aaron judge needs his own thread

And Judge hits another…

gonna be interesting to see how his contract situation plays out -- he's already turned down an extension offer from the yankees, and it sure seems like he was right to do it

otoh he'll be 31 next april and i'm not sure how many years he can reasonably get

Jaffe has a HOF update/roundup on Fangraphs today. I think he sees Judge basically as I do (skipped the middle paragraph):

I said I wouldn’t dwell upon anybody with seven or fewer seasons, but Judge, who leads the AL in bWAR and the majors in fWAR (4.7), is worth making an exception for while he’s in the midst of a monster season. He’s already 30 years old, and between his late start (he was a 25-year-old rookie) and his difficulty staying on the field (he’s played more than 112 games in a season just twice), he’ll have to remain exceptionally productive for at least the next half-decade to reach Cooperstown. Still, we’re talking about a player who has averaged 7.0 WAR per 650 PA thus far and who has raised his ceiling considerably over the past three months...

Long story short, a Hall of Fame berth for Judge isn’t out of the question, but he can’t afford to miss a quarter or a third of a season, or to suddenly turn into a 3–4 WAR per year player if he’s to get there.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/making-tracks-on-the-road-to-cooperstown-whos-boosted-their-hall-odds-in-2022/

And as I read that, I get a notification he hit a home run.

Houston swept a double-header with NY tonight, and Alvarez--possibly Judge's main competition for MVP (if, like me, you think there'll be a reluctance to go with Ohtani again)--had a big night.

(if, like me, you think there'll be a reluctance to go with Ohtani again)

i know you hate the hype surrounding him -- although afaik he himself has been suitably demure, unlike the much-hated marcus stroman who still headlines the jays thread three years later

but also i think you're being absurd. ohtani is a top-ten pitcher and a plus-plus hitter and -- idk, maybe judge hits 80 homers? -- you are *desperately* looking for ways to blind yourself to his greatness

I think he just thinks a lot of writers/voters are idiots

My eye-rolling at mlb.com's hyping everything Ohtani does aside, I'm not expressing a personal opinion at all when weighing his chances to repeat as MVP. As you full well know, there has always been a strong tendency in MVP voting for writers to look for a new story every year. That's why Mays and Bonds didn't win another five MVPs each. If Ohtani is in the neighborhood of other MVP candidates at the end of the year, I'd bet money he won't repeat. If he's 2.0 or 3.0 WAR ahead, then sure, he will. But I don't think he will be.

Hit his 37th today--on pace for 62.

40 + 41

42

I don't understand why anyone is still pitching to him at this point

I saw a graphic earlier today that had him even with Bonds' pace in 2001, but he's not--even with his HR tonight, he's four behind through 104 games. And Bonds went on to hit another 26.

i've seen Bellinger play and he's impressive, he's not Kevin Maas or anything. god i hope not, wouldn't wish that on Dodger fans.

― nomar, Wednesday, July 5, 2017 10:23 PM (five years ago) bookmarkflaglink

😬

Posnanski has a shareable column up today:

https://joeposnanski.substack.com/p/the-power-of-judge?r=1jtu0&s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

I was looking at the wrong column on Bonds' 2001 game log yesterday--Judge is only two HR behind him through 104 games.

Still running only two HR behind Bonds (through 112 games). Which still seems close to meaningless in terms of catching him--28 in 50 games to tie? But 60--15 in 50 games--looks very promising, depending upon how much they pitch around him.

you mean 15 in 42 games… surely :)

Stop Fricking around, this is serious business.

huh. still - better odds of him beating Ruth there. i'm def going to keep an eye on that.

this guy is simply out of control

Just a complete player. What he’s doing to pitchers is disgusting.

I checked in on Cody B and well I really hope he gets it together. He’s looking like Jason Heyward these days.

he needs to hit a few more singles so he can steal 5 more bases and join griffey, mays, and…brady anderson as the only 50/20 guys

from river ave blues patreon:

Is there an award higher than MVP they can give Aaron Judge? I don’t know what more this guy can do for the Yankees. The Yankees scored three runs in three games in Tampa and he scored all three: two solo homers, plus he doubled and then aggressively took third on a ground ball to short to set up a sac fly. ESPN says he’s the first Yankee to score every run in a series since Babe Ruth in 1929 (minimum three games and two runs scored).

Judge went 11-for-33 (.333) with five homers and a .488 OBP during the 10-game road trip. The rest of the Yankees went 37-for-262 (.141) with three homers and a .252 OBP, and keep in mind they padded those stats during the 13-run game in Oakland. Judge gets pitched around so much these days that he gets maybe one or two pitches to hit a night, sometimes zero, yet the pitches he does get to hit wind up in the seats, or doing something to help the Yankees win. Monday’s homer was Judge’s 54th of the season. That's the most by any player since Giancarlo Stanton hit 59 in 2017, and the most by an American League player since Jose Bautista hit 54 in 2010.

I mean, he could pitch - dominantly… just sayin!

To be fair, I would like to point out that Cody Bellinger is slugging .518 this year with two outs and runners in scoring position.

he should try slugging it in more common situations

Hence the joke--that's how far into the weeds I had to wade to find one positive split for Bellinger. He's terrible overall, and terrible in just about every situation.

He’s a great dad

(I don’t know that, I’m not sure if mr bellinger has kids or not)

When I saw Bellinger play live a couple months ago, what struck me was how graceful and easy he made it look in the OF, and how bad he looked at the plate. Even from my distant vantage point he just seemed off. That big ol swing of his was probably full of holes just waiting to be discovered or he’s just lost something with it.

judge with #55

TSH here cut away to a Judge AB during their 11:00 sportscast.

TSN, that should read.

Hitting almost .500 this month, now within 9 points of Bogaerts for the batting lead (and Triple Crown).

Whoah--two tonight.

Both HR tied the game, too; they just gave him an IBB in extra innings.

the walk was sooo lame man

I’m in NY in just over a week - attending a yanks game, and there is no way he’s not hitting #62 before I get there

If you catch #62, do not trade it in for a free hot dog and a photo with Judge--cash in.

…and make it clear ur shaking down the yankees not judge

he has been walked in extra innings every single time, i think a team would probably walk him with the bases loaded if there were fewer than two outs

% pitches thrown to Aaron Judge that were in zone:

47.6% <---- April 2022
48.7% <---- May 2022
48.0% <---- June 2022
44.2% <---- July 2022
43.4% <---- August 2022
53.4% <---- September 2022 https://t.co/smFB8xBuw4

— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) September 14, 2022

xp that sounds very incorrect, power hitters tend to GIDP a lot so you're spotting the other team a run to lower the chance of your best outcome, all out of fear of your worst outcome

maybe they'd figure he's less likely to gidp than giancarlo or ikf?

I used to lament the fact that this guy was on the fuckin Yankees of all teams but after seeing what happened to Trout and Ohtani I actually kinda want to see him win a World Series mvp

what happened to Trout and Ohtani?

they were banished to a team that never goes to the playoffs

Thinking he might get to Sosa’s peak season at this rate.

already at 10.4 fWAR. about to pass betts for the best non-bonds season of the 21st century

also a point of batting average away from the triple crown