Open for Business: Canadian Politics 2019

that CPC PEI video above is stunning.

Record numbers at advance polls. It's cool they opened so long. Fri-Mon, 12 hours a day

["I voted" sticker]

I'm cool with advanced polling and am 100% for online polling but there is a communal event aspect I enjoy going to the polls on the election day.

that VIP treatment tho

that CPC PEI video above is stunning.

Wow, just watched it.

Obama makes an endorsement:

I was proud to work with Justin Trudeau as President. He's a hard-working, effective leader who takes on big issues like climate change. The world needs his progressive leadership now, and I hope our neighbors to the north support him for another term.

— Barack Obama (@BarackObama) October 16, 2019

omg lol

OPPO had a good interview with Andrew Leach about Trudeau's environmental record (and the other candidates proposals) and I suggest it to everyone.

xp
smh, just like Obama to back a foreigner over an American citizen

Does this cover most of what Leach had to say, VHS?: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/road-ahead-liberal-party-climate-plan-andrew-leach-1.5295477

Only just saw this, from Feb - our forests are actually a net producer of CO2 bc of the number of forest fires and insect infestations at this point: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/canada-forests-carbon-sink-or-source-1.5011490

Sheer gall from Ford - after putting forth legislation to cap public sector wage increases at 1% for the next three years, deputy ministers' minimum salaries go up by 14%: https://www.cbc.ca/amp/1.5322815?__twitter_impression=true#

It covers way more about liberals but he had stuff to say about other parties’ platforms that is interesting. I like that he can both command and criticize a party on the subject.

Fuck:

https://www.lesoleil.com/actualite/elections-2019/rien-ne-va-plus-pour-steven-guilbeault-selon-un-sondage-mainstreet-80b678febcfe364592e4e465bde72624

tabarnak

Ce sondage a été réalisé par appels automatisés le 16 octobre dernier auprès de 628 électeurs de Laurier-Sainte-Marie. Un échantillon de cette taille s’accompagne d’une marge d’erreur de ± 3,9 % 19 fois sur 20.

I can see why you're worried but, if it helps, the gap is totally within the margin of error and the sample size isn't huge. (Mainstreet, c'est de la merde.)

Just more reason to vote!

I already voted (utile, comme on dit).

At least a DOZEN times!

https://thinkpol.ca/2019/10/18/andrew-scheer-conservatives-lied-canadians-least-dozen-times-campaign/

Fuck the Conservatives, but this is hilariously wholesome when set against most other political ecosystems.

This is a p good summary of how minority Parliaments work and why Scheer is full of it: https://globalnews.ca/news/6054421/experts-scheer-claims-forming-government/?fbclid=IwAR2sn2eat5jN3aHhB6qWKl-l82Q_--VRGA-iN32zhIdUUJX6Rus__iE1saQ

This story is odd: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/project-cactus-maxime-bernier-1.5327555?__vfz=medium%3Dsharebar

.@glen_mcgregor - You say you want to be transparent, I find it astounding that you can't answer a basic question about whether you hired (Warren Kinsella) or not. What is the great privacy or secrecy about this?

Here is Scheer's answer #cdnpoli #elxn43

More @ctvnews pic.twitter.com/Sm8JKaFsmo

— Mackenzie Gray (@Gray_Mackenzie) October 19, 2019

extremely here for Jagmania

Best Prime Minister Choice:

Trudeau: 28% (-3)
Scheer: 24% (-5)
Singh: 24% (+11)
May: 8% (-1)

Don't Know: 16% (-2)

Forum Research / Oct 16, 2019 / n=1028 / IVR

(% chg w Oct 2)

— Polling Canada (@CanadianPolling) October 18, 2019

Nice to see Jagmeet catering to the ILM crowd by using Differentology as his entrance song.

went to his rally yesterday afternoon, good to know his music is ILM-approved

ILM has officially endorsed Jagmeet Singh, calling his music choices "otm" (?).

Jagmeet came to my workplace yesterday and really impressed us all. He did what to me is a Jonathan Richman entrance - showing up on his own at the back and taking ages greeting people personally before finally reaching the mic. He did some quite good media bits, and then spent a long time chatting and walking around. Unlike John Horgan who blasts in at 90 miles an hour beaming from ear to ear and trying his damnedest to throw off energy and friendliness, delivers a fire & brimstone speech and back on the bus in under 5 mins. With Jagmeet it doesn't feel like a performance.

Jagmeet Singh: is this guy a class fucking act or what?

omg how did I miss the Differentology thing? I am so sad I am not a citizen yet

I drove among the luxury homes on Island Park today and began to get more of a sense of McKenna's base of support. Almost all Liberal signs there, unlike Centretown/Glebe/Old Ottawa S, where you see at least as much NDP and Green.

Oh wow:

I've started doing this after every rally. It's become known as the Jagmeet Jump – and I'm here for it.

Make sure you go vote tomorrow and then jump around like this after casting your ballot!!

Plan it out here: https://t.co/Y36vsKqFQ2 #elxn43 pic.twitter.com/xEvI63wXj9

— Jagmeet Singh (@theJagmeetSingh) October 20, 2019

I don't always agree with Coyne but I do enjoy reading him - he hates every party, hopes for a Conservative minority mainly just to punish the Liberals despite thinking Tory policies are mostly terrible, and is going to vote Green: https://nationalpost.com/news/politics/election-2019/andrew-coyne-cant-the-liberals-and-conservatives-both-lose#comments-area

He's a clown imo.

good luck canada

Thanks.

not calling that jump the NDPogo feels like a miss

I didn't plan to vote in advance, but there was a polling station right at the library, so I voted last week. You guys will hate me for this, but I voted Trudeau, even though I've really come to like what I've seen of Singh. If there's another election soon and--key--he's a viable option, I'll vote for him next time.

so you wouldn't have voted for him today anyway?

I am probably following things less than any of you, but the Conservative losses and NDP gains being portrayed in the media in just the past few days feel encouraging. it's also odd how the two feel like separate phenomena (most Conservative losses are probably actually Liberal gains.... if there's anything to any of this noise)

I wouldn't have, though--it's close enough between the PCs and Liberals that I wouldn't risk propping up Scheer.

That should read "I wouldn't have, no..."

right on. I only went NDP this time since the Conservative newcomer my riding doesn't look like he really has a shot. I'm still gonna be on my high horse about it.

Yeah, I live in a very safely liberal riding so can vote for who I really want, but I would vote liberal if I was in a riding where I thought it was gonna be close race between liberals and conservatives. As much as I have issues with the liberals, the conservatives are worse in every aspect and I really don't want even a conservative minority.

anyway, this is the closest I ever recall a Canadian election being. When was the last time the polls had both parties basically tied on election day?

I predict liberals outperforming polls a bit due to last minute strategic voting, but that might just be me being optimistic.

338canada.com thinks that neck and neck business is done. who knows

The odds of the Libs winning the most seats has been around 60% on Grenier's CBC Poll Tracker for most of the campaign, actually. The Libs and Tories have been closer to being neck and neck when it comes to absolute popular vote numbers.

I don't think anyone is going to hate you for voting Liberal in a Liberal/Tory swing riding, clemenza. I would probably do the same if I lived in Nepean or Orleans. The Liberals have done a number of things right imo: the carbon tax, reduction of child poverty with the child benefit, relatively liberal policies on immigration and refugee resettlement. They'd definitely be preferable to any kind of Tory government.

I am probably following things less than any of you, but the Conservative losses and NDP gains being portrayed in the media in just the past few days feel encouraging. it's also odd how the two feel like separate phenomena (most Conservative losses are probably actually Liberal gains.... if there's anything to any of this noise)

Hard to be sure. West of London, ON, the contest can actually be between the Tories and NDP.

So losses from one might end up being gains for the other.

I'm in London, ON in a solidly, but not secure, Liberal riding. I voted Liberal.

I voted Liberal because I think Steven Guilbeault has a better chance of beating the BQ candidate. I may regret it tomorrow.

Why would you regret that? Because of possible vote-splitting with the NDP candidate?

Precisely. I'd much rather the NDP got reelected, but I'm betting that won't happen, alas.

Oh, there's an NDP incumbent? That does sound tricky.

The incumbent, Hélène Laverdière, announced her retirement, so the NDP's substitute candidate is Nimâ Machouf, who doesn't appear to have gained much traction compared to her BQ rival Michel Duchesne. I hope to be proven wrong.

My riding is still >99% liberal according to 338canada.com. I'm gonna vote Green.

if I lived in Nepean

Incidentally, FB shared with me an ad from the Tory candidate in this suburban riding, which just seemed so quintessentially suburban Ontario in its perspective and priorities: from memory, "while Justin Trudeau is spending your money on overseas projects, Nepean residents are stuck in traffic". I'm sure Scheer will fix that.