The 2006 American Midterm Election Day Thread

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed
Not all messages are displayed: show all messages (1289 of them)
Automatic recount in MT kicks in with a 0.25% margin - Tester currently has a 0.44% advantage. In VA, it's 0.5% and Webb has the edge by 0.35%.

(xpost)

Yes, it will take weeks before we know the final composition of the Senate, but this limbo will be a little more pleasant than 2000 FL and 2004 OH, won't it?

(Good point, Edward O; I was trying to find a quick guide to the blueness of the area)

Michael Jones (MichaelJ), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:40 (seventeen years ago) link

Meagher also had less than 1000 votes cast in total then.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:42 (seventeen years ago) link

Oh, and if you're wondering, Dems did 10% better on Senate than they did on Prez in Meagher in 2000. Here's the psephological porn you seek:

http://uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/

Meagher is quite red, but on 2000 (certainly not on 2002!) figures, not quite red enough to take the margin under .25%.

edward o (edwardo), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:46 (seventeen years ago) link

I did not read any of this thread, because I was working as an Ohio Democratic poll stander for 13 hours yesterday. My quads hurt.

I was shocked to discover that most of the stuff in my area went off without a hitch. Biggest problem I had personal knowledge of: adjoining precinct was (initially) forcing folks to cast provisional ballots in situations where they should be entitled to cast normal ballots (where the voter is registered at a previous address in the same county, or has a different address than the current registration address on a driver's license). That appeared to be cleaned up by mid-day after some squawking by nonpartisan election attorneys and a robocall to all of the head poll judges from the board of elections.

I am sad because my father lost his judicial race, but we are all thrilled because of the huge Ohio Dem Sweep. Tiberi's win (and Debbie Pryce's possible win) must be bitter candy for those fuckers over at the Ohio GOP!

J (Jay), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:47 (seventeen years ago) link

well done j! (sry abt yr dad)

jhoshea megafauna (scoopsnoodle), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:49 (seventeen years ago) link

Jennifer Gratz, the U-M applicant in 1995 who was wait-listed and later spurred the case heard by the Supreme Court, served as the executive director of the Michigan Civil Rights Initiative, sponsor of the proposal.

I knew someone who went to high school w/her and apparently she was a major druggie HOOR. But I'm sure she thinks that had nothing to do with any good university shooting her down, it was all evil affirmative action.

Beth S. (Ex Leon), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 15:56 (seventeen years ago) link

That whole story makes me sick.

Euai Kapaui (tracerhand), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:07 (seventeen years ago) link

I am sad because my father lost his judicial race

Whoa! (Sorry to hear it.)

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:07 (seventeen years ago) link

Yeah, U of M AA issues have been around for at least a decade. This shit was bubbling even when I was a student there.

kingfish prætor (kingfish 2.0), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:14 (seventeen years ago) link

She's from Lincoln Park, fer cryin' out loud -- she should have counted herself lucky to have got into WCCC.

Beth S. (Ex Leon), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:17 (seventeen years ago) link

MT reporting from WaPo

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:25 (seventeen years ago) link

New York, N.Y.: Dear Mr. Sabato-do you see the possibility of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama ticket in 2008? Thanks.

Larry Sabato: It's a possibility, though right now there are hundreds of possible combinations for both parties' presidential tickets. Hillary Clinton is likely to go into the '08 race with support from roughly 40 percent of likely primary and caucus voters. A candidate can win with 40 percent in a split field, but a candidate can also lose with 40 if a single opponent arises. This will be the question for the Dems in 2008. Barack Obama is certainly a rising star in the Democratic Party, although the Democrats chose another charismatic, one-term Senator in 2004 and it didn't do a whole lot to help their outcome.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:30 (seventeen years ago) link

charismatic?

Euai Kapaui (tracerhand), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:36 (seventeen years ago) link

Among the dead, even Kerry is charismatic in comparison.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:37 (seventeen years ago) link

Zombies have more moxie, though.

Beth S. (Ex Leon), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:37 (seventeen years ago) link

I think they're talking about Edwards?

jaymc (jaymc), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:39 (seventeen years ago) link

They are talking about Edwards (since it's re: VP candidates).

David R. (popshots75`), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:40 (seventeen years ago) link

yeah - he's more cute than charismatic tho

jhoshea megafauna (scoopsnoodle), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:42 (seventeen years ago) link

hint: Kerry was not a "one-term Senator"

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:45 (seventeen years ago) link

(sorry for putting this on the wrong thread)

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:46 (seventeen years ago) link

I'm sure she thinks that had nothing to do with any good university shooting her down, it was all evil affirmative action

She didn't get shot down. She got wait-listed. And everyone else on the wait list got accepted but she withdrew from the list before that happened and started this hateful campaign. I guess she didn't want to get to U of M as much as she wanted to get into right-wing politics.

BrianB (BrianB), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:47 (seventeen years ago) link

I like Rahm Emmanuel! He reminds me of a stoner friend i had in college.

deej.. (deej..), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:48 (seventeen years ago) link

The right wing is probably the only group silly enough to employ someone that sketchy. x-post.

Beth S. (Ex Leon), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:49 (seventeen years ago) link

Illinois races were a little disappointing, sans Melissa Bean's win. The big news here was Cook County President race, where Tony Peraica led his followers through downtown from their hotel to election headquarters to protest the lag in vote counting. He had a big angry speech that was pretty amusing. I voted for Stroger although I'm really not enamored of either candidate (Peraica's daughter is cute tho)

deej.. (deej..), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:49 (seventeen years ago) link

I guess you can't accuse her of not having the courage of her convictions. That she should be treated like a fucking princess by people who don't even know her.

xpost

Euai Kapaui (tracerhand), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:50 (seventeen years ago) link

I mean state offices were good I guess, glad Alexi Giannoulias won state treasurer even if he looks like he's my age. But Duckworth, Laesch and Dan Seals all lost, I was hoping for an upset in one of those three (particularly for Duckworth.)

deej.. (deej..), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:50 (seventeen years ago) link

MT margin over 3000 now, anyone care to call it now?

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:55 (seventeen years ago) link

consider it called

jhoshea megafauna (scoopsnoodle), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:58 (seventeen years ago) link

Yay for Democracy (but come on, there weren't any serious races in ME - Dems don't even like their Gov much)

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 16:59 (seventeen years ago) link

Y'know, thinking about something Morbz said upthread about the next two years being worse, I can specify that: i think they'll be filled with horror, as we start to find out exactly what the fuck has been going on for the last 3-5 years.

kingfish prætor (kingfish 2.0), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:00 (seventeen years ago) link

it is tempting (and too hopeful by half) to think of this as Bush's 1973

Euai Kapaui (tracerhand), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:06 (seventeen years ago) link

Yeah, far too hopeful. It was always going to be a tragic couple of years here.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:06 (seventeen years ago) link

http://www.gothamist.com/attachments/jen/2006_11_pelosischumer.jpg

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:10 (seventeen years ago) link

Already linked, I think, but chat with Sabato this morning -- he won the prediction award, pretty much.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:14 (seventeen years ago) link

more personal satisfaction:

Nick Lampson took Tom Delay's seat in Texas, Space took Bob Ney's seat in ohio, & Tim Mahoney took Foley's seat in Florida.

Unfortunately, Bilbray hangs on to Duke Cunningham's seat in California, beating Francine Busby by 15K.

kingfish prætor (kingfish 2.0), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:20 (seventeen years ago) link

notice who was absent from Dem fete on the hill: Howard Dean (well planned all, that wasn't the moment to give him the mic, for sure)

Tom DeLay was on MSNBC this morning trying hard to spin this one - my fave moment was when he argued that he'd been indicted under laws that weren't actually in place

dar1a g (daria g), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:24 (seventeen years ago) link

Anyone have the info on state legislatures nationwide?

roc u like a § (ex machina), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:24 (seventeen years ago) link

have virginia and montana both been called then?

Britain's Obtusest Shepherd (Alan), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:28 (seventeen years ago) link

Not yet, but MT seems to be in the bag for Tester.

Ed (dali), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:30 (seventeen years ago) link

have you all seen this: http://www.theonion.com/content/node/54918?utm_source=onion_rss_daily

Britain's Obtusest Shepherd (Alan), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:31 (seventeen years ago) link

mt's likely over as there has to be less than a .25% spread for a recount.

in virginia the threshold is 1% sothere will probably be a recount (which could be interesting as it increases the likelihood of gop dirty tricks being uncovered).

jhoshea megafauna (scoopsnoodle), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:31 (seventeen years ago) link

Biting down hard at a certain DC address. Press conference in half an hour.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:32 (seventeen years ago) link

Rahm:

"Tonight the news has arrived from every corner of the country - the American people have sent a resounding and unmistakeable message of change and a new direction for America!

"We accept your votes not as a victory for our party but as an opportunity for our country. All Americans have recognised that what we are doing in Iraq isn't working and we need to change course."

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:34 (seventeen years ago) link

I can specify that: i think they'll be filled with horror, as we start to find out exactly what the fuck has been going on for the last 3-5 years.

Let the betting pool for the total number of subpoenas begin

Elvis Telecom (Chris Barrus), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:34 (seventeen years ago) link

this is the first time i can recall looking forward to a bush press conference.

jhoshea megafauna (scoopsnoodle), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:34 (seventeen years ago) link

it is tempting (and too hopeful by half) to think of this as Bush's 1973

The diff is Bush only has a year to go to true lame duckitude, Nixon had 3-1/2 years left when the shit really hit. The conv 'wisdom' will rule out beheading W.

Also, the Dems had Bella Abzug and Shirley Chisholm then, we get Pelosi.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:36 (seventeen years ago) link

yeah, FBI's already launched the investigation of the VI robo-call shenanigans, among other things

kingfish prætor (kingfish 2.0), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:40 (seventeen years ago) link

this is the first time i can recall looking forward to a bush press conference.

hahaha OTM

Summary of the e-voting problems - gotta skip an ad to get to it, though

Edward III (edward iii), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:40 (seventeen years ago) link

Some brilliant stratagery (applies to that Rove thread too):

There's plenty of evidence to suggest that President Bush may have been the deciding factor that killed the GOP's momentum in some key Senate races over the last week. One Republican consultant is convinced that Bush's last-minute visit to Missouri on behalf of ousted GOP Sen. Jim Talent did the incumbent in. According to the network exit polls, Democrat Claire McCaskill crushed Talent among those late-breaking voters who decided in the final three days (a full 11 percent of the electorate). Bush also made a last-minute trip to Montana, where anecdotal evidence indicates the president's rally for Republican Conrad Burns stopped the incumbent's momentum in Billings.

It's hard not to look at the White House and wonder if it was flying blind. For 18 months, there was evidence that this was going to be a tough midterm thanks to basic history (six-year itch, after all) and the war in Iraq. So why didn't Karl Rove attempt to do what he did in '02 and '04 and dictate the terms of the debate? It was clear this was going to be a national election, yet the White House stuck to its "stay the course" guns for way too long. Northeastern Republicans were desperate for Bush to pivot on Iraq and he just wouldn't do it. When he finally did, it was too late.

The political arm of the Bush White House doesn't usually miss this badly, but it appears this election was misjudged from the beginning. Maybe they believed all the "genius" books that were being written about them.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:43 (seventeen years ago) link

Official calls for Tester coming in. All down to Virginia now.

Ned Raggett (Ned), Wednesday, 8 November 2006 17:44 (seventeen years ago) link


You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.