Will that guy on Jeopardy ever lose?

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the press your luck guy "cheated" the same way card counters "cheat", iirc

k3vin k., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 14:59 (ten years ago) link

re: the tying strategy - it's not something you could exploit every game, but he clearly seized on the opportunity to improve his chances for the next game. pretty smart, i'd say!

btw, lol at a the large segment of the internet's reaction to this guy that's like "he's not doing anything great, everyone knows this stuff". yeah, clearly if any of US were on jeopardy we'd be busting out the game theory moves left and right

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 14:59 (ten years ago) link

My impression is that if he's allowing someone to tie him then that person may be a threat to beat him though I was missing that he likely had a huge lead when this happened. Sending a message of "I want you to appear on the next show because I think you're below average" does seem rather villainous even if it is brilliant.

frogbs, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:01 (ten years ago) link

http://i.imgur.com/zSHQHdZ.png

Who are these people. I recognize Pierce Brosnan but none of the others

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:02 (ten years ago) link

those ppl always look alike to me

balls, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:03 (ten years ago) link

so how many episodes has he won so far, 3 or is it 4 now? it seems like a lot of press coverage even if it's his playing style that's getting the attention, are winning streaks of more than a couple days that rare?

scott c-word (some dude), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:04 (ten years ago) link

I think it's up to 5? And they're doing a Tournie so he's not back until the end of Feb

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:05 (ten years ago) link

Also pure game theory disregards the mental states of the contestants

http://thefinalwager.co/2014/01/29/final-jeopardy-january-29-2014/

The first is based strictly on game theory. The whole point of Jeopardy! (see my Rule #0) is to come back the next day; you have a higher chance of doing so if you withhold that extra dollar.

Whether you’re playing a proven challenger or a random player from the pool in your next game is irrelevant. Thinking about your next game is like looking down the field for the end zone before you’ve caught the ball. You need to BE in that next game for it to matter!

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:07 (ten years ago) link

yeah, clearly if any of US were on jeopardy we'd be busting out the game theory moves left and right

I remember a category in Double Jeopardy "also a chess piece" which was super easy, considering there are only 6 pieces and five of them were answers, I mean I got them all and I'm pretty stupid. Last clue of the category was a daily double and I was sure the contestant would wager everything, there's only 2 possible answers barring some sort of odd curveball that they almost never do. Alas he/she (can't remember who it was) only wagered $2000 and it was another really easy one, but I was really bothered because really "how do you not wager it all there". I mean I would think most people at home were thinking the same thing but actually being on the show (especially given its fast pace) is probably something else entirely. I mean NFL coaches are constantly terrible at 4th down/punting decisions even though they're clearly smart enough to understand basic game theory stuff. I guess I just don't get it.

frogbs, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:07 (ten years ago) link

ok this graph explains it pretty well

http://thefinalwager.co/wp-content/uploads/2014/01/The-Final-Wager-Guide-to-Game-Theory-dominance-Slide-11-1024x576.png

doesn't seem to me that it's about trying to get a weaker player in the next game - more that if the trailing player bets enough to cover if you go for a double up + $1 of his score and fail then they win, if you don't bet the extra dollar then you tie. I imagine the show pays both contestants in that case and thus the producers are probably not too happy about this.

frogbs, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:12 (ten years ago) link

the press your luck guy "cheated" the same way card counters "cheat", iirc

i don't really think this is cheating unless you're using external aids. anything that boils down to "using your brain to think about different things than most players" isn't cheating imo

frogbs, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:13 (ten years ago) link

yeah I hadn't heard of the "playing to tie" thing before and I guess I don't really understand it

i would assume its because you're goal is not strictly to 'win' but to maximize the amount of money you get. whether or not another player comes back tomorrow as well is irrelevant to you so risking an extra dollar to be the 'sole winner' is unnecessary and probably riskier. i havent thought about it at all but theres also the possibility that, if the other contestants know you are 'betting to tie' you position them for a less optimal wager.

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:17 (ten years ago) link

haha i assume one of the five posts in between when i started typing that and managed to finish has explained the exact same thing but better, but i want to attempt looking smart

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:18 (ten years ago) link

Anyway balls if you're looking for a serious answer from me, I just think that enough of the non-racial 'factors' for his virality have been knocked down that I can't disqualify his Asian-ness from being a motivating one. At the very least you can't deny that the man fits very, very neatly into the widespread stereotype of the Asian nerd - I mean just look at him. I'm as receptive as anyone to a convincing, non-racial explanation and I probably have more invested in his race being a non-factor than most people who watch the show. Your point about game theory and the head honchos of Wall Street would have been well accepted if I had felt that 'game theory' had even occupied a small part of the mindspace surrounding the financial crisis. I'll offer a non-racial explanation here: maybe there's a perfect storm here of game theory + social media bloom (Twitter not being nearly as influential in 2011 back when, according to posts itt the last major game theory-user played) + nü-focus on stats and alt ways of thinking-about-games bleedover from sabrmetrics and sportsheads. Or maybe it's because he has a fat head and small eyes and wears glasses and presses the clicker a lot. I dunno.

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:18 (ten years ago) link

dude i just saw a cool sounding story about a dude gaming jeopardy to win so i copied and pasted, i doubt most virality vector-helpers have much more going on than that either

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:21 (ten years ago) link

yeah i think the tying thing is just that it's irrelevant if you actually "win" the game... you go to the next day regardless

le goon (J0rdan S.), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:22 (ten years ago) link

I'm not implicating you j. or anyone itt at all! I was asked to give an explanation so I turned down the snark for a post and did so. That's all

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:23 (ten years ago) link

man shouldn't we be turning all this heavy analytical machinery on world hunger or something

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:25 (ten years ago) link

people are angry because he's playing the game as written, not as normally played. people play jeopardy like the goal is to answer questions correctly and do so more often than your competitors

in reality, the goal of jeopardy is to maximize the number of dollars you get and move on to the next round. allowing someone else to get the same amount as you and move to the next round has no negative effect on you. the board-jumping might be annoying to viewers, but getting butthurt about a tie is just outing the tendency of people to love zero-sum games and hate cooperation

mh, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:25 (ten years ago) link

you do still have to beat people on buzzer races, which you don't if they're eliminated

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:27 (ten years ago) link

Also I'm having a pretty hard day. I had just bought this big ice cream cone and, just as I was about to have some, it fell off the cone and onto the ground before I could lick, balls then asked that question, so I was pretty ornery in my response. I'm sorry

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:28 (ten years ago) link

between the three week break and all the press this has gotten i wonder if someone will try to flip this strategy back on him when they come back

le goon (J0rdan S.), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:29 (ten years ago) link

Almost all of the contestants on Jeopardy wager horribly, especially from the 2nd place position. It's good to see somebody put thought into the wagers.

justfanoe (Greg Fanoe), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:30 (ten years ago) link

in a few of the games he's had a pretty average round but he can pick up like 8k in a minute and essentially end the game

le goon (J0rdan S.), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:30 (ten years ago) link

lol there was no offense of any kind taken dayo

mad sympathy for your cone plop

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:30 (ten years ago) link

xp yeah, the buzzing in and normal jeopardy parts are someone zero sum in that points you don't get *could* go to your competitors assuming they answer the question correctly. but final jeopardy, which can affect the whole game, definitely isn't

mh, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:31 (ten years ago) link

also, hunting like mad for the daily double and then just immediately answering "lol I dunno" is pretty classic

mh, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:31 (ten years ago) link

My impression is that they tape several shows in a row, right? Like they do the whole season in like a few weeks or less

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:32 (ten years ago) link

arthur's buzzer mashing is hilarious too, it's very childlike

le goon (J0rdan S.), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:32 (ten years ago) link

between the three week break and all the press this has gotten i wonder if someone will try to flip this strategy back on him when they come back

― le goon (J0rdan S.), Wednesday, February 5, 2014 9:29 AM (2 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

i would imagine his 'return' episodes are already taped...don't they usually work about 4-5 weeks ahead?

frogbs, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:32 (ten years ago) link

wow so you nerd still watch a lotta jeopardy huh

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:34 (ten years ago) link

Back when I used to watch Jeop on the reg, nearly every show had a button masher tho

I do agree that Arthur's APM is impressive compared to the rest (only true Azn nerds will get this joke)

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:35 (ten years ago) link

for the hive, right

mh, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:35 (ten years ago) link

you do still have to beat people on buzzer races, which you don't if they're eliminated

sure, but you're going to have to beat someone on buzzer races in the next taping - it shouldnt matter to you if its current contestant A or next taping hopeful B

between the three week break and all the press this has gotten i wonder if someone will try to flip this strategy back on him when they come back

yeah this is interesting to me - other players knowing you are aggressively hunting for the daily doubles means they should be doing the same, but other players knowing you are 'playing for the tie' makes wagering potentially trickier for contestants going into final jeopardy in second place.

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:36 (ten years ago) link

Also I'm having a pretty hard day. I had just bought this big ice cream cone and, just as I was about to have some, it fell off the cone and onto the ground before I could lick, balls then asked that question, so I was pretty ornery in my response. I'm sorry

― 龜, Wednesday, February 5, 2014 10:28 AM (7 minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

this post has the most important comma of all time

scott c-word (some dude), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:36 (ten years ago) link

I do agree that Arthur's APM is impressive compared to the rest (only true Azn nerds will get this joke)

dont front like you even

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:37 (ten years ago) link

Kekekekeke

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:38 (ten years ago) link

lol you seriously think 'this guy plays the game in a way that is beneficial to him but ruins the experience for much of the audience and comes across as against the spirit of the game' has been 'knocked down' but 'america has never seen an asian nerd on jeopardy before and is in a panic' stands up? which while not denying dude is asian and a nerd he hardly fits the stereotype of the asian nerd, you might want to revisit sixteen candles and revenge of the nerds again. anyone who applies game theory or really any kind of counterintuitive strategizing to a non-academic arena (ESP an actual game, where winning is the point on a micro level but entertainment is the point on a macro level)(hence alot of ppl bitching about moneyball in the early 00s not cuz they thought it didn't work but cuz it made for boring fucking baseball even by baseball's standards).

balls, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:41 (ten years ago) link

C'mon balls are you really trying to lecture me about the asian nerd stereotype. You're really showing your age grandpa if you think that the current version still references Sixteen Candles

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:43 (ten years ago) link

Actually as the starter of the LONG DUK DONG thread I'm not even sure what the fuck you're talking about - that stereotype had nothing to do with nerdiness

As someone who's been the butt of more asian nerd jokes than you have ever been, I'll tell you to politely sit down and have a seat and please refrain from posting again in this thread. Thank you, balls.

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:46 (ten years ago) link

as someone who's actually deployed asian nerd jokes in my life i'll not so politely recommend the next time you want to post on a subject make it something you were familiar w/ at least an hour before yr post.

balls, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:48 (ten years ago) link

i mean i get you're going for an asian mordy thing and it's cute, everybody should have a role model, but mordy actually does the reading at least, there's the potential that he'll post something useful. you're just lex crossed w/ david brooks social scientist.

balls, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:50 (ten years ago) link

Bet that's not all you do to gooks, you fucking asshole.

, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:50 (ten years ago) link

enjoy yr ice cream.

balls, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:51 (ten years ago) link

d this dude is way more /u/fedora than an 'asian nerd stereotype'

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:51 (ten years ago) link

he does voice work for commercials and tweets about 'haters' i mean cmon

Lamp, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:52 (ten years ago) link

hey hey hey hey hey

why yall gotta be like that

j., Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:53 (ten years ago) link

too many cichlids in the tank

PSY talks The Nut Job (forksclovetofu), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 15:56 (ten years ago) link

龜 otm

charitable remainder unitrust (crüt), Wednesday, 5 February 2014 16:13 (ten years ago) link

I'm with 龜 - given that it's been repeatedly established that nothing "show-ruining" this guy does hasn't been done before (many times), and that he hasn't even been on that many episodes or anything, then it being a "news story" is worth interrogating. Sure yeah, could generally be that stories with a supposed "game theory" hook have a resonance in 2014 that they wouldn't have in 1986 or whatever. But why not allow that the narrative of "guy is intense about a secret strategy, doesn't get that it's all about the game, mannnn" maps directly onto "socially maladjusted nerd" which maps right onto Asian stereotypes coterminous with "not normal, not one of us"...I mean it's not such a stretch.

I was also wondering if maybe some of the media outlets have Jeopardy ties - slow news week plus hype up a co-brand. Sorta like how every third story on cnn.com these days is about movies Netflix is adding or removing.

Doctor Casino, Wednesday, 5 February 2014 19:58 (ten years ago) link


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