US Politics, May 2020 — I will never lie to you. You have my word on that.

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but i don't trust the reports that it "definitely wasn't" one of the strains of bat coronaviruses they were studying there. like, who knows? very little is known about this virus.

treeship., Tuesday, 5 May 2020 13:40 (three years ago) link

it's the cubic model, jake

The White House is relying on a "cubic model" that predicts deaths will magically go to zero in two weeks.

It was created by a Trump econ advisor who also co-authored "Dow 36,000," which published just before the dot-com crash https://t.co/bArQ2z1Nj8 pic.twitter.com/343AHH76E8

— Eric Umansky (@ericuman) May 5, 2020

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 May 2020 16:25 (three years ago) link

...Here I can’t help but note a basic point. Hassett is not a health care economist, let alone someone at the crossroads of behavioral economics and epidemiologists. Indeed, his record as an economist is rather notorious.

Perhaps Hassett’s biggest claim to fame is coauthoring a 1999 book entitled Dow 36,000: Dow 36,000: The New Strategy for Profiting From the Coming Rise in the Stock Market. The book argued that traditional metrics for evaluating stock prices were outdated and that the stock market was dramatically undervalued. The Dow, then a bit over 10,000, would rise to 36,000 over the next three to four years. These are the kinds of predictions one often hears at the top of a bull market. And indeed the market hit its peak within months of the book’s publication and continued to fall for almost the next four years. Needless to say, that was two and a half market collapses ago. 21 years later the Dow stands at 23,749, though it did approach 30,000 before the COVID19 collapse.

...Anyone can make a dumb prediction. Few have made ones of a more high-profile and quickly discredited nature. And for Hassett it’s rather par for the course. His is a DC GOP think tank (sinecured) economist who has generally paid no professional or reputational price for being wrong about virtually everything for decades. The decision to put such a person in charge of creating a predictive epidemiological model in the midst of a national crisis based on no professional or academic expertise whatsoever defies all logic. But then, who are we kidding? The President put his son-in-law, who’s only professional accomplishment was nearly bankrupting his real estate family after he took the reins after his father went to prison, in charge of epidemic crisis response.

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/covid-36000

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 16:41 (three years ago) link

hassett and his co-author did a reading for dow 36,000 at the bookstore i worked at in '99 -- it was laughable even before the crash

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 May 2020 16:58 (three years ago) link

i don't even care about the dumb DOW prediction so much as...why is that guy in a leadership position on coronavirus??

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 17:01 (three years ago) link

why is a reality show host the president of the united states? Wheeeeeeeeee

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 17:05 (three years ago) link

Forget it Karl, it's Donnietown

justice 4 CCR (Sparkle Motion), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 17:06 (three years ago) link

President Donald Trump exploded at the Lincoln Project via Twitter early Tuesday morning after the anti-Trump conservative political action committee put out an ad that criticized his response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

“A group of [Republican In Name Only] Republicans who failed badly 12 years ago, then again 8 years ago, and then got BADLY beaten by me, a political first timer, 4 years ago, have copied (no imagination) the concept of an ad from Ronald Reagan, ‘Morning in America,’ doing everything possible to get even for all of their many failures,” Trump tweeted at nearly 1 AM ET.

He described the group as a “disgrace to Honest Abe” and called out each of its members by name.

“They’re all LOSERS, but Abe Lincoln, Republican, is all smiles!” he tweeted.

One of those members includes George Conway, the husband of White House adviser Kellyanne Conway, whom Trump suggested was somehow responsible for her spouse’s actions.

“I don’t know what Kellyanne did to her deranged loser of a husband, Moonface, but it must have been really bad,” Trump wrote.

check out that last line. wow, fuck you, yet again

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 17:50 (three years ago) link

how could someone work for a man who trashes their spouse? if my boss called any of my loved ones "moonface" i would quit immediately.

treeship., Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:04 (three years ago) link

I wouldn't quit. My boss would be fired for saying it.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:11 (three years ago) link

It's a game Kellyanne and her husband play. As long as they keep cashing checks from somewhere, they are happy to amplify the WWE style "feud" they've got going. It's all bullshit.

soaring skrrrtpeggios (jon /via/ chi 2.0), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:12 (three years ago) link

Still waiting for some quality Ides of March action from folks in this administration.

Unparalleled Elegance (Old Lunch), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:14 (three years ago) link

Trump Administration Signals It Will Wind Down Virus Task Force

The White House is telling staff that it plans to wind down the coronavirus task force even as the crisis rages on. It’s not clear if it will be replaced.

mission accomplished

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:18 (three years ago) link

there was a kellyanne conway tidbit in that recent new yorker article on Greenwich, CT (which is quite good imo - it serves as a kind of lite overview of grand shifts in republicanism and conservatism over the last 50 years) that i hadn't heard before:


When Trump took an early lead in 2015, most of the political and financial world ignored him. Jeffrey Sonnenfeld, a professor at the Yale School of Management, attended a salon that summer at the Connecticut home of Larry Kudlow, the business commentator who now leads Trump’s National Economic Council. “It was a lot of very deep-pocketed Republicans from Greenwich and New York,” Sonnenfeld told me. “Not one person had a pleasant thing to say about Trump.” Sonnenfeld urged them to take Trump’s chances seriously, but a fellow-guest, who worked for a super pac supporting Ted Cruz in the primaries, disagreed. “She said, ‘I’m a lifelong expert on the psychographics of women’s voter behavior, and I can tell you that Donald Trump will never get two per cent of Republican women voters,’ ” Sonnenfeld told me. “She got wild applause. That was Kellyanne Conway.” (Conway, now a senior adviser to Trump, called this a “specious, self-serving claim,” adding, “I don’t know ‘Professor’ So-and-So.”)

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:19 (three years ago) link

Trump has threatened to primary the virus

genital giant (Neanderthal), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:21 (three years ago) link

that article is also a good reminder (to me at least) of the futility of thinking of "shame" as something that could possibly hold republicans back or make them pause. it is truly irrelevant to them. i like the description of the rich Greenwich republicans pride in building tall walls around their homes that runs through these paragraphs:

n the early years of this century, the economic divisions that would come to define America in the age of Trump became evident on the lush back roads of Greenwich, in a sign so subtle that it was easy to miss. Many of the new estates going up were no longer surrounded by the simple stone walls, stacked to the height of a farmer’s hip, that crossed the New England landscape. Instead, the builders introduced a more imposing barrier: tall, stately walls of chiselled stone, mortared in place.

The fashion for higher walls had little to do with safety; Greenwich has one of the lowest crime rates in America. To Frank Farricker, who served on the town’s planning-and-zoning commission, they symbolized power and seclusion. “Instead of building two or three feet high, people got into six-footers—the ‘Fuck you’ walls,” he said. When nearby municipalities noticed the trend, they treated it like an invasive species; they rewrote zoning rules to prevent the spread of what stonemasons took to calling “Greenwich walls.”

The walls were products of one of the most extraordinary accumulations of wealth in American history. In much of the country, the corporate convulsions of the seventies had entailed layoffs, offshoring, and declining union power, but on Wall Street they inspired a surge of creativity. Since the seventeen-hundreds, Wall Street had focussed mostly on funnelling American savings into new businesses and mortgages. But, in the last two decades of the twentieth century, financiers and economists opened vast new realms of speculation and financial engineering—aggressive methods to bet on securities, merge businesses, and cut expenses using bankruptcy laws. U.S. stock markets grew twelvefold, and most of the gains accrued to the wealthiest Americans. By 2017, Wall Streeters were taking home twenty-three per cent of the country’s corporate profits—and home, for many of them, was Connecticut.

The Internet allowed financiers to work from anywhere, so some escaped New York’s higher taxes by relocating their offices closer to where they lived. Newspapers took to calling Greenwich the “Hedge Fund Capital of the World.” The dealmakers earned vastly more than the industrial executives they had replaced. In 2004, Institutional Investor reported that the top twenty-five hedge-fund managers earned an average of two hundred and seven million dollars a year.

Nine of those top managers lived or worked in Greenwich, led by Edward Lampert, who in 2004 earned an estimated $1.02 billion after orchestrating the merger of Kmart and Sears. Lampert was not one to dress like a gardener; just offshore, he docked his yacht, a two-hundred-and-eighty-eight-foot vessel that he had named Fountainhead, for Ayn Rand’s individualist fable. (Trump has said that he identifies with the book’s hero, Howard Roark, a designer of skyscrapers who declares, “I do not recognize anyone’s right to one minute of my life. . . . No matter who makes the claim, how large their number, or how great their need.”) So much individual wealth accumulated in southern Connecticut that tax officials took to monitoring the quarterly payments of a half-dozen of the richest taxpayers, because their personal earnings would affect how much the entire state was able to spend on public services.

Around town, Morgan Stanley executives no longer competed to wear the cheapest wristwatch. (The current chairman and C.E.O., James Gorman, is celebrated on watch-enthusiast blogs for a rare Rolex that can sell for seventeen thousand dollars.) Jack Welch, who succeeded Reginald Jones at G.E., retired in 2001 with a record severance package of more than four hundred million dollars. One of Jones’s friends, the investor Vincent Mai, was dismayed that many business leaders put short-term interests ahead of long-term vision. “The culture changed into grabbing as much as you can, as quickly as you can,” Mai, the founder and chairman of the Cranemere Group, told me. “Restraint just seems to have gone out the window.”

The money physically redrew Greenwich, as financiers built estates on a scale once favored by Gilded Age railroad barons. The hedge-fund manager Steven A. Cohen paid $14.8 million in cash for a house, then added an ice rink, an indoor basketball court, putting greens, a fairway, and a massage room, ultimately swelling the building to thirty-six thousand square feet—larger than the Taj Mahal. In a final flourish, Cohen obtained special permission to surround his estate with a wall that exceeded the town’s limits on height. It was nine feet tall.

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:24 (three years ago) link

also a good reminder (to probably only me, again) that these are the actual power brokers in our society. almost all national politicians belong to that class. they either emerge from that class, aspire to it, or frequently bend to the will of it. i do think that the servitude is less extreme and total on the left, in general. it's hard to think of any national politician on the right that is anything but a craven fucker from hell on a mission to pass down wealth to their shitty families and friends. but there are plenty o democrats in Greenwich, too

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:30 (three years ago) link

i think it's weird that politicians from the middle of the country do the bidding of the east coast elite

treeship., Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:31 (three years ago) link

that's only because you listen to what they say. what they do is the truth.

A is for (Aimless), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:33 (three years ago) link

“You are like a tumor in my brain which is getting larger and larger each day.”
"The brain is the true erogenous zone."
This 1991 erotic thriller by @sallyquinndc based its hunk hero on a young Anthony Fauci.
Warning... this post is totally NSFWFH: https://t.co/E1A4cTho6k

— Carlos Lozada (@CarlosLozadaWP) May 5, 2020

mookieproof, Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:42 (three years ago) link

god, back in the day i would have looked for an old photo of fauci and then photoshopped in some glistening abs

these days, i'm just tired

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 18:47 (three years ago) link

President Trump told me and @ebonybowden that 'DC will never be a state' because Republicans aren't 'stupid'

'You mean District of Columbia, a state? Why? So we can have two more Democratic — Democrat senators and five more congressmen? No thank you'https://t.co/N3u1P34yGe

— Steven Nelson (@stevennelson10) May 5, 2020

but also fuck you (unperson), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 20:11 (three years ago) link

saying the quiet part loud: a life

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 20:12 (three years ago) link

and look -- he's learned to say "Democrat" instead of "Democratic" like a good Republican.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 5 May 2020 20:20 (three years ago) link

big news guys

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/05/president-unraveling/611146/

j., Wednesday, 6 May 2020 01:30 (three years ago) link

after three and a half years, peter wehner has seen enough

mookieproof, Wednesday, 6 May 2020 01:32 (three years ago) link

eventually you just gotta call it

j., Wednesday, 6 May 2020 01:32 (three years ago) link

isolated
constipated
defenestrated
soon to be ass-

genital giant (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 01:46 (three years ago) link

Clinton/Obama/Reid nominated slowly and let the GOP stall and block dozens of nominees. Trump/McConnell are not only filling every seat, they are double-dipping by getting Republican judges to take senior status and then replacing them. https://t.co/ymYK8dB8ux

— Sigh Hersh, Hostile Witness (@Ugarles) May 5, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 11:39 (three years ago) link

a pity an Obama-appointed judge accepted the complaint!

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 11:58 (three years ago) link

Ohio has set up a website for companies to report people who refuse to work during the pandemic, so that they don’t keep getting unemployment benefits. https://t.co/VLCgQB205U

— Chris Opfer (@ChrisOpfer) May 5, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 12:08 (three years ago) link

ohio.snitch

genital giant (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 12:12 (three years ago) link

it's cool how the pandemic has made it clear that american capitalism is essentially a version of communist totalitarianism where the bosses are the heroic figures

dip to dup (rob), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 12:32 (three years ago) link

Bosses are the vanguard of the proletariat tbh

inveterate practitioner of antisocial distancing (Hunt3r), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 13:51 (three years ago) link

We need a revolutionary government with show trials. https://t.co/nejsxtozJ1

— Doug Henwood (@DougHenwood) May 6, 2020

brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 17:42 (three years ago) link

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KzRhcjOG1es

dip to dup (rob), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 19:02 (three years ago) link

well done

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 19:32 (three years ago) link

so i guess he decided on the No Masks at the Mask Plant strategy. or they all decided

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 19:36 (three years ago) link

such leadership skills, leading by example

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 19:37 (three years ago) link

why worry about infection at the mask factory? I mean what's the worst that could happen

dip to dup (rob), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 20:15 (three years ago) link

let's go cubes

So @jimtankersley talked to Kevin Hassett about the whole "cubic model" mess, and long story short, I'm pretty sure Hassett owes @NateSilver538 $538.https://t.co/wRDLk6KgyG https://t.co/cP6zsdVEuU pic.twitter.com/43ml5VHBjw

— Ben Casselman (@bencasselman) May 6, 2020

mookieproof, Wednesday, 6 May 2020 21:00 (three years ago) link

maybe somebody on the staff's read Thomas Bernhard.

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 21:00 (three years ago) link

i don't know why i am continually astonished at the depths of incompetence in this administration. using the cubic trendline to "smooth out the volatility"??? jeeeeeezus

let me be your friend on the other end! (Karl Malone), Wednesday, 6 May 2020 21:08 (three years ago) link

Kushner's most recent screwups highlighted in Washington Post and NY Times thanks to a whistleblower volunteer:


The coronavirus response being spearheaded by President Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, has relied in part on volunteers from consulting and private equity firms with little expertise in the tasks they were assigned, exacerbating chronic problems in obtaining supplies for hospitals and other needs, according to numerous government officials and a volunteer involved in the effort....The document alleges that the team responsible for PPE had little success in helping the government secure such equipment, in part because none of the team members had significant experience in health care, procurement or supply-chain operations. In addition, none of the volunteers had relationships with manufacturers or a clear understanding of customs requirements or Food and Drug Administration rules, according to the complaint and two senior administration officials...Supply-chain volunteers were instructed to fast-track protective equipment leads from “VIPs,” including conservative journalists friendly to the White House,

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/kushner-coronavirus-effort-said-to-be-hampered-by-inexperienced-volunteers/2020/05/05/6166ef0c-8e1c-11ea-9e23-6914ee410a5f_story.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/05/us/jared-kushner-fema-coronavirus.html

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 May 2020 01:06 (three years ago) link

Instead of having actual government employees do the work, Kushner had his financial scene buddies use their own private emails and such while working out of a FEMA office

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 May 2020 01:08 (three years ago) link

From the NY Times article on Kushner's volunteers task force:

Trump allies also pressed FEMA officials directly: A Pennsylvania dentist, once featured at a Trump rally, dropped the president’s name as he pushed the agency to procure test kits from his associates.

Few of the leads, V.I.P. or otherwise, panned out, according to a whistle-blower memo written by one volunteer and sent to the House Oversight Committee. While Vice President Mike Pence dropped by the volunteers’ windowless command center in Washington to cheer them on, they were confused and overwhelmed by their task, the whistle-blower said in interviews.

“The nature and scale of the response seemed grossly inadequate,” said the volunteer, who spoke only on the condition of anonymity and, like the others, signed a nondisclosure agreement. “It was bureaucratic cycles of chaos.”

curmudgeon, Thursday, 7 May 2020 01:11 (three years ago) link

I'm starting to hate Kushner as much as his father-in-law.

never have i been a blue calm sea (collardio gelatinous), Thursday, 7 May 2020 02:01 (three years ago) link

Once Trump is out of office, the Congress is going to have to actually do some work and change the rules on some of this sh!t. Non-elected family members of a President should not be able to waltz in and take over any of the crap the Chump has had the Kush doing.

It is not surprising though, these people don't believe in government unless it something they can bilk for cash. In reality, the drown the government in the bathtub types, really Trump is their ultimate President.

earlnash, Thursday, 7 May 2020 02:09 (three years ago) link

abolish the Presidency
abolish the Senate
abolish Republicans
abolish politicians who have served for more than 10 years
abolish millionaires from holding office
abolish billionaires
allow drive-through voting

genital giant (Neanderthal), Thursday, 7 May 2020 02:24 (three years ago) link


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