yeah I'd take 70/30 for sure, but my book doesn't have a price on the series yet, lol
that said I do get a little suspicious of projection systems when they're dealing with superteams like this.
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:21 (nine years ago)
main thing that 538 model doesn't account for iirc is ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ playoff lebron ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
― marcos, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:24 (nine years ago)
more or less
i recall nate silver saying is ELO model or whatever doesn't really treat playoff basketball as different from regular season
― marcos, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:25 (nine years ago)
i very rarely bet sports, i think the last time i did was the finals 2 years ago. i just like thinking about it
NBA finals are kind of an interesting betting phenomenon tho, if you're a reasonably discerning and plugged-in fan there can probably be money to be made. combination of the better team usually wins + lots of media attention/terrible opinions by stephen a smith probably cause people to bet on the cavs when they shouldnt, making the warriors odds better
warriors odds are probably as good as they're gonna get because most books probably got a lot of money on the dubs last summer after KD signed
― k3vin k., Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:25 (nine years ago)
Just remember that LeBron has appeared in 7 consecutive finals but he doesn't have 7 rings.
― A is for (Aimless), Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:26 (nine years ago)
if u add the number he has to the number jordan has he has 9
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:35 (nine years ago)
also remember that LeBron has yet to be on a team that would manage a .500 record without him
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:41 (nine years ago)
ehhhhhhh
― k3vin k., Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:44 (nine years ago)
lol he's literally been on 'superteams' since he left Cavs the first time
― Spottie, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 18:52 (nine years ago)
yeah any of those heat teams and kyrie/love would still easily be over .500 if lebron's place was taken by Arbitrary Defense Man
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:00 (nine years ago)
those Heat teams look a lot less good without Bron dragging Wade's corpse around with him. Cavs numbers w/o him have been pretty awful.
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:18 (nine years ago)
they're what, 4-18 in games Lebron sits?
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:19 (nine years ago)
dont think ur gonna get anyone on board w this one
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:20 (nine years ago)
team wins more games when best player plays, full story after this message
― k3vin k., Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:20 (nine years ago)
i don't think you understand how low the bar is for .500 in the east
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:24 (nine years ago)
hey I'm a Bucks fan, .500 in the East still feels like a feat to me
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:24 (nine years ago)
http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/19483056/closer-look-warriors-cavaliers-matchup
― Spottie, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:49 (nine years ago)
http://i.imgur.com/oOIkopj.png
jesus
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 19:52 (nine years ago)
KD was asked if he'll do better converting open shots than Harrison Barnes did in last year's Finals. "what do you think?" he responded.— jacob c. palmer (@jacobc_palmer) May 30, 2017
― Spottie, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:26 (nine years ago)
z lowe on TThttp://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/19491943/zach-lowe-cleveland-cavaliers-tristan-thompson-becoming-elite-role-player-nba
― Spottie, Tuesday, May 30, 2017 1:11 PM (four hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
this is really good
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:37 (nine years ago)
tho lowe describing thompsons floater as silky is a bit much
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:39 (nine years ago)
i'm finding it hard to have much of a rooting interest in either of these teams. i guess i'll lean towards lebron becoming the goat he was born to be but it seems like such a long shot.
anyways imo lebron is the goat and i'm sticking to dubs in five
― Clay, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:41 (nine years ago)
ya i dont really care just want to see some stuff
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:42 (nine years ago)
lebron didnt prove it already last year?
― Spottie, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:42 (nine years ago)
lol it's true my only preferred champ is Messy D xp
― Clay, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:43 (nine years ago)
bron proved it last year but the dubs are so much better this year it wld be even more proving it
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:47 (nine years ago)
yea if Bron somehow pulls this off he's 100% the goat, instead of like 75% or whatever he is now
― frogbs, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:49 (nine years ago)
imo hes at 35% GOAT rn
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 21:50 (nine years ago)
if he wins hell be at 85% goat
http://www.sbnation.com/2017/5/30/15707478/lebron-james-defense-strategy-cavaliers-warriors-nba-finals-2017
― Spottie, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 22:31 (nine years ago)
538 saying it's 90/10
― frogbs, Tuesday, May 30, 2017 7:13 PM (four hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
cavs in 6
― nomar, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 22:59 (nine years ago)
by the final two minutes of game 7
http://i.imgur.com/Xvk9049.png
― 龜, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:07 (nine years ago)
lmao
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:28 (nine years ago)
i think if you're the cavs you just have to let draymond hoist, there's no route to victory if everyone's making outside shots and he's the most likely to go cold
― ciderpress, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:30 (nine years ago)
yep
― lag∞n, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:33 (nine years ago)
last year steph was hurt and dray missed an elimination game, bron was great but i'm not sure it proved much other than that he's great
― k3vin k., Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:43 (nine years ago)
I just want a nice competitive series which is what would have def occurred vs the Spurs if the desperate warriors hadn't on purpose taken out kawhi
― nomar, Tuesday, 30 May 2017 23:49 (nine years ago)
Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.
― System, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:01 (nine years ago)
12 dubs votes, 8 cavs votes, considerably closer than i'd have thought
― Clay, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:07 (nine years ago)
sounds abt right for a site full of dummies homers and contrarians
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:11 (nine years ago)
more importantly, this means ilh thinks javale will get himself a ring.
― A is for (Aimless), Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:14 (nine years ago)
congratulations to matt
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:22 (nine years ago)
Hm weird I set this poll to end tomorrow
― Spottie, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:31 (nine years ago)
lebron's already in your head bro
― Clay, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 00:37 (nine years ago)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xd_SDGZvANk
― micah, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 01:14 (nine years ago)
good video! i may understand only half of it, but definitely the kind of basketball nerdity i find interesting
― Nhex, Wednesday, 31 May 2017 03:54 (nine years ago)
also shows the more subtle stuff Draymond is doing defensively
yeah wow that's great stuff
― k3vin k., Wednesday, 31 May 2017 04:06 (nine years ago)
dray is an extremely special defender but contrary to what that guy says i have to believe that stuff is in the scheme. still, like he says, GS can do it better than any other team because dray is just that versatile and good
― k3vin k., Wednesday, 31 May 2017 04:08 (nine years ago)
how did he even do that crazy, cavs really needed to dominate the boards to have a chance, and the did not
― lag∞n, Wednesday, 14 June 2017 13:36 (nine years ago)
yea that was ridiculous
steph curry grabbing more boards than tristan thompson, rip cavs
― marcos, Wednesday, 14 June 2017 13:43 (nine years ago)
that was great/bizarre to see
― Nhex, Wednesday, 14 June 2017 15:59 (nine years ago)
im in sf today and there is hella fresh warriors gear getting around
― micah, Wednesday, 14 June 2017 18:18 (nine years ago)
the dream is my fav all time (non warrior).― Spottie, Wednesday, June 14, 2017 6:04 AM (two days ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
― Spottie, Wednesday, June 14, 2017 6:04 AM (two days ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink
Oh, man - I LOVE Hakeem. That he came from being a sub-7 foot soccer player to one of the top 5 best two-way centers ever, along with being a great dude, is just the best. His successive ownership of David Robinson and then Shaq in the '95 playoffs is still one of my favorite runs of any player.
― TrumpPence a Bag (B.L.A.M.), Friday, 16 June 2017 04:04 (nine years ago)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxKIQK2O9Lc
― down that brown path (Spottie), Friday, 23 June 2017 23:48 (eight years ago)