George W. Bush, the security threat to America and the states that support him

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed
Not all messages are displayed: show all messages (158 of them)
That density chart runs contrary to gabbneb's argument because it is measuring megapoli* and not "cities".

*by definition = a sprawl/conglomeration. It would be much more interesting if it measured straight density according to city limits, not by arbitrary boundaries.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:36 (nineteen years ago) link

"metropolitan area" /= "sprawl," necessarily

and city limits are arbitrary boundaries

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:37 (nineteen years ago) link

It's hard work to try to love them as best as we can.

Are you talking http://fthevote.com/? I can see why that might be exhausting.
;^}

j.lu (j.lu), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:39 (nineteen years ago) link

Haha. I was actually referencing Bush's claim in the first debate that "it's hard work to love [the war widow he mentioned earlier] as best as I can." But maybe he was talking about fthevote, too?

Nemo (JND), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:44 (nineteen years ago) link

haha, the first google result for megapoli:

Megapoli:
Megapoli are huge sprawling conglomerations of housing, commercial interests and sundry support and entertainment facilities.

I think that geography/topography are the primary challenges to sprawl (cf, hong kong, macau, singapore). you may consider them arbitrary, but at the very least city limits at least provide a consistent measure of fixed population growth. you can not say the same for megapoli.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:46 (nineteen years ago) link

Here's city population - New York is almost twice as dense as Chicago, Chicago is almost twice as dense as LA, LA is more than twice as dense as San Diego, and San Diego is denser than Houston or Dallas.

Cities in the NY/Chicago density class - SF, Philly, DC, Balto, Miami, Cleveland, Seattle, Oakland, Minneapolis, St. Louis, Detroit, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, Milwaukee, Rochester, and many of the cities in these cities' metro areas

Cities in the Texas density class - Phoenix, Denver, Atlanta, Kansas City, New Orleans, Indianapolis, Charlotte, Vegas, Nashville, Memphis, Albuquerque, OKC, Richmond, Tulsa, Omaha, Wichita, Tampa, Birmingham, Baton Rouge, etc.

There seems to be a clear political difference here.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:55 (nineteen years ago) link

I am bemused at gabbneb's implication that annexation is somehow different from conglomeration.

conglomerate

intransitive senses : to gather into a mass or coherent whole
transitive senses : ACCUMULATE

annex

1 : to attach as a quality, consequence, or condition
2 archaic : to join together materially : UNITE
3 : to add to something earlier, larger, or more important
4 : to incorporate (a country or other territory) within the domain of a state
5 : to obtain or take for oneself

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:56 (nineteen years ago) link

annexation in the sense I used it refers to a legal process, conglomeration in the sense I used it does not

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 18:59 (nineteen years ago) link

so "Republican" cities are lawless?

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:04 (nineteen years ago) link

it's also interesting to look on that list at cities in which the density is between that of San Diego and twice its number - 3200-6400. Take the top 100 by population - if you remove the large number of California cities, you're left with Columbus, Portland, Omaha, St. Louis, St. Paul, Cincinnati, Toledo, Louisville, St. Pete, Norfolk, Akron, Madison, Grand Rapids, Richmond, Tacoma. 13 of the 15 are located in arguable swing states, and 4 of 15 are in the biggest swing state of them all.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:08 (nineteen years ago) link

Gabbneb, i don't think you're reading the Population Density correctly.

New York is almost twice as dense as Chicago

New York is almost 5X as dense as Chicago!

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:09 (nineteen years ago) link

Nevermind, I am looking at something else.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:12 (nineteen years ago) link

if you take cities with population over 100,000, by the same rules, 28 of 35 in this density range are in swing states, with a large number in Michigan

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:13 (nineteen years ago) link

Gabbneb, you are clearly having a whale of a time watching the little numbers dance. Keep it up!

suzy (suzy), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:19 (nineteen years ago) link

if you go down to 50K, it's 72 of 112, or 2/3 are in 13 (and mostly in 10) swing states

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:23 (nineteen years ago) link

oh, and hstencil is right - Phoenix is Republican

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:31 (nineteen years ago) link

I demand a graph of some kind. A pie chart if possible.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:32 (nineteen years ago) link

A similar strategy apparently worked in Canada.

Yup, we swayed 'the moneyed and the immigrants' and made the poor little PQ loose.

Mr Noodles (Mr Noodles), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:33 (nineteen years ago) link

note that almost all of the high-density cities are in the North, and almost all the low-density cities in the South

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:34 (nineteen years ago) link

I demand that W return to the private sector and bring pie.

briania (briania), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:35 (nineteen years ago) link

aka: agrarian vs. industrialization = the civil war!

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:36 (nineteen years ago) link

My density has brought me to you

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:40 (nineteen years ago) link

Dallas and Houston are GOP too though, I think you sort of said that upthread.

hstencil (hstencil), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:40 (nineteen years ago) link

right

of course i did this the hard way - the density rankings make it plainer

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:50 (nineteen years ago) link

So...is Anchorage GOP then?

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:53 (nineteen years ago) link

yes, heavily

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:55 (nineteen years ago) link

Really? That surprises me. I don't know why - I guessed that republicanism was linked to humidity making people cranky.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Monday, 18 October 2004 19:58 (nineteen years ago) link

which again suggests that density is an overriding factor - Anchorage is the least dense city above 50,000 people (even though it has four times that number) after one small city in Virginia, only three points ahead of it. it's density is less than that of the entire (Democratic) state of Hawaii, the biggest city of which has a density more than 100 times greater (though lower than Dallas, for instance).

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:07 (nineteen years ago) link

dunno if Hawaii is humid though

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:08 (nineteen years ago) link

Incredibly humid.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:14 (nineteen years ago) link

Well, there goes my Nobel prize.

Kevin Gilchrist (Mr Fusion), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:15 (nineteen years ago) link

the last cartogram here makes the point even more dramatically

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:23 (nineteen years ago) link

of course, cold may cause people to come together and humidity to keep more distance

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:34 (nineteen years ago) link

and Hawaii is an exception because of extenuating geographic circumstances

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 20:35 (nineteen years ago) link

or put another way, how did New York evolve from a small Dutch village on the southern tip of an island into what it is today? Was any sprawl or conglomeration involved? Perhaps?

also, while the layout of lower Manhattan was largely unplanned, it took nearly 200 years for colonists to move above Wall Street, and they planned much of the rest of the island very shortly after doing so

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 21:34 (nineteen years ago) link

also, NYC was the first American municipality to institute a zoning ordinance (1916), one that restricted the massing of skyscrapers in order to allow light to reach the street, but that refused to limit the height of buildings, allowing more vertical construction and therefore greater density

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 21:45 (nineteen years ago) link

also, it wasn't until annexation that the subway began - the Interborough Rapid Transit Company was formed in 1902

gabbneb (gabbneb), Monday, 18 October 2004 22:10 (nineteen years ago) link

Here's what I had in mind when I was phrasing this question originally, this article mentions:

With a little more than two weeks to the election, Bush was campaigning in New Jersey, a reliably Democratic state that was hit hard when terrorists struck the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001.

Campaigning in Marlton, N.J., Bush accused Kerry of having a pre-Sept. 11 view of the world, a mind-set that he called dangerous. Kerry's approach to terrorism would permit a response "only after America is hit," he said.

"This kind of Sept. 10 attitude is no way to protect our country," Bush said, echoing many lines from his debate appearances and campaign speeches.

The Bush campaign unveiled a new TV ad that sought to portray Kerry as weak on terrorism - "either we fight terrorists abroad or face them here" - and accuses the Democrat of opposing President Reagan "as he won the Cold War."

Nearly 700 New Jersey residents died when hijacked airplanes flew into the World Trade Center's twin towers, and polls show national security and terrorism are the top campaign issues among voters in the state.

Democrat Al Gore easily won New Jersey in 2000, but voters' worry about another terrorist attack is a key reason why Bush and Kerry are locked in a tight race for the state's 15 electoral votes.

Kerry adviser Joe Lockhart says New Jersey is an interesting place for the president to campaign because its two senators and former Gov. Thomas Kean, chairman of the bipartisan Sept. 11 commission, have complained that Bush hasn't done enough to push the panel's recommendations into law.

The writer's logic in this article seems to be that a large election factor for people in NJ is the probability of another terrorist attack but makes no mention that there is less of a race in New York and DC, neighboring state and district where attacks actually occured.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 18 October 2004 22:21 (nineteen years ago) link

it took nearly 200 years for colonists to move above Wall Street, and they planned much of the rest of the island very shortly after doing so.

So the same colonists lived for 200 years?

hstencil (hstencil), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 02:54 (nineteen years ago) link

San Diego: Last I heard, a slight Democratic majority in the city proper, but probably a fairly sizable Republican majority in the county.

Tim Ellison (Tim Ellison), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 04:56 (nineteen years ago) link

I'm confused and frightened by the dancing numbers but something of what I imagine Gabbneb's point to be seems like kind of a no-brainer, for me at least. Your Democratic city strongholds do tend to be in denser, more urbanized cities; and the few large cities with strong Republican support do seem to be those that have big enough suburban-style populations to outweigh the core "city" vote. It's a simple issue of lifestyle, I assume; in cities like Houston or Indianapolis there are loads of places you can live that aren't hugely different in tone and organization from smaller "red state" towns. And I get the feeling that people living in areas like that are actually more likely to be driven right -- by a resistance to urbanization, fears of "urban" problems like crime, and in a lot of cases economic aspirations. (These are people, in a lot of cases, who are there to take advantage of the economic opportunities of the city, but who don't want to be pulled into any "city" mentality of governance; don't tread and/or tax on their gated communities, etc.)

The thread question here is an excellent one, and one that's been bugging me for a long time now. It's strange not just vote-wise but emotionally: people in states that have almost no chance of being affected by terrorism seem actually to be more personally upset with the possibility than people who are actually in a position to have to deal with it. I suppose if you live in Arkansas terrorism is a much more effective bogeyman?

nabisco (nabisco), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 18:13 (nineteen years ago) link

I think it's more like if you live in Arkansas, you have no incentive to investigate who's really tough on terror because it isn't going to affect you one way or another.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 18:58 (nineteen years ago) link

That doesn't seem to be how it plays out, though: the Bush/Cheney fearmongering and perceived "toughness" actually strike these voters as a value, and their sense of "we were attacked / we retaliated" is often very simple and direct and trusting. This may have more to do with a kind of unnuanced patriotism than anything else, but I think it also helps that for people living in certain types of mid-country towns the whole thing remains very much an abstraction. Living in a large cosmopolitan city means not only reacting to an event like that with a lot more nuanced thought, but also (in limited cases) having a very different sense of the surrounding world.

nabisco (nabisco), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:05 (nineteen years ago) link

These less urban states also contribute disproportionately to the military ranks. So not only are they less likely to suffer direct effects of terrorism - they are more likely to be the ones getting shot at over in Iraq or Iran or Syria or wherever when Dubya decides to get tough.

o. nate (onate), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:08 (nineteen years ago) link

It's strange not just vote-wise but emotionally: people in states that have almost no chance of being affected by terrorism seem actually to be more personally upset with the possibility than people who are actually in a position to have to deal with it.

I think you might piss off quite a few military families from the red states with that line. xpost

bnw (bnw), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:10 (nineteen years ago) link

Thank you Nabisco for saying what I was trying to convey much more literately and sensibly.

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:11 (nineteen years ago) link

That doesn't seem to be how it plays out, though: the Bush/Cheney fearmongering and perceived "toughness" actually strike these voters as a value, and their sense of "we were attacked / we retaliated" is often very simple and direct and trusting

You can't take the language people use at face value. If your adherence to one side is pre-rational, because it's what your neighbors do, and you'd stick out too much if you went against them, you don't have to believe or justify to yourself the words you use to defend your position, you just have to mouth the party line. Same reason people on opposite banks of the Upper Mississippi apparently pick football teams based on the State they live in.

I think you might piss off quite a few military families from the red states with that line

oh? How are they "affected by terrorism"?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:14 (nineteen years ago) link

I mean, yes, you're right, it is direct and trusting. But it wouldn't be if they had a stake in it.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:18 (nineteen years ago) link

Yeah, bnw, I'm making a distinction between "being affected by terrorism" and "being affected by our responses to terrorism"; they're somewhat different things. And the national security fears these people cite aren't about our soldiers abroad; they're about their own safety in the homeland, which isn't threatened in quite the same way as people in a handful of major cities.

nabisco (nabisco), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:22 (nineteen years ago) link

I don't think it follows that just because a terrorist event hasn't happened in a small town or wherever means that a terrorist event couldn't. I'm not sure why people in small towns should be any less concerned, though clearly in my view I don't think that concern about this issue should lead to support for Dubya. Let's not forget that the biggest terrorist event on American soil prior to 9/11 was in Oklahoma City.

hstencil (hstencil), Tuesday, 19 October 2004 19:28 (nineteen years ago) link

ack - a man in full! my grandma hated that book!

cinniblount (James Blount), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 02:43 (nineteen years ago) link

what you need to know about atlanta: parties don't stop til eight in the morning

cinniblount (James Blount), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 02:47 (nineteen years ago) link

if maryland's in here, where's virginia? where's nevada? las vegas has received more repeated mentions/threats than any american city besides nyc, dc, and maybe san fran

LA and Miami more than San Fran, I thought. Vegas, Arlington and Alexandria did go for Gore in 2000, though I dunno why we're using pre-9/11 votes to measure concern about terrorism.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 02:57 (nineteen years ago) link

women be shopping version 10359.2

The fact that i read the entire thing and thought about it means I get to talk about Momus.

aimurchie, Wednesday, 20 October 2004 02:58 (nineteen years ago) link

what you need to know about atlanta: parties don't stop til eight in the morning

That's what i need to know about Chicago, too! I mean, where the fuck are *those* parties? Maps would be appreciated.

Lifted, or, the story is 'neath my ass (kenan), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 02:58 (nineteen years ago) link

in that one link of estimated Jewish population by state that gabbneb provided, there are 300 more Jewish people (estimated, of course) in Maine than in Alabama. Is Maine that much more hospitable to Jews? I dunno, but I had a really fun time at a bar mitzvah in Bangor four years ago.

Also, a point that I didn't get to make earlier (I had some errands to run): Timothy McVeigh was a Gulf War I vet.

Also, another point: the most significant acts of domestic terrorism I can think of other than Oklahoma City: D.C. Sniper and anthrax attacks. Both of which took place in urban and suburban settings. I guess you could throw in the Ohio sniper too, but then we'd have to really talk about suburban and rural areas and not just pay some sort of Brooksian lip-service to them.

hstencil (hstencil), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:25 (nineteen years ago) link

i'd be interested in seeing which terrorist organization has killed the most americans - al qaeda or the kkk.

cinniblount (James Blount), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:31 (nineteen years ago) link

Is Maine that much more hospitable to Jews?

For one thing, I imagine that there are a lot more New Yorkers in Maine (where many in the Boston-to-DC-metroplex retire or reside for part of the year) than there are in Alabama. places where Jews are found in fewer numbers aren't necessarily inhospitable to them, of course (and i wasn't saying any such thing, if that wasn't clear). but minority status and the desire for/requirement of a community for religious observance are going to discourage Jews from moving to places where there aren't many Jews.

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:43 (nineteen years ago) link

OR THE ANTI ABORTION SNIPERS.

aimurchie, Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:44 (nineteen years ago) link

a sniper somewhere is a threat to anyone everywhere.

Lifted, or, the story is 'neath my ass (kenan), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:50 (nineteen years ago) link

gabbneb you're getting perilously close to "Hymietown" territory.

hstencil (hstencil), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:50 (nineteen years ago) link

what are you talking about?

gabbneb (gabbneb), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 03:55 (nineteen years ago) link

you're getting perilously close to "Hymietown" territory

Is that a place now? What rights do they give its citizens? I may want to move there.

Lifted, or, the story is 'neath my ass (kenan), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 04:06 (nineteen years ago) link

BTW, Jon, that was unnecessary, and fuck you. Unless there's some reason for you to especially hate this thread, there's no goddamn reason for that.

Lifted, or, the story is 'neath my ass (kenan), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 04:07 (nineteen years ago) link

listen to yourselves

sometimes i like to pretend i am very small and warm (ex machina), Wednesday, 20 October 2004 04:10 (nineteen years ago) link

Can I just interject here -- in sort of an "I'm not gabbneb" maneuver -- that all I was really talking about, above, was the particular rhetoric of party support when it comes to this issue? Which is to say, the level of how vocal people in various places are about the issue, and how they appear to voice and argue from those concerns? We seem to have spiraled off into some point-scoring netherworld wherein hstencil, for instance (sorry stencil, just an example) has gone from saying "but the last attack was in OKCity" to "actually homegrown terrorists hit big cities too." Personally I'm aware of both of those things, and I'm also aware of the Michigan Militia, because I used to have to load huge slabs of beef onto the back of their camo trucks when I worked at a northern-Michigan (ring finger, second knuckle) grocery store. I remain interested in why people in non-"target" areas seem sometimes to be stronger in voicing their fears of attack than people in "target" areas, and while I'm sure the psychology discussed above plays into it, and while I'm sure on some level it's just a line that often derives from having a prexisting support for and belief in the administration, it still strikes me as somewhat fascinating. Anyway.

nabiscothingy, Friday, 22 October 2004 01:52 (nineteen years ago) link


You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.