Who will win the Palme at Cannes? [2019 edition]

otoh a great placement for

194. "Biutiful" (Alejandro González-Iñarritu) [3.40/20 2.4]

Pain and Glory could end up #3, since Il Traditore is showing today and only has one vote so far

(one review)

apparently I Lost My Body Jérémy Clapin is the first animated film to win the Critics' Week grand prize

*by Jérémy Clapin

Pretty shocked to see Marguerite & Julien so low. The Cannes critics needs to make way for a younger generation.

Jarmusch I bet

the reactions to Mektoub My Love: Intermezzo are...interesting

Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.

The Variety review is hilarious. I feel for everyone who sat through that.

None of these in the running?

https://www.theguardian.com/film/gallery/2019/may/23/the-worst-movie-posters-at-cannes-2019

I kinda feel like the chance of Inarritu awarding anything to a woman is nil. But hey, Bong would be the first Korean winner. So, progress...

Powerful man is aggressive when challenged; woman has to defuse the simmering rage of powerful man; other men stand silently by https://t.co/kliq7IBTuF

— Katherine Angel (@KayEngels) May 24, 2019

Hope they Lars Avon Trier him

A’von

other men stand silently by

The question wasn't directed to them, it was to QT and Margot.

it's a pretty innocuous response

and it's not like Tarantino has shied away from giving women substantial roles, so the lack of dialogue is obviously a deliberate choice

The thread was deleted (apparently a lot of dudes were piling on) but iirc it was an aggressive, short, putdown. Just weird.

If he expanded a bit, talked about the aesthetic choices etc. that thread would not have been written.

Variety, on Intermezzo:

Up onto the central platform we go, where rotating permutations of the female friend group get in booty-shaking formation for Marco Graziaplena and Jérémie Attar’s closely appreciative camera; down we swing into the tipsy, sticky-floored melee, where the others idly gossip and passive-aggressively flirt; back up to the platform for a new round of vigorous group pole-dancing, and so on and so forth, ad nauseum. It’s a blaring endurance test, and designed as such: Eventually, the taunting irony sets in of Kechiche starting this ordeal with the tetchy disco swirl of Donna Summer and Barbra Streisand’s “Enough is Enough.”

AA Dowd's review includes the new-to-me tidbit that Kekiche sold his Palme to bankroll the first Mektoub after his financiers bailed during post-production

I wonder if he tried to get Adele and Lea to sell their Palmes, too

Drudge on Intermezzo:

French Director Trolls Cannes With 3-1/2 Hour Pornographic 'Provocation'...

Critics lambast 'leery, retrograde'...

I thought the story was that they found out he was planning to make what he had said would be one film into two films, at seven hours length all in all. The fun part is that there's still supposed to be a third one...

weird to me that blue is the warmest colour was a hit when it was also v much leery and retrograde

critical hit i should say

2013 was also the year of "Blurred Lines." that movie couldn't have been successful even a year later, it got in right under the wire.

but I do maintain that Blue is the Warmest Color is the first successful cinematic pornography, the movie that Burt Reynolds dreams of making in Boogie Nights.

Also, according to that link above, the single best-reviewed competition film in the last decade at the time, and basically reviled today.

With 80 ratings in now, Intermezzo is both the lowest-rated competition title with the highest standard deviation:

1.	"Parasite (Gisaengchung)" (Bong Joon-ho)	[8.59/252 1.2]
2.	"Pain & Glory (Dolor y gloria)" (Pedro Almodovar)	[8.43/241 1.2]
3.	"Portrait of a Lady on Fire (Portrait de la jeune fille en feu)" (Céline Sciamma)	[8.01/234 1.7]
4.	"It Must Be Heaven" (Elia Suleiman, Palestine)	[8.00/2 1.0]
5.	"Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" (Quentin Tarantino)	[7.52/182 1.6]
6.	"The Traitor (Il traditore)" (Marco Bellocchio)	[7.42/63 1.4]
7.	"A Hidden Life (Une vie cachée)" (Terrence Malick)	[6.98/240 2.0]
8.	"Sorry we missed you" (Ken Loach)	[6.94/240 1.8]
9.	"Bacurau (Nighthawk)" (Kleber Mendonça Filho, Juliano Dornelles, BR)	[6.93/269 1.6]
10.	"Les Misérables" (Ladj Ly)	[6.70/232 1.7]
11.	"The Whistlers (La Gomera)" (Corneliu Porumboiu)	[6.46/165 1.6]
12.	"Atlantics (Atlantique)" (Mati Diop)	[6.39/232 1.6]
13.	"The Wild Goose Lake (Nan Fang Che Zhan De Ju Hui)" (Diao Yinan, China)	[6.39/161 1.4]
14.	"Matthias and Maxime" (Xavier Dolan)	[6.19/250 2.0]
-------------------------
15.	"The Dead Don’t Die" (Jim Jarmusch) Opener	[5.98/585 1.3]
16.	"Little Joe" (Jessica Hausner)	[5.85/193 1.6]
17.	"Sibyl" (Justine Triet, F)	[5.71/7 2.1]
18.	"Young Ahmed (Le jeune Ahmed)" (Jean-Pierre and Luc Dardenne)	[5.64/210 1.7]
19.	"Frankie" (Ira Sachs)	[5.40/173 1.7]
20.	"Oh Mercy" (Arnaud Desplechin)	[4.81/121 1.7]
21.	"Mektoub, My Love: Intermezzo" (Abdellatif Kechiche)	[4.77/80 2.8]

OK now I really want to read a rave for the Kekiche

The fun part is that there's still supposed to be a third one...

The third part will just be him jerking it to the Cannes premiere of Pt II

It's not even really the press conferences, but back to back headlines about Choice Soundbites from Mssrs. Dolan/Kechiche, aieeee.

— Vadim Rizov (@vrizov) May 24, 2019

Just digging through our history of predicting these ...

2018
We Predicted:

Blackkklansman, dir: Spike Lee / Lazzaro Felice, dir: Alice Rohrwacher	5

Shoplifters, dir: Kore-Eda Hirokazu	2

2017
We Predicted:

“The Killing of a Sacred Deer” directed by Yorgos Lanthimos	6

The Square

2016
We Predicted:

Toni Erdmann (Maren Ade)	6

I, Daniel Blake (Ken Loach)	3

2015
We Predicted:

Mountains May Depart (Jia Zhangke)	4

Dheepan (Jacques Audiard)	3

2014
We Predicted:

Winter Sleep (Nuri Bilge Ceylan)	2

Winter Sleep (Nuri Bilge Ceylan)	2

2013
We Predicted:

The Immigrant, dir: James Gray	4

La Vie D'Adele, dir: Abdellatif Kechiche	1

2012
We Predicted:

"Like Someone in Love," Abbas Kiarostami	4

"Amour," Michael Haneke	1

2011
We Predicted:

Nicolas Winding Refn - Drive / Paolo Sorrentino - This Must be the Place / Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life	1

Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life	1

2010
We Predicted:

Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Apichatpong Weerasethakul)	6

Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives (Apichatpong Weerasethakul)	6

2009
We Predicted:

"Antichrist," Denmark-Sweden-France-Italy, Lars von Trier	6

"The White Ribbon," Germany-Austria-France, Michael Haneke	2

2008
We Predicted:

SYNECDOCHE, NEW YORK	directed by Charlie KAUFMAN	3

ENTRE LES MURS	(THE CLASS)	directed by Laurent CANTET	0

2007
We Predicted:

My Blueberry Nights, Hong Kong-France-China, Wong Kar Wai / The Man From London, Germany-France-U.K.-Hungary, Bela Tarr	3

4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days, Romania, Cristian Mungiu	0

Sorry that looks ugly as hell. But so were most of our predictions.

I feel good about the board's prediction this year.

Un Certain Regard winners...

« UN CERTAIN REGARD » PRIZE
A VIDA INVISÍVEL DE EURÍDICE GUSMÃO
(LA VIE INVISIBLE D’EURÍDICE GUSMÃO/THE INVISIBLE LIFE OF EURÍDICE GUSMÃO)
BY KARIM AÏNOUZ

JURY PRIZE
O QUE ARDE
(VIENDRA LE FEU/FIRE WILL COME)
BY OLIVER LAXE

PRIZE FOR BEST PERFORMANCE
CHIARA MASTROIANNI
FOR CHAMBRE 212 (ON A MAGICAL NIGHT) BY CHRISTOPHE HONORÉ

PRIZE FOR BEST DIRECTOR
KANTEMIR BALAGOV
FOR BEANPOLE (UNE GRANDE FILLE)

SPECIAL JURY PRIZE
LIBERTÉ
BY ALBERT SERRA

JURY’S « COUP DE CŒUR » (Ex-aequo)
LA FEMME DE MON FRÈRE (A BROTHER’S LOVE)
BY MONIA CHOKRI
THE CLIMB
BY MICHAEL ANGELO COVINO

JURY SPECIAL MENTION
JEANNE (JOAN OF ARC)
BY BRUNO DUMONT

That looks really good, though I'm not the world's biggest fan of Aïnouz. But Serra and Laxe ftw!

https://film.avclub.com/guessing-the-winners-and-picking-our-own-at-the-end-o-1835011696/amp

would love to see the Sciamma win.

Indiewire is predicting Pain and Glory:

https://www.indiewire.com/2019/05/cannes-2019-palme-dor-contenders-winners-prediction-1202141512/

all of the diverging reviews of Mektoub make me curious about it. I really liked Blue Is the Warmest Color

Diverging? Most everyone seems clear it's a piece of shit.

Again, if anyone spots a rave, please share it here.

I haven’t seen any raves, but the ratings on the Todas las Criticas grid (Apitchatpoll) place it in the middle of the competition pack, and the discussion of it on the awards watch forum is somewhat interesting (if you can stand the horrible interface)

I like this paragraph from Cineuropa (badly translated), which comes after a description of the plot: “The tireless partying and fun, reproduced without filter and with overflowing duration by the filmmaker up until a particularly crude climactic scene (but one dominated by a woman), are dotted with micro-events, brief looks or exchanges at the bar, in a continuous flood of sound, an exponential consumption of alcohol, and a loosening of cultural mores which “doesn’t do things by halves”. In this boiling aquarium, Abdellatif Kechiche details all the “good and bad sides” of a stupendous and highly energetic moment with fabulous virtuosity in his mise en scène. But his commitment to a radically elongated runtime — oscillating from hypnosis to overload — and to the deliberate, repetitive onslaught of sexualised dances he orchestrates, will require great tolerance and a firmly open mind for the viewer to truly appreciate the real value of the film as a whole.”

the ratings on the Todas las Criticas grid (Apitchatpoll) place it in the middle of the competition pack

Cool. It has 0% on Rotten Tomatoes.

yeah it's probably really bad, but even the bad reviews make it sound at least somewhat interesting (to me)

It's produced some of the only inspired pans I've read in a while, at least.

Those critics survived a longer ordeal than the Titanic victims, so.

Sounds like it takes even longer for the characters to get off in this one, too.

Portrait of a Lady on Fire won the Queer Palme

Xavier may never recover.

What time is the closing ceremony?