US Politics, October 2018: next week will be even longer

She wants to preserve her "brand" in the hopes of a 2020 primary run, I suspect. She's quite well-liked by what remains of #NeverTrump.

needs time to primary T in '20

xp!

so these hopeful primary challengers are banking on the dems taking the house and uncovering some bad, bad stuff?

i don't really see a republican primary challenge to trump getting any more than, say, kasich got in the 2016 primary.

*any more than what kasich got in 2016

Eh, as much as I entertain any theory, I kinda wonder if 'the establishment' as such has such has gotten what they wanted out of Trump and are content to let him twist in the wind from here on in.

i go back and forth on that sometimes but right now I'm pretty firmly in the camp of believing that "the establishment" is utterly terrified of Trump's base and will do nothing to incur their wrath. this is mostly based on the disgusting level of bootlicking that so many 2018 candidates are displaying wrt Daddy Trump.

primary run against trump in 2020 would also be a good move for someone who has crackpot advisers telling them that a third-party bloomberg conservative could really do gangbusters in 2024. or some bizarre scenario where an extremely moronic Dem wins the nom in 2020 and is looking to construct a centrist fusion ticket for the general. or something. i mean it's the kiss of death if you ever want to run as just a plain old republican again, you'll never make it out of the primaries.

any Republican who challenges Trump in 2020 will be hated forever be the base
Haley and others will wait for 2024 and hope to be the return to sanity candidate

by the base

pols often think of themselves as exceptional, and Haley may be in that group

We may have to wait until 11/7 to see which way the wind blows the conviction-free weathervanes of the GOP re: their alignment with Trump. They may be afeared of the base now but that could change if the election results give them a sense of their impending obsolescence. Or the results might encourage them to double down on their investment in evil. Who can say. Anything is possible!

Ive hoped that if trump ever gets the curbjob he deserves “his” base will get cut by 2/3 and the leavers will pretend they always knew what an evil dipshit he was.

ha ~a lot~ has to happen for me to live my dream. I also predicted pre-inaug that,one way or another, he wouldnt finish his term so...
Xp

Republicans in "needing someone to pick a winner" quandry.

I'm distressed about Nikki Haley's resignation. Where will we find someone else willing to lie as brazenly about Iran? https://t.co/2YcnvQeSnB

— Jon Schwarz (@schwarz) October 9, 2018

Nikki Haley has been a clear, consistent, and powerful voice for America’s interests and democratic principles on the world stage. She challenged friend and foe to be better. I am saddened that she is leaving the administration, but so grateful for her service. Thank you, Nikki.

— Paul Ryan (@SpeakerRyan) October 9, 2018

Oh, I'm sure they'll find someone...

UN might be all like, hey, y'know, maybe we can offer that seat to another country while it's still warm.

all the countries will be plenty warm soon enough

holy fucking shit fox news and the president have taken the where's my soros check joke seriously holy christ

satire has been dead for a while, tbh

oh cool ivanka's gonna be ambassador to the un

https://preview.redd.it/ng9ukqbfc6r11.jpg?width=529&s=53b234027f8cf46d6951f29db35b4c30090693f5

oh god

as recently as a week ago i would've said, "no way will she be confirmed by the senate."

now...

Trump thanks Haley for making UN ambassador "a more glamorous position". pic.twitter.com/FT7flLJSgi

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) October 9, 2018

I don't understand why, when you have the opportunity to potentially slip beneath history's notice, you would instead eagerly put your head on the block next to your father's, but you do you, Shoggotha.

trump sniffing is my vote for the worst human sound

Definitely doesn’t make the presidency more glamorous

New CNN poll: Democrats advantage in generic ballot widens to 13%

CNN POLL CONDUCTED BY SSRS
Oct. 4-7
Likely Voters’
Choice for Congress

Democrat Republican

Now 54% 41%
September 52% 42%

— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) October 9, 2018

conducted after Kav's breakdown and purported GOP surge (Senate still close).

thanks taylor xp

j/k

but is 13% enough to counteract voter suppression / gerrymandering / cozy/fancy bear hacking/facebook/twitter-boofing? you've got this, america!

Justice Qualmsley, stay impartial.

It will all work out

hey guys the govt website went down and i can't figure out how to get it back up
looks all messed up on iphone (SE) too

I think there was some specific reason for this resignation they’re not sharing but who knows

do you all think it likely that Haley would want Graham's Senate seat if he gets appointed to the cabinet?

Haley is garbage and so is whoever they’ll put there next. Im not incurious as to why she left but also it doesn’t matter.

do you all think it likely that Haley would want Graham's Senate seat if he gets appointed to the cabinet?

― Dan S, Tuesday, October 9, 2018 12:35 P

Ding ding

Haley said she isn't running, also, this:
https://www.businessinsider.com/nikki-haley-resign-investigation-flights-free-private-jets-2018-10

It doesn't matter how much I like or dislike a politician, I've never, ever believed anybody who says they aren't running.

Even death can’t stop them

she said she's not running for president. what about an appointment by the SC governor to the senate, then running to keep her seat in 2020?

the senate theory makes sense. is graham going to be attorney general?

Ask him.

could be awkward. i don't talk to him as much as i talk to you guys.

but is 13% enough to counteract voter suppression / gerrymandering / cozy/fancy bear hacking/facebook/twitter-boofing? you've got this, america!

― reggie (qualmsley), Tuesday, October 9, 2018 12:25 PM Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

538 have a passable piece on this today, though to be clear it's about how high they'd have to be on the national popular vote (as distinct from the 'generic ballot' poll) to be expected to overcome gerrymandering.

I still don't get why senators want cabinet positions. even in the best case scenario you're trading a job where you only have to run for reelection every 6 years + have no boss for one with a fixed end date and a boss (in this case a particularly erratic one). like how could lindsay graham look at sessions' decision and be like "oh yeah I want to be in his spot."

^^^ that's been a head scratcher for me too

iirc senators have to spend like 6 hours of every day fundraising?