2018 awards thread

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insane that Lorenzo Cain has never won one

frogbs, Monday, 5 November 2018 20:44 (nine months ago) link

Happy #ElectionDay! Here's a reminder from your friends at Baseball-Reference about how important it is to vote! pic.twitter.com/1owgyChl6e

— Baseball Reference (@baseball_ref) November 6, 2018

mookieproof, Tuesday, 6 November 2018 16:09 (nine months ago) link

:D

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 6 November 2018 16:13 (nine months ago) link

wait, why was I under the impression that trout had already been excluded from the top 3?

k3vin k., Wednesday, 7 November 2018 01:43 (nine months ago) link

https://media.giphy.com/media/CIGNHqM9ME51e/giphy.gif

mookieproof, Wednesday, 7 November 2018 03:26 (nine months ago) link

Acuna, Ohtani

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 13 November 2018 15:09 (nine months ago) link

One of those occasional instances (there was an NL MVP award a few years ago like this) where the two guys are almost in a statistical dead heat, but almost every small advantage tips in one direction--the "almost" here being Soto's higher OBP, obviously a big almost--and the vote ends up being not close at all.

clemenza, Tuesday, 13 November 2018 19:05 (nine months ago) link

Acuña was so much fun to watch this season.

I hear you've been having trouble with pigs and ponies. (WmC), Tuesday, 13 November 2018 19:43 (nine months ago) link

acuña deserved the ROY but i think i'm more impressed with soto's season

mookieproof, Tuesday, 13 November 2018 20:16 (nine months ago) link

Because of his age?

Mad Piratical (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 13 November 2018 20:50 (nine months ago) link

age, lack of experience (eight double-a games!), plate discipline, splits against LHP . . . finishing second* in the league in OBP as a teenager is incredible

also completely unexpected -- he wasn't really the nationals' top outfield prospect, and in almost any other organization he would never have been given a shot

mookieproof, Tuesday, 13 November 2018 21:54 (nine months ago) link

snitker, melvin win the kiss of death award

mookieproof, Wednesday, 14 November 2018 00:46 (nine months ago) link

Snitker! such a great name

(that's the Braves guy?)

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 14 November 2018 01:53 (nine months ago) link

as expected, degrom wins the NL Cy Young

While the inning discussion was the great debate in the AL Cy Young Award field this year, the NL race became a referendum on the present-day value (or lack thereof) of a win stat invented in the late 1800s. Even in our more analytically savvy age, the win still has its disciples, but, ultimately, deGrom's season was so utterly and unquestionably dominant that the win was rightly rendered irrelevant.

The BBWAA voters looked past deGrom's 10-9 record and focused instead on

if everyone just stopped talking about the Win, would it finally go away?
https://www.mlb.com/news/2018-cy-young-award-winners/c-300724470

Karl Malone, Thursday, 15 November 2018 00:08 (nine months ago) link

Yelich and Betts win, Baez and Trout are the second-place finishers.

omar little, Friday, 16 November 2018 00:30 (nine months ago) link

Now is a good time to reread some of those “did the Brewers give up too much for Yelich?” articles

frogbs, Friday, 16 November 2018 00:33 (nine months ago) link

most valuable voter: the guy who had deGrom 1st tonight

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Friday, 16 November 2018 01:34 (nine months ago) link

He should have been a close 2nd!

Mad Piratical (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 16 November 2018 05:18 (nine months ago) link

8 voters left him off their ballot entirely, which shows that the electorate doesn't even agree on what this motherfucking award is.

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Friday, 16 November 2018 12:28 (nine months ago) link

I wasn't quite as easygoing as #MikeTrout about it the year (1993) I came in #2 for MVP. But I wasn't in the hunt as often as him. Besides, it's not like he brought it on himself by teaching @MookieBetts about special vitamins the way I did with Barry Bonds (NL MVP in 1993).

— Lenny Dykstra (@LennyDykstra) November 16, 2018

omar little, Friday, 16 November 2018 17:58 (nine months ago) link

actual footage of lenny dykstra

https://i.imgur.com/krh0Zh5.jpg

Karl Malone, Friday, 16 November 2018 18:11 (nine months ago) link

Actually actual footage of Lenny 1 month ago:

https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/former-all-star-outfielder-lenny-dykstra-indicted-on-drug-threat-charges/

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 November 2018 18:27 (nine months ago) link

Dykstra is facing three third-degree charges: possession of cocaine, possession of methamphetamine and making terroristic threats. Each stems from the May incident Dykstra had with an Uber driver, during which he allegedly held a gun to the driver's head.

Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 16 November 2018 18:28 (nine months ago) link

If you get easily upset by stuff like this, do not read--you will have a coronary.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2018/11/15/one-writer-who-voted-max-scherzer-ahead-jacob-degrom-cy-young-explains-his-ballot/?utm_term=.014f3201a619

clemenza, Friday, 16 November 2018 19:47 (nine months ago) link

*has coronary*

I hear you've been having trouble with pigs and ponies. (WmC), Friday, 16 November 2018 20:03 (nine months ago) link

that's silly, but not as silly as people who are upset about degrom's win not being unanimous. scherzer had a pretty good season, and it's not like this guy had degrom fifth

mookieproof, Friday, 16 November 2018 20:11 (nine months ago) link

When I opened the piece up, I honestly thought it would be somebody talking about FIP or Win Probability Added or wOBA or some small but meaningful-to-him sabermetric edge the writer had discerned in Scherzer's line. His rationale was the last thing I expected (as recently as two or three years ago, it would have been the first thing I expected, which I think is indicative of how fast things are changing).

If you step back and think about how good a season Scherzer had, I think that's a fair statement.

clemenza, Friday, 16 November 2018 20:13 (nine months ago) link

And Randy Jones! As a '70s guy, that had me smiling mightily. (Did he think to check in with Clay Kirby?)

clemenza, Friday, 16 November 2018 20:20 (nine months ago) link

Who, come to think of it, once lost 20, and in '71/'72 went 27-27 with a ERA under 3.00. Clay would have counselled that he vote for deGrom.

clemenza, Friday, 16 November 2018 20:23 (nine months ago) link

Maffei, 70, said

k3vin k., Friday, 16 November 2018 21:53 (nine months ago) link

Scherzer and Nola were somewhat closer to deGrom than the tally indicates. Worrying about whether an award vote is unanimous... idgi. That said, if pitchers are supposed to be eligible for the MVP, the 8 guys who blanked deGrom clearly don't believe it.

And here's Jeff Sullivan who cast his AL vote for Verlander:

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/i-voted-for-justin-verlander/

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Friday, 16 November 2018 22:24 (nine months ago) link

I always like looking at updated award-shares on Baseball Reference. Scherzer has moved into 8th-place on the Cy list; Verlander into 11th; and Kluber into 15th. (Kershaw was shut out for the first time since 2010.) Trout is 11th on the MVP list--5.06 shares, which at least is a lot more representative than his two awards.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/leaders/mvp_cya.shtml

James had a tweet that 97 MVPs are in the HOF, 59 are not, 63%. But I assume the not-in total includes all active winners, some of whom will move into the other column. Of the last 23 winners starting in 2005--Pujols' first MVP; all winners before that are retired--I'd estimate that 12-15 will end up in the HOF, making the ratio more like 110-46, or 70%.

clemenza, Saturday, 17 November 2018 01:32 (nine months ago) link

I liked the Jeff Sullivan piece above--he's basically trying to figure out the same thing I was, how Snell gave up more baserunners than Verlander but fewer runs. He's doing it at a microscopic level--I can't do that--whereas I landed on HR and GIDP (I don't think he mentions either). And he's trying to figure out "To what extent was Snell responsible for his results?" He seems to conclude that there's a lot of luck and good defense involved, while also conceding that "I know pitchers sometimes try to pitch to their ballparks or defenses or whatnot."

I look at Snell's 15-3 advantage in GIDP (in fewer innings) and think, well, give four of the extra double-plays to his defense, four of them to luck/shifting, and the other four to Snell (pitchers do try to induce ground balls, right?). Pure guesswork, I know, but Sullivan admits that there's conjecture in what he does, too: "It’s very possible, if not probable, that’s not giving Snell enough credit. Maybe he was in some way able to pitch to his defenders."

I don't think there's a right answer. His evidence is interesting, but it's so granular, I think you're starting to drift away from the reality of all those extra runs. I liked this reader comment: "Some day, people will be using nothing but spin rate and pitch location to vote for Cy Young. Shortly thereafter, the award will be retired."

clemenza, Saturday, 17 November 2018 13:30 (nine months ago) link

Reader commenter OTM.

Some people tried to make a case for Rizzo based on WPA during the year that Harper won MVP. Nobody claimed that Rizzo had some magical clutch hitting ability, or that it was a repeatable skill, but the bottom line is that those hits did help his team win games, which obviously counts for something. If they'd been closer in WAR it might have made an impact on the voting, like with Snell and Verlander.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Saturday, 17 November 2018 17:37 (nine months ago) link

khris davis beats out j.d. martinez for the edgar martinez designated hitter of the year award

which is pretty absurd

mookieproof, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:10 (nine months ago) link

Huh? I'm pretty easy-going when it comes to award voting--I can at least almost always see the outline of the argument as to why some guy did or didn't win, even if I don't agree. But that makes zero sense. You're talking about .247/.326/.549 vs. .330/.402/.629., 2.9 WAR vs. 6.4. Not even close, no matter what metrics you use.

clemenza, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:40 (nine months ago) link

the edgar martinez award committee is corrupt

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:45 (nine months ago) link

Martinez appeared in 32 games as a RF, another 25 games in LF, 93 as DH.
Davis appeared in 11 games as a LF, 139 as DH.

i guess they just saw Davis as more of a pure DH? beats me

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:48 (nine months ago) link

apparently voters are instructed to take only stats as a DH into account; martinez hit .297/.373/.597 with 27 HR and 79 RBI in 93 games/400 PA as a DH while davis did essentially everything as a DH

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

mookieproof, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:48 (nine months ago) link

i mean...i'd still take that production over davis but ok

Karl Malone, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 19:51 (nine months ago) link

David Price and Jonny Venters have been named winners of the 2018 American League and National League Comeback Player of the Year Awards.

— Mark Feinsand (@Feinsand) November 20, 2018

mookieproof, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 20:35 (nine months ago) link

Wow, I didn't know Venters' story.

timellison, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 21:15 (nine months ago) link

Khris Davis's magic .247 hat trick carried the day

a Mets fan who gave up on everything in the mid '80s (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 20 November 2018 22:48 (nine months ago) link

the edgar martinez award committee is corrupt

Is this actually comprised of former DHs? What did Jeff Burroughs know, and when did he know it?

clemenza, Wednesday, 21 November 2018 03:26 (nine months ago) link


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