three months pass...
two months pass...
i don't know where else to put these random bits of info regarding future 3,000 career hit possibilities:
there are currently four active players with over 2,000 hits:
Pujols - 3,093
Cabrera - 2,692
Cano - 2,484
Markakis - 2,256
Pujols and Cabrera look like toast, Cano is 36 and may very well be (that K rate is presently a bit worrisome for him), and the best player out of that group now appears to be Markakis. I'd be surprised if he's able to get enough playing time to reach 3k, he's in that "Mark Grace with the Arizona Diamondbacks" phase of his career.
the list of active players at least halfway there with 1,500+ career hits is this:
Ian Kinsler (14, 37) - 1,951
Melky Cabrera (15, 34) - 1,874
Yadier Molina (16, 36) - 1,865
Adam Jones (14, 33) - 1,836
Hanley Ramirez (15, 35) - 1,834
Ryan Braun (13, 35) - 1,814
Dustin Pedroia (14, 35) - 1,805
Matt Kemp (14, 34) - 1,778
Curtis Granderson (16, 38) - 1,749
Ryan Zimmerman (15, 34) - 1,749
Joey Votto (13, 35) - 1,742
Edwin Encarnacion (15, 36) - 1,723
Hunter Pence (13, 36) - 1,709
Andrew McCutchen (11, 32) - 1,625
Howie Kendrick (14, 35) - 1,617
Justin Upton (12, 31) - 1,604
Evan Longoria (12, 33) - 1,602
Nelson Cruz (15, 38) - 1,590
Elvis Andrus (11, 30) - 1,585
Asdrubal Cabrera (13, 33) - 1,543
Ben Zobrist (14, 38) - 1,540
Brian McCann (15, 35) - 1,526
Shin-Soo Choo (15, 36) - 1,515
Andrus seems like he'd have the best shot out of that group, which isn't to say it's likely.
Going down to guys with 1200+ career hits (Trout is at 1,202), it looks like only he and Altuve (1,441 hits at age 29) seem like good bets. But also Trout seems like a guy who will walk more and more as time goes on, I could see him getting Bonds'd when it comes to 3k.
Castro, Hosmer, and Freeman are all between 1200 and 1500 career hits at 29 years old but I don't know....
It's only of interest to me because of the relative frequency with which players have joined the club in recent decades.
going back there were a few major gaps:
- 17 years between Eddie Collins and Paul Waner
- 16 between Waner and Musial
- 12 between Musial and Aaron
since then the longest break was 7 years between Carew and Yount, but since Yount there have been 15 more players who have joined (in 26 years).
― omar little, Thursday, 18 April 2019 18:41 (five years ago) link