Who will win the Palme at Cannes? [2023 edition]

From another board…

Even though it got largely negative reviews, Club Zero is produced by Philippe Bober, who has produced Ostlund's films for the past decade, so I would expect an award for it. Also Jessica Hausner is reportedly still in town.

Messi was a shoo in for Palme d’Og

Sandra Hüller was just spotted at Nice airport!
As the Lord intended! Please @neonrated, start working on her Oscar Best Actress campaign now!#JusticeforToniErdmann #Cannes2023 #AnatomyofaFall

— Cédric Succivalli (@OnTheLido) May 27, 2023

I'm going
Palme: Fallen Leaves
Grand Prix: Anatomy of a Fall
Director: Jonathan Glazer

Palme = Anatomy of a Fall

The top 4 (Palme + 2 runners up + director) almost exactly match overall critical acclaim. Which seems wildly out of character for these awards.

Acting awards were kind of curveballs tho

will it be another french winner that nobody remembers? the class, dardennes, etc

Sure, if you say so

Curious about Pot-au-Feu only because I loved Tran Anh Hung's first 3 films but haven't seen any since. He shoots food very well, so I'm open to it despite its NPR-core summary.

"people eat food and not much happens" is exactly what I need from a movie these days

Swap “eat” for “make” and you have OXHIDE II

oh wow Oxhide sounds fantastic

I was distracted by visiting family and didn’t pay attention to the ending of this, but all of the films they awarded this year sound really good. Sandra Hüller wasn't given an award but I guess everyone knows she ruled here this year

In announcing the acting prizes this year it seems like they wanted to acknowledge two great films that weren't otherwise awarded - About Dry Grasses by Nuri Bilge Ceylan and Perfect Days by Wim Wenders

Sandra Hüller said about Glazer and Triet:

“Both are so focused on what they do. Some directors are a bit manipulative and don't give you all the information you need for a character, but with these two everything was on the table - what they wanted to achieve, what they wanted to tell."

Forgot she was in that film, Sibyl. Would gladly watch again.

Top 3 from our 2023 Cannes Critics’ Panel. #1. 🇬🇧 The Zone of Interest (3.9). #2. 🇫🇮 Fallen Leaves (3.7). #3. Alice Rohrwacher's 🇮🇹 La Chimera & Justine Triet's 🇫🇷 Anatomie d’une chute (3.5).https://t.co/fCjYtit60N pic.twitter.com/IcZ0pQzf60

— IONCINEMA (@ioncinema) May 29, 2023

The rest:

Ken Loach’s The Old Oak – 3.44
Wim Wenders’ Perfect Days 3.34
Todd Haynes’ May December – 3.32
Wang Bing’s Youth (Spring) 3.27
Nuri Bilge Ceylan’s About Dry Grasses 3.26
Tran Anh Hung’s The Pot au Feu 3.22
Kore-eda Hirokazu’s Monster 3.21
Marco Bellocchio’s Kidnapped – 3.19
Catherine Breillat’s L’été dernier 3.08
Nanni Moretti’s Il sol dell’avvenire 3.05
Kaouther Ben Hania’s Les filles d’Olfa – 2.84
Catherine Corsini’s Le retour 2.67
Ramata-Toulaye Sy’s Banel et Adama – 2.60
Wes Anderson’s Asteroid City – 2.45
Karim Aïnouz’s Firebrand – 2.4
Jessica Hausner’s Club Zero – 2.3
Jean-Stéphane Sauvaire’s Black Flies 1.94

Aw. looks like La Chimera just missed!

Very coincidentally, but speaking of Oxhide:

14 years after the director's previous feature OXHIDE II, Liu Jiayin's ALL EARS will premiere at the upcoming Shanghai International Film Festival, beginning June 9. https://t.co/iKqWTOfyAw

— Notebook (@NotebookMUBI) May 30, 2023

Liked this write-up, and how bad attending the thing seems to be.

https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/at-cannes?pc=1517

there doesn’t seem to be a triet thread, but I saw ANATOMY OF A FALL yesterday and thought the majority of it was very good in its exploration of marriage and relationship, the nature and limits of compromise, “gender roles” etc — the last third is a bit of a letdown I thought, it seemed like triet couldn’t quite figure out how to resolve it

My wife thought it was pretty obvious that Daniel was lying about the conversation he claims to have had with his dad, which I thought was a really convincing reading I didn’t consider in the moment, wondering what you thought

That occurred to me, too, and I think it's a persuasive interpretation. The key scene is when Marge tells him he needs to "decide," which she says is different from making up a belief, but still suggests that he has some agency in guiding things. Maybe the conversation with his dad did happen in some form, but he decides to frame it to the court as a sign that his dad was suicidal.

heh. my girlfriend and I had, shall we say, very different interpretations of the conflict — which I think is more or less the point of the film

from this thread it seems there's no chance we can predict the Palme winner ahead of time, but I'm looking forward to a new poll for 2024 from Eric H, maybe when the last few entries are in place

as of now the films chosen are

“All We Imagine as Light,” Payal Kapadia
“Anora,” Sean Baker
“The Apprentice,” Ali Abbasi
“Bird,” Andrea Arnold
“Caught by the Tides” (“Feng Liu Yi Dai”), Jia Zhang-Ke
“Emilia Perez,” Jacques Audiard
“The Girl With the Needle,” Magnus von Horn
“Grand Tour,” Miguel Gomes
“Kinds of Kindness,” Yorgos Lanthimos
“L’Amour Ouf,” Gilles Lellouche
“Limonov: The Ballad,” Kirill Serebrennikov
“Marcello Mio,” Christophe Honoré
“Megalopolis,” Francis Ford Coppola
“Motel Destino,” Karim Aïnouz
“Oh, Canada,” Paul Schrader
“Parthenope,” Paolo Sorrentino
“The Shrouds,” David Cronenberg
“The Substance,” Coralie Fargeat
“Wild Diamond” (“Diamant Brut”), Agathe Riedinger

Yeah, I figured maybe as well wait til week of given how often titles get added

Early odds, fwiw:

https://www.jigsawlounge.co.uk/film/reviews/cannes-2024/

I presict the new Copppla will eithet be a masterpiece or an embarrassing fail. Nothing in the middle.
And if it's a masterpiece, it will win.

I liked Ali Abbasi's Border, which won Un Certain Regard in 2018, and haven't yet seen Holy Spider, which won the Cannes Best Actress award in 2022.

I just can't abide any new story now about Trump though, especially from a European perspective.

Unless it is very next level, which it won't be, The Apprentice sounds awful, and if it wins anything I will be upset. Enough with the mythologizing

We absolutely consider Ali Abbasi to be Danish, but he was born and raised in Iran, and still holds an Iranian passport, so if you want, you can consider it a Middle Eastern / Persian perspective, I guess.

Just watched "La Chimera". At the moment just savoring the echoes of early Bertolucci as well as Pasolini - off the top of my head - and what landscape and history mean in terms of a nation's sense of self. A strange and sometimes joyful film but the melancholy hangs heavy. Something to think about over the coming days. Rohrwacher is a filmmaker who really fascinates me.