Democratic (Party) Direction

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A vote for Aimless is the same as voting for Trump*.

*according to certain unnamed persons who converse with milo z.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:00 (three years ago) link

"is a vote for Trump"
About 850,000 results (0.67 seconds)

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:09 (three years ago) link

i voted for tom pagnozzi

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 04:31 (three years ago) link

If one hates Trump enough to not vote for him, voting for Biden is like not voting for Trump twice.

nickn, Thursday, 15 October 2020 05:02 (three years ago) link

she better not

Dianne Feinstein is raising money for a run in 2024, when she'll be 91 years old, and actual human beings have given her $40,000 in campaign contributions towards this goal. Political giving is the weirdest world I know pic.twitter.com/WKH3TJfh16

— Pinboard (@Pinboard) October 15, 2020

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Thursday, 15 October 2020 06:19 (three years ago) link

She's got a ways to go to beat Strom Thurmond's record

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Thursday, 15 October 2020 06:31 (three years ago) link

sure, but she really connects with young people in California

president of my cat (Karl Malone), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:07 (three years ago) link

absolute psychopaths


good Dollop ep on Dianne Feinstein

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Thursday, 15 October 2020 14:13 (three years ago) link

As I understand it, a famous name draws money and when you don't run that money gets used for other Dem candidates so it makes total sense for Feinstein to be fundraising under her name whether she's running or (hopefully) not

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 15 October 2020 15:30 (three years ago) link

Democrats' two likeliest paths forward, as I see it:

1. Win in November, decline to expand the court, enact a bunch of laws, lose the Senate in 2022, watch helplessly as the Supreme Court strikes down all their new laws in 2023.

2. Expand the court and save democracy.

— Mark Joseph Stern (@mjs_DC) October 15, 2020

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:06 (three years ago) link

otm

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:08 (three years ago) link

is the senate map particularly bad for Dems in 2022? or should we just assume the customary irritation for the party occupying the WH?

A-B-C. A-Always, B-Be, C-Chooglin (will), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:18 (three years ago) link

North Carolina has an open seat coming up in 2022, hopefully we can find a Dem to run who isn’t gunning to be the dixieland version of Anthony Weiner

Evans on Hammond (evol j), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:40 (three years ago) link

more like dick-see land am I right

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:46 (three years ago) link

xp Customary irritation plus slow recovery?

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Friday, 16 October 2020 01:50 (three years ago) link

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_Senate_elections#Potentially_competitive_races.

of the states voting in 2022, democrats hold these with < 55% of the vote (i.e. < 10ish% majority):

nevada
new hampshire
colorado
illinois

republicans hold these with <55% of the vote

alaska
florida
indiana
missouri
north carolina (burr retiring so no incumbent advantage)
pennsylvania (toomey retiring so no incumbent advantage)
wisconsin

and then whoever wins arizona (probably democrat) and georgia in january (probably republican)

so it's not as good a set of states as this year, but it's pretty good.

𝔠𝔞𝔢𝔨 (caek), Friday, 16 October 2020 05:08 (three years ago) link

two weeks pass...

my collection is complete pic.twitter.com/9qonvM2AEk

— beguiling bug (@runolgarun) October 31, 2020

edited for dog profanity (sic), Saturday, 31 October 2020 09:45 (three years ago) link

We should remind ourselves of a hugely important development: if the Dems win the WH and Senate, Dems control the census, thus redistricting. The implications are uh enormous.

Patriotic Goiter (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Saturday, 31 October 2020 11:26 (three years ago) link

also, this will not happen at all, but it might lead to a rare opportunity to try to reform/replace the entire system of state-driven, partisan-driven districting (whoever wins the election in a year that ends with a 0 gets to screw half the people in their state for the ensuing decade). just for the sake of a wildly hypothetical scenario, let's imagine the replacement for districting is some sort of computer-driven, non-partisan allocator.

first, obviously, reform will never happen while republicans are in power. they gerrymander the living fuck out of every state they can, and then brag about it as they toast and lick each other's open sores behind closed doors. they benefit from the current system, they will fight tooth-and-nail to keep it in place.

secondly, if we accept that democrats will have to work alone, most republicans and their supporters will assume the worst of their intentions (again, because they assume that democrats act as republicans do, which is not a bad assumption). the only way to get around that is to set the implementation date for reform in the future, at a date when neither party can be confident of being in or out of power. if they want to keep the districting on the 10s (2030, 2040, etc...) then then can set 2030 as the year it goes into effect - the mid-term of whoever is elected in 2028 (god help us all).

if there's a chance of this happening, it has to happen in the first years of 2020, during this biden term.

(and they won't, and we'll be talking about how fucked we are by gerrymandering again in 2029)

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:36 (three years ago) link

Great idea, Karl, but whatever system you put in place, it can be tossed out and replaced by whoever sits in power in a year ending in zero.

The Roberts court eviscerated the Voting Rights Act of 1965 a while back, and has deliberately avoided placing limits on gerrymandering when it had the chance to do so. The chance of any new federal law intervening in gerrymandering making it past this version of the court are nil.

the unappreciated charisma of cows (Aimless), Saturday, 31 October 2020 15:50 (three years ago) link

again, because they assume that democrats act as republicans do, which is not a bad assumption

Or just look at reality, where (some, not all) Virginia Democrats are backing off their support for redistricting reform now that they're in charge

https://wamu.org/story/20/10/09/democrats-virginia-reject-redistricting-reform/

The good news about this sad development is that it strengthens bipartisan support for ending gerrymandering when Republicans grasp it can and will be done to them, too.

Guayaquil (eephus!), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:00 (three years ago) link

xp i agree, it's bleak. :(

eephus, you're right that democrats do it too. which is another reason the chances of passing anything, anywhere, are so low: the people who could hypothetically change things are also the people who have managed to benefit from the current system, no matter how inequitable it is for everyone else.

but i think that, like many things with republicans and democrats, yes, "both sides do it", but one side (republicans) takes it to leeeeeeeeethal and absurd extremes, orders of magnitude worse than democrats, and then lies whenever confronted about it, rarely being pushed too hard on it. take the filibuster, for example. i listened to mcconnell go on at length (just before the vote on ACB) about the history of treachery in the senate, and how it was the democrats abuse of the filibuster in the bush era that led everything to the current moment. and how "he was there", so "he knows what happened".

so it is with gerrymandering, at least in my lifetime. both sides abuse it. but one abuses the holy living fuck out of it

just another 3-pinnochio post by (Karl Malone), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:37 (three years ago) link

Eephus

Or just look at reality, where (some, not all) Virginia Democrats are backing off their support for redistricting reform now that they're in charge

It's complicated. The VA dem position is not that there doesn't need to be reform. It's that THIS proposed reform is toothless and wrong-headed.

Not all reforms are created equal..

AnaĂŻs Ninja (Ye Mad Puffin), Saturday, 31 October 2020 16:52 (three years ago) link

I thought it might be a good idea to quarantine pessimism and concern for the future here rather than in the threads where people are celebrating -- I want them to enjoy the moment.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 02:53 (three years ago) link

There is only #onethread man alive

The Bosom Manor Michaelmas Special (silby), Sunday, 8 November 2020 02:54 (three years ago) link

That thread is also moving way too fast to actually talk about anything. I feel relieved but nothing close to euphoric today, because I see a GOP-controlled senate, a 6-3 supreme court that will probably remain a 6-2 court for a few years if Breyer dies, republicans having gained control of more state legislatures in a census/redistricting year, losses in the house, and a party that still seems to have no independent sense of purpose, all with an economy that will likely be bad for some time. I'm not sanguine about the next four years.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:03 (three years ago) link

Biden admin needs to go balls-to-the-wall repairing all the damage to the executive branch and its agencies and departments, and figure out everything good it can possibly do by executive order (knowing full well SCOTUS is waiting to stymie them). I give any kind of "bipartisan" legislation zero chance. Stimulus will be stalled and hurting state and local governments in blue states will not be bailed out. I think a disaster could be coming tbh.

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:06 (three years ago) link

See the politics thread from the other for my fantasia on this topic, it was heavy on city-states

The Bosom Manor Michaelmas Special (silby), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:08 (three years ago) link

that was pretty good silby!

sarahell, Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:16 (three years ago) link

McConnell is probably canny enough to not be as obviously obstructionist from Day 1 as he was from day 730. Not complete gridlock but only bad legislation gets through. They'll let Breyer be replaced - is 7-2 better than 6-3, really? But only with the most milquetoast moderate. Austerity reigns.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:20 (three years ago) link

Just enough rope that you can't give a blanket pardon to Biden for being powerless but not so much the midterms will be salvageable.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:21 (three years ago) link

McConnell will not let Breyer be replaced by Biden, you have to be kidding

Dan S, Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:26 (three years ago) link

Why not? He's not a difference maker, the public is going to notice a four-year vacancy.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:28 (three years ago) link

the AOC NYT interview from today is essential reading for anyone interested in the thread's stated topic

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:32 (three years ago) link

It's the same as what "sources close to" Cocaine Mitch have said about confirmations - nobody too liberal but we can work on it.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:33 (three years ago) link

Biden shouldn’t even send his nominees to the senate, advice and consent my ass

He will tho

The Bosom Manor Michaelmas Special (silby), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:33 (three years ago) link

AOC is paywalled

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:35 (three years ago) link

re: AOC interview, if Mitch was smart enough to call Biden's bluff on bipartisanship and pass just enough shitty legislation to look like something is getting done, you sow discord with the younger, more progressive part of the party. Want to get that $300bn for cops? Done. Want to get that $12bn to bail out NYC's mass transit? Sorry, man, no room in the budget.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:36 (three years ago) link

The right president might be able to beat up the Republicans a bit on intransigence, but I don't think Biden is in fighting shape to do it

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:36 (three years ago) link

For months, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has been a good soldier for the Democratic Party and Joseph R. Biden Jr as he sought to defeat President Trump.

But on Saturday, in a nearly hourlong interview shortly after President-elect Biden was declared the winner, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez made clear the divisions within the party that animated the primary still exist. And she dismissed recent criticisms from some Democratic House members who have blamed the party’s left for costing them important seats. Some of the members who lost, she said, had made themselves “sitting ducks.”

These are edited excerpts from the conversation.

We finally have a fuller understanding of the results. What’s your macro takeaway?

Well, I think the central one is that we aren’t in a free fall to hell anymore. But whether we’re going to pick ourselves up or not is the lingering question. We paused this precipitous descent. And the question is if and how we will build ourselves back up.

We know that race is a problem, and avoiding it is not going to solve any electoral issues. We have to actively disarm the potent influence of racism at the polls.

But we also learned that progressive policies do not hurt candidates. Every single candidate that co-sponsored Medicare for All in a swing district kept their seat. We also know that co-sponsoring the Green New Deal was not a sinker. Mike Levin was an original co-sponsor of the legislation, and he kept his seat.

To your first point, Democrats lost seats in an election where they were expected to gain them. Is that what you are ascribing to racism and white supremacy at the polls?

I think it’s going to be really important how the party deals with this internally, and whether the party is going to be honest about doing a real post-mortem and actually digging into why they lost. Because before we even had any data yet in a lot of these races, there was already finger-pointing that this was progressives’ fault and that this was the fault of the Movement for Black Lives.

I’ve already started looking into the actual functioning of these campaigns. And the thing is, I’ve been unseating Democrats for two years. I have been defeating D.C.C.C.-run campaigns for two years. That’s how I got to Congress. That’s how we elected Ayanna Pressley. That’s how Jamaal Bowman won. That’s how Cori Bush won. And so we know about extreme vulnerabilities in how Democrats run campaigns.

Some of this is criminal. It’s malpractice. Conor Lamb spent $2,000 on Facebook the week before the election. I don’t think anybody who is not on the internet in a real way in the year of our Lord 2020 and loses an election can blame anyone else when you’re not even really on the internet.

And I’ve looked through a lot of these campaigns that lost, and the fact of the matter is if you’re not spending $200,000 on Facebook with fund-raising, persuasion, volunteer recruitment, get-out-the-vote the week before the election, you are not firing on all cylinders. And not a single one of these campaigns were firing on all cylinders.

Well, Conor Lamb did win. So what are you saying: Investment in digital advertising and canvassing are a greater reason moderate Democrats lost than any progressive policy?

These folks are pointing toward Republican messaging that they feel killed them, right? But why were you so vulnerable to that attack?

If you’re not door-knocking, if you’re not on the internet, if your main points of reliance are TV and mail, then you’re not running a campaign on all cylinders. I just don’t see how anyone could be making ideological claims when they didn’t run a full-fledged campaign.

Our party isn’t even online, not in a real way that exhibits competence. And so, yeah, they were vulnerable to these messages, because they weren’t even on the mediums where these messages were most potent. Sure, you can point to the message, but they were also sitting ducks. They were sitting ducks.

There’s a reason Barack Obama built an entire national campaign apparatus outside of the Democratic National Committee. And there’s a reason that when he didn’t activate or continue that, we lost House majorities. Because the party — in and of itself — does not have the core competencies, and no amount of money is going to fix that.

If I lost my election, and I went out and I said: “This is moderates’ fault. This is because you didn’t let us have a floor vote on Medicare for all.” And they opened the hood on my campaign, and they found that I only spent $5,000 on TV ads the week before the election? They would laugh. And that’s what they look like right now trying to blame the Movement for Black Lives for their loss.

Is there anything from Tuesday that surprised you? Or made you rethink your previously held views?

The share of white support for Trump. I thought the polling was off, but just seeing it, there was that feeling of realizing what work we have to do.

We need to do a lot of anti-racist, deep canvassing in this country. Because if we keep losing white shares and just allowing Facebook to radicalize more and more elements of white voters and the white electorate, there’s no amount of people of color and young people that you can turn out to offset that.

But the problem is that right now, I think a lot of Dem strategy is to avoid actually working through this. Just trying to avoid poking the bear. That’s their argument with defunding police, right? To not agitate racial resentment. I don’t think that is sustainable.

There’s a lot of magical thinking in Washington, that this is just about special people that kind of come down from on high. Year after year, we decline the idea that they did work and ran sophisticated operations in favor of the idea that they are magical, special people. I need people to take these goggles off and realize how we can do things better.

If you are the D.C.C.C., and you’re hemorrhaging incumbent candidates to progressive insurgents, you would think that you may want to use some of those firms. But instead, we banned them. So the D.C.C.C. banned every single firm that is the best in the country at digital organizing.

The leadership and elements of the party — frankly, people in some of the most important decision-making positions in the party — are becoming so blinded to this anti-activist sentiment that they are blinding themselves to the very assets that they offer.

I’ve been begging the party to let me help them for two years. That’s also the damn thing of it. I’ve been trying to help. Before the election, I offered to help every single swing district Democrat with their operation. And every single one of them, but five, refused my help. And all five of the vulnerable or swing district people that I helped secured victory or are on a path to secure victory. And every single one that rejected my help is losing. And now they’re blaming us for their loss.

So I need my colleagues to understand that we are not the enemy. And that their base is not the enemy. That the Movement for Black Lives is not the enemy, that Medicare for all is not the enemy. This isn’t even just about winning an argument. It’s that if they keep going after the wrong thing, I mean, they’re just setting up their own obsolescence.

What is your expectation as to how open the Biden administration will be to the left? And what is the strategy in terms of moving it?

I don’t know how open they’ll be. And it’s not a personal thing. It’s just, the history of the party tends to be that we get really excited about the grass roots to get elected. And then those communities are promptly abandoned right after an election.

I think the transition period is going to indicate whether the administration is taking a more open and collaborative approach, or whether they’re taking a kind of icing-out approach. Because Obama’s transition set a trajectory for 2010 and some of our House losses. It was a lot of those transition decisions — and who was put in positions of leadership — that really informed, unsurprisingly, the strategy of governance.

What if the administration is hostile? If they take the John Kasich view of who Joe Biden should be? What do you do?

Well, I’d be bummed, because we’re going to lose. And that’s just what it is. These transition appointments, they send a signal. They tell a story of who the administration credits with this victory. And so it’s going be really hard after immigrant youth activists helped potentially deliver Arizona and Nevada. It’s going to be really hard after Detroit and Rashida Tlaib ran up the numbers in her district.

It’s really hard for us to turn out nonvoters when they feel like nothing changes for them. When they feel like people don’t see them, or even acknowledge their turnout.

If the party believes after 94 percent of Detroit went to Biden, after Black organizers just doubled and tripled turnout down in Georgia, after so many people organized Philadelphia, the signal from the Democratic Party is the John Kasichs won us this election? I mean, I can’t even describe how dangerous that is.

You are diagnosing national trends. You’re maybe the most famous voice on the left currently. What can we expect from you in the next four years?

I don’t know. I think I’ll have probably more answers as we get through transition, and to the next term. How the party responds will very much inform my approach and what I think is going to be necessary.

The last two years have been pretty hostile. Externally, we’ve been winning. Externally, there’s been a ton of support, but internally, it’s been extremely hostile to anything that even smells progressive.

Is the party ready to, like, sit down and work together and figure out how we’re going to use the assets from everyone at the party? Or are they going to just kind of double down on this smothering approach? And that’s going to inform what I do.

Is there a universe in which they’re hostile enough that we’re talking about a Senate run in a couple years?

I genuinely don’t know. I don’t even know if I want to be in politics. You know, for real, in the first six months of my term, I didn’t even know if I was going to run for re-election this year.

Really? Why?

It’s the incoming. It’s the stress. It’s the violence. It’s the lack of support from your own party. It’s your own party thinking you’re the enemy. When your own colleagues talk anonymously in the press and then turn around and say you’re bad because you actually append your name to your opinion.

I chose to run for re-election because I felt like I had to prove that this is real. That this movement was real. That I wasn’t a fluke. That people really want guaranteed health care and that people really want the Democratic Party to fight for them.

But I’m serious when I tell people the odds of me running for higher office and the odds of me just going off trying to start a homestead somewhere — they’re probably the same.

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:37 (three years ago) link

Why not? He's not a difference maker, the public is going to notice a four-year vacancy.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, November 7, 2020 10:28 PM (eight minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

Breyer's not going to die January 30, 2021. He'll die in 2023 or 24 and you'll get the same bullshit all over again

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:38 (three years ago) link

Presumably he'd retire rather than die in office. Either doing it outright and making Mitch stall for 2-4 years (or Mitch's replacement when the gangrene takes him) or negotiating beforehand. The last two mattered for balance of power, but Breyer is a bonus at most.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:41 (three years ago) link

thx Simon, that's a great interview, I want to hear her go into this stuff in even more depth

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 03:43 (three years ago) link

yeah I hope she talks a lot more openly like this during the brief post-election window where you can get into this shit in public and not get screamed at by libs

it bangs for thee (Simon H.), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:10 (three years ago) link

She's getting screamed at anyway, that window doesn't exist. You just have to not care.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:12 (three years ago) link

I also get the impression that the Democrats' brand is just really bad in a lot of the states where biden won but they lost senate races -- that's why you'd see 50k or 100k vote differences -- people purely voting against Trump but not for a Democrat

longtime caller, first time listener (man alive), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:29 (three years ago) link

McConnell will not let Breyer be replaced by Biden, you have to be kidding

― Dan S, Saturday, November 7, 2020 7:26 PM (one hour ago) bookmarkflaglink

Why not? He's not a difference maker, the public is going to notice a four-year vacancy.

― Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Saturday, November 7, 2020

McConnell is not going to allow any supreme court replacement under the Biden administration

Dan S, Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:33 (three years ago) link

Why not, though? You're assuming that McConnell was obstructionist just out of love for it - it was a political weapon used for an important cause, they now have the Supreme Court for at least a generation. Why risk blowback for a 7-2 advantage over 6-3?

McConnell was open to deals with Obama on shit like entitlement reform but the House was too extreme for it.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:40 (three years ago) link

Lol just remembered John Boehner.

The Bosom Manor Michaelmas Special (silby), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:41 (three years ago) link

And he'll be under pressure from Murkoswki and Toomey to give them "bipartisan" shots to look good before 2022.

Donald Trump Also Sucks, Of Course (milo z), Sunday, 8 November 2020 04:43 (three years ago) link


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