Breaking -- The human race has waived Josh Smith: 2014-15 regular season thread part 2

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of course maybe that year we get kings-lakers in the finals. but maybe they never play.

J0rdan S., Thursday, 19 March 2015 14:57 (nine years ago) link

what if u went back in time and killed hitlers mother

lag∞n, Thursday, 19 March 2015 14:58 (nine years ago) link

"manipulating" only makes sense here if you think conferences are like some sort of natural state of being, which clearly you do

― lag∞n, Thursday, March 19, 2015 10:56 AM (27 seconds ago) Bookmark

no i don't mind messing with the conferences or rethinking them altogether. ziller's old idea for regrouping the NBA strictly by region actually made a lot of sense and would prob be a net plus for the nba.

i just think shuffling the teams at the beginning of the playoffs every single year is an overrated idea

J0rdan S., Thursday, 19 March 2015 14:58 (nine years ago) link

its not shuffling it wld just be the system

lag∞n, Thursday, 19 March 2015 14:59 (nine years ago) link

i mean what if were shuffling... now

lag∞n, Thursday, 19 March 2015 14:59 (nine years ago) link

lagoon otm

k3vin k., Thursday, 19 March 2015 16:55 (nine years ago) link

its not just like an outdated legacy system based on travel logistics or anything

But of course they can't even hold to that-- Minnesota should absolutely be in Eastern conference and play Milwaukee 4 times a year.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:43 (nine years ago) link

J0rdan S. wrote this on thread the lakers have just pooped their big-boy pants: 2012-2013 NBA regular season thread (part 2) on board I Love Hoops on Dec 23, 2012

it's completely absurd that draymond green didn't get picked in the first round

It was entirely reasonable, he was a tweener who couldn't shoot.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:45 (nine years ago) link

Not that it means much but this year Draymond has a lower PER than Carlos Boozer does! Haha

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:50 (nine years ago) link

xp a fair amount of people get drafted in the first round who can't shoot. rudy gobert still can't shoot.

slothroprhymes, Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:54 (nine years ago) link

It was entirely reasonable, he was a tweener who couldn't shoot.

― Matt Armstrong, Thursday, March 19, 2015 3:45 PM (11 minutes ago) Bookmark

wrong

J0rdan S., Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:56 (nine years ago) link

he was and is a skilled big man

J0rdan S., Thursday, 19 March 2015 19:57 (nine years ago) link

he was and is a skilled big man

Right but he was a tweener who couldn't shoot.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:22 (nine years ago) link

Not that it means much but this year Draymond has a lower PER than Carlos Boozer does! Haha

Ahhhh good old PER

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:22 (nine years ago) link

Oh wait you're not entirely right, he's not a "big man." He's a 6'6 swing forward.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:24 (nine years ago) link

Another guy with a higher PER: David Lee

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:26 (nine years ago) link

What are some good stats for 2015

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:35 (nine years ago) link

what's the story with David Lee, I seem to have missed why he's out of the picture

Clay, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:38 (nine years ago) link

defense

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:42 (nine years ago) link

yeah figured

Clay, Thursday, 19 March 2015 20:43 (nine years ago) link

What are some good stats for 2015

― polyphonic, Thursday, March 19, 2015 4:35 PM (37 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

the best available single-stat right now is RPM. it has its own kinks but it's hard to argue with the majority of the list of top players it generates. and generally it avoids putting questionable stat-stuffers (whiteside, javale) near the top

k3vin k., Thursday, 19 March 2015 21:23 (nine years ago) link

It's weird to me that you like RPM so much kev, cuz you thought DRPM superstar Larry Sanders wasn't all that

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 21:30 (nine years ago) link

Khris Middleton is waaaay up there. Huh

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 21:33 (nine years ago) link

Middleton is gonna get like 10m a year this offseason

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 21:35 (nine years ago) link

He was drafted four spots after Draymond

polyphonic, Thursday, 19 March 2015 21:45 (nine years ago) link

It's weird to me that you like RPM so much kev, cuz you thought DRPM superstar Larry Sanders wasn't all that

― Matt Armstrong, Thursday, March 19, 2015 5:30 PM (33 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i never doubted sanders was a great defensive player. i questioned how sustainable his success was given his body type and lack of offensive game, and hence the big contract he got. (it wasn't even until later that all the character stuff surfaced iirc)

middleton is an interesting case. one of RPM's issues seems to be multicollinearity. in other words, the selling point of RPM is that it is supposed to account for the quality of both teammates** and opponents. sometimes a player plays almost exclusively with other players, and so even statistically it is difficult to separate out whether the effect is due to that player's skill or the fact that he just plays with really good (or bad) teammates. that's what multicollinearity is. it's a stat issue found anywhere these sorts of regressions are run; you see it in the medical literature too. it's hard to avoid. anyway haralabob's theory about middleton and his RPM is that he played a lot of minutes with brandon knight, and since middleton is taller (height is an input because historically it correlates with sustainable success), RPM credited middleton when it should have credited knight. who knows though, we'll see what his numbers post-ASB look like

**this is an area where RPM represents a vast improvement over some of the old lineup stats, like defensive rating. go look at the ORTG of guys like tyson chandler or tiago splitter -- theyre amazing, and for a long while a lot of stat-challenged sportswriters who nonetheless wanted to look like they were keeping with the trends would cite this and describe them as underrated offensive players or something. when anyone with a brain knew it was just because they played as part of great team offenses (or in, say, david west or george hill's cases and DRTG, great team defenses

k3vin k., Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:21 (nine years ago) link

i never doubted sanders was a great defensive player. i questioned how sustainable his success was given his body type and lack of offensive game, and hence the big contract he got. (it wasn't even until later that all the character stuff surfaced iirc)

IIRC your take was "Sanders wasn't that great, he just blocked some shots."

I have no idea what you mean by "his body type."

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:29 (nine years ago) link

he's like corey brewer plus a couple of inches, no?

k3vin k., Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:31 (nine years ago) link

.... No that's not what he's like.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:32 (nine years ago) link

He's like 6'9 235.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:33 (nine years ago) link

Guys like that don't really get injured that much anyways. Injury risk greater for bulky guys or leapers.

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:34 (nine years ago) link

He did have weird shit happen like breaking his hands I guess

Matt Armstrong, Thursday, 19 March 2015 22:35 (nine years ago) link

how is whiteside is a meaningless stat stuffer?

J0rdan S., Friday, 20 March 2015 00:53 (nine years ago) link

of questionable stat stuffer

J0rdan S., Friday, 20 March 2015 00:53 (nine years ago) link

sit it out man not worth it

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 01:17 (nine years ago) link

yeah they really need to just shut him down

Clay, Friday, 20 March 2015 01:28 (nine years ago) link

and cincinnati has a lay up rim out bounce off the background and back in to send their game to OT

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 01:31 (nine years ago) link

tournament is p cool

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 01:31 (nine years ago) link

oops

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 01:31 (nine years ago) link

harden 50 pts

brimstead, Friday, 20 March 2015 02:32 (nine years ago) link

he can really score that dang basketball i tell you what hes crafty

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 02:33 (nine years ago) link

http://m.newsok.com/more-foot-soreness-casts-doubt-on-durants-return-to-lineup-this-season/article/5402875

― Clay, Thursday, March 19, 2015 9:11 PM (1 hour ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

I kinda breezed thru simmons trade valu part whatever since u know the trade deadline was a month ago BUT he was otm on one thing- the eerie parallels between the durant situation and KG in 2009 when the celtics kept being like no really he's coming back in two weeks no wait a few days no wait sometime during the playoffs oh wait nevermind

Of course based on the OKC medical history he will be back for four garbage games at the end of the season tweak a wrist or something they'll say he's out for the first two rounds and he'll be back in the first round and then get injured again and they'll get bounced

we just form a f#!king wall (agent hibachi), Friday, 20 March 2015 02:40 (nine years ago) link

simmons dropped him to sixth because of foot worry, lil excessive imho

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 02:41 (nine years ago) link

Oh he's still probably in the top three or so if you actually made the rankings based on what kind of trade haul would get him, like who would OKC actually consider trading him for in a vacuum, maybe Lebron or the brow

He should really just call the top 20 this season's most compelling NBA players for watching or something

we just form a f#!king wall (agent hibachi), Friday, 20 March 2015 02:44 (nine years ago) link

harden 50 pts
--brimstead

22 at the fucking free throw line lol, noottttt impresseeeeeddd

slothroprhymes, Friday, 20 March 2015 02:44 (nine years ago) link

bron prob shldve been sixth

lag∞n, Friday, 20 March 2015 02:45 (nine years ago) link

durant's this close to the 'should the thunder trade him so at least they get something?' conversation getting truly obnoxious, plus w/ the exception of maybe supposedly washington any team he got dealt to would be in the same spot of 'is he gonna walk' only without whatever loyalty, etc okc has maybe built up. throw in the injury and i could see it depressing his trade value vs how good a player he actually is.

balls, Friday, 20 March 2015 03:32 (nine years ago) link

Now I am drinking because of rodney hood http://i.imgur.com/M8LvkRF.jpg

Matt Armstrong, Friday, 20 March 2015 03:48 (nine years ago) link

If rodney hood has a 30 point second half I will buy all of ILH a round

Matt Armstrong, Friday, 20 March 2015 03:51 (nine years ago) link


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