Open for Business: Canadian Politics 2019

Atlantic Canada p much always goes Liberal federally iirc? About as reliably as the Tories picking up a lot of the Prairies?

I know but in these times what is certain anymore? Right wing populism is a bit hard to predict.

Don't fuck this up, Central Canada.

I'm actually p excited about this Green lead in Fredericton. Hope they pick it up.

i'm so confused, who is winning

Looks like Liberal minority?

Radio-Canada just predicted a Liberal government, didn't say majority or minority but former seems unlikely to me. This is the ideal outcome tbh.

Yeah minority looks certain. Oh, cbc decision desk just announced that

best possible (realistic) outcome tbh

My hope is that the Lib/NDP total seats is greater than 170 so we can have a stable left-leaning minority. Looks like they’re on pace to pull it off. Close tho.

Eat it, Bernier

Breaking 170 is looking likely, esp if you throw in the Greens.

would have liked to see a few more ndp seats...

NDP not having a good showing but still has the balance of power. Lisa Raitt and Goodale both losing their seats (probably). One more seat than I expected for the Greens.

Also lol @ “mad max”

What a sack of shit you are max

Too early to call for Goodale really.

If we carved out the large stretch of land including Nunavut, northern Manitoba, and northern Ontario, we could orm a social democratic republic. Maybe we should all move there and separate. Weather might be better on Pacific coast, though.

xps yeah, I expect Goodale to pull through.

Ok. Goodale was destroyed! Hope some ridings in BC turn so dramatically from the liberals - to ndp. Ie. Van centre

Theres no way van centre, van granville, or burnaby north seymour are going to go ndp imo. Van granville looking to go Tory even

Oh Jody Wilson-Raybould is ahead now

I am sad about svend

did tories really win popular vote?

Van Centre wont go ndp tonight but with Hedy gone next time and Breen again, it might.

did tories really win popular vote?

34% isn't winning imo but, yes, it looks like they did get more votes than any other individual party, certainly less than Liberals + NDP together.

The 25 NDP MPs will have a lot more influence than the larger number under Mulcair and the far larger number under Layton in the previous Parliament, and I'm glad it's happening under Singh and with the current NDP platform. I'm interested in where their losses were, though. Was it mostly QC seats that went to the Bloc??

ya - looks like they got smoked in QC and possibly lost a couple in the prairies

Does anyone know much about the Fredericton riding? Is it centred around a university? I'm curious about the Green pickup there.

he holds the balance of power tho, so despite losing a bunch of seats he arguably has more power than any federal NDP leader in my lifetime.
xpost

Does anyone know much about the Fredericton riding? Is it centred around a university? I'm curious about the Green pickup there.

― All along there is the sound of feedback (Sund4r), Monday, October 21, 2019 9:57 PM (five minutes ago)bookmarkflaglink

It has 2 universities and a college and has elected a green mla a couple times

he holds the balance of power tho, so despite losing a bunch of seats he arguably has more power than any federal NDP leader in my lifetime.

Layton was in a similar situation under Martin but, yep, I totally agree that Singh's caucus will have more power than the NDP had in the two previous Parliaments; that was what I meant.

Thanks, jim.

looks like the east coast were hit with misleading robocalls from one of the "canada proud/strong" groups. hopefully more than some rando jr staffer go to prison over this. conservatives got off super easy last time, so obviously we're seeing it happening again.

xpost - i had totally forgot how close that minority situation was for Martin/Layton.

Trudeau sorta looking like the loser there.

those speeches were a clusterfuck

Like Simon said, this is the best possible realistic outcome. It’s sad to see the NDP get swept off the map in Quebec by the Bloc, though – the latter have more seats than the former now.

As for Scheer, he just wasn't ready.

(Sorry.)

Trudeau a genius for not doing electoral reform (Scheer won the popular vote).

come on now Justin, let's buy all them oilfields

If it'd been a multiparty system it had been a landslide for the center-left, though? Liberals + NDP + Green gets 55% of the vote, that's a lot!

The really wild vote/seat discrepancy is that the NDP got double the Bloc's votes but 8 fewer seats

I'm extremely pleased that Bernier has failed so completely he/his party aren't even being mentioned in the round-up coverage

Sole downside is little to no vote splitting on the right.

yes the bloc does rather poorly outside Quebec.....

I was referring to the PPC but maybe I'm missing something?

Is there a compelling explanation beyond simple racism for the NDP's collapse in support in QC?

I'd say a mix of racism, nationalism and dogmatic laïcité (almost but not quite the same thing).

Close enough.

Plus, with Legault at the helm, Quebec is actively trying to shed whatever left-wing cred it may have garnered over the past few decades, so today's results are also an extension of that.