is it you?
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 15 October 2020 13:10 (three years ago) link
Baker: "They cooked me for taking Russ Ortiz out in the World Series in 2002. In today's game that would be the thing to do. Third time through the order, 6 2/3..."— Brian McTaggart (@brianmctaggart) October 15, 2020
nah, they cooked you for giving him the ball
― mookieproof, Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:31 (three years ago) link
It was all the Rally Monkey's fault.
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Thursday, 15 October 2020 17:45 (three years ago) link
well
― mookieproof, Friday, 16 October 2020 00:45 (three years ago) link
Kershaw and the third time through the order.
― Van Horn Street, Friday, 16 October 2020 01:56 (three years ago) link
This Braves hitting reminds me of the 2019 Nats.
― Van Horn Street, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:08 (three years ago) link
would be amazing to see ATL drop a 15 spot in this inning
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:17 (three years ago) link
will it ever be enough for you?
― mookieproof, Friday, 16 October 2020 02:20 (three years ago) link
you love to see it
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:32 (three years ago) link
damn, we don't get to see Will Smith vs. Will Smith.
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:43 (three years ago) link
(asking again: have they faced each other before?)
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 02:44 (three years ago) link
Just fuckin' no with the Astros, I'm all in for Rays/Braves
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:25 (three years ago) link
I was slammed at work and couldn't see much of the game but I saw Acuña tumble -- did he leave the game, is he ok?
― (show hidden tics) (WmC), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:35 (three years ago) link
At the time it looked like he broke/sprained his wrist (might be my PTSD from my vert skateboarding days), but he ended up staying in and seemed fine so shrug.ascii
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 October 2020 03:43 (three years ago) link
might be my PTSD from my vert skateboarding days
looool okay toughie
― mookieproof, Friday, 16 October 2020 03:49 (three years ago) link
Sixth inning playoff Kershaw ... again.
How many teams down 3-0 have forced a game 6? '99 Mets and '04 Red Sox, are there more?
― NoTimeBeforeTime, Friday, 16 October 2020 04:06 (three years ago) link
Starting to look like big trouble for the Rays.
― Van Horn Street, Saturday, 17 October 2020 00:44 (three years ago) link
I don’t feel like watching an Astros vs Braves WS.
― Van Horn Street, Saturday, 17 October 2020 00:57 (three years ago) link
Okay guys, Will Smith vs. Will Smith is happening right now.
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:27 (three years ago) link
First time players with the same name have faced each other in the postseason.
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:28 (three years ago) link
Will Smith prevails!
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:30 (three years ago) link
The battle of Will Smith vs. Will Smith could not have been any better.
― Western® with Bacon Flavor, Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:32 (three years ago) link
Astros in 7!
― avellano medio inglés (f. hazel), Saturday, 17 October 2020 03:43 (three years ago) link
Webb channeling his inner Kenny Powers meltdown
― Western® with Bacon Flavor, Saturday, 17 October 2020 04:00 (three years ago) link
The Will Smith battle is why you can’t beat baseball.
― Van Horn Street, Saturday, 17 October 2020 04:19 (three years ago) link
Astros series setup in perfect spot for Dusty Baker to produce the playoff nut buster crushing loss across their fan-base that he has delivered to every town he has managed within before.
― earlnash, Saturday, 17 October 2020 13:47 (three years ago) link
I am not liking the Rays situation currently.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 17 October 2020 17:05 (three years ago) link
LA
― calstars, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:16 (three years ago) link
(xpost) I've subscribed to this theory the last few years that whenever every conceivable sign points to a game going one way, expect the opposite to happen; sports just doesn't make sense a lot of the time. So with 90% of baseball fans nauseous about the prospect of the Astros in the WS, wouldn't surprise me at all if the Rays win.
― clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:23 (three years ago) link
Stop trying to put hopeful thoughts in my head! (I realize the odds are pretty much 50/50)
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:37 (three years ago) link
like a football bouncing, we just don't know where it's going to go
― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:41 (three years ago) link
clemenza otm
betting line is rays -118 and dodgers -140, both of which i find kind of surprising
― mookieproof, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:42 (three years ago) link
Or, if you believe momentum to be a myth, probability would heavily favour the Rays. A .667 team should beat a .483 team about 63% of the time, all else being equal. The likelihood of the .483 teams winning four in a row would be--I think--.37 x .37 x .37 x .37, or about a 2% likelihood. (But I'm not sure. Does every game have to be treated independently, in which case it's the same 37% for tonight? I mean, the probability of flipping a head is always 50%, but if you step back, the probability of four in a row is about 6%.)
http://sabr.org/journal/article/probabilities-of-victory-in-head-to-head-team-matchups/
― clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:46 (three years ago) link
A .667 team should beat a .483 team about 63% of the time, all else being equal.
given the unbalanced schedule other things are not equal, but yeah
it's the same 37% (or whatever) for tonight, although the starting pitcher matchup will make predicting any one game by overall records essentially meaningless
both teams have scored 21 runs in the series
― mookieproof, Saturday, 17 October 2020 18:53 (three years ago) link
Even factoring in the cheating, I think the Astros are a much better team than their record would indicate.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 17 October 2020 19:11 (three years ago) link
Agree with that, and to take their record literally is, I think--putting the cheating aside--wrong. It reminds me of the ILB poll a few years ago that included the 2000 Yankees as one of the worst WS winners because they were 87-74 for the season. It was, within the context of the Yankee-revolving-door, the same basic team as the '98/99/01 teams; the core was there anyway, plus other overlap. This year's Astros team is more or less the same Astros team of the last few years--not as good, but realistically closer to the WS team than to a .480 team.
― clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:14 (three years ago) link
Cardinals 2006 team was probably one of their worst to make the playoffs yet won it all. Looking it up they were only 83-78 that year. Same deal though, as they were in the playoffs nearly every year those days.
― earlnash, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:38 (three years ago) link
Was going to mention them, too, but then I noticed they were even worse in 2007...but they do go along with the general point, though.
― clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 20:56 (three years ago) link
yeah -- they won 100+ games the last three years, and even with verlander out and cole gone they're still pretty decent
― mookieproof, Saturday, 17 October 2020 21:55 (three years ago) link
This year's Astros team is more or less the same Astros team of the last few years
I don't think the Astros are as bad as their record but losing Verlander and Cole is huge
― ✖, Saturday, 17 October 2020 22:43 (three years ago) link
stunned that treinen didn't give up a game-tying homer there
― mookieproof, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:04 (three years ago) link
losing Verlander and Cole is huge
I was just thinking of Cole (so more the regular-season 2020 team); you're right, they're without Verlander right now, and that is decidedly not as strong a team.
If you hate the Astros and you're bigger on karma than probability, I would think that losing tonight, after coming all the way back--as opposed to getting swept and shrugging "Not our year"--would be the best possible way to see them exit. (Unless you're a big Rays fan, where the sweep would have obviously been better.)
― clemenza, Saturday, 17 October 2020 23:24 (three years ago) link
What in the wide, wide world of sports is going on here?
― clemenza, Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:04 (three years ago) link
Game 7 bitch
― calstars, Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:08 (three years ago) link
https://i.imgur.com/1uGHkJo.jpg
― calstars, Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:11 (three years ago) link
ok, rays vs astros, who are we rooting for here?
guess i'm going rays, since they have no money, they do have arozarena, and also fuck the astros
― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:49 (three years ago) link
the amazing raaaaaaaaaaaandy
― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:52 (three years ago) link
7 HRs this postseason - that's your Mazda Rookie Record - driving matters
― president of my cat (Karl Malone), Sunday, 18 October 2020 00:53 (three years ago) link
I really hate the rays but the Astros pulling a 2004 red sox might be too jokerfied even for me
― ✖, Sunday, 18 October 2020 01:23 (three years ago) link
Why would anyone hate the Rays
― Van Horn Street, Sunday, 18 October 2020 01:46 (three years ago) link