Brazil - have you been there?

is he still hiccuping, do we know?

https://www.fiafnet.org/pages/News/FIAF-Statement-Cinemateca-Brasileira-07-2021.html

"It is with great shock and upset that the International Federation of Film Archives (FIAF) and its 172 Members and Associates around the world heard reports of a fire in one of the warehouses of the Cinemateca Brasileira in São Paulo on 29 July 2021."

SMDH--this is just the latest disaster to hit Brazil's cultural institutions under Bolsonaro. The Cinemateca staff had been warning the government that something like this could happen.

Lol

#BREAKING Brazil's Bolsonaro urgently hospitalized: reports pic.twitter.com/y52Uw1hjmq

— AFP News Agency (@AFP) January 3, 2022

one of the better new years

goddamnwhen is this guy gonna finally fuckin die

intestinal blockage again?!

Lula is so cool pic.twitter.com/ylTAtp3OxD

— Venom Lord (getting worried) (@aniceburrito) September 30, 2022

bread and picanhas, baby

just voted here in NYC. hope this all ends.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZJ6QGSpVSk

Have been following the emigrant/diaspora results, Brazilians in Ireland:

BREAKING: 🇧🇷🇮🇪

🗳️ RESULTADO DA IRLANDA:

Lula VENCE na Irlanda

Results of Brazilian Citizens voting in Ireland (1st Round):

Lula: 73.80%
Bolsonaro: 17.51%
Others: 8.69%#Eleicoes2022

pic.twitter.com/EctOL9yyUy

— Next Irish General Election (@NextIrishGE) October 2, 2022

Brazil, Ipec exit poll:

Lula (PT, centre-left): 52% (new)
Bolsonaro (PL, right): 26% (-20)
Gomes (PDT, centre-left): 7% (-5)
…

(+/- 2018 Election)

Sample size: 22,004 #Brazil #eleiçoes2022 pic.twitter.com/fsL503HU7H

— America Elects (@AmericaEIige) October 2, 2022

Sounds too good to be true.

There’s no exit polling this year, I read? It’s the results that are being counted now

One of the comments to that tweet also said no exit poll.

yeah, no exits. bloomberg is tracking it:

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-brazil-election/

numbers are higher for Bolsonaro because most of the complete/quicker results are always in areas where he has more votes anyway.

looking at family and friends posts – there was also larger turnout I think this year.

last election was the biggest number of people voting blank/null ever.

Hope for a strong 1st round result for Lula, one & done would be great but…

Mark Hamill is... cool?

The future is YOURS, Brasil. 🇧🇷 pic.twitter.com/A8p1uu5gHW

— Mark Hamill (@MarkHamill) October 1, 2022

hamill and mark rufallo are normally giving their support a lot to lula and against bolsonaro. ruffalo for a long time, afaik

This thread from French ipsos guy is tasty.

🇧🇷🗳️ Les résultats à ce stade dans les plus grandes villes :

São Paulo : Lula 48,9% (Haddad 39,6%)
Rio de Janeiro : Lula 42,3% (Haddad 33,6%)
Brasilia : Lula 36,4% (Haddad 30%)

Lula fait nettement mieux qu'Haddad *au second tour* en 2018.

— mathieu gallard (@mathieugallard) October 2, 2022

taking a lead now, exactly around the time it normally turns for PT/left parties

well, getting a new red outfit ready for the end of the month now

Brazil’s Congress will be very right wing, as usual. Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party is projected to be the largest in the chamber of deputies, with possibly over 100 seats. In 2018 his PSL only got 52. Lula has appeal, but the PT is weak in the downballot races.

— Liam (@Hezbolsonaro) October 2, 2022

Seems like moderate centrists reluctantly voted for fascism? How odd

A lot of Bolsanaro's base seems to be more middle-class, richer.

I wonder what Lula can do about Amazon deforestation if he doesn't have much help in Congress? That's what I'll be looking out for.

BREAKING: Sergio Moro – Bolsonaro’s former Justice Minister and architect of the Lava Jato prosecution that put Lula in prison on false charges of corruption – is elected to the Senate. pic.twitter.com/BrrKoOHuZ6

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 2, 2022

closeness of this doesn't bode well at all

Lula is a strong favourite to win. But his popularity has stopped disguising the weakness of the centre left. We can see it now as the results have come in for the Congress and Senate.

In that sense its very similar to much of the world: US, UK, and so on.

in the sense that lula was freed from jail and that legal proceedings were curtailed i guess you can say that the "procedural centre" held, at least for now

closeness of this doesn't bode well at all

Someone on twitter pointed out that the difference of votes between Lula and Bolsonaro is roughly equivalent to Portugal's entire voting population. Lotta people in Brazil! Astounding insight I know.

How brutal is this election in Brazil? Lula’s campaign stated yesterday that he believes in God “and does not have a pact with, nor has he ever spoken with the Devil.” pic.twitter.com/JSDPWfySXi

— Brian Winter (@BrazilBrian) October 5, 2022

Bit disappointed in Lula over this tbh. Should always hear both sides.

he'll never get to hear all the best tunes

Lula has picked up 48%. He'll surely get the 2% he needs without chasing the evangelicals who will never vote for him?

After Jair Bolsonaro makes openly paedophilic remarks in a filmed interview, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro angrily denies that the extreme right president is a paedophile, calling the video of his father making openly paedophilic remarks "fake news". https://t.co/0jEEYBmC1i

— BRASILWIRE (@BRASILWIRE) October 16, 2022

Jair Bolsonaro, who has spent days denying paedophilia, and is to be investigated for paedophilia apologism, has filmed a video asking forgiveness for linking 14 year old Venezuelans to prostitution, after describing his sexual chemistry with one. pic.twitter.com/20GPKCfvcj

— BRASILWIRE (@BRASILWIRE) October 18, 2022

Bit worried about this bolsonaro paedo stuff, has the feel of the trump access hollywood tape

Trump got the NAMBLA endorsement in 2016 and it didn't do him any harm ..lol

🚨 This is EXTREMELY important. Simulations of the second round suggest that Lula will only take the lead when *88.5%* of votes have been counted. Be careful: Bolsonaristas will be crying victory all the way until this switch – and then fraud all the way after. pic.twitter.com/JFnGHnx5Dd

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 27, 2022

I'm starting to worry about me and my wife and friends and family security when voting this Sunday... thinking about if it's best to have lots of people really close together and maybe stay near the voting place after for a while just to make sure there's a good presence of Lula's voters there and maybe this could diffuse the tension/fear mongering somehow. Never thought in my life I'd have to do that.

Good luck (where in Brazil are you?)

Boa sorte! Tá na hora do Jair embora, as the memes say.

Thank you all. I'm from Recife, Pernambuco, northeast. I'm living in the US now, NY, for the last 5 years. But even here during the last vote it was pretty tense, with lots of taunting from his followers... And a pretty crowded street without a lot of coordination from the NYPD. This asshole really needs to go. Just on his Covid response he should be prosecuted by international law.

I musta admit I cringe every time I see shots of Lula being driven though the streets on the back of a lorry, it would be so easy for someone to take a shot at him.

Went to the vigil for deaths in police custody at Downing Street yesterday and we passed a PT rally, lots of shouts of support and "we're with you" from the PT crowd. Lovely stuff.

Unrelated, but as the thing wound up an Iranian protest came to take our place that had some seriously chaotic energy - lgbt flags jostling with a sign saying "thank you Donald Trump - Make Iran Great Again" and one with the face of Khomeini and "CIA agent" and "666" written on it.

If frontrunner Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins Brazil’s election it would mark a major comeback for the leftist, signaling that Brazilians care more about jobs and food than battling corruption

the grapes were already sour at the WSJ yesterday before any votes have been counted. Good luck Brazil.

Cops trying to block ppl from voting in the Lula stronghold of Nordeste

🚨 Diretor-geral da Polícia Rodoviária Federal terá que parar IMEDIATAMENTE operações de transporte público contra eleitores nordestinos, caso contrário, será PRESO, afirma Alexandre de Moraes!#Eleicoes2022 pic.twitter.com/G8Sa8sLuNr

— POPTime (@siteptbr) October 30, 2022

Basically traffic cops stopping public transportation for no reason.

Hope it doesn't work, but from the polling these are fine margins..

Polls now closed.

🚨 The head of Brazil’s Supreme Electoral Tribunal REFUSES to take action against the Bolsonarista conspiracy to suppress votes in Lula strongholds, saying the 560 blockades “affected both sides” and that the pre-meditated actions of the Federal Highway Police were actually okay.

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 30, 2022