I don't know about top ten, but I would not be surprised if "Jeanne Dielman...", "In the Mood for Love" and "Mulholland Dr." all break the top 20 in the critics' poll this time. My guess for #1 on the critics' poll would be "Tokyo Story" (which actually was #1 in the 2012 directors' poll). I noticed it was the only Asian film in the top 10 (top 14, actually) for both polls in 2012.
I'm sure someone has crunched the numbers, but I wonder if my hunch is correct that the vast majority of voters limit one film per director on their lists, which might help boost "Tokyo Story" (Ozu's "Late Spring" was his 2nd highest ranking, #15 on the critics' poll but not even in the top 100 of the directors' poll.) as the Ozu frontrunner. Whereas a director like, say, Coppola has both "The Godfather" (#7 for directors) and "Apocalypse Now" (#6 for directors) in the mix.
I'm poring over this page, btw:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sight_%26_Sound_Greatest_Films_of_All_Time_2012
― ernestp, Thursday, 10 November 2022 02:02 (one year ago) link
I think Jeanne Dielman, 23 quai du Commerce, 1080 Bruxelles, In the Mood for Love, and Mulholland Drive could all end up in the top 20 if not the top 10, and Apocalypse Now is going to continue to outpace The Godfather films in the ranking
― Dan S, Thursday, 10 November 2022 02:25 (one year ago) link
I wonder how the silent film canon will fair. I get the feeling that Buster Keaton’s stock has risen in past ten years, so wouldn’t be surprised if ‘The General’ or ‘One Week’, did much better this time.
― Dan Worsley, Thursday, 10 November 2022 13:28 (one year ago) link
Jeanne Dielman's appearance in the poll last time surely an effect of it finally getting a dece home video release from Criterion; before that it was very difficult to see at all. I think many of the new arrivals this time round will also be tied to new physical media restorations.
― Ward Fowler, Thursday, 10 November 2022 14:07 (one year ago) link
I could see The General taking a hit for centering the Confederate army. Sherlock Jr might be easier to get behind.
― jmm, Thursday, 10 November 2022 14:18 (one year ago) link
I like Liberty Valence, but--unlike The Searchers--it's not much to look at, and there's probably just as much cornball stuff in one as the other.
I disagree on both points. It is very much something to look at tho not as much in the buttes department, and modern viewers' main beef with The Searchers isn't, in general, that it's "cornball."
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Thursday, 10 November 2022 15:11 (one year ago) link
Apocalypse Now is going to continue to outpace The Godfather films in the ranking
So long as S&S continues to force Godfather fans to pick one or the other or use two of their votes ... which, to be clear, they should continue to be forced to do
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Thursday, 10 November 2022 15:13 (one year ago) link
This is possible ... Sherlock Jr. sure fits nicely into the navel-gazing era Owen G. was railing about 10 years ago.
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Thursday, 10 November 2022 15:15 (one year ago) link
Maybe I am a late bloomer or something but Liberty Valance and The Searchers have only gotten better for me over the years. Tbh, it took me a long while to get the second one in the first place.
― Me and the Major on the Moon (James Redd and the Blecchs), Thursday, 10 November 2022 15:49 (one year ago) link
Yeah, as I mentioned above, my regard for The Searchers now vs. when I was exposed to it in college are two very different things
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Thursday, 10 November 2022 15:52 (one year ago) link
For The Searchers to succeed on the level of its ambitions, you need spectators that see Wayne as a mythic figure, and I don't know if enough of those people exist to rank it highly in 2022.
Isn't Liberty Valence even more invested in that kind of myth-making--not just Wayne, but also Stewart and Ford--especially coming as it does at the very end of that period in American film? Both films undermine the very thing they eulogize (Liberty Valence even more so, yes), but they seem similar to me.
― clemenza, Thursday, 10 November 2022 18:30 (one year ago) link
The Searchers needs Wayne to have some of the heroic aura of his other roles from the start, so there's a tension between "heroism" and "racism"; if viewers start out by saying, "of course he's racist, what do you expect?", they're not going to be on board.Liberty Valence, as you suggest, says "print the legend" but does the opposite.
― Halfway there but for you, Thursday, 10 November 2022 19:09 (one year ago) link
I've been expecting Persona to take a tumble at some point, and it has dropped out of the Top 10 since the '72 poll, the first one I was aware of (a few years later). I don't want it to--the excitement of discovering the poll and seeing Persona for the first time soon after are synonymous for me--but I think it will.
― clemenza, Thursday, 10 November 2022 22:11 (one year ago) link
yes, also I'm wondering if 8 1/2 will fall out of the top 10 and if Fellini's other films will also fade
― Dan S, Friday, 11 November 2022 00:19 (one year ago) link
I’d be fine with that
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Friday, 11 November 2022 00:52 (one year ago) link
Maybe the ILX Film Poll will be a bellwether and Fellini won't make the top 100
― Josefa, Friday, 11 November 2022 01:08 (one year ago) link
Fellini reminds me of my early days of film enthusiasm, and his films are so bound up with my young adult yearnings. He was super straight, and male straightness was a focus of his, but he also I think understood sexuality on a deeper level and made it seem like a kind of mask.
I think Godard was similar in that sense, he is one of the straightest ever directors but was also totally queer
― Dan S, Friday, 11 November 2022 01:43 (one year ago) link
although I think Godard was much less sexual than Fellini
― Dan S, Friday, 11 November 2022 01:46 (one year ago) link
Y’all haven’t seen the recent Mexican take on 8 1/2 yet, have you.
― Me and the Major on the Moon (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 11 November 2022 02:01 (one year ago) link
It baffles me that Apocalypse Now places ahead--well ahead--of The Conversation.
― clemenza, Friday, 11 November 2022 21:24 (one year ago) link
Just not a player, really:
https://www2.bfi.org.uk/films-tv-people/4ce2b6a7ea9b8/sightandsoundpoll2012
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Friday, 11 November 2022 21:30 (one year ago) link
(OK, I take that back ... 183rd isn't bad.)
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Friday, 11 November 2022 21:31 (one year ago) link
That's what I mean: I could maybe see it in the 60s or 70s, not that far back. And whereas I always though Apocalypse Now would date poorly and The Conversation would look better and better with each passing decade, the opposite has happened in the S&S poll.
― clemenza, Friday, 11 November 2022 21:35 (one year ago) link
The Conversation seems made to order for the internet and issues of privacy.
― clemenza, Friday, 11 November 2022 21:38 (one year ago) link
Man With a Movie Camera got a big boost in 2012 from a dvd release, but I think it will fall, and think Battleship Potemkin and L’Atalante will also fall, but I could be wrong
Who knows where Kurosawa or Antonioni stand at this point?
― Dan S, Saturday, 12 November 2022 01:30 (one year ago) link
I think many of the new arrivals this time round will also be tied to new physical media restorations.
I wonder if A Brighter Summer Day will get a significant boost on this theory. #84 in 2012, got a Criterion release in 2015, #12 on the 2019 Shmight and Shmound.
― jmm, Saturday, 12 November 2022 01:50 (one year ago) link
I have to think that the newer wave of critics invited will skew more toward Kiyoshi Kurosawa than Akira Kurosawa.
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Saturday, 12 November 2022 02:07 (one year ago) link
More Claire Denis than René Clair.
― Halfway there but for you, Saturday, 12 November 2022 02:15 (one year ago) link
Fantasia (1940)Ikiru (1952)Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? (1966)2001: A Space Odyssey (1968)Close Encounters of the Third Kind (1977)Bladerunner (1982)Spirited Away (2001)City of God (2002)Mad Max: Fury Road (2015)Parasite (2019)
― octobeard, Saturday, 12 November 2022 09:10 (one year ago) link
if i voted today:a brighter summer daydouble tide doomed lovestray dogsfrom the clouds to the resistancethe quiet manfusesdoctor bullthe shop around the cornerle rayon vertkiki's delivery service
― devvvine, Saturday, 12 November 2022 10:32 (one year ago) link
+1 extra, because i cant count
― devvvine, Saturday, 12 November 2022 10:33 (one year ago) link
Let's do this:
No guts, no glory. These are my final predictions for @SightSoundmag's @2022SightSound critics' poll pic.twitter.com/ad9xw7HbGi— Eric Henderson (@ephender) November 23, 2022
― ex-McKinsey wonk who looks like a human version of a rat (Eric H.), Wednesday, 23 November 2022 21:04 (one year ago) link
If S&S succeed in getting a younger, more female, and less English language-centric electorate this year, these are the movies that stand to benefit/outperform their 2012 placements pic.twitter.com/B8sfz4OUjs— Eric Henderson (@ephender) November 23, 2022
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Wednesday, 23 November 2022 21:48 (one year ago) link
That Taxi Driver split seems strange
― jmm, Wednesday, 23 November 2022 21:54 (one year ago) link
Younger voters also tended to love Salo a lot more than older voters, which tracks
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Wednesday, 23 November 2022 22:03 (one year ago) link
(xpost) Makes sense to me; I think that film most viscerally appeals to you when you're young (too young to be a working film critic, but the memory is still vivid).
― clemenza, Thursday, 24 November 2022 01:00 (one year ago) link
Some other observations I made on a different forum ...
I had a feeling my tweet would end up in this thread -- this forum is by far the most comprehensive and thoughtful hub for pre-release speculation. It's, in fact, where I first found those lists breaking down the 2012 vote by gender, age, and nationality.
To that end, I do agree that 2001's performance among female voters in 2012 is a major uphill battle, and because of that wouldn't be at all surprised to see Tokyo Story usurp it if, in fact, we're all in agreement that neither Vertigo or Kane are returning to the #1 spot. Who knows, though. Maybe Kubrick is dearer to younger female critics/cinephiles than earlier generations?
On a similar note, an earlier draft had Jeanne Dielman defying odds and coming out on top, so props to the ballot just above that has it at #2.
The main reason I had for including four '90s films in the top 20 is that if feels as though we're at the point where the official canon of that decade is hardening into accepted fact, and also the point where a certain generation of cinephiles (i.e. my generation) are happy to fall in line to affirm that. Absolutely could see A Brighter Summer Day in that mix as well. The Godard was kind of a wild card, the sort of "cinephilia as its own reward" ouroboros outcome that would push the purported "navel-gazing" that drove Owen Gleiberman nuts 10 years ago to its apotheosis.
I personally hope to not see a major PTA surge despite actually liking a lot of his films. Why? It seems increasingly clear that, while overall he's slipping into the Buñuel no-consensus conundrum, in effect those who rate him highly enough to include him on a S&S ballot are of the strain who regard The Master (which I strongly dislike) above all else.
As to Fellini, I admit again that personal bias did factor in my knocking 8½ well outside of the top 10. The chart clearly shows Fellini waaay out in front to do better this time around. But I will also add my purely speculative hunch that the list of 2012 movies that non-English-speaking critics rated higher than English-speaking critics is still reflective of a high concentration of Eurocentric voters, and that this time around they'll achieve a more truly international collection of ballots. That could still mean a big Fellini boost, but for all we know it could also mean more Apichatpong Weerasethakul, more Ousmene Sembene, more Lino Brocka, Memories of Development, Touki Bouki, The Hour of the Furnaces, Shadows of Forgotten Ancestors ...
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Thursday, 24 November 2022 17:04 (one year ago) link
My 10 for today
My Neighbor TotoroPather PanchaliThe Green RaySans SoleilYi YiCome and SeeThe Life and Death of Colonel BlimpStar Trek II: The Wrath of KhanA Day in the CountryThe Mirror
― jmm, Thursday, 24 November 2022 17:50 (one year ago) link
Really truly would like to find out someday how In the Mood for Love, Sunrise, La régle & fucking Mulholland Dr. ever got within a billion miles of this list. And can we ever let the Tarkovsky fans know he also made this movie Nolstalghia that's 4 to 5 times better than Mirror? https://t.co/42bLUm4rxg— Brian McInnis (@BrianMcInnis87) November 28, 2022
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Monday, 28 November 2022 17:43 (one year ago) link
The discourse later this week is either going to be awful or absent; hard to say which would be worse
Why are we posting some guy's predictions
― Whiney G. Weingarten, Monday, 28 November 2022 17:47 (one year ago) link
Nostalghia Critic
― jmm, Monday, 28 November 2022 17:53 (one year ago) link
Really truly would like to find out why he thinks Sunrise and La régle don't belong on the list.
― Malevolent Arugula (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Monday, 28 November 2022 17:57 (one year ago) link
I'm such a film philistine I was confusing "Sunrise" with "Before Sunrise".
― o. nate, Monday, 28 November 2022 18:43 (one year ago) link
Predicting Histoire(s) du cinéma as the consensus Godard film in 2022 is definitely bold, as is including two Dreyer films in the top 20.
I like it
― Dan S, Wednesday, 30 November 2022 00:14 (one year ago) link
not sure the poll will be forward-thinking enough to include Jeanne Dielman, Mulholland Drive, and Mirror in the top 10, but would like to see it
― Dan S, Wednesday, 30 November 2022 01:14 (one year ago) link
With about 18 hours left am pretty sure it’s GOODFELLAS, PULP FICTION, SEVEN SAMURAI, and the entire Eastwood-Leone trilogy in the top six
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Wednesday, 30 November 2022 01:55 (one year ago) link
:) your choices are what I hope other voters have also been thinking of for this poll
― Dan S, Wednesday, 30 November 2022 03:15 (one year ago) link
the death of cinema pt. 95
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Wednesday, 30 November 2022 03:18 (one year ago) link
Someone claiming to have insider info has leaked what it likely a fake version of the lower third of the top 100. Predictably it includes Parasite, Get Out, and two Miyazaki toons.
66 Touki Bouki67 The Red Shoes67=The Gleaners and I67=Andrei Rublev67= La Jetee67=Metropolis72 Journey to Italy72=L'Avventura72=My Neighbour Totoro75 Spirited Away75= Sansho the Bailiff75=Imitation of Life78 Modern Times78 =A Matter of Life and Death78= A Brighter Summer Day78=Sunset Boulevard78=Satantango78=Celine and Julie Go Boating84Spirit of the Beehive84=Blue Velvet84=Histoire(s) du Cinema84=Pierrot le Fou88The Shining88=Chungking Express90Yi Yi90=The Leopard90= Parasite90=Madame de90=Ugestu Monogatari95 The General95= Get Out95=Tropical Malady95=Black Girl95=Once Upon a Time in the West95=A Man Escaped
― عباس کیارستمی (Eric H.), Wednesday, 30 November 2022 14:42 (one year ago) link