2015 UK General Election campaign & aftermath discussion thread.

My local polling station was mobbed (relatively).

Mine said when i went after 2 that turnout had been good but way down on the referendum(95% voted there last year) but he said still a good turnout based on previous ones plus it would get really busy later on when people finish work.

i saw two other people voting in govan which is a better turnout than i've ever seen here

71% had voted at my polling station with an hour to go.

betfred paid up on tories getting most seats an hour ago. Assume there must be an exit poll

Jesus, BBC exit poll:

Tories 316
Labour 239
SNP 58
Lib Dems 10

... garbage surely?

how wrong can it be?

What the fucking fuck?

Thought it would be a big lead but not that big.

o_0

FUCK

guys i may have to go and hide all the sharp things in the house

Idk why people are saying 326 is the requirement when Sinn Feinn don't take their seats.

Labour, you're and embarrassment, get tae fuck.

323 is more like it, Tories at anything like 300 + can form a workable enough coalition

Not even the annihilation of the Lib Dems can lift my spirits.

as much as it pains me to say this,

but given my straw poll via FB/pub/friends etc, the tories have it.

of course i do live in a very blue groove area, but still my FB feed has been full of mail/express/telegraph media fed bullshit ..

hence tonight i am getting drunk.

tomorrow is going to be unpleasant.

(i will be in the pub for the day .. either way it goes, it seems appropriate)

agree with Tom, this is souring what shd be a glorious evening

that exit poll could be completely wrong of course... maybe it could even worse :(

Single figures would be better tbf (xp)

poor Nick Robinson already cheered himself hoarse

i feel bad enough to watch Al Murray on Dave right now

oh good counting races what fun

Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn 4m4 minutes ago

Breaking: YouGov exit poll - CON 284 MPs, LAB 263, LIBS 31, SNP 48, UKIP 2, PLAID 3, GREEN 1

^ that's more like it

Uhhhh, that's quite a difference.

BBC, you're an embarrassment, get tae fuck.

sixth formers scurrying around with ballot boxes

i needed that Yougov poll

Well, one group of pollsters is for the high jump after this.

yeah, rooting for the yougov lads & lasses here

Come on Yougov, you can do it!

i liked the game young ones running the ballot boxes as lovingly narrated by fiona bruce, i want more of this

come on you gov xp

can someone explain to me under what scenarios the Tories don't come out as the ruling party

Yougov sample size is less than a third of BBC and idk about its methodology.

xp

broadly speaking - if between them and their possible coalition partners they don't have somewhere in the region of 320 seats

They could probably govern on their own with 316, tbh.

Definitely.

yeah sure

their possible coalition partners is not many, whatever happens

starting to wonder whether smashed Lib Dems and Tory gov isn't better than unsmashed LDs and more fragile Tory gov, if those are the two most likely outcomes

They could probably govern on their own with 316

ok well since they seem well short of 316 I guess I'm asking who their coalition partners would be. I know the UKIP are insane racist rightwingers and the Greens are obviously on Labour's side but I'm not familiar with the allegiances of the Lib Dems and SNP

xp

They've been in coalition with the Lib Dems for the last 5 years.

A lot depends on Clegg. If he loses his seat, the reformed LDs will go to Labour, I think. YouGov poll does give coalition a slim majority, mind

the BBC exit poll gives the Tories 316. UKIP will maybe get 2 seats and wouldn't go into formal coalition with them. The Northern Irish Unionist parties wd be likely to broadly support them on most issues

Nate Silvet dubious about that exit poll.

Silver

i don't believe whoever's left in charge of the Lib Dems will be able to deliver all their surviving MPs to the Tories

The BBC one I mean

bbc exit poll from last time round was bang-on, sadly, iirc