Global Warming's Terrifying New Math

thinking about subscribing to this...can someone explain to me how it's just a scam that will actually make the problem worse

https://climeworks.com/

Posting this while I shit

― Read between the lines Zach (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 10 August 2021 bookmarkflaglink

Was it a 12 hour shit?

Posting this while I shit

Pour yourself a big cup of Sanka for this one

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/12/13/climate/antarctic-climate-change.html

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/01/will-local-politics-cook-the-planet.html

agggggggggggggggh

Hmm, goverments still not seem to care

Pish. I grant you the caring is scattered, localized, intermittent, and wholly inadequate to the meet the need, but it exists... sporadically, if you hunt for it.

“It’s getting to the point where in somebody’s lifetime now, they will notice the difference,”

https://www.cnn.com/2022/02/18/world/antarctica-sea-ice-low-extent-record-climate/

"fuck earth" government

Satellite images show the Amazon rainforest is hurtling toward a ‘tipping point’

Viewed from space, the Amazon rainforest doesn’t look like an ecosystem on the brink. Clouds still coalesce from the breath of some 390 billion trees. Rivers snake their way through what appears to be a sea of endless green.

Yet satellite images taken over the past several decades reveal that more than 75 percent of the rainforest is losing resilience, according to a study published Monday in the journal Nature Climate Change. The vegetation is drier and takes longer to regenerate after a disturbance. Even the most densely forested tracts struggle to bounce back.

This widespread weakness offers an early warning sign that the Amazon is nearing its “tipping point,” the study’s authors say. Amid rising temperatures and other human pressures, the ecosystem could suffer sudden and irreversible dieback. More than half of the rainforest could be converted into savanna in a matter of decades — a transition that would imperil biodiversity, shift regional weather patterns and dramatically accelerate climate change.

Historically, the Amazon has been one of Earth’s most important “carbon sinks,” pulling billions of tons of carbon dioxide from the air and storing it in vegetation. Researchers fear that this carbon’s sudden release would put humanity’s most ambitious climate goal — limiting temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) — out of reach.

“As a scientist, I am not supposed to have anxiety. But after reading this paper, I am very, very anxious,” said Carlos Nobre, a climate scientist at the University of São Paulo’s Institute of Advanced Studies, who was not involved in the new research. “This paper shows we are moving in the completely wrong direction … If we exceed the tipping point, that’s very bad news.”

you know how the rest goes

This paper shows we are moving in the completely wrong direction

Put it in the pile with the ten thousand other studies that show the same thing. Until a climate scientist sets herself on fire on the DC Mall in protest the media won't even blink.

https://hackaday.com/2022/01/25/would-nuclear-winter-cancel-out-global-warming/

If nuclear winter is indeed possible, as per the modelling shown in several research papers, then in a way, nuclear winter could indeed counteract global warming. In the most shocking results of a full-scale conflict between superpowers, modelling run in 2007 suggests average global temperatures could fall by as much as 8 °C, levelling out to 4 °C after a decade or so. Global warming, on the other hand, is expected to reach a level of 1.5 °C above pre-industrial averages within the next decade or so.

^ This is right up there with eugenics and genocide on the list of all time great ideas.

when God closes a door...

wut

BREAKING: One of the crazier extreme weather events we've reported on. Temperatures in eastern Antarctica are 50 to 90 degrees above normal. https://t.co/jksBNnNOpM

— Capital Weather Gang (@capitalweather) March 18, 2022

Japan’s cherry blossom ‘earliest peak since 812

The cherry blossom season, Japan’s traditional sign of spring, has peaked at the earliest date since records began 1,200 years ago.

The 2021 season in the city of Kyoto peaked on 26 March, according to data collected by Osaka University.

Increasingly early flowerings in recent decades are likely to be a result of climate change, scientists said.

The records from Kyoto go back to 812 AD in imperial court documents and diaries.

The city has experienced an unusually warm spring this year.

The previous record there was set in 1409, when the season reached its peak on 27 March.

Julian 27 March 1409 = Gregorian 05 April 1409

Gregorian 27 March 1409 = Julian 18 March 1409

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

i'd hope that at least one of the researchers took that into account. but then again...

https://i.imgur.com/CEh1yKl.png

i'm just hoping this issue doesn't affect jesus christ's birthday, which happened on dec 25th

Sand trombone at Julian Gregorian discrepancy, the kind of thing I usually like to think about to distract me from this other stuff.

for real, though, the dataset goes back to the year 812, every year, so i'm pretty sure they would notice if the dates suddenly jumped a couple weeks when the calendar systems shifted.

but then again - i do not have access to this top secret data. but i would like to

https://i.imgur.com/BBO6LMj.jpg

that does leave the possibility open that the previous record for earlier blossom peaking was in fact, on christ's date of birth. and not only the wise men in judaea but also some wise men in japan took note, and said "wow, something really important is happening today"

Japan never used the Julian calendar. It was totally closed to westerners until the mid-nineteenth century, when the Gregorian was already in general use.

hmm

"If I buy an SUV will it be vandalised by climate protesters?"

Yes. Yes it will.

The @Telegraph tells its readers not to buy SUVs in case we target them.

Our campaign is working. We will make it impossible to own an SUV in the world's urban areas. But only if you join in! pic.twitter.com/IfYnJ2I1rB

— The Tyre Extinguishers (@T_Extinguishers) April 4, 2022

Was recently thinking about when there was a campaign of smashing windows of SUVs in San Francisco’s Mission District, and how SUVs seem to be widely seen as status symbols by Latino immigrants, and how the Mission District is a rapidly gentrifying area which was historically mostly populated by Latino immigrants.

Abstract from https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04788-w

At least 10,000 virus species have the capacity to infect humans, but at present, the vast majority are circulating silently in wild mammals1,2. However, climate and land use change will produce novel opportunities for viral sharing among previously geographically-isolated species of wildlife3,4. In some cases, this will facilitate zoonotic spillover—a mechanistic link between global environmental change and disease emergence. Here, we simulate potential hotspots of future viral sharing, using a phylogeographic model of the mammal-virus network, and projections of geographic range shifts for 3,139 mammal species under climate change and land use scenarios for the year 2070. We predict that species will aggregate in new combinations at high elevations, in biodiversity hotspots, and in areas of high human population density in Asia and Africa, driving the novel cross-species transmission of their viruses an estimated 4,000 times. Because of their unique dispersal capacity, bats account for the majority of novel viral sharing, and are likely to share viruses along evolutionary pathways that will facilitate future emergence in humans. Surprisingly, we find that this ecological transition may already be underway, and holding warming under 2 °C within the century will not reduce future viral sharing. Our findings highlight an urgent need to pair viral surveillance and discovery efforts with biodiversity surveys tracking species’ range shifts, especially in tropical regions that harbor the most zoonoses and are experiencing rapid warming.

Just catching up on this thread, but Aimless, your lathe of heaven needs a tuneup

Put it in the pile with the ten thousand other studies that show the same thing. Until a climate scientist sets herself on fire on the DC Mall in protest the media won't even blink.

― more difficult than I look (Aimless), Monday, March 7, 2022 1:04 PM (two months ago) bookmarkflaglink

Just a spoonful of sugar!
Great climate flash mob reminding Lloyds of London to stop messing around with fossil fuelshttps://t.co/bc4QibhMFV

— Bill McKibben (@billmckibben) June 23, 2022

*absolute bloodcurdling scream*

put this on the next adam curtis film

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jul/30/total-climate-meltdown-inevitable-heatwaves-global-catastrophe

What a URL!

I'm still liking the idea of dumping rust dust into the ocean and creating a kelp bloom:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i4Hnv_ZJSQY

batteries!

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/images/2022.08.03/main.svg

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=53299

was stoked to read about this 'sand battery' idea, sounds promising and cheap:

https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-61996520

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/jul/30/total-climate-meltdown-inevitable-heatwaves-global-catastrophe

― papal hotwife (milo z)

wait his solution is _vote_? "glue yourself to a motorway, or, i guess, vote?"

bad vibes in the spaces i'm in this week. my life gets interrupted more and more often with blind existential panic. all of the media are saying "it's not too late" because what else are you going to say? it's the only responsible thing to say. what do you do if it's too late, in ten years life will be unrecognizably bleak for those of us who aren't dead already? i'm lucky that i gave up living for the future, lucky that i have no purpose in life other than every day to survive in a world that wants me dead, because today is the only thing i have to live for. at what point is "don't doomscroll" identical to "stick your head in the sand"? in terms of anything _i personally can do_, we're doomed. if we're not doomed, you know, there's nothing _i_ can do to make that happen. that's the ground facts. that's not having power and having to live with the consequences.

happy friday.

I feel all of that and I wish I had an answer except to reduce doomscrolling as much as possible which I tend to fail at anyway

any solution will have to be a collective one which isn't obviously forthcoming but a lot of things could happen as things get worse. hopefully things other than fortifying borders and properties and building more prisons and expanding police and military which seems to be the trajectory we're on right now (which even a lot of climate activists don't seem too bothered about). I tried to start this paragraph on a cautiously optimistic note but fuck

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/12/climate/california-rain-storm.html

(for fans of the other harrowing chapter in ministry of the future)

fwiw I follow a lot of climate scientists on Twitter and most of 'em have commented on that Guardian article saying it's not only unhelpful but flat out wrong in a lot of places

i mean, i don't exactly have a lot of trust in the guardian as a newspaper lol, and i don't have trust in _any_ non-scientific source when it comes to science reporting. i _do_ have trust in my own sense of foreboding, though, and the sense of foreboding the people i care about have. "foreboding" is, strictly speaking, outside the realm of climate science, but they're increasingly intertwined.

So nobody here thinks the dump-a-bunch-of-iron-dust-in-the-ocean is a good idea?

https://salvage.zone/denial-futures/

"They are sitting on a beach in northern Michigan. He is my grandchild or yours, keeping watch over his family as best he can."

No. No grandchildren. Bad enough that there's still a me.

yikes

Horrible news: @Amtrak @PacSurfliners between LA & San Diego has been suspended indefinitely due to coastal erosion.

The route was the 2nd busiest intercity rail corridor in the US, w/ 26 daily trains & ~3M riders per year.

Climate change is here, and we are totally unprepared pic.twitter.com/wxJULUqczq

— Jacob Mandel 🚲🚋🌴 (@TallDarknJewish) September 30, 2022

Ugh

(Is there an emoji for why am I not surprised, the hell timeline is the only timeline for me, the best of all possible worlds etc.?)

🙃 and/or 😶 i think

🤔🤨🧐

Sorry I meant to type 😕

Well, that sucks.

not sure if this is the right thread but holy fuck

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/13/almost-70-of-animal-populations-wiped-out-since-1970-report-reveals-aoe