citation needed (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 9 August 2023 21:02 (eight months ago) link

(but absolutely should be noted that Trout has only played 563 games vs Judge's 607 during that selected date range!)

citation needed (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 9 August 2023 21:03 (eight months ago) link

(and also that Acuna and Ohtani have both played more games than Judge or Trout for 2018-2023... mind blown).

citation needed (Steve Shasta), Wednesday, 9 August 2023 21:07 (eight months ago) link

I'm kind of willing to give trout the benefit of the doubt, last season over 162 games he would have wound up with somewhere around 8.5 bwar? I mean obviously this could be it as far as him being what he was, there is that weird mystery injury he was diagnosed with last season. But feel like we have to see what happens the rest of this season and into next.

omar little, Thursday, 10 August 2023 00:17 (eight months ago) link


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