i'd hope that at least one of the researchers took that into account. but then again...
https://i.imgur.com/CEh1yKl.png
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 March 2022 15:01 (two years ago) link
i'm just hoping this issue doesn't affect jesus christ's birthday, which happened on dec 25th
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 March 2022 15:02 (two years ago) link
Sand trombone at Julian Gregorian discrepancy, the kind of thing I usually like to think about to distract me from this other stuff.
― The Central Rockaliser (James Redd and the Blecchs), Wednesday, 30 March 2022 15:04 (two years ago) link
for real, though, the dataset goes back to the year 812, every year, so i'm pretty sure they would notice if the dates suddenly jumped a couple weeks when the calendar systems shifted.
but then again - i do not have access to this top secret data. but i would like to
https://i.imgur.com/BBO6LMj.jpg
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 March 2022 15:10 (two years ago) link
that does leave the possibility open that the previous record for earlier blossom peaking was in fact, on christ's date of birth. and not only the wise men in judaea but also some wise men in japan took note, and said "wow, something really important is happening today"
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 30 March 2022 15:12 (two years ago) link
Japan never used the Julian calendar. It was totally closed to westerners until the mid-nineteenth century, when the Gregorian was already in general use.
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Wednesday, 30 March 2022 16:28 (two years ago) link
hmm
"If I buy an SUV will it be vandalised by climate protesters?"Yes. Yes it will.The @Telegraph tells its readers not to buy SUVs in case we target them.Our campaign is working. We will make it impossible to own an SUV in the world's urban areas. But only if you join in! pic.twitter.com/IfYnJ2I1rB— The Tyre Extinguishers (@T_Extinguishers) April 4, 2022
― Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Friday, 6 May 2022 04:56 (one year ago) link
Was recently thinking about when there was a campaign of smashing windows of SUVs in San Francisco’s Mission District, and how SUVs seem to be widely seen as status symbols by Latino immigrants, and how the Mission District is a rapidly gentrifying area which was historically mostly populated by Latino immigrants.
― recovering internet addict/shitposter (viborg), Saturday, 7 May 2022 13:59 (one year ago) link
Abstract from https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04788-w
At least 10,000 virus species have the capacity to infect humans, but at present, the vast majority are circulating silently in wild mammals1,2. However, climate and land use change will produce novel opportunities for viral sharing among previously geographically-isolated species of wildlife3,4. In some cases, this will facilitate zoonotic spillover—a mechanistic link between global environmental change and disease emergence. Here, we simulate potential hotspots of future viral sharing, using a phylogeographic model of the mammal-virus network, and projections of geographic range shifts for 3,139 mammal species under climate change and land use scenarios for the year 2070. We predict that species will aggregate in new combinations at high elevations, in biodiversity hotspots, and in areas of high human population density in Asia and Africa, driving the novel cross-species transmission of their viruses an estimated 4,000 times. Because of their unique dispersal capacity, bats account for the majority of novel viral sharing, and are likely to share viruses along evolutionary pathways that will facilitate future emergence in humans. Surprisingly, we find that this ecological transition may already be underway, and holding warming under 2 °C within the century will not reduce future viral sharing. Our findings highlight an urgent need to pair viral surveillance and discovery efforts with biodiversity surveys tracking species’ range shifts, especially in tropical regions that harbor the most zoonoses and are experiencing rapid warming.
― Elvis Telecom, Sunday, 8 May 2022 04:49 (one year ago) link
Just catching up on this thread, but Aimless, your lathe of heaven needs a tuneup
Put it in the pile with the ten thousand other studies that show the same thing. Until a climate scientist sets herself on fire on the DC Mall in protest the media won't even blink.
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Monday, March 7, 2022 1:04 PM (two months ago) bookmarkflaglink
― Chyiv Kyiv (Fetchboy), Monday, 9 May 2022 23:17 (one year ago) link
Just a spoonful of sugar!Great climate flash mob reminding Lloyds of London to stop messing around with fossil fuelshttps://t.co/bc4QibhMFV— Bill McKibben (@billmckibben) June 23, 2022
*absolute bloodcurdling scream*
― Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Thursday, 23 June 2022 20:51 (one year ago) link
put this on the next adam curtis film
― Bruce Stingbean (Karl Malone), Thursday, 23 June 2022 20:52 (one year ago) link
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jul/30/total-climate-meltdown-inevitable-heatwaves-global-catastrophe
― papal hotwife (milo z), Sunday, 31 July 2022 23:53 (one year ago) link
What a URL!
I'm still liking the idea of dumping rust dust into the ocean and creating a kelp bloom:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4Hnv_ZJSQY
― DJI, Monday, 1 August 2022 16:16 (one year ago) link
batteries!
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/images/2022.08.03/main.svg
https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=53299
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 5 August 2022 18:48 (one year ago) link
was stoked to read about this 'sand battery' idea, sounds promising and cheap:
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-61996520
― Andy the Grasshopper, Friday, 5 August 2022 18:55 (one year ago) link
― papal hotwife (milo z)
wait his solution is _vote_? "glue yourself to a motorway, or, i guess, vote?"
bad vibes in the spaces i'm in this week. my life gets interrupted more and more often with blind existential panic. all of the media are saying "it's not too late" because what else are you going to say? it's the only responsible thing to say. what do you do if it's too late, in ten years life will be unrecognizably bleak for those of us who aren't dead already? i'm lucky that i gave up living for the future, lucky that i have no purpose in life other than every day to survive in a world that wants me dead, because today is the only thing i have to live for. at what point is "don't doomscroll" identical to "stick your head in the sand"? in terms of anything _i personally can do_, we're doomed. if we're not doomed, you know, there's nothing _i_ can do to make that happen. that's the ground facts. that's not having power and having to live with the consequences.
happy friday.
― Kate (rushomancy), Friday, 12 August 2022 18:02 (one year ago) link
I feel all of that and I wish I had an answer except to reduce doomscrolling as much as possible which I tend to fail at anyway
any solution will have to be a collective one which isn't obviously forthcoming but a lot of things could happen as things get worse. hopefully things other than fortifying borders and properties and building more prisons and expanding police and military which seems to be the trajectory we're on right now (which even a lot of climate activists don't seem too bothered about). I tried to start this paragraph on a cautiously optimistic note but fuck
― Left, Friday, 12 August 2022 18:49 (one year ago) link
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/12/climate/california-rain-storm.html
(for fans of the other harrowing chapter in ministry of the future)
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 12 August 2022 18:58 (one year ago) link
fwiw I follow a lot of climate scientists on Twitter and most of 'em have commented on that Guardian article saying it's not only unhelpful but flat out wrong in a lot of places
― frogbs, Friday, 12 August 2022 19:01 (one year ago) link
i mean, i don't exactly have a lot of trust in the guardian as a newspaper lol, and i don't have trust in _any_ non-scientific source when it comes to science reporting. i _do_ have trust in my own sense of foreboding, though, and the sense of foreboding the people i care about have. "foreboding" is, strictly speaking, outside the realm of climate science, but they're increasingly intertwined.
― Kate (rushomancy), Friday, 12 August 2022 19:07 (one year ago) link
So nobody here thinks the dump-a-bunch-of-iron-dust-in-the-ocean is a good idea?
― DJI, Friday, 12 August 2022 22:03 (one year ago) link
https://salvage.zone/denial-futures/
― multiocular o (map), Tuesday, 20 September 2022 20:33 (one year ago) link
"They are sitting on a beach in northern Michigan. He is my grandchild or yours, keeping watch over his family as best he can."
No. No grandchildren. Bad enough that there's still a me.
― Kate (rushomancy), Tuesday, 20 September 2022 20:40 (one year ago) link
yikes
Horrible news: @Amtrak @PacSurfliners between LA & San Diego has been suspended indefinitely due to coastal erosion. The route was the 2nd busiest intercity rail corridor in the US, w/ 26 daily trains & ~3M riders per year.Climate change is here, and we are totally unprepared pic.twitter.com/wxJULUqczq— Jacob Mandel 🚲🚋🌴 (@TallDarknJewish) September 30, 2022
― 𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 30 September 2022 19:41 (one year ago) link
Ugh
― If The Damned Are United (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 30 September 2022 19:53 (one year ago) link
(Is there an emoji for why am I not surprised, the hell timeline is the only timeline for me, the best of all possible worlds etc.?)
― If The Damned Are United (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 30 September 2022 20:10 (one year ago) link
🙃 and/or 😶 i think
― Doctor Casino, Friday, 30 September 2022 20:13 (one year ago) link
🤔🤨🧐
― If The Damned Are United (James Redd and the Blecchs), Friday, 30 September 2022 20:16 (one year ago) link
Sorry I meant to type 😕
Well, that sucks.
― immodesty blaise (jimbeaux), Friday, 30 September 2022 20:16 (one year ago) link
not sure if this is the right thread but holy fuck
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/13/almost-70-of-animal-populations-wiped-out-since-1970-report-reveals-aoe
― Tracer Hand, Thursday, 13 October 2022 11:36 (one year ago) link
headlines like this just seem unreal to me, which i guess is part of the problem but people what the fuck are we doing, this is a nightmare
i can't help thinking of this essay
https://www.davidquammen.com/sampler/18-planetofweeds
― Tracer Hand, Thursday, 13 October 2022 11:38 (one year ago) link
That essay went a bit off at the end as the writer starting sketching out the future but I certainly see that: 1) the awful things are happening as predicted and 2) that enough damage will occur so that we are stopped from living as we are and that 3) we could find ourselves helping each other out overtime or that it's too late and we slowly die off but that's speculation. 1) is happening and I guess I will see a lot of 2).
I did like the last sentence. In 10 billion years, whatever we do, the ecology will recover.
― xyzzzz__, Thursday, 13 October 2022 13:25 (one year ago) link
the adaptive way to living through our current 6th extinction event is to glance at the URL headline "70% of animal populations wiped out since 1970" and think "hmm, but i just read there are 20 quadrillion ants on earth. that must mean that there were once 66.7 quadrillion ants, in 1970. this is good progress"
― Karl Malone, Thursday, 13 October 2022 14:41 (one year ago) link
There seems to be a lot more climate related sabotage happening these days than the media is actually covering. As things get worse it's going to get harder to hide that people are taking matters into their own hands.https://t.co/KCim0iE0MX— Tovarisch (@nwbtcw) October 14, 2022
― xyzzzz__, Friday, 14 October 2022 15:04 (one year ago) link
this is the kind of shit that you see as a tv news report playing in the background at the beginning of a disaster movie https://t.co/LBnsmXus26— BOO-RG (@borgposting) October 14, 2022
― xyzzzz__, Friday, 14 October 2022 20:36 (one year ago) link
a billion here a billion there, sooner or later you're talking about real numbers
70% reduction in animal populations in 50 years will do that i guess
― Tracer Hand, Friday, 14 October 2022 20:41 (one year ago) link
The big reduction of insect biomass that started to be measured a couple of years ago is like the canary in the coal mine found inert on the floor of its cage.
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Friday, 14 October 2022 21:17 (one year ago) link
When asked what fishermen can do in this situation, with their livelihoods dependent on the ocean, Prout responded, "Hope and pray. I guess that's the best way to say it."
― Lavator Shemmelpennick, Saturday, 15 October 2022 17:01 (one year ago) link
It's a covert way of saying the situation looks hopeless and we don't have a prayer of it getting better.
― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Saturday, 15 October 2022 17:56 (one year ago) link
Yesterday, I attended a conference at which an influential financier shared this unpublished map. Look at it. The estimated death toll is 2-3 *billion*; the timeframe is 20-30 years (previously: 50). Segments of the elite have simply 'written off' large parts of the Global South. pic.twitter.com/P7JTfepn9k— Benjamin Ramm (@BenjaminRamm) October 16, 2022
"ideal zone for capturing solar energy to power the global north"
― calzino, Sunday, 16 October 2022 21:01 (one year ago) link
Psychedelics conference
― “uhh”—like, this is an insane oatmeal raisin cookie “uhh” (President Keyes), Sunday, 16 October 2022 21:06 (one year ago) link
what even is one of them?
― calzino, Sunday, 16 October 2022 21:10 (one year ago) link
Saw several tweets saying that map is rubbish (one tweet traced it to 20 years ago). But the point was that, as things get worse, certain groups of people are going to try and figure out how they can come out relatively unscarred.
― xyzzzz__, Sunday, 16 October 2022 21:37 (one year ago) link
White House is pushing ahead research to cool Earth by reflecting back sunlight
The White House is coordinating a five-year research plan to study ways of modifying the amount of sunlight that reaches the earth to temper the effects of global warming, a process sometimes called solar geoengineering or sunlight reflection.The research plan will assess climate interventions, including spraying aerosols into the stratosphere to reflect sunlight back into space, and should include goals for research, what’s necessary to analyze the atmosphere, and what impact these kinds of climate interventions may have on Earth, according to the White House’s Office of Science and Technology Policy. Congress directed the research plan be produced in its spending plan for 2022, which President Joe Biden signed in March.
The research plan will assess climate interventions, including spraying aerosols into the stratosphere to reflect sunlight back into space, and should include goals for research, what’s necessary to analyze the atmosphere, and what impact these kinds of climate interventions may have on Earth, according to the White House’s Office of Science and Technology Policy. Congress directed the research plan be produced in its spending plan for 2022, which President Joe Biden signed in March.
― Elvis Telecom, Monday, 17 October 2022 08:12 (one year ago) link
Mrburns.jpg
― xyzzzz__, Monday, 17 October 2022 08:13 (one year ago) link
The ones who accept the science and think some Breaking Bad cliffhanger plot twist is going to avert the coming genocide are worse than the outright deniers. Tho I suspect that as with Covid, the most vocal deniers are actually following the science quite closely. But the point was that, as things got worse, certain groups of people figured out how they could come out relatively unscarred.ftfy (can we do strikethrough text?)
― recovering internet addict/shitposter (viborg), Monday, 17 October 2022 10:45 (one year ago) link
this is an excellent, really long feature with lots of interesting photographs, videos, and infographics about the deforestation of the amazon and how that's directly creating droughts and tipping points already crossed which can't be undone (not in our lifetime, at least). it's washington post so paywalled, but i have a 'gift link' which should work for everyone:
How the Forest Dieshttps://wapo.st/3As5FHc
― Karl Malone, Friday, 18 November 2022 17:41 (one year ago) link
not at all surprising that cop27 was a total failure in terms of actually mitigating climate change, given that no powerful country is willing or able to divorce from growthism, but still quite depressing to witness— kaisa (@kuuhulluutta) November 20, 2022
― xyzzzz__, Sunday, 20 November 2022 13:05 (one year ago) link