taylor swift iridescent smoke bombs thread 2019 - lover

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Yes, but each of those cases is different. Maná are legends, and they can do that in Southern California but not nationwide. Slayer are on their we-really-mean-it-this-time final tour, and they too are from California. Here in NY they did one night at Madison Square Garden and there were a lot of people there but I don't believe it was a sellout. Ariana Grande is legitimately huge, but for how much longer? Do you see her having a decades-long Mariah Carey-style career? I don't know if pop music still works that way anymore.

In major markets (New York, LA, Chicago), it's possible for some artists to sell out arenas. But that doesn't mean it's scalable across the country anymore. I would argue tiat in at least 40 out of 50 states, you're gambling on a half or 3/4 house.

shared unit of analysis (unperson), Monday, 18 November 2019 00:36 (four years ago) link

Guess I'll have to take your word for it; sounds like everything's an exception to the rule.

As for Ariana -- I totally think she could have a career rivaling Mariah's (which has had its ups & downs, btw). But even if she retired tomorrow, surely there will be new Ariana Grandes* and Billie Eilishes filling arenas each decade, no?

(*in terms of popularity, not necessarily greatness!)

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Monday, 18 November 2019 01:53 (four years ago) link

Btw -- I hope Ariana does not retire tmrrw, b/c I have a ticket to her 12/22 show at the Forum (the final show of the tour, and the 2nd show I'm seeing on the tour). I'll let you know afterward how I rate her prospects for continued success in the 2020s!

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Monday, 18 November 2019 01:57 (four years ago) link

billie eilish's career has already peaked i can feel it

💠 (crüt), Monday, 18 November 2019 01:57 (four years ago) link

But even if she retired tomorrow, surely there will be new Ariana Grandes* and Billie Eilishes filling arenas each decade, no?

I don't know. I feel like the trend line points downward, and I've read quotes from industry folks in Billboard and other places talking about this for several years now. I don't know how long it'll take, but arena concerts are probably gonna go the way of shopping malls eventually - music just isn't gonna be experienced in that kind of massive group context in the future. It has a lot to do with an overall atomization and breakdown of what once was (or at least seemed like) a monoculture. I mean, there was a time when Big Pop Hits were inescapable, but I've never heard an Ariana Grande song. All music is much more opt-in now than it was 20 or even 10 years ago, and every artist is a cult artist now - some cults are just bigger than others, but nobody appeals to everybody the way pop megastars used to.

shared unit of analysis (unperson), Monday, 18 November 2019 02:01 (four years ago) link

You sound like Dick Cheney, who had to be explained who Madonna was in the 1980s (lol).

crüt -- I read that in the Beck "Loser" voice

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Monday, 18 November 2019 02:10 (four years ago) link

Idk, I doubt that my Mom could have named a Madonna song in the 80s. If anything, I've heard the argument made that you now hear pop hits where you used to hear Muzak, which sounds OTM to me.

No language just sound (Sund4r), Monday, 18 November 2019 03:04 (four years ago) link

i thought more acts were playing arena shows than ever before. there was a whole thread where we talked about weird bands playing big venues.

Ghost played arenas. the place in Portland has people named Lauren Daigle, Dermot Kennedy and Brantley Gilbert coming through.

alpine static, Monday, 18 November 2019 07:53 (four years ago) link

I read around the time of the Swift concert I saw a couple months ago here in Paris that she was playing with the idea of touring smaller venues this time, like arenas or even theaters, rather than stadiums. Instead, she's playing European festivals this coming summer.

The main arena here has a bunch of French bands playing it, but as far as North American acts I see the Jonas Brothers, Lana Del Rey, Kiss and Slipknot. There's also Elton John, Nick Cave, Harry Styles, and Mika.

L'assie (Euler), Monday, 18 November 2019 08:55 (four years ago) link

wow music is terrible

💠 (crüt), Monday, 18 November 2019 12:48 (four years ago) link

lol, there it is

imago, Monday, 18 November 2019 12:48 (four years ago) link

there was a whole thread where we talked about weird bands playing big venues.

I just checked who is playing the local arena and wow, Half Moon Run, a band from whom I have heard one song but about whom I keep hearing from people who are 15-20 years than myself, are playing there in January. I had no idea they were arena sized.

No language just sound (Sund4r), Monday, 18 November 2019 14:48 (four years ago) link

I could be wrong, but I don't think I am.

First, the basics: according to MBW’s number-crunching of Pollstar’s data from last year, the Top 100 global tours in H1 2018 turned over $2.81bn in gross sales.

In H1 2019, however, this half-year worldwide figure for the Top 100 tours stood at $2.06bn – falling by 26.8%, or $752m, year-on-year.

In other words, global live music industry ticket sales, on average, generated over $100m less per month in the first half of 2019 than they did in the equivalent period of 2018.

...

There was one obvious culprit for this perilous drop in revenues: the total volume of global ticket sales took a hammering in H1 2019.

Pollstar’s data from last year, analyzed by MBW, shows that 31.29m tickets were sold for the world’s Top 100 highest-grossing tours in H1 2018.

However, in the equivalent six months from this year, that half-year ticket sales number had fallen by over 9m, or 28.8%, to 22.28m tickets.

...

According to MBW’s analysis of the numbers, North America saw exactly the same declining trends as those which hit the globe in H1 2019.

For one thing, the total concert gross amongst the Top 100 tours in NA during the first six months of this year reached $1.55bn, down by a hefty $97m year-on-year.

Total ticket sales also fell significantly year-on-year. H1 2019 saw cumulative ticket sales of 16.9m, according to our calculations of Pollstar’s data.

This was down 2.2m on the equivalent six months in 2018 – and by a serious-looking 5.9m on the same period of 2017.

shared unit of analysis (unperson), Monday, 18 November 2019 14:54 (four years ago) link

Then I remembered that we have another, bigger arena. City and Colour and Miranda Lambert are playing there.

No language just sound (Sund4r), Monday, 18 November 2019 15:05 (four years ago) link

xp

No language just sound (Sund4r), Monday, 18 November 2019 15:05 (four years ago) link

xxp That article is talking about a one-year decline, don’t think you can use it to extrapolate long-term trends.

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Monday, 18 November 2019 15:25 (four years ago) link

Yeah, acc to the same source, concert revenue hit a record high in the first half of 2018 (the time period you are using as a reference), up 12% from the previous year. Most sources I see project overall growth in the area.

https://www.musicbusinessworldwide.com/global-concert-sales-hit-record-high-in-first-half-of-2018-but-so-do-average-ticket-prices/

No language just sound (Sund4r), Monday, 18 November 2019 15:32 (four years ago) link

acts coming to stadiums around here:

Luke Combs
Tool
Harry Styles
Cher
Chance the Rapper
The Misfits (!)
Billie Eilish
Celine Dion
Trans-Siberian Orchestra
The Lumineers
Camilla Cabello
Black Crowes
Kenny Chesney

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 18 November 2019 16:03 (four years ago) link

stadiums or arenas?

L'assie (Euler), Monday, 18 November 2019 16:16 (four years ago) link

I dunno. Whatever Wells Fargo Center is.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 18 November 2019 16:22 (four years ago) link

And Lincoln Financial Field

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Monday, 18 November 2019 16:23 (four years ago) link

first is an arena, second's a stadium

L'assie (Euler), Monday, 18 November 2019 16:25 (four years ago) link

Stadiums are for summer tours, like Taylor Swift or the Stones or Kenny Chesney's "Chillaxification Tour."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 18 November 2019 17:13 (four years ago) link

Enclosed Stadiums are still a thing.

a bevy of supermodels, musicians and Lena Dunham (C. Grisso/McCain), Monday, 18 November 2019 17:26 (four years ago) link

For sure. But acts touring stadiums I presume aren't going to go on a big stadium tour and just skip the cities that don't have enclosed stadiums. I'm not sure I've heard of any act going on a winter stadium tour, but I could be wrong!

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 18 November 2019 17:54 (four years ago) link

They also get to play castles over here in the UK.

groovypanda, Monday, 18 November 2019 20:11 (four years ago) link

I just had a mental vision of Taylor Swift doing a gig in an inflatable play castle. It would work!

Ashley Pomeroy, Monday, 18 November 2019 20:26 (four years ago) link

Ah, that's more of a Katy Perry thing.

a bevy of supermodels, musicians and Lena Dunham (C. Grisso/McCain), Monday, 18 November 2019 20:33 (four years ago) link

"She's hosting several A-listers at her Rhode Island mansion for the Fourth Of July weekend.

And Taylor Swift has pulled out all the stops to ensure her celebrity guests have a holiday they'll never forget.

The 26-year-old has transformed her $17.75million home into the ultimate party paradise, with a huge red, white and blue inflatable slide installed next to her swimming pool, complete with mats to zoom down it on."

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 18 November 2019 20:34 (four years ago) link

Self XPS Of course, Katy Perry wishes she could sellout a bouncy castle these days.

a bevy of supermodels, musicians and Lena Dunham (C. Grisso/McCain), Monday, 18 November 2019 20:34 (four years ago) link

TS has the inflatable slide market LOCKED DOWN.

a bevy of supermodels, musicians and Lena Dunham (C. Grisso/McCain), Monday, 18 November 2019 20:36 (four years ago) link

i like inflatable slides too! omg she's so relatable

imago, Monday, 18 November 2019 21:08 (four years ago) link

if you have a slide *and* you have a pool, shouldn’t one land in the other? this seems like bad feng shui.

fact checking cuz, Monday, 18 November 2019 21:41 (four years ago) link

Worth noting (or maybe not) that quote was from 2015, and she apparently stopped those parties after 2016.

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Monday, 18 November 2019 22:14 (four years ago) link

With her dwindling sales and popularity she's got to watch her budget, no more spendthrift inflatable pool slide rentals.

Josh in Chicago, Monday, 18 November 2019 22:22 (four years ago) link

US arenas generally have to book about six to twelve months in advance and the amount of money involved in a tour is so much that it doesn't happen unless everyone involved understands the ROI is gonna justify it that far out... that said, i'm certainly noticing an influx of comparatively younger acts graduating quickly to arena status (on the east coast at least) to better/faster capitalize on immediate success.

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 16:06 (four years ago) link

TS has the inflatable slide market LOCKED DOWN.

― a bevy of supermodels, musicians and Lena Dunham (C. Grisso/McCain

Those chairs are too close to the end, though

TikTok to the (Alfred, Lord Sotosyn), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 16:15 (four years ago) link

a good test for new york (which is a skewed market anyway because of industry) might be to see how many acts went from playing the main building to whatever they're calling the former felt forum space now (the theater at msg i believe).

maura, Tuesday, 19 November 2019 16:54 (four years ago) link

the hulu theater iirc

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 17:09 (four years ago) link

The Carlyle Group Theater at ScooterBraunLive!

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 17:33 (four years ago) link

i only see artisanal artists in living room btw

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 17:55 (four years ago) link

a good test for new york (which is a skewed market anyway because of industry) might be to see how many acts went from playing the main building to whatever they're calling the former felt forum space now (the theater at msg i believe).

i believe the new york knicks will soon be moving into the smaller space.

fact checking cuz, Tuesday, 19 November 2019 19:15 (four years ago) link

How are their record sales?

Josh in Chicago, Tuesday, 19 November 2019 19:17 (four years ago) link

not nearly as good as the portland trail blazers' record sales, iirc

fact checking cuz, Tuesday, 19 November 2019 19:20 (four years ago) link

ts: Dame DOLLA vs JD & The Straight Shot

Fuck the NRA (ulysses), Tuesday, 19 November 2019 20:03 (four years ago) link

Grammys: Lack of "Lover" Noms Deemed Snub

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Wednesday, 20 November 2019 21:01 (four years ago) link

(do u like my stab at headline writing)

paris geller spinoff pitch (morrisp), Wednesday, 20 November 2019 21:01 (four years ago) link

Lol at that article. I didn’t know Bob Iver has lost his ‘cred ‘when collaborator Kanye West started making gospel music.

Muswell Hillbilly Elegy (President Keyes), Wednesday, 20 November 2019 21:57 (four years ago) link


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