which 2022 MLB rookie will ultimately have the best career?

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there were lots of great rookies this year! which one will be the best?

Poll Results

Julio Rodriguez 3
Jeremy Peña 1
Michael Harris II 1
Adley Rutschman 1
Christopher Morel 0
Vinnie Pasquantino 0
Emmanuel Rivera 0
Graham Ashcroft 0
Joe Ryan 0
Bryson Stott 0
Spencer Strider 0
Seiya Suzuki 0
Bobby Witt Jr. 0
Jose Miranda 0
Joey Meneses 0
MJ Melendez 0
Félix Bautista 0
Oneil Cruz 0
Reid Detmers 0
Brendan Donovan 0
Jhoan Duran 0
Oscar Gonzalez 0
Hunter Greene 0
George Kirby 0
Steven Kwan 0
Nick Lodolo 0
Jake McCarthy 0
other 0

na (NA), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 14:56 (three weeks ago) link

gotta be between Rodriguez and Rutschman, i'd think

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 15:10 (three weeks ago) link

those are definitely the marquee names but baseball is so unpredictable, i could see like oscar gonzalez or brendan donovan or whoever developing over the next few years and being a surprise star. peña was pretty impressive.

obviously i don't know the answer to this but i mostly wanted to have a thread to talk about how impressive and exciting this year's rookie class was and chart how they grow going forward

na (NA), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 15:33 (three weeks ago) link

He didn't get much playing time, but the Jays' Omar Moreno looks promising (may be traded).

Unduly influenced by the postseason, I'll go with Pena.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 17:02 (three weeks ago) link

Omar? i think you mean Gabriel!

FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:22 (three weeks ago) link

Yikes! I really am stuck in 1979, living a Groundhog Day-type existence.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:56 (three weeks ago) link

Rodriguez probably the best bet. Harris did great, I think Strider was even better (that 16 K game later in the season was probably the best SP performance of the year i'm thinking), Rutschman looks legit, Witt can only get better, i like Cruz, Gonzalez, and Pena a lot. Suzuki and Morel are my loyalty picks being a Cubs fan, but i think they're lower-tier.

J-Rod it is, followed by Strider.

omar little, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 20:09 (three weeks ago) link

worth remembering pena is 25. adley is 24. julio is 21.

it feels obvious to say julio but his combination of size, athleticism, tools, approach, production, defensive value... there's very very few players in baseball let alone this list that offer that kinda package. and he got better as the year went on, he seems like a hard worker, he's charismatic, wants to lead the team and all that. from what i can tell he's essentially a flawless player at this age

adley would be my second choice... huge stretch i know. he will prob hit for less average than julio and i would worry just a bit about his body, but he's gonna bet he next buster posey probably. hard to imagine him not having a great 15 year career

michael harris is amazing... a legit gold glove level centerfielder w/ 25 home run power. there seems to be a bigger hole in his game in terms of his approach... feel like he's not really the .300 level hitter he was this year. and maybe over time the athleticism/defense wane... he's not quite on the level of hitter as adley and julio.

and then bobby witt prob has to be brought up... he was behind all three production wise but the athleticism/defense/tools aspect is there. a 22 year old putting up 2.5 WAR at SS is pretty serious. mostly curious what his true level OBP will end up at.

all the rest of these guys have to be behind them i think, not a huge shock. oneil cruz is prob the most interesting, he just absolutely crushes the ball, but whether he has the same level hit tool and defensive value as the rest of these guys is an open question. MJ melendez was really impressive too, you could prob throw him in the top group.

inherently all the pitchers prob fall behind. spencer strider was putting up K and swing strike numbers that were essentially historic. but not sure you can trust a pitcher's arm when the stuff and the Ks are that high. i like lodolo too but pitching in cincy is really tough

J0rdan S., Wednesday, 16 November 2022 20:55 (three weeks ago) link

Totally forgot about Pena's age (after pointing it out myself on the postseason thread). So I'll go with the conventional J-Rod vote, even though I already voted.

clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 21:54 (three weeks ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll is closing tomorrow.

System, Wednesday, 30 November 2022 00:01 (one week ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.

System, Thursday, 1 December 2022 00:01 (six days ago) link

I somehow missed this poll. I would have gone with the obvious J-Rod pick, but Michael Harris put up 5.3 WAR last year, which I hadn't even realized until he won ROY. And he's the same age as Rodriguez.

NoTimeBeforeTime, Thursday, 1 December 2022 07:34 (six days ago) link

huh i had put the names in alphabetical order, i wonder how ilx decides how to sort all the poll options that get 0 points

na (NA), Thursday, 1 December 2022 13:55 (six days ago) link

writein for "Adley if the Orioles had brought him up earlier"

Guayaquil (eephus!), Thursday, 1 December 2022 14:09 (six days ago) link

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