Who will win the Palme at Cannes? [2023 edition]

Seems odd to not have Anatomy of a Fall at least in the top 10, much less top 3

it is now tied for number 10 on that list

"Bellocchio and the Vatican + true crime again?"

― gjoon1, Thursday, April 13, 2023

this post seems on the mark from what I've read about the film

xp IndieWire moved it to first place in its odds

https://www.indiewire.com/awards/predictions/cannes-2023-palme-dor-contenders-winners-predictions-1234864878/

Not everyone liked Asteroid City!

The new Wes Anderson is such a pain in the arse it should have been called Haemorrhoid City.

— Jonathan Romney (@JonathanRomney) May 24, 2023

The panel on the the Film Comment podcast loved Joanna Arnow's The Feeling That the Time for Doing Something Has Passed (playing in Directors' Fortnight). I realise I'm not the target demographic but I've rarely been so sure that I don't want to follow a recommendation.

Enjoying following along vicariously via daily podcasts and tweets, as usual. Though the podcasts are down to Film Comment and (my favourite) The Last Thing I Saw as Little White Lies doesn't seem to really be doing it this year.

Neil Young now has Marco Bellocchio’s Kidnapped as the favorite to win the Palme d’Or, with some reshuffling of the other films, moving Anatomy of a Fall upwards

https://www.jigsawlounge.co.uk/film/reviews/cannes-2023/

7/2 Marco Bellocchio KIDNAPPED aka RAPITO (125m) Tue 23
9/2 Jonathan Glazer THE ZONE OF INTEREST (106m) Fri 19
6/1 Alice Rohrwacher LA CHIMERA (130m) Fri 26
8/1 Aki Kaurismäki FALLEN LEAVES (83m) Mon 22
9/1 Jessica Hausner CLUB ZERO (110m) Mon 22
10/1 Justine Triet ANATOMY OF A FALL (151m) Sun 21
11/1 Kaouther Ben Hania FOUR DAUGHTERS (107m) Fri 19
12/1 Todd Haynes MAY DECEMBER (113m) Sat 20
12/1 Nuri Bilge Ceylan ABOUT DRY GRASSES (197m) Fri 19
16/1 Wang Bing YOUTH (SPRING) (212m) Thu 18

film critic Donald Clarke asked him why he still had Club Zero on his list given the negative reviews and he said it was because of some inside information, that “rumours started running rife in Vienna film-circles as soon as it was announced in comp”. I'm very skeptical that that could affect the jury

Automatic thread bump. This poll is closing tomorrow.

We’re kind of overdue for an appalling d’Or anyway, no?

maybe that's right, but there's no way to know

I’m not sure what inside information this guy has, but the Palme d’Or, Grand Prix, Director, and 75th Anniversary Prize all went to films in his eventual top 5 last year

In any case I'm looking forward to watching all of the 10 films on that list, they all sound pretty great.

I've only seen a promo for La Chimera and the poster which shows the Hanged Man from the tarot. I'm pretty sure I will love it

there have been no reviews of it yet

‘The Pot-Au-Feu’ posts solid score on Screen’s #Cannes2033 jury grid; ‘A Brighter Tomorrow’ falters https://t.co/fvyfyzGysj pic.twitter.com/edjcLUKnUt

— Screen International (@Screendaily) May 25, 2023

Our grids are getting pretty full on day 9 of the festival. #Cannes2023 https://t.co/XYEFp6yt7o pic.twitter.com/bGehGivMcP

— IntlCinephileSociety (@ICSfilm) May 24, 2023

Damn, I just realized this site is dead: https://cannes-ratings.herokuapp.com/

Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.

LAST SUMMER [L'été dernier] (Catherine Breillat; France)	3

I think I voted for this one to win, and some of the early reviews suggest that wasn't necessarily a maniacal mistake

It's a remake of the Danish film Queen of Hearts, and the original is pretty great.

Wim Wenders’ ‘Perfect Days’ scores well on Screen’s #Cannes2023 jury grid; ‘Last Summer’ also lands https://t.co/CPkrcQZv2l pic.twitter.com/5l6Dga657S

— Screen International (@Screendaily) May 26, 2023

Palme alert! Right before we hit the final day of Competition films, we have two new top scores on our #Cannes2023 grid. Check it out here: https://t.co/XYEFp6yt7o pic.twitter.com/83iGh1FgXj

— IntlCinephileSociety (@ICSfilm) May 25, 2023

Solid reception on the Rohrwacher, too:

The best film at Cannes 2023, Alice Rohrwacher’s tomb-raider drama LA CHIMERA is an earthy, dreamy fable about the gravesites we all walk over every day. It doesn’t belong in a museum, it’s a living one. Review for @LWLies:https://t.co/IX5WnjX8je

— Mark Asch (@MarkAschParody) May 26, 2023

Awards so far:

Un Certain Regard Prize: How to Have Sex by Molly Manning Walker
Un Certain Regard Jury Prize: Hounds by Kamal Lazraq
Un Certain Regard Best Director: The Mother of All Lies by Asmae El Moudir
International Critics’ Week Grand Prize: Tiger Stripes by Amanda Nell Eu
Directors’ Fortnight Best European Film: Creatura by Elena Martín Gimeno
Palm Dog Award: Messi as Snoop in Anatomy of a Fall,
Grand Jury Prize: Alma in Fallen Leaves

in these sidebars, the film that sounds most impressive to me is Inside the Yellow Cocoon Shell by Pham Thien An in Direcors’ Fortnight, which is eligible for the Camera d’Or

The Zone of Interest got a kicking from quite a few French critics, who are firmly behind Anatomy of a Fall

PALMOMÈTRE #Cannes2023
Anatomie d'une chute / Les feuilles mortes ex æquo en tête.
Merci à Ariane Allard, @StephBelpeche, @OlivierBruyn, Olivia Cooper-Hadjian, Alexis Demeyer, @malouduponchel, @JMFrodon, @maringerard_, @JeanJacky, @MMaestracci, @Amandiine & @philippe_rouyer pic.twitter.com/jkcOVbFhUG

— CHAOS (@chaosreignfr) May 26, 2023

If anyone cares to watch the Cannes awards ceremony today:

Red carpet (1:30pm EST) here https://t.co/y5jrjqwtd6

Ceremony (2:30pm EST) here https://t.co/wCYjleFgg4

— C.J. Prince (@cj_prin) May 27, 2023

If anyone cares to watch the Cannes awards ceremony today:

Red carpet (1:30pm EST) here https://t.co/y5jrjqwtd6

Ceremony (2:30pm EST) here https://t.co/wCYjleFgg4

— C.J. Prince (@cj_prin) May 27, 2023

In the Official Selection: THE ZONE OF INTEREST by Jonathan GLAZER (USA, UK, Poland, 2023), "for its formal radicality, the complexity of the sound and score, and its contrast between the invisible atrocities behind the wall and a supposed paradise." (2/5) pic.twitter.com/a7Odgx48sQ

— FIPRESCI (@FIPRESCI) May 27, 2023

From calling Godard out as a rotten man to this:

Cannes reveals Jane Fonda will present the Palme d’Or winner tonight

— Gregory Ellwood - The Playlist 🎬 (@TheGregoryE) May 27, 2023

From another board…

Even though it got largely negative reviews, Club Zero is produced by Philippe Bober, who has produced Ostlund's films for the past decade, so I would expect an award for it. Also Jessica Hausner is reportedly still in town.

Messi was a shoo in for Palme d’Og

Sandra Hüller was just spotted at Nice airport!
As the Lord intended! Please @neonrated, start working on her Oscar Best Actress campaign now!#JusticeforToniErdmann #Cannes2023 #AnatomyofaFall

— Cédric Succivalli (@OnTheLido) May 27, 2023

I'm going
Palme: Fallen Leaves
Grand Prix: Anatomy of a Fall
Director: Jonathan Glazer

Palme = Anatomy of a Fall

The top 4 (Palme + 2 runners up + director) almost exactly match overall critical acclaim. Which seems wildly out of character for these awards.

Acting awards were kind of curveballs tho

will it be another french winner that nobody remembers? the class, dardennes, etc

Sure, if you say so

Curious about Pot-au-Feu only because I loved Tran Anh Hung's first 3 films but haven't seen any since. He shoots food very well, so I'm open to it despite its NPR-core summary.

"people eat food and not much happens" is exactly what I need from a movie these days

Swap “eat” for “make” and you have OXHIDE II

oh wow Oxhide sounds fantastic

I was distracted by visiting family and didn’t pay attention to the ending of this, but all of the films they awarded this year sound really good. Sandra Hüller wasn't given an award but I guess everyone knows she ruled here this year

In announcing the acting prizes this year it seems like they wanted to acknowledge two great films that weren't otherwise awarded - About Dry Grasses by Nuri Bilge Ceylan and Perfect Days by Wim Wenders

Sandra Hüller said about Glazer and Triet:

“Both are so focused on what they do. Some directors are a bit manipulative and don't give you all the information you need for a character, but with these two everything was on the table - what they wanted to achieve, what they wanted to tell."

Forgot she was in that film, Sibyl. Would gladly watch again.

Top 3 from our 2023 Cannes Critics’ Panel. #1. 🇬🇧 The Zone of Interest (3.9). #2. 🇫🇮 Fallen Leaves (3.7). #3. Alice Rohrwacher's 🇮🇹 La Chimera & Justine Triet's 🇫🇷 Anatomie d’une chute (3.5).https://t.co/fCjYtit60N pic.twitter.com/IcZ0pQzf60

— IONCINEMA (@ioncinema) May 29, 2023

The rest:

Ken Loach’s The Old Oak – 3.44
Wim Wenders’ Perfect Days 3.34
Todd Haynes’ May December – 3.32
Wang Bing’s Youth (Spring) 3.27
Nuri Bilge Ceylan’s About Dry Grasses 3.26
Tran Anh Hung’s The Pot au Feu 3.22
Kore-eda Hirokazu’s Monster 3.21
Marco Bellocchio’s Kidnapped – 3.19
Catherine Breillat’s L’été dernier 3.08
Nanni Moretti’s Il sol dell’avvenire 3.05
Kaouther Ben Hania’s Les filles d’Olfa – 2.84
Catherine Corsini’s Le retour 2.67
Ramata-Toulaye Sy’s Banel et Adama – 2.60
Wes Anderson’s Asteroid City – 2.45
Karim Aïnouz’s Firebrand – 2.4
Jessica Hausner’s Club Zero – 2.3
Jean-Stéphane Sauvaire’s Black Flies 1.94

Aw. looks like La Chimera just missed!

Very coincidentally, but speaking of Oxhide:

14 years after the director's previous feature OXHIDE II, Liu Jiayin's ALL EARS will premiere at the upcoming Shanghai International Film Festival, beginning June 9. https://t.co/iKqWTOfyAw

— Notebook (@NotebookMUBI) May 30, 2023

Liked this write-up, and how bad attending the thing seems to be.

https://newleftreview.org/sidecar/posts/at-cannes?pc=1517

there doesn’t seem to be a triet thread, but I saw ANATOMY OF A FALL yesterday and thought the majority of it was very good in its exploration of marriage and relationship, the nature and limits of compromise, “gender roles” etc — the last third is a bit of a letdown I thought, it seemed like triet couldn’t quite figure out how to resolve it

My wife thought it was pretty obvious that Daniel was lying about the conversation he claims to have had with his dad, which I thought was a really convincing reading I didn’t consider in the moment, wondering what you thought

That occurred to me, too, and I think it's a persuasive interpretation. The key scene is when Marge tells him he needs to "decide," which she says is different from making up a belief, but still suggests that he has some agency in guiding things. Maybe the conversation with his dad did happen in some form, but he decides to frame it to the court as a sign that his dad was suicidal.

heh. my girlfriend and I had, shall we say, very different interpretations of the conflict — which I think is more or less the point of the film