But, don't they want to stick it to The Man?
― A is for (Aimless), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:13 (four years ago) link
what would that % be if everyone eligible voted?
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:14 (four years ago) link
18 - 34 demographic is ~21% of population (US Census, 2010), so best guess for 18 - 29 is ca. 16%. If 13% of the overall election turnout of a is under 29, I’ll be a monkey’s uncle because it means young people are turning out in droves.
― rb (soda), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:24 (four years ago) link
yeah thats my point - though this is a dem primary not the general so there should be a bit of a skew younger than the general population
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:26 (four years ago) link
iirc exit polls generally trend older?
― ℺ ☽ ⋠ ⏎ (✖), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:28 (four years ago) link
well maybe that number ain't as bad as I thought but still, I think a lot about that article that argues that Bernie will need to up youth turnout by 30% to beat Trump in the general, and if they don't turn out on Super Tuesday...
― frogbs, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:30 (four years ago) link
Also young people vote later (or vote before Election Day).
― Greta Van Show Feets BB (milo z), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:31 (four years ago) link
youth turnout delivering a presidential victory has never happened and it will never happen
― Οὖτις, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:31 (four years ago) link
Your fault for paying attention to anything sanpaku posts.
― Greta Van Show Feets BB (milo z), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:32 (four years ago) link
? I generally disregard sanpaku posts tbh
― Οὖτις, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:33 (four years ago) link
oh yeah i'm not worried at all about info from exit polls
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:35 (four years ago) link
That was an x-post to the 'youth turnout has to rise 30%' thing
― Greta Van Show Feets BB (milo z), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:36 (four years ago) link
i have never even seen an exit pollster let alone be polled myself
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:37 (four years ago) link
Minority turnout matters way more than youth and Latinx voters will outnumber black voters in 2020 IIRC - which if you want some upside is that we're down to the two contenders who actually have some appeal to POC.
― Greta Van Show Feets BB (milo z), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:38 (four years ago) link
pic.twitter.com/9lafy0lunf— tarriet hubgirl (@scatacomb) March 3, 2020
― xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:39 (four years ago) link
The inability of Sanders to move minority voting beyond a few points at most worries me a great deal. Most students at my university who identify as liberal t18-30 are Sanders fans and have said so, but I wonder if the aggregate around the country is enough. It infuriates me because the non-Sanders people I know looooove to make fun of how shallow his support is.
― TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:44 (four years ago) link
A few points matters - the drop in support in 2016 vs 2012 was like 7% for black voters and less than that for Latinx voters.
― Greta Van Show Feets BB (milo z), Tuesday, 3 March 2020 23:49 (four years ago) link
FWIW, 50% of the Latinx vote in Nevada went to Sanders. Only one data point, but tomorrow we'll know if there's a trend.
Hey have you heard about the Nevada Caucus results? Big landslide victory for sanders buoyed by... 50% of the Latinx vote. pic.twitter.com/HJZ7QWgnNu— James 💐 (@plesiosocialism) February 27, 2020
― Elvis Telecom, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 01:58 (four years ago) link
Also FWIW, for the past six weeks we've been canvassing/phoning folks here in the forgotten parts of the San Gabriel & Pomona Valleys here in LA (Monrovia, Duarte, El Monte, Pomona, etc.) - large mix of middle/working-class Asians and Latinx and everyone we talked to was a Sanders supporter. Quite a few times we were told that we were the only campaign that had reached out to them.
― Elvis Telecom, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 02:10 (four years ago) link
bernie_sanders
― ciderpress, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 03:23 (four years ago) link
warren supporters locking their accounts like they saw a black guy across the street— i did it all for tanuki (@Lowenaffchen) March 4, 2020
― xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 05:58 (four years ago) link
nb: no POC support Warren**
**as imagined by xyzzzz__
― A is for (Aimless), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 06:02 (four years ago) link
bummed
― flopson, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 06:12 (four years ago) link
Just posting funnies!
There are lots of reasons why Sanders is behind now but, "people were too mean to a subset of college-educated progressives, the protagonists of the Democratic primary, on this website" isn't one of them and the narcissism of this entire genre of commentary remains stunning.— Osita Nwanevu (@OsitaNwanevu) March 4, 2020
xp
― xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 06:13 (four years ago) link
Latino voters under 30 years old in California via @CNN:Sanders 84% (!!)Warren 6%Biden 5%Everyone else 4%— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) March 4, 2020
― Elvis Telecom, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 10:29 (four years ago) link
Despite being frail and confused he won the trust of an oligarchic party nomenklatura in a decaying superpower by promising no structural reforms, no curbs on special interests or changes to an interventionist, hegemonic and overextended foreign policy. pic.twitter.com/qtqGbDZbym— Ben Judah (@b_judah) March 4, 2020
― xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:11 (four years ago) link
NPR brought on actual spy Alan Gross, who was busted in a covert US intelligence mission to subvert Cuba, to smear Sanders as a Castro dupe. NPR described Gross as a “humanitarian aide worker”—his cover.The oligarchy’s knives are out, they’re just getting started— Mark Ames (@MarkAmesExiled) March 4, 2020
― brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:16 (four years ago) link
cool links here:
http://berniesanders.com/callhttp://berniesanders.com/text
― BIG HOOS aka the steendriver, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:41 (four years ago) link
@Lowenaffchenwarren supporters locking their accounts like they saw a black guy across the street
half the Warren supporters I know are POC but anyway, now it's Bernie or despair
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:45 (four years ago) link
on the plus side: if Warren's Bloomberg stomping really did have an effect, it's proof that debates matter, and Bernie will have a chance to demolish Biden if he's willing to finally get mean. no more old nice guy shit.
― bold caucasian eroticism (Simon H.), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:46 (four years ago) link
no more old nice guy shit.
lmao
― Οὖτις, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:47 (four years ago) link
because truly what alienates non-Sanders voters is that he's "too nice"
― Οὖτις, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:48 (four years ago) link
lemme know if you want pics of the inspiring exterior of Bernie's Oakland HQ -- it's right across the street from an office I'm working out of a few times a week atm
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:48 (four years ago) link
(it used to be a pretty decent pizza by the slice place that closed a year or so ago, that before I think was a Burger King)
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:49 (four years ago) link
maybe not non-Sanders ppl, but this is a criticism I regularly hear from fans! he didn't say a single negative word about Warren for instance, even when she was ripping him him regularly.
― bold caucasian eroticism (Simon H.), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:51 (four years ago) link
*him up
I actually admired him more for that tbh
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:51 (four years ago) link
I don't think keeping clear of Warren hurt him (and her attacking him didn't help her at all), but he can't be anywhere near as hands-off with Joe.
― bold caucasian eroticism (Simon H.), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:53 (four years ago) link
considering what Joe does with his hands, no doubt!
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:55 (four years ago) link
he's nicer than Shakey
― brooklyn suicide cult (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:57 (four years ago) link
because truly what alienates non-Sanders voters is that he's "too nice"maybe not non-Sanders ppl, but this is a criticism I regularly hear from fans! he didn't say a single negative word about Warren for instance, even when she was ripping him him regularly.What is this line of logic? Sanders is a cranky cantankerous old coot - nobody BUT his supporters thinks he’s “nice.” But he gets away with it, cus shouty-crabapple is his brand.Nobody thinks Warren is nice either, but she’s regularly called to task for it b/c woman.
― rb (soda), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 16:59 (four years ago) link
His style of delivery might be abrasive but he's run an exceptionally positive campaign in terms of not going directly after his opponents. (Other than Bloomberg, but fuck him.)
― bold caucasian eroticism (Simon H.), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:02 (four years ago) link
Yeah, fair.
― rb (soda), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:02 (four years ago) link
Isn't it because he keeps calling Biden my friend Joe and didn't really say anything about Warren?
― anvil, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:02 (four years ago) link
hasnt that i know of called anyone
sorry, everyone
a "cunt mel" yet
― BSC Joan Baez (darraghmac), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:04 (four years ago) link
melt, obv
― BSC Joan Baez (darraghmac), Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:05 (four years ago) link
it may already be in the works but it would be good if bernie takes his massive mailing list and does analysis on why young people who are/are not interested in politics/a candidate fail to vote when it comes time.
― Yerac, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:06 (four years ago) link
xp - is Fred your sock?
― sarahell, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:08 (four years ago) link
Bernie might not have been going after anyone, but people he has hired has, and there's an entire mediasphere swirling around him that has been ripping everyone but him to shreds. He hasn't had to. So I doubt anyone outside the bubble thinks his campaign has just been too darn positive.
― Frederik B, Wednesday, 4 March 2020 17:10 (four years ago) link
He is mine