2017_____N–B–A–S–T–A–T–S_____2018

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seems like "the analytically minded basketball fan" has kinda moved on from advanced stats to understanding basketball plays which is interesting in that it runs contrary to numbers guys hierarchy of knowledge

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 18:51 (six years ago) link

but i think its correct as far as how basketball functions the scheme is the most fundamental thing its the context on which everything else depends

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 18:52 (six years ago) link

statistic strives to normalize the scheme in order to make an apples to apples comparison across the league but its just really hard, maybe impossible, and maybe not that useful from a teams perspective for actual basketball business which is interesting

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 18:56 (six years ago) link

the big catch all stats are failures but the granular data is easily understood within the context of the scheme and is translatable across schemes if you understand the schemes

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:01 (six years ago) link

like is some blackbox defensive metric saying the giannis isnt that good of a defender for who knows what reason, well when we examine the player tracking data it says he is a very good defender in all aspects of the game except on the perimeter, when we look at his perimeter defense it says hes excellent when matched up with his man but struggles when switching, what do we know about the bucks defensive scheme, we know that it encourages tons of chaotic double teams and switching which doesnt work good, from out investigation we can conclude that giannis contrary to what the fancy advanced stat says in is fact likely an excellent defender who is playing in a bad scheme and would thrive in a good one, which not coincidentally is the same conclusion one wld reach by watching him play, thank u this has been my nba stats fan fic

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:09 (six years ago) link

now u cld try to create a stat which notices when everyone on a team tends to struggle in certain areas and labels it scheme and tries to account for it but it prob wldnt work and whats the point anyway like maybe its a scheme issue or maybe its a personnel which is a differentiation which is easy for a human to understand and very difficult for a computer to and youre never going to have a 100% quant basketball team so why not let the computers do the stuff theyre good at and let the humans do the stuff they are, humans are gonna make the decisions anyway

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:18 (six years ago) link

in conclusion in the words of smart stats boys everywhere "its stauskas"

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:23 (six years ago) link

ive found recently that reading about NBA plays makes the game feel super boring to me

J0rdan S., Friday, 29 December 2017 19:24 (six years ago) link

I get the appeal of stats, but I'd rather hear (current) players' and (opposing) coaches' thoughts about/ratings of players than someone like Zack Lowe (who I really like) talk about stats. Way more interesting and feel like I learn more.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 29 December 2017 19:24 (six years ago) link

whereas w/ the NFL it's the opposite

J0rdan S., Friday, 29 December 2017 19:25 (six years ago) link

I geek out on scouting reports like some people do on stats

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 29 December 2017 19:25 (six years ago) link

like understanding all the movements and battles away from the ball in football help contextualize the action that draws your eyes, whereas in basketball when i read about that stuff the game starts to feel orchestrated and motorized in a way i find dispiriting

J0rdan S., Friday, 29 December 2017 19:26 (six years ago) link

agree

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 29 December 2017 19:26 (six years ago) link

huh weird wldnt have thought of that i feel like it helps me see the game better and plays in basketball are so much more wide open than in football anyway, theyre just sketches really, also the best nba players consistently destroy all schemes employed against them which is a neat feature and a good argument against stats tendency to value efficiency above everything and glorify role players who like hit a lot of open threes

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:33 (six years ago) link

nfl fans appreciation of scheme is def way ahead of the nbas tho, almost entirely because of madden (the game)

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 19:40 (six years ago) link

i think nba schematic stuff can be interesting but it’s a little abstract and in the back of my mind i’m always thinking about how many teams even basic scheme breaks down and teams have to improv.

call all destroyer, Friday, 29 December 2017 20:13 (six years ago) link

its scheme vs scheme but sometimes u gotta just make something happen!

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 20:17 (six years ago) link

its not any coincidence that the best team over the long haul the spurs is also the most dedicated to quality robust scheming

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 20:18 (six years ago) link

It's interesting to observe and contemplate at times, but most of the time I don't want to have to think like a coach when I'm watching which is why I agree w/Jordan for most part.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 29 December 2017 21:00 (six years ago) link

like Thibs (to take the extreme example) does not look like he ever enjoys watching NBA guys play and I don't want to be anywhere near him on that spectrum.

A True White Kid that can Jump (Granny Dainger), Friday, 29 December 2017 21:01 (six years ago) link

reading about nba at a granular level has def improved my understanding and enjoyment of the game, but i think it's mostly about the way pick and rolls playout, defensive coverages generally etc. reading about set plays and that kinda stuff doesn't appeal to me much right now, tho it can be fun to recognize plays happening in real time

J0rdan S., Friday, 29 December 2017 21:14 (six years ago) link

otm. i like when teams run plays that you start to recognize like elevator doors when someone is hot, or the hammer play that the spurs made now everyone does. but for the most part i just like to watch without thinking about it too much. i do like watching defensive switching, though.

Spottie, Friday, 29 December 2017 21:19 (six years ago) link

yeah i mean im def not in coach mode when im watching nba my awareness of plays and schemes has gone from like 1% to 7% im still mostly in it for sick hooping and big wins

lag∞n, Friday, 29 December 2017 22:13 (six years ago) link

knowledge of "advanced stats" and knowledge of schemes/plays are of course not diametrically opposed things, as lagoon mentions you need some sort of grasp of scheme to be able to place advanced stats into context, and to understand the limitations of individual statistics

k3vin k., Friday, 29 December 2017 22:17 (six years ago) link

boogie
32-20-8-2-5 in a loss to dallas

Spottie, Saturday, 30 December 2017 03:31 (six years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DSWYds0VQAA42YC.jpg

Spottie, Sunday, 31 December 2017 07:01 (six years ago) link

38 in 26 minutes tonight

Spottie, Sunday, 31 December 2017 07:02 (six years ago) link

0 TOs too, pretty rare for him

Spottie, Sunday, 31 December 2017 07:03 (six years ago) link

dammit i love this man

Steph Curry is so much fun it's weird pic.twitter.com/UaqYfHTZEW

— Drew Shiller (@DrewShiller) December 31, 2017

Spottie, Sunday, 31 December 2017 07:05 (six years ago) link

derozan franchise record 52 pts

52-5-8-1-1

Spottie, Tuesday, 2 January 2018 03:18 (six years ago) link

he's having a nice year.

call all destroyer, Tuesday, 2 January 2018 03:22 (six years ago) link

could be why:

Last season, DeRozan took 31% of his shots from 16 ft to the 3 pt line. 8% of his shots were 3s.

So far this season (before tonight's game), the long 2s are down to 18.7% and 3s are up to 16.3%.

— Dave DuFour (@DaveDuFourNBA) January 2, 2018

Spottie, Tuesday, 2 January 2018 08:08 (six years ago) link

Gary Harris

36-4-3-2

14/17 fg

Spottie, Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:03 (six years ago) link

he's legit

J0rdan S., Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:04 (six years ago) link

25-13 for kelly o tonight. kind of been a great signing by the heat.

J0rdan S., Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:05 (six years ago) link

He’s outplayed whiteside a bit, no?

Spottie, Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:07 (six years ago) link

whiteside was hurt for a month and has been kinda miserable since coming back lsat week. boban was working him tonight.

J0rdan S., Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:09 (six years ago) link

kelly can kill most centers on offense but has some rim protection issues vs teams that have guys who really get to the rim

J0rdan S., Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:15 (six years ago) link

3 years after the pistons stunned the world with their pick, stanley johnson (hurt) and justise winslow (hurt) combined for 0 points tonight

J0rdan S., Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:16 (six years ago) link

lol. every time i look at a stanley johnson statline this year i swear its like 0/8 or 0/9 shooting every time

Spottie, Thursday, 4 January 2018 06:27 (six years ago) link

I was shocked by this stat when I found it.

From my article on the main area Porzingis needs to improve upon to take the next step (Insider): https://t.co/daujupdB7A pic.twitter.com/fE6EuC8G14

— Ben Falk (@bencfalk) January 4, 2018

call all destroyer, Thursday, 4 January 2018 18:55 (six years ago) link

yeah I wanted to read that article this morning but I don't subscribe, looked interesting

k3vin k., Thursday, 4 January 2018 19:10 (six years ago) link

i can't really justify paying for ben's stuff but i wish i did

call all destroyer, Thursday, 4 January 2018 19:14 (six years ago) link

Curry per 36

Unanimous MVP season: 31.7 pts on .669 true shooting / 5.7 reb / 7.0 ast / 3.5 tov
This season so far: 30.8 pts on .668 true shooting / 5.8 reb / 7.0 ast / 3.1 tov

Fetchboy, Sunday, 7 January 2018 04:06 (six years ago) link

He’s been crazy good and another level since coming back too.

Spottie, Sunday, 7 January 2018 04:17 (six years ago) link

IT2 averaging 27pts per 30mins this season

lag∞n, Monday, 8 January 2018 04:37 (six years ago) link

Rookies 20 or less with 15-point, 15-rebound and 5-block games: Shaq, Karl-Anthony Towns and Bam Adebayo.

— Clevis Murray (@ClevisMurray) January 10, 2018



bam looks kinda awesome

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 10 January 2018 05:51 (six years ago) link

fun game too! game winners and a couple scuffles and an actual fight
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6gd0gsdSF0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouSAEc0X0To

Spottie, Wednesday, 10 January 2018 07:47 (six years ago) link

cp3 37-7-11

lag∞n, Thursday, 11 January 2018 18:05 (six years ago) link

bam looks kinda awesome
― J0rdan S., Wednesday, January 10, 2018 12:51 AM (yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

lookin like a steal 4 sure

lag∞n, Thursday, 11 January 2018 18:05 (six years ago) link


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