i remember the last time a blog did an analysis of all the stat forecast systems and PECOTA ranked below average.
― i love you but i have chosen snarkness (Steve Shasta), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:18 (thirteen years ago) link
a few years ago TSN (which is the Canadian's little espn) had done their own baseball forecasts - and i'd only looked at the J's stats but TSN was closer than PECOTA was.
― got electrolytes (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 7 February 2011 21:26 (thirteen years ago) link
my team is the dodgers. my purely speculative and non computer generated prediction is a team obp of .325 this year. or lower.
― strongly recommend. unless you're a bitch (mayor jingleberries), Monday, 7 February 2011 23:16 (thirteen years ago) link
I just opened PECOTA, and really don't much care about individual player projections.
― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 06:55 (thirteen years ago) link
Not really sure why someone who wasn't a GM or fantasy ballplayer would.
― Fig On A Plate Cart (Alex in SF), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 15:38 (thirteen years ago) link
I'm intrigued by the depth charts, though, which aren't out til next week.
― kind of shrill and very self-righteous (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 15:42 (thirteen years ago) link
When do the Fangraphs projections come out?
― i love you but i have chosen snarkness (Steve Shasta), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:04 (thirteen years ago) link
those fan projections are dogshit, they're being trolled this year pretty hard. heyward looks to be a top five OFer and tommy hanson will pitch better than cliff lee.
http://www.forums.mlb.com/n/pfx/forum.aspx?nav=messages&webtag=ml-braves&tid=149282
― sanskrit, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:37 (thirteen years ago) link
tommy hanson will pitch better than cliff lee
not impossible, imho!
― got electrolytes (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 8 February 2011 18:58 (thirteen years ago) link
ZIPS is the best one on fangraphs and it's not up there yet but i'm pretty sure they've all been calculated since they're rolling them out team by team at http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/newsblog/ (ignore the top post, that's a sticky from last year that hasn't been updated)
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 19:14 (thirteen years ago) link
ok, i guess BP isn't all that bad.. Ferris! http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=12877
― sanskrit, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 21:56 (thirteen years ago) link
Is .325 OBP an unrealistic projection for the Dodgers, though? Your strength this season is likely to be your pitching staff, but even so you're likely to be 3rd favourite in the NL West, I'd have thought (ahead of two pretty poor teams).
― Mark C, Tuesday, 8 February 2011 22:42 (thirteen years ago) link
has the mets @ 80 wins!
― johnny crunch, Monday, 18 February 2013 23:55 (eleven years ago) link
noted last week
― saltwater incursion (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 19 February 2013 02:06 (eleven years ago) link
behind some numbers
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19673
― Pope Rusty I (Dr Morbius), Saturday, 2 March 2013 14:32 (eleven years ago) link
It's out, and projects 73 steals for Billy Hamilton
― images of war violence and historical smoking (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 4 February 2014 12:41 (ten years ago) link
'tis out
http://www.sbnation.com/2017/2/8/14549012/dodgers-cardinals-pecota-projections
― Supercreditor (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 8 February 2017 19:42 (seven years ago) link
projects Angels at 80-82.
https://legacy.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/
― ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 7 February 2018 20:43 (six years ago) link
Steamer really doesn't like Acuña Jr.
https://www.fangraphs.com/projections.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&type=steamer&team=0&lg=all&players=0&sort=25,d
― Jersey Al (Albert R. Broccoli), Friday, 2 November 2018 18:09 (five years ago) link
vlad jr, 14th-most valuable position player of 2019, just ahead of aaron judge
― mookieproof, Friday, 2 November 2018 20:15 (five years ago) link
go bucs
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings
― mookieproof, Tuesday, 9 February 2021 17:44 (three years ago) link