Ladies and gentleman, I give you your MVP runnerup: Adrian Beltre

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Will Bonds' MVP chances take a hit if the Giants don't make the playoffs? Or did A-Rod win it when the Rangers were in the cellar?

Yes, A-Rod won it when the Rangers were 60 games out. The Giants are 4 out of 1st in the West and leading the wild card race.

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 24 August 2004 18:32 (nineteen years ago) link

Tied in the Wild Card! The Cubs made up the 1/2 game last night.

NL MVP as of now:
Bonds
Rolen
Beltre

JD Drew has had a great season. Probably not a true MVP canidate as he isn't putting up nearly the killer numbers of these other people, but he has definitely been important to the Braves.

Earl Nash (earlnash), Tuesday, 24 August 2004 18:43 (nineteen years ago) link

if you'd told me Adrian Beltre would not only hit 40 HR this year, but do it in late August AND be the first one to get there this season, I'd have called you craaaazy. Grand slam, too.

Gear! (Gear!), Tuesday, 24 August 2004 23:45 (nineteen years ago) link

good lord he's exploded. .373/.432/.782 since the all star break. who does that remind you of?

John (jdahlem), Tuesday, 24 August 2004 23:48 (nineteen years ago) link

Beltre reminds me a bit of Sheffield when he is batting. He isn't quite as demonstrative with jerking the bat around like Sheff, but the swing and stance are pretty similar.

Having Shawn Green return to the living and adding Finley to the Dodger's lineup definitely helps Beltre. Green has been red hot since the break.

Earl Nash (earlnash), Wednesday, 25 August 2004 00:24 (nineteen years ago) link

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/boxscore?gid=240828121
i think i have to agree with gear now.

edmonds might have drawn even with rolen at this point, but he doesn't have the lofty RISP numbers. beltre's been only so-so w/ RISP but has some unbelievable clutch (close and late) which have helped his case in a huge way.

here's an article gygax is sure to love:
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=neel/040826

i love how there's this perception that bonds has just always been this good and what he's doing now is nothing special for him. i mean yeah, he was possibly the best player of the 90s but he was but a shadow of what he is now and has been the last 3 years.

John (jdahlem), Saturday, 28 August 2004 19:33 (nineteen years ago) link

Beltre definitely seems to be emphasizing his point in the past couple of weeks.

Saturday's line: W 4-2 over the Mets
5-5 1HR 2RBI 2Runs

Criminy.

Earl Nash (earlnash), Saturday, 28 August 2004 21:32 (nineteen years ago) link

I think he's been lurking here and got pissed

Gear! (Gear!), Saturday, 28 August 2004 22:02 (nineteen years ago) link


NL VORP thru Saturday:

Barry Bonds 113.4
Albert Pujols 77.2
Adrian Beltre 77.2
Todd Helton 74.6
Jim Edmonds 73.8
Mark Loretta 68.2
Scott Rolen 67.4

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Monday, 30 August 2004 14:42 (nineteen years ago) link

I'd like to see after Sunday... 4/5 with 2 ding-dongs.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 15:04 (nineteen years ago) link

bonds has actually been a mortal .299/.513/.542 against lefthanders this year. of course, that means he's been hitting .396/.649/.948 against righties.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 16:39 (nineteen years ago) link

haha, those "mortal" Bonds vs. LHP numbers are as good if not better than the other NL MVP candidates stats against all pitchers.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 17:06 (nineteen years ago) link

the point is that minus the IBBs it's a line well within the reach of any mvp caliber player, something that can't be said of his split against righties or overall numbers.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 17:23 (nineteen years ago) link

I think we're missing the TRUE reason we're here:

NL VORP thru Saturday:
Barry Bonds 113.4
Albert Pujols 77.2
Adrian Beltre 77.2
Todd Helton 74.6
Jim Edmonds 73.8
******Mark Loretta 68.2******
Scott Rolen 67.4

David R. (popshots75`), Monday, 30 August 2004 17:27 (nineteen years ago) link

right now it's looking like barry could be the difference in a giants w/l today, but i wonder if he'll do anything more than pinch hit. you'd think with the giants tied in the wild card race and getting two days off next week he might make an exception, but...he's sore, man.

contrast that attitude with sheffield or pujols, who have won i don't know how many games for their teams this year playing through pain. oh, and then there was that whole missing 5 games with a cold thing.

(ie still plenty of reason not to like the guy folks)

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 17:48 (nineteen years ago) link

I get the sense that BB could just take that HR crown anytime he wanted, and he just might in the end.

Gear! (Gear!), Monday, 30 August 2004 18:05 (nineteen years ago) link

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=fanball-yankeessheffieldfeel&prov=fanball&type=lgns

i love that man.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 18:33 (nineteen years ago) link

Bonds has been playing in pain for almost 3 seasons. he just doesn't talk about it.

Not to mention he is at least 10 years older than Pujols (who knows for sure?) and is quite a different player than Sheffield is.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:20 (nineteen years ago) link

"Bonds has been playing in pain for almost 3 seasons. he just doesn't talk about it."

are you kidding me??

"is quite a different player than Sheffield is."

no, he's not at all. unless you mean what you probably mean, which doesn't actually have anything to do with what i'm talking about. please, don't even try to argue that bonds is half as tough as gary is. barry can (and does) have all the talent in the world, but at the end of the day he's still a pussy.


giants lose 7-6. bonds makes an out in his PH AB.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:30 (nineteen years ago) link

Of course, the Giants lost because their closer-by-Duck-Duck-Goose, Dustin Hermanson, kinda sucks; Bonds' day off (to rest his hammies, and his 40-year-old bod) (FYI - Sheffield's 4.5 years younger than BB) coinciding with a shitty 9th inning pitching performance was a(n) (un)happy coincidence.

David R. (popshots75`), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:36 (nineteen years ago) link

yeah whatever, i'm still shocked by gygax's "he doesn't talk about it" comment. bonds talks about his pain and anguish - physical, mental, probably spiritual - more than any other player in the game. it's fucking annoying. you can't read a freaking game recap without hearing about how fucking sore he is, how tired he is, how worn out he is, how he's really thinking this might be it for him, etfuckingcetera. he's the biggest diva in baseball.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:40 (nineteen years ago) link

xpost:

Hi John,

I've been watching Bonds for almost his entire career. While his hamstring isn't going to tear in half, i would imagine that it has never healed completely based on first hand observation. For a guy who has had only 2 substantial stays on the DL in a 19 year career and has played in less than 140 games only 1 time since 1987, your definition of "pussy" shows either a very poor or creative understanding of it.

And while your attempt to credit Bonds with the loss with his PH AB (the Giants had the lead at the time) is charming, if you'd actually watched the game you'd have seen Dustin Hermanson gave up 3 hits and a walk (2 Runs) in the bottom of the 9th while failing to retire a batter.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:48 (nineteen years ago) link

xxpost (hi gygax!):

Well, yeah, there's plenty on-record of The Pain of The Bonds (mostly because, since I'm not in the SF area, the only non-stat noise I hear about Bonds is about his aches & pains & BB's attitude re: the aches & pains & the media's slanting of BB's attitude re: the aches & pains), but if there's a player nowadays that can deservedly get away w/ some diva histrionics, it is he, and I don't recall any outright grandstanding re: his aches & pains (which, from what I've heard, are pretty severe - I heard it takes 10 man hours for his hammies to get prepped before gametime?)

David R. (popshots75`), Monday, 30 August 2004 19:49 (nineteen years ago) link

gygax,

he didn't cost them the game by making a lousy out, he cost them the game by NOT PLAYING.

for a roided-up 40 year old man with a shot hammy, he still runs the bases and plays the field pretty well. so i thought, in a deadlocked wildcard race with only a month remaining in the season, where a single loss could certainly cost the giants a playoff berth, and with two days off in the coming week, he might take a risk, make an exception, and play this game. sacrifice his body a little bit, for the good of the team, like some of those other mvp candidates are. y'know, that corny old-school unselfish "white" bullshit.

(i'm just kidding of course, i never thought that. i know the guy too well)

regards

john

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 20:06 (nineteen years ago) link

He's played in 10 straight games (including day games following night games which he's taken off in the past), the last game he took off was the opener of the doubleheader 8/18 (which was a make-up game and yet he entered the game as a pinch-hitter). The last scheduled game he did not start was on 8/14. I don't think he's been slacking.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 20:26 (nineteen years ago) link

So it's agreed, Adrian Beltre is our #2

Gear! (Gear!), Monday, 30 August 2004 21:04 (nineteen years ago) link

Well, according to the VORP stats through Saturday's games that Dr. Morbius posted upthread: it shows a virtual tie between Pujols and Beltre for #2.

gygax! (gygax!), Monday, 30 August 2004 21:16 (nineteen years ago) link

i don't really understand how that works out:

beltre, 3B
g - 125
eqa - .340

pujols, 1B
g - 124
eqa - .341

seems to me like beltre should have the higher VORP.

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 21:40 (nineteen years ago) link

so it's agreed, VORP is confusing and kills fun

Gear! (Gear!), Monday, 30 August 2004 22:19 (nineteen years ago) link

absolutely

John (jdahlem), Monday, 30 August 2004 22:26 (nineteen years ago) link

Is it me or is the correlation between regular season MVP and world series winner really low?

bnw (bnw), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 12:45 (nineteen years ago) link

>is the correlation between regular season MVP and world series winner really low?

Well, it would figure to be. Even if most MVP winners are from one of the 8 playoff teams, odds of the player's team going on to get the trophy is roughly 1 in 8, given that most postseason series are a coin flip (or "fucking luck" as Mr Beane put it).

>seems to me like beltre should have the higher VORP

Pujols has nearly 40 more plate appearances.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 15:01 (nineteen years ago) link

ah, that explains it. beltre has clearly been a better player statistically however, and right now i'd give it to him over pujols. i think the pujols-edmonds-rolen combo is so strong it's impossible to decide anymore on any one of them, now that pujols and edmonds have gained and rolen has come back down to earth a little bit.

no one will agree with me on this and he won't win, but it's gotta be sheffield in the AL.

John (jdahlem), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 15:08 (nineteen years ago) link

He doesn't gotta be, but he's a perfectly reasonable candidate, and I'd much rather see him get it than David Ortiz (or God help us, Francisco Cordero).

Through Sunday, Shefffield is third in the AL in Adjusted Runs Above Position, trailing only Guillen and Mora (neither of whom will get support) and just ahead of Vlad.

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 15:57 (nineteen years ago) link

when you consider his circumstances putting him ahead of vlad and manny (and needless to say ortiz) is a no-brainer. unfortunately the "yankee tax" now seems to be in effect in mvp voting as well.

John (jdahlem), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 16:11 (nineteen years ago) link

Even if most MVP winners are from one of the 8 playoff teams, odds of the player's team going on to get the trophy is roughly 1 in 8, given that most postseason series are a coin flip (or "fucking luck" as Mr Beane put it).

Another way to look at it is that teams who rely on one player for most their offense rarely win it all.

bnw (bnw), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 16:56 (nineteen years ago) link

Another way to look at it is that teams rarely win it all.

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 31 August 2004 18:25 (nineteen years ago) link

well... uh... BEST RECORD IN BASEBALL!!

bnw (bnw), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 01:52 (nineteen years ago) link

edmonds headed into the stratosphere tonight and beltre is 0-5 as i'm writing this...the race for number 2 ain't over yet.

edmonds .311/.426/.672, neutral park
beltre .338/.386/.652, pitcher's park

gotta figure defense is a wash/edge to edmonds. but jimmy doesn't have great clutch/risp numbers.

the trouble of course is that rolen and pujols still loom VERY large...but i'm moving back to undecided.

John (jdahlem), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 04:18 (nineteen years ago) link

I think what we can be assured of at the very least is that the top five is probably all sewn up.

Gear! (Gear!), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 04:33 (nineteen years ago) link

If SD gets a playoff berth, Loretta deserves to be in the top 5, and likely won't be.

Edmonds would likely be my #2 at the moment.


VORP, Sept 1

Bonds 118.9
Pujols 82.2
Edmonds 78.5

Dr Morbius (Dr Morbius), Wednesday, 1 September 2004 14:20 (nineteen years ago) link

From a giants blog:

"* In terms of EqA, the gap between Bonds and Beltre is bigger than the gap between Beltre and Cody Ransom. Hell, the gap between Bonds and Beltre about as big as the gap between Beltre and Neifarious."

gygax! (gygax!), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 15:28 (nineteen years ago) link

I'm very interested to see how this MVP voting turns out. I'm thinking that Pujols and Edmonds have turned it on so much that they've passed Rolen, and they might split the St. Louis vote. I'm not sure Beltre will be #2 now. I'm almost positive Bonds wins it still.

Gear! (Gear!), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 17:20 (nineteen years ago) link

I think this year Bonds will be the runner up to Bonds.

Leeeter van den Hoogenband (Leee), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 17:56 (nineteen years ago) link

good thing for bonds that terry pendleton isn't elligible

mookieproof (mookieproof), Tuesday, 7 September 2004 18:24 (nineteen years ago) link

Can we talk about AL MVP? I'm looking at stats, and I can't see anyone running away with it. Candidates likely in contention: Manny Ramirez, David Ortiz, Vladimir Guerrero, Gary Sheffield, Ichiro Suzuki, Miguel Tejada, Melvin Mora, and Ivan Rodriguez.

jaymc (jaymc), Wednesday, 15 September 2004 17:46 (nineteen years ago) link

Sheff, Manny, and Ortiz are winning the publicity battle. Unfortunately for the Red Sox players, there's bound to be vote-splitting between them so I doubt either will win (Schilling will probably get MVP votes also, splitting the vote even further).

If the Yanks win the division despite all those pitching injuries, I think Sheff will win (although Rivera probably deserved equal credit. In a way, they're the Bonds-Schmidt combo of the AL, or at least, that is how they will be perceived).

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Wednesday, 15 September 2004 18:33 (nineteen years ago) link

The other guys you named are all having excellent seasons (we can probably add stathead-favourite Carlos Guillen to the list too) but only Ichiro is receiving what I'd call "MVP-calibre coverage". Too bad he's just Lloyd Waner 2004.

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Wednesday, 15 September 2004 18:34 (nineteen years ago) link

(OK, that was cruel and not precisely true, sorry. The part about Lloyd Waner, that is. I stand by the rest)

Barry Bruner (Barry Bruner), Wednesday, 15 September 2004 18:35 (nineteen years ago) link

I really don't see how Manny couldn't/shouldn't win it, despite the arguments for Sheff.

Gear! (Gear!), Wednesday, 15 September 2004 19:28 (nineteen years ago) link

Bill James predictor tool has Cano with 59% chance of making it to 3000.

Van Horn Street, Monday, 31 July 2017 22:12 (six years ago) link

I think Cano will make it. There are a lot of middle infielders like Castro who look like decent bets mid-career--they start young and pile up a lot of hits by the time they're 30--but they're just not good enough to play regularly into their late 30s. My guess is Castro's one of those guys, Elvis Andrus too. Altuve's obviously qualitatively different.

clemenza, Monday, 31 July 2017 23:45 (six years ago) link

castro has no chance, he's not good enough to play for as long as he'd have to

k3vin k., Monday, 31 July 2017 23:48 (six years ago) link

Robbie Alomar looked to be a guy to maybe go way over 3000 hits as he had been so dependable and then he was not anymore.

earlnash, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 03:39 (six years ago) link

I got to give Castro a bit of props for coming out of the garbage bin to even be good again, he looked maybe washed up a couple years ago.

earlnash, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 03:41 (six years ago) link

Robbie Alomar looked to be a guy to maybe go way over 3000 hits as he had been so dependable and then he was not anymore.

― earlnash, Monday, July 31, 2017 11:39 PM (yesterday) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Alomar's fall was rather sharp: 193 hits at age 33, then 157, then 133, then 45.

Van Horn Street, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 04:04 (six years ago) link

Cano's contract basically guarantees that he'll get enough PT to Biggio his way to 3000 hits.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 04:56 (six years ago) link

538 had a 3,000-hit roundup the other day:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/who-will-join-the-3000-hit-club-after-adrian-beltre/

Trout, Machado, and Harper all 200-300 hits ahead of the average 3,000-hit guy.

Alomar's drop-off still mystifies me. I had a theory at the time that I've since discarded. Coming off his near-MVP season in 2001, he was just shy of 2,400 hits and not yet 34. I thought at the time he was headed for the Top 10, maybe even 3,500 hits.

clemenza, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 12:37 (six years ago) link

(xpost)

big-gi-o

/ bij-ˈjē-ō/

transitive verb

1. to hang around unproductively for the sake of specious awards and milestones

“Martin Scorsese finally biggioed his first Academy Award for The Departed.”

clemenza, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 13:06 (six years ago) link

Finally you and Morbs can agree on something. Glad I could help (the assist goes to Biggio for inspiring this feel good moment by, uh, biggioing the last three years of his career).

NoTimeBeforeTime, Tuesday, 1 August 2017 14:57 (six years ago) link

http://mlb.nbcsports.com/2017/08/08/report-umpire-joe-west-suspended-three-games-for-bashing-adrian-beltre-publicly/

In keeping with the general feeling that umpires are a touch sensitive these days.

clemenza, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 00:56 (six years ago) link

joe west is a confrontational dick, but that is lame

i mean in the seven weeks since that happened, MLB had him ump home plate in the all-star game

mookieproof, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 01:02 (six years ago) link

yeah, that seems silly. didn't west say they were on good terms, and beltre said he thought it was a joke?

Karl Malone, Wednesday, 9 August 2017 01:03 (six years ago) link

nah fuck joe west

ein Sexmonster (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 9 August 2017 01:29 (six years ago) link

In best promotion ever, #Rangers giving away miniature on-deck circles to honor Adrian Beltre: https://t.co/9pzL8ZfRI9

— Evan Grant (@Evan_P_Grant) August 11, 2017

mookieproof, Friday, 11 August 2017 15:01 (six years ago) link

hahaha

ice cream social justice (Dr Morbius), Friday, 11 August 2017 15:06 (six years ago) link

love it

k3vin k., Friday, 11 August 2017 15:26 (six years ago) link

three weeks pass...

out at least four weeks ;_;

mookieproof, Friday, 1 September 2017 20:54 (six years ago) link

Awful! He's having a partial season that ranks with all his other second-greatest seasons.

clemenza, Friday, 1 September 2017 21:04 (six years ago) link

six months pass...

Adrian Beltre got to meet Beltre the Giraffe at the @FortWorthZoo today. https://t.co/Isr4ahfM88 pic.twitter.com/Bk3lwq3VaQ

— Cut4 (@Cut4) March 30, 2018

mookieproof, Saturday, 31 March 2018 02:15 (six years ago) link

Adrian Beltre Becomes the Latin American Hit King https://t.co/I4ZNwtnCUe

— FanGraphs Baseball (@fangraphs) April 5, 2018

mookieproof, Thursday, 5 April 2018 21:10 (six years ago) link

That is just amazing. This guy has blossomed into an All-Timer.

earlnash, Thursday, 5 April 2018 23:00 (six years ago) link

two months pass...
one month passes...

I never get tired of these two guys:

http://www.mlb.com/cut4/felix-hernandez-laughed-at-adrian-beltre-after-striking-him-out/c-289319882

(Extra credit to Beltre--as the announcers point out, he knows when not to joke around.)

clemenza, Wednesday, 8 August 2018 19:35 (five years ago) link

one month passes...

I hope Ade comes back for a final season. He’s been injured and his statline is a touch below recent years but still, he has been playing out of his mind the past couple weeks and his bWAR is a very nice 2.3 (in approx 2/3 of a season.)

omar little, Saturday, 22 September 2018 15:20 (five years ago) link

Hope so too. Otherwise (and it makes no actual difference in his stature), the two partial seasons will end up costing him 500 HR and 100 WAR.

clemenza, Saturday, 22 September 2018 15:26 (five years ago) link

one month passes...

In honor of Adrián Beltré retiring here’s a thread of all of his best, goofiest and most wonderful moments.

The dude was such a vehicle of baseball joy and we’ll all miss his antics.

— Cespedes Family BBQ (@CespedesBBQ) November 20, 2018

mookieproof, Tuesday, 20 November 2018 15:32 (five years ago) link

not complete without:
http://i.imgur.com/vv7x8lf.jpg

Mad Piratical (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 20 November 2018 16:43 (five years ago) link

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DtR9eU2U8AA8ck-.jpg:small

mookieproof, Friday, 30 November 2018 21:29 (five years ago) link

one month passes...

@GrantBrisbee Hello Grant, long time reader here. I just wanted to share this very important video with you where Adrian Beltre was shopping at JC Penny with his family and randomly appeared in a commercial where the person had no idea who he was. https://t.co/nkmxaMNHig

— Mark Sandritter (@MarkSandritter) January 24, 2019

mookieproof, Thursday, 24 January 2019 20:39 (five years ago) link

Damn, he didn't even get a chryon

reggae mike love (polyphonic), Thursday, 24 January 2019 20:45 (five years ago) link


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