U.S. Politics, November 2022: “I don’t know, you hear the same things I do”

Incredible that he barely eked it out against the guy who got busted in an hourly motel with meth and now this. America!

DeSantis now praying that DT chokes on a chicken wing and/or strokes out on the shitter some time between tomorrow and primary season '24.

Whomst among us

Ron at his most relatable!

Lol

Crist fucking sucks though it’s true

posting this should get you pelted with rotten fruit

This is the way I’ve voted in basically every election since I became a journalist: Blank ballot. Only because of the current climate do I feel like sharing publicly. #PoliticalCelibacy pic.twitter.com/g8FKR5spih

— Dave Orrick (@DaveOrrick) November 8, 2022

Taking "No Nut November" way too seriously.

fun

It is very likely that the top of the ticket Republicans will be ahead after tonight, with thousands of mail ballots uncounted.

Will they try to declare victory even though the races may not be over?

What do you think?

Ugh.

— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) November 9, 2022

OK, I checked and the crook I voted for, Bob Menendez Jr., is winning 82-18. Even Tom Malinowski, the guy I've seen the most attack ads against this year, is up 63-37 over the son of one of our former Republican governors. Jersey ain't flipping red anytime soon.

Betcha Warnock/Walker goes to runoff.

Red Tsunami 🤔

— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 9, 2022

not looking very red wave-ish

— John Harwood (@JohnJHarwood) November 9, 2022

Lol the Needle is back but they completely changed it to not be panic attacky anymore.

No I'm not watching, taking Tracer's advice

So far tonight’s results are like an advertisement for DeSantis’ candidacy for Republicans. He waxed his opponent, delivered 3 seats with an aggressive gerrymander in his seat while Trump nominees are running behind Generic R’s all around.

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) November 9, 2022

So far, Democrats are running about a point ahead of our expectations outside of Florida, with the GOP lead in the House starting to come down a bit
Not many signs of a red wave at this point.

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 9, 2022

Midterm message so far is clear: Voters want more crime and completely open borders.

— David Weigel (@daveweigel) November 9, 2022

warnock is way ahead as of right now, but only like 30% of the votes are in

Yeah this, kids, is why we do not watch returns, because it is a hope/despair pendulum and it doesn't affect anything other than your liver. Eat an edible and go to bed. If you have a sweetheart nearby, hold them.

xp You can shove the criminals across the open border?

There is 62% in here. Boebert losing would be delicious.#Midterms2022 pic.twitter.com/fu8bRUM79g

— GM 🇺🇦 (@WasOnceLou) November 9, 2022

really don't see it happening but seems to be a lot of Dems running better than projected so far, outside of Florida which remains increasingly fucked up

I mean I'm sure there's one county that's like 95% Bobo that's uncounted, I just refuse to get my hopes up

Ugh. Florida.

"Joe Biden is on the verge of being the most successful Democratic president in a midterm election that we have seen in quite some time" pic.twitter.com/1lc3ywKglk

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 9, 2022

okay can breathe a little easier now

NBC calls Josh Shapiro as the projected winner of PA governor's race.

— Chris Hayes (@chrislhayes) November 9, 2022

curious what that means for Fetterman, I know there might be a lot of ticket splitting this election but somehow I don't think that is gonna break in Oz's direction

It's so weird to be part of two elections cycles in which Florida makes me feel as if the GOP lined me up to get shot while the rest of the country are like Ewoks after the Battle of Endor

yeeeeeah

Fetterman outrunning Biden just about everywhere in Pennsylvania. Our estimate now leans Democratic pic.twitter.com/KXfvvsug1e

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 9, 2022

Nate Cohn
It’s hard to get a clear sense of election results in the age of mail and early voting. But so far, there is little sign of a big red wave. On average, Democrats are running ahead of what the pre-election polls suggested, and the polls didn’t show a huge Republican lead.48m ago

DeSantis, like all incumbents (ESPECIALLY in this state) already had an advantage tonight the moment he won in 2018, but when the best you can do to oppose him is run an ex-Governor who LITERALLY WAS A REPUBLICAN, that's a good way to depress your own party's turnout. Not to mention, since you already had the damn job many years ago, everybody already knows what your fucking ceiling is. You can't get by on lofty promises and starry-eyed ambition because you already have a track record, and well, in his case, it stunk. It stunk in a much less harmful, more non-descript way than Rick Scott, but it still stunk.

just do better. Rubio, on the other hand, just wins because there's an R in front of his name, even though his voters literally make fun of him.

what homeopathic snakeoil is Dr Oz going to suggest his voters take to cope with his eventual loss

whoa Kornacki saying Bobert might actually be in trouble

at least she'll be home to stop her husband from flashing his genitals

odds of Ds retaining Senate are swinging in the betting markets towards Dems

Democratic chances of winning the House have... slowly started to tick up. Now up 29%, up from about 21% at the start. They're favored to win 208 seats up from 203 in our poll-based starting estimates

— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 9, 2022

thanks for watching that Neanderthal, was gonna say the betting markets are probably pretty accurate but then I remembered how much money was made by live bettors in 2020 who knew Florida was definitely going red and that mail-in ballots were gonna heavily favor Dems. people were taking Trump -400 even as he was underperforming his polls lmao

JD Vance wins pic.twitter.com/3G1Tv3xa4D

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 9, 2022

please throw pig carcasses at him every time he makes a speech

kinda looking like a bad night for the Trumpy guys

lol if it turns out this was a real thing

One take that sounded like Twitter craziness but now feels right - Rs flooded the zone with narrative-friendly polls in the last week, results not matching up.

— David Weigel (@daveweigel) November 9, 2022

I mean I know they always are but man the Trafalgar polls were insanely wrong this time around

538 gave them an A- lmao

Cotton-Eyed Joe plays at the Mastriano party as Fox News projects Shapiro as the winner pic.twitter.com/itJXBSIA3e

— Christopher Mathias (@letsgomathias) November 9, 2022

who did you stump for, who did you blow

KALEIGH ROGERS
NOV. 8, 11:34 PM
🚨 UPSET ALERT 🚨 In our first two upsets of the night (whenever the projected winner had less than a 40-in-100 chance in the final Deluxe forecast) ABC News projects that Democrat Emilia Sykes will win OH-13 over Republican Madison Gesiotto Gilbert. Sykes had a 18.6 percent chance of winning in FiveThirtyEight’s final Deluxe pre-election forecast. And in Ohio’s 1st District, Democrat Greg Landsman is projected to win over incumbent Republican Rep. Steve Chabot. Landsman had a 16.1 percent chance of winning in the final Deluxe preelection forecast.

Wow with 86% of the vote in Warnock is down by less than 200 votes. And several big Democratic counties still have 10s of thousands of votes left to count.

not gonna get my hopes up but there appears to be a feeling that Tim Michels isn't getting the margins he needs in Wisconsin

I pretty much think 'runoff' is a foregone conclusion for that race, and I don't think Walker's odds in the runoff election are great.

Republican candidate Tim Michels has not yet conceded to Democratic Gov. Tony Evers, but that is expected soon, according to insiders.

— Daniel Bice (@DanielBice) November 9, 2022

NYT has now bumped Wisconsin from Leaning Republican to Toss-Up for Senate.

boy would that be a huge one