US Politics, October 2018: next week will be even longer

Beto isnt polling worse than trump was before the election. Maybe he is but I am not a numbers guy. I still believe.

Beto becomes a bad pun in certain hands , particularly if you miss spell it.

Is that where the idea came from?

Doh I'm republican don't know the difference between an o or an a

xp you mean Rosen? I hope Jackie Rosen beats Dean Heller and I hope Kyrsten Sinema beats Martha McSally , but not so sure about either anymore

it would also be really nice if Phil Bredesen beat Marsha Blackburn

The beta/alpha/cuck stuff is the most disgusting discourse i’ve ever seen.

ever?

wait a few days

ah right sorry I meant Rosen.

Sinema is polling ahead of McSally last time I checked.

Bredesen is behind though.

xp

Heller's barely ahead of Rosen. swap out Heller for Sinema in my original post

I know it's not that likely but I'm still hoping for a wave that sweeps Sinema, Rosen, Bredesen and O'Rourke into office and that holds the seats occupied by Heitkamp, McCaskill, Donnelly, Manchin and Nelson

I’m just bracing for the GOP to hold the House by one seat, no way I’m letting my hopes get higher.

that doesn't look very likely

they are being massively outspent by the Dems

I feel certain the house is a done deal. Dems may pick up one in the Senate or not. Beto winning would be a miracle, but I'm optimistic he'll push some close down ballot races over the top.

w any luck McConnell will keep fucking up and putting his flipper in his blobfishmouth https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mcconnell-gop-may-take-another-shot-at-repealing-obamacare-after-the-midterms/2018/10/17/7a0e7c70-d23c-11e8-8c22-fa2ef74bd6d6_story.html?utm_term=.190cd3ef7750

Beto isnt polling worse than trump was before the election. Maybe he is but I am not a numbers guy. I still believe.

I feel certain the house is a done deal.

She had worse odds than Barack going into election day on 538

That wasn't the mainstream opinion though. Heck, I've even seen her winning celebration video*.
* not really relevant but who on earth would I brag about this to otherwise?

barack in 08 or 12? xp

lads

12.

Yknow jinxes aren't real folx rite

Yeah, there is still a statistical chance dems won't win the house, but its lower than Trump's odds of beating Hillary. And I think momentum is very much on the Democrats side.

Beto basically needs to mobilize a huge # of voters who either haven't voted before and/or haven't been been reached by the national pollsters (read: Millennials) and hope that cancels out any GOP galvanization.

Or I guess I mean enthusiasm

xp to meeeeee

Beto needs a significant change in the direction of his race to have any kind of real chance.

It really doesn't look good for him

Admittedly I'm in Austin, but there's definitely an energy around his campaign that I've never seen here before.

i don't think polls can tell you who is actually gonna show up. cruz is relying on people being afraid of liberals, socialists, and illegal aliens. that was his message in the debates -- a negative one, against beto. he knows that he himself is not an attractive character, which seems like a weakness.

there are such things as upset victories. they do happen. it's probably not good for me, personally, to count on too many of them happening all at once, or any of them really. but i've been wanting to skip ahead to november 2018 ever since november 2016 and i'm feeling that anxiety now more than ever.

personally I think we've gone so far down the toilet that it will be a generation before we wind some of this crap back if ever

good mourning!

Is Beta O'rourke a mispelling turned into a cognitive fart.

& is it now a GOP meme or just down to that eejit on the panel show.

The NYT's political reporting continues to impress me:

Mr. Gillum’s admirers see in him a hybrid of Bernie Sanders and Barack Obama — an authentic progressive who supports higher corporate taxes and greater gun control, calls for the impeachment of President Trump and Medicare-for-all, and can inspire young and minority voters in a state that last elected a Democratic governor in 1994. And in recent days, he has been ubiquitous, in his city and on television, as he managed the fallout from Hurricane Michael, at one point commandeering a chain saw himself to help clear tree debris.

Yet an examination of Mr. Gillum’s record lays bare the central contradiction of his political life: Self-styled as an activist-minded populist, with a lunch-pail upbringing in south Miami-Dade County, he is also an avatar of the capital city he runs — a town powered by ambition, horse-trading and alliances with well-placed power players.

you call yourself progressive AND YET you live in a town

checkmate mr gillum

Political reporters are the dumbest fucking people on the planet.

remember when these idiots kept referring to Trump as a "blue-collar billionaire"

So much for the Senate truce on judges. ⁦@brianefallon⁩ tells me Dems got rolled. “They didn’t just get stuffed in a locker; they had their lunch money taken.” https://t.co/BND1HWwCvh

— Sheryl Gay Stolberg (@SherylNYT) October 17, 2018

who could've possibly thought the gop couldn't be held to their word etc

Schuuuuuumer

I dunno, Mr. Scorpion still seems like a chill dude who just wants to get across the river to me.

exclusive live feed from chuck schumer's office

http://cdn.evilbeetgossip.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/sideshow-bob-rakes.gif

http://cdn.evilbeetgossip.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/sideshow-bob-rakes.gif

enh fuckit you can work it out from the url

Schmuck is such a clueless wimp, but the voters never make him accountable, so it's a career

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2018/10/lefts-trump-sized-tax-plans/573328/

gotta admit i'm here for this

I am really annoyed that as notoriously and universally an unlikable dude as Ted Cruz is, that people not related to him by blood would vote for him en masse. We are so doomed.

Schumer isn't going to be a vote destroyer is he?
Keep hoping he's just going to be relegated to a point where he can do less harm.
& hope that news of this is going to get people incensed enough to try to change things.
NOt sure what tenure of a circuit court judge is.

I am really annoyed that as notoriously and universally an unlikable dude as Ted Cruz is, that people not related to him by blood would vote for him en masse.

I think it might make Republicans happier to vote for someone like Cruz, because since they're voting Republican to affirm their self-image as loyal Republicans, him being a repellent shitbag just lets them feel prouder that they still turned up and supported the party.

It is the party of repellent shitbags, after all

he is also an avatar of the capital city he runs -- a city notorious for its lassie with the classy chassis