Brazil - have you been there?

*high level geopolotics from end of history to the end of the end of history

i should probably say the whole piece is an attempt to understand what comes next via an analysis of what a definition of what Brazilianization is and might look like. i think there's a lot of *reach* there tbh, but as i say, it's good.

DEATH OF SATIRE KLAXON tho ffs.

Social movements flood São Paulo's Paulista Avenue demanding vaccines, food and the immediately impeachment of Brazil's Jair Bolsonaro.pic.twitter.com/u2o5HgOk2U

— Kawsachun News (@KawsachunNews) May 29, 2021

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jul/14/bolsonaro-brazil-hospital-hiccups

thoughts and prayers

"with one prominent Brazilian journalist claiming the president was suffering from a bowel obstruction."

"Where ere you be, let your wind blow free, for it is the wind, that killeth thee."

Hope to see him in the Obituary thread soon

aw not too soon. a while longer. with deterioration

That dental surgeon is the silent hero Brazil deserves.

And needs, obv.

i hope the hiccups never go away and he ends himself in a year or two. after he's been voted out and maybe lula can through a little case his way for good measure

Bolsonaro is being transferred to São Paulo hospital after doctors diagnose bowel obstruction.

After 10 days of hiccups, he was rushed to the hospital in Brasília early this morning. https://t.co/96lzOXOGOV

— Raquel Krähenbühl (@Rkrahenbuhl) July 14, 2021

RI p- ip ip ip

Diddums got a sore tummy?

A busy day for the Brasilian doctor whose expertise is prolonged hiccups.

Not unrelated:

https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/jul/14/amazon-rainforest-now-emitting-more-co2-than-it-absorbs

Sao Paulo, Brazil, on July 24, 2021

Burning statue of Borba Gato, symbol of slavery pic.twitter.com/f3RWmh5O8I

— Emily (@Emily_Lykos) July 25, 2021

is he still hiccuping, do we know?

https://www.fiafnet.org/pages/News/FIAF-Statement-Cinemateca-Brasileira-07-2021.html

"It is with great shock and upset that the International Federation of Film Archives (FIAF) and its 172 Members and Associates around the world heard reports of a fire in one of the warehouses of the Cinemateca Brasileira in São Paulo on 29 July 2021."

SMDH--this is just the latest disaster to hit Brazil's cultural institutions under Bolsonaro. The Cinemateca staff had been warning the government that something like this could happen.

Lol

#BREAKING Brazil's Bolsonaro urgently hospitalized: reports pic.twitter.com/y52Uw1hjmq

— AFP News Agency (@AFP) January 3, 2022

one of the better new years

goddamnwhen is this guy gonna finally fuckin die

intestinal blockage again?!

Lula is so cool pic.twitter.com/ylTAtp3OxD

— Venom Lord (getting worried) (@aniceburrito) September 30, 2022

bread and picanhas, baby

just voted here in NYC. hope this all ends.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZJ6QGSpVSk

Have been following the emigrant/diaspora results, Brazilians in Ireland:

BREAKING: 🇧🇷🇮🇪

🗳️ RESULTADO DA IRLANDA:

Lula VENCE na Irlanda

Results of Brazilian Citizens voting in Ireland (1st Round):

Lula: 73.80%
Bolsonaro: 17.51%
Others: 8.69%#Eleicoes2022

pic.twitter.com/EctOL9yyUy

— Next Irish General Election (@NextIrishGE) October 2, 2022

Brazil, Ipec exit poll:

Lula (PT, centre-left): 52% (new)
Bolsonaro (PL, right): 26% (-20)
Gomes (PDT, centre-left): 7% (-5)
…

(+/- 2018 Election)

Sample size: 22,004 #Brazil #eleiçoes2022 pic.twitter.com/fsL503HU7H

— America Elects (@AmericaEIige) October 2, 2022

Sounds too good to be true.

There’s no exit polling this year, I read? It’s the results that are being counted now

One of the comments to that tweet also said no exit poll.

yeah, no exits. bloomberg is tracking it:

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-brazil-election/

numbers are higher for Bolsonaro because most of the complete/quicker results are always in areas where he has more votes anyway.

looking at family and friends posts – there was also larger turnout I think this year.

last election was the biggest number of people voting blank/null ever.

Hope for a strong 1st round result for Lula, one & done would be great but…

Mark Hamill is... cool?

The future is YOURS, Brasil. 🇧🇷 pic.twitter.com/A8p1uu5gHW

— Mark Hamill (@MarkHamill) October 1, 2022

hamill and mark rufallo are normally giving their support a lot to lula and against bolsonaro. ruffalo for a long time, afaik

This thread from French ipsos guy is tasty.

🇧🇷🗳️ Les résultats à ce stade dans les plus grandes villes :

São Paulo : Lula 48,9% (Haddad 39,6%)
Rio de Janeiro : Lula 42,3% (Haddad 33,6%)
Brasilia : Lula 36,4% (Haddad 30%)

Lula fait nettement mieux qu'Haddad *au second tour* en 2018.

— mathieu gallard (@mathieugallard) October 2, 2022

taking a lead now, exactly around the time it normally turns for PT/left parties

well, getting a new red outfit ready for the end of the month now

Brazil’s Congress will be very right wing, as usual. Bolsonaro’s Liberal Party is projected to be the largest in the chamber of deputies, with possibly over 100 seats. In 2018 his PSL only got 52. Lula has appeal, but the PT is weak in the downballot races.

— Liam (@Hezbolsonaro) October 2, 2022

Seems like moderate centrists reluctantly voted for fascism? How odd

A lot of Bolsanaro's base seems to be more middle-class, richer.

I wonder what Lula can do about Amazon deforestation if he doesn't have much help in Congress? That's what I'll be looking out for.

BREAKING: Sergio Moro – Bolsonaro’s former Justice Minister and architect of the Lava Jato prosecution that put Lula in prison on false charges of corruption – is elected to the Senate. pic.twitter.com/BrrKoOHuZ6

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 2, 2022

closeness of this doesn't bode well at all

Lula is a strong favourite to win. But his popularity has stopped disguising the weakness of the centre left. We can see it now as the results have come in for the Congress and Senate.

In that sense its very similar to much of the world: US, UK, and so on.

in the sense that lula was freed from jail and that legal proceedings were curtailed i guess you can say that the "procedural centre" held, at least for now

closeness of this doesn't bode well at all

Someone on twitter pointed out that the difference of votes between Lula and Bolsonaro is roughly equivalent to Portugal's entire voting population. Lotta people in Brazil! Astounding insight I know.

How brutal is this election in Brazil? Lula’s campaign stated yesterday that he believes in God “and does not have a pact with, nor has he ever spoken with the Devil.” pic.twitter.com/JSDPWfySXi

— Brian Winter (@BrazilBrian) October 5, 2022

Bit disappointed in Lula over this tbh. Should always hear both sides.

he'll never get to hear all the best tunes

Lula has picked up 48%. He'll surely get the 2% he needs without chasing the evangelicals who will never vote for him?