ayo lets go phillies get me a fukkin tastykake

http://creative.myspace.com/Client/Fx/SunnyPhilly/Downloads/Wallpapers/sunny_wall01_1280x1024.jpg

kearnz:

* Nicknamed Austin Powers after the Mike Myers character, he also goes by "Ears" and "Darth Kearns".

* His current warm-up song is "I Still Will Kill" by 50 Cent.

jesus mccann is slow as hell, even for a catcher, that should've been an easy double

A faster catcher would've made it close, but most guys would've been meat on a ball hit that hard.

Prez Bush in the booth coming soon!

Wait until they bring up 9/11 (again).

God please get the 3rd out RIGHT NOW.

noooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

philz have 7 walks, 4 errors + 1 WP thru 2.1 innings lolololololololol

MOTOWN PHILLY
BOYZ II MEN
ABC
COOLEYHIGHHARMONY

http://internetservices.readingeagle.com/blog/paws/archives/JenChaseUtleyPuppies.gif

Utley w/adorable puppies, homers in five straight.

*swoon*

damn, is that piece of ass his old lady?

this is my best thread title ever btw

ayo manuel when your ace is around 100+ pitches in the 8th inning of a mid-April game and he allowed the tying run on base and Prince Fielder's coming up TAKE HIS ASS OUT BEFORE HE GIVES UP THE LEAD AND THROWS 121 PITCHES YOU SENILE OLD FUCK

</fantasy owner>

also get me a fukkin tastykake

Eskin needs to get up his ass again.

http://espn-i.starwave.com/media/apphoto/e823c5c0-0a2d-4248-b6ac-7fd834c5b4e1.jpg

Another day, another 10 runs. These guys are a little bit scary.

Bartolo's hoping Citizens Bank Park will turn back into Margaritaville.

boy, they just showed colon's at bats on bbtn...UGH-LEEEEE!!!

John Perrotto in BP last week:

Dallas Green turns 73 next week, but that doesn't mean the Phillies' senior advisor to the general manager is mellowing. In fact, Green was as candid as ever when asked about Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins by the Bucks County Courier Times' Randy Miller recently. "I think we're all disappointed in Jimmy's reaction to what's going on," said Green, who managed the Phillies to the only World Series title in franchise history in 1980. "His body language is just brutal right now. The body language doesn't say that 'I'm busting my ass' right now.'"

Rollins has a .276 EqA and 23.8 VORP a year after being voted the NL's Most Valuable Player. Rollins was removed from a June 5 game against the Reds by manager Charlie Manuel for not hustling, and then benched for a key game against the Mets last Thursday after arriving late to Shea Stadium and saying he had been stuck in New York traffic. "Jimmy doesn't sense, I don't think, that [his teammates] are starting to get upset with him," Green said. Green also stated that he would not hesitate to share his feelings with Rollins the next time their paths cross. "Jimmy and I have a pretty good relationship," Green said. "I'll tell him when I think he's done right and I'll tell him when I think he's done wrong. He's done wrong. He's done wrong for the team, he's done wrong for himself, and he's done wrong for Charlie."

Swept in 4 by LA for the first time in 46 years!

GO CUBS GO

http://www.angelocataldi.com/images/sr22.JPG

Matt Stairs superfan #1

http://www.blinne.org/photos/uncategorized/siren.gifBREAKINGhttp://www.blinne.org/photos/uncategorized/siren.gif

ryan howard has only struck out 5 times in his last 10 games, allowing mark reynolds to take the lead in Ks. (191 in 509 AB vs 190 in 580 AB)

6. Posted by Isawa Cody Thu Sep 25, 2008 2:16 pm EDT Report Abuse

.248 with 196 strikeouts is true, but if he is hitting a 3 run homer to take the lead every three at bats instead of a single I think that counts for something. In this day and age of sabremetrics, raw numbers aren't the only things that matter. As this article states hes far and away the best clutch hitter (with both runners in scoring position, and in the 7th inning and later). If the Phils win the division he is the reason. Pujols team is out of contention. Explain to me who is more valuable to their team...

Isawa, I speak for nerdilingers everywhere when I say to no one in particular, please shut the fuck up.

Howard's going to win the MVP isn't he?

yeah i think he just might :-\

fukkers clinch

cant wait till they get cornholed by the dodgers

yay phillies!

http://i4.photobucket.com/albums/y123/Eisbaer29/n82300885304_4736980_8091.jpg

btw lol Adam Eaton

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/eaton-and-chen

lol thread title for the ages

whither Hamels' elbow!?

Hamels elbow is fine but honestly why do you think you're above trolling and then turn into a big baby when the citibank financial september swoon mets threads get trolled?

just sayin

real talk

I see, posting on the enemy thread is trolling. BETTER STICK TO YOUR HOME TEAM THEN

OH I FORGOT YOU'RE ABOVE BEING A REAL FAN, EH

Phillies fans are worse than Red Sox fans if Keith Law chats are any indication.

cubs fans are the worst

No way. Not even in the top 5.

haven't experienced red sox fans but in my experience cubs fans are obnoxious and cocky except obv they havent won anything since 1900 whatever

yankees and phillies fans are the worst in my experience.
followed by Canucks fans.

xpost

Which makes them a million times more charming automatically than Yankees fans or Red Sox fans or Phillies fans.

xpost

no way, cubs fans are just pessimistic homers like myself who won't believe anything will go our way until the final out in our favor in the last game of the world series. teams with worse fans: angels, dodgers, yankees, red sox, phillies, cards

My personal hatred for Angels fans rounds out my top 4. I guess I can concede that Cubs fans might be fifth.

What's so bad about Dodgers or Cards fans?

I can't get my head around the math (what I'd put up, what I'd win), but if someone offered me those odds, I'd definitely take the field. The Phillies front three is awesome, but there are lots of moving parts on a baseball team; those guys could pitch more or less as well as expected, and lots else could go wrong to nullify that.

(I'm assuming "championship" means World Series; if it just means division, I'd have to think about that.)

It has to mean winning the WS. I'd say they're about even money to win the division, at least.

I believe the Giants went 5-1 against the 'new' Phillies juggernaut rotation in the playoffs.

the problem in the playoffs wasn't the Phillies pitching so much as the almost complete lack of hitting

I believe the Giants went 5-1 against the 'new' Phillies juggernaut rotation in the playoffs.

― strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Wednesday, December 15, 2010 2:18 PM (27 minutes ago) Bookmark

can ppl get off this please? it's 6 games. it means nothing.

Yeah guys, small playoff samples only matter when you're talking about the Red Sox.

huh?

i'm looking here and getting http://www.philly.com/inquirer/sports/20101215_Phillies_now_favored_to_win_World_Series.html
what am i doing wrong here? 9-5 odds = 5/14 = 35.7% chance of winning?!

i'll do some bad math:

80% chance of securing first or wild card, 75% chance of winning NLDS, 70% chance of winning NLCS, 60% chance of WS victory

even that wildly optimistic scenario comes out to a 25.2% of winning.. will they let you take the other side of that bet?

you can always bet all 29 other teams to win. ^_^

I'm sure they'll be much better this year now that one of their best hitters left.

The obvious cautionary note for the Phillies' chances: all those World Series won by the Maddux/Glavine/Smoltz Braves (close, but a front three I'd take over the Phillies').

Something else (seems like I'm knocking the Phillies; I'm not, just trying to look at this realistically): Roy Oswalt's been a great pitcher over his career, but is anyone looking for him to duplicate what he did after he came over to Philadelphia last year? When he left Houston, he was on the third year of a normal mid-career decline (or, if you will, adjustment); after the trade he did something not all that uncommon, which is to pitch lights out for the last couple of months. Who will the Phillies get this year: the guy they saw in August and September, or the guy who left Houston? My guess would be the latter.

2 things: better defense and change of scenery. playing for one of the worst teams in baseball can't be good for the ERA/WHIP in both factors.

Agreed, in explaining what happened last year. One of those factors presumably remains, the other's gone--and I think the one that's gone can be pretty huge.

I'm not saying he won't pitch well; even an average year from Oswalt will be pretty good. I'm saying he won't be putting up a 1.74 ERA, and there are reasons to believe he's more inclined to be in the mid-three range or higher.

If you're going to ignore the SABR figures, I'd try not to limit your focus to straight ERA. Something that's telling even in his "off"-first half of the year with Houston is that his WHIP was 1.11 and his BAA was .229. Those #s are in line with your #1-#2 pitchers. He will be fine.

yeah is anyone saying roy oswalt is gonna put up a sub-2 era? i must have missed that.

I'm watching the Lee press conference and I can't think of any player I've seen in my lifetime who ever wanted to be a Philly as much as he does

yeah is anyone saying roy oswalt is gonna put up a sub-2 era? i must have missed that

Not explicitly, no. But I'm addressing the idea that the Phillies are now overwhelming, off-the-chart favorites to win next year (which is what the past 30 posts have been about)--to believe that, I think one of the assumptions you'd be making is that Oswalt next year will be something close to the Oswalt of August and September. "He will be fine"--sure, no argument. I'm questioning the idea that Halladay + Lee + "He will be fine" = 1970 Orioles.

Let me be even clearer: no one here is saying that about Oswalt--but whoever pegged the Phillies at 5 to 2 to win the Series is.

I think even the phillies fans (like me) think the 5 to 2 number is ridiculous

Another thing I'd be interested in doing is going back over every postseason since '69 and asking two questions: who among the playoff teams was favored to win, and who actually did win? If you eliminated the occasional year where there was no clear favorite, I'd be surprised if even half the favorites ultimately emerge as the WS winner. (I'm just guessing.) And a) it becomes even more a roll of the dice in the wild-card era, and b) all of that presupposes that you make the playoffs in the first place. Winning a World Series is really hard!

But you're right, probably everybody here realizes those odds are crazy.

uhhh you realize vegas sets odds to get action, not because they have an actual opinion?

Thanks for the clarification; I assume it's also meant for all the other people upthread who commented on the absurdity of those odds.

Clem, just to back up a bit I think perhaps you are underrating Oswalt's tenure with Houston in 2010. Take a look at some defense independent stats. He had a great YEAR, he was one of the top 15-20 pitchers in baseball (nb: I was his biggest cheerleader on ILB). Yes he was particularly great down the stretch. but take a deeper peak at his season with Houston outside of ERA and you may be surprised...

UNLESS you're going "retro-cool" for ERA like you did for RBIs earlier this year, and in that case, I am just gonna shrug.gif

xp yes it is, talking about odds is pointless unless you are gambling

Yes he was particularly great down the stretch. but take a deeper peak at his season with Houston outside of ERA and you may be surprised...

I have, and you're quite right; his H/9 and SO/BB with the Astros were very good last year. How about we split the difference between his four months with Houston and two with the Phillies, add a year for age, and say he'll have an ERA around 3.00 next year?

talking about odds is pointless unless you are gambling

And talking about the Academy Awards is pointless, unless you're a marketing executive--but we do, all the time. Most everything we argue about here is pointless. But it's fun, so we do.

i'm not a big gambler, but it seems to me that the odds have a lot more to do with popular conception than some realistic set of facts. like, phillies are probably a very hot bet right now because of this trade and so vegas responds appropriately by giving you far less payout for your bet.

Anyway, I'll admit that I misunderstood the initial origin of these 5:2 odds. I thought they were the opinion of a writer, or someone at ESPN--I didn't realize they were actual Vegas odds.

but you have to factor in the vig.. which at this stage must be pretty steep. perhaps a good 10% more which would wipe out insured profit. and to cad's point, it's largely pr blathering to churn up interest.

As soon as you start talking about the vig, I'm seeing Morrie the wig salesman getting his head bashed in by Jimmy the Gent.

Another thing I'd be interested in doing is going back over every postseason since '69 and asking two questions: who among the playoff teams was favored to win, and who actually did win?

How often does the team that won the most games in that season go on to win the WS? It's fairly rare (they show these numbers every year during the playoffs).

http://twitpic.com/2zekv3

(They showed the 2010 NLCS replay tonight fwiw)

it seems to me that the odds have a lot more to do with popular conception than some realistic set of facts. like, phillies are probably a very hot bet right now because of this trade and so vegas responds appropriately by giving you far less payout for your bet.

Yes, but this has to be balanced against offering too-favourable odds on the other teams, which a boomaker needs to avoid, at least before the betting has really started. Joe Posnanski is baffled the Royals are 125-1, for example. I'm baffled the Dodgers and their sexy new rotation are 30-1 when there's no guarantee the Rockies or Giants will be obviously better in 2011.

James put a new piece up yesterday called "Thirty-Three Rotations." I love the subtitle: "The 33 Greatest Starting Rotations of All-Time in Chronological Order, Apropos Nothing in Particular." The five most recent: '02 Braves, '01 Mariners, '01 A's, '97 Braves, '93 White Sox.

Domonic Brown bwoke his hand

Uh oh! Did he punch his children's grandfather in the face???

jkjk

Apparently he'll be back in like 3-6 weeks.

I'm so excited for new baseball btw -- I just got my MLB.tv package!

phils top pitching prospect Trevor May answering questions on Reddit:
http://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/oa934/iama_top_prospect_in_the_mlb_minor_league_system/

icymi

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29655920/philadelphia-phillies-retire-dick-allen-no-15-next-month

I am sorry about your loss in the election, @laurenboebert. Who knows what funny business was going on!?Anyhow, I know this must be a difficult time, and just keep in mind that you have someone right here to talk to (or whatever other kind of needs you may have right now). DM me?

— Lenny Dykstra (@LennyDykstra) November 9, 2022

"GET AMERICAN BACK ON TRACK"