Does anyone else to off-season predictatrons? I do the MLBTR one every year with a friend as a contest between the two of us, and it looks like the baseball subReddit has one based on fangraphs top 50 FA aswell.
Should I post my guesses so you can all mock me?
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 14 November 2022 20:08 (one year ago) link
Yes
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 14 November 2022 20:36 (one year ago) link
1. Aaron Judge *Yankees2. Carlos Correa *Cubs3. Trea Turner *Dodgers4. Xander Bogaerts *Phillies5. Dansby Swanson *Twins6. Carlos Rodon *Red Sox7. Jacob deGrom *Mets8. Justin Verlander *Astros9. Brandon Nimmo *Mets10. Willson Contreras *Cardinals11. Kodai Senga *Rangers12. Josh Bell *Astros13. Chris Bassitt *Padres14. Jameson Taillon *Angels15. Andrew Benintendi *Tigers16. Taijuan Walker *Giants17. Sean Manaea *Orioles
18. Andrew Heaney *Twins19. Jose Abreu *Mariners20. Mitch Haniger *Mariners21. Noah Syndergaard *Dodgers22. Anthony Rizzo *Yankees23. Nathan Eovaldi *Red Sox24. Taylor Rogers *Red Sox25. J.D. Martinez *Angels26. Christian Vazquez *Cubs27. Kenley Jansen *Rangers28. Clayton Kershaw *Dodgers29. Rafael Montero *Astros30. Jose Quintana *Tigers31. Zach Eflin *Royals32. Carlos Estevez *Braves33. Jurickson Profar *Braves34. Joc Pederson *Giants35. Martin Perez *Rangers36. Tyler Anderson *Dodgers37. Brandon Drury *White Sox38. Ross Stripling *Blue Jays39. Andrew Chafin *Red Sox40. Jean Segura *Braves41. Michael Wacha *Diamondbacks42. David Robertson *Phillies43. Michael Brantley *Astros44. Michael Conforto *Reds45. Adam Ottavino *Cardinals46. Chris Martin *Blue Jays47. Justin Turner *Brewers48. Corey Kluber *Diamondbacks49. Mike Clevinger *Blue Jays50. Drew Rucinski *Cubs
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 14 November 2022 20:39 (one year ago) link
MOCK AWAY
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 14 November 2022 20:44 (one year ago) link
is this WAR total?
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 14 November 2022 21:47 (one year ago) link
(unsure if joke, but) the numbers in front of each name? they're just listed in the order of projected contract size on mlbtr (i think).
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 00:55 (one year ago) link
Oooooh
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 02:22 (one year ago) link
Such a sadly realistic vision of what the Orioles "going all in to win now" could look like
― Guayaquil (eephus!), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 03:36 (one year ago) link
i forgot about michael conforto!
― mookieproof, Tuesday, 15 November 2022 04:02 (one year ago) link
The Mets will too.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 04:49 (one year ago) link
tyler anderson to the angels; thermo is 0-for-1
― mookieproof, Tuesday, 15 November 2022 21:33 (one year ago) link
joc pederson & martin perez accepted qualifying offers; thermo 2-for-3
― mookieproof, Tuesday, 15 November 2022 21:35 (one year ago) link
fortunately i can edit responses until tmrw. so i am about to be 3/3, but so is anyone else half paying attention. tho Anderson to Angels will effect some other pics. also i didn't mean to have two SP going to the Dbacks, so i'll edit that too.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 21:59 (one year ago) link
so – I now have Taillon heading to the Giants, Walker to the Cardinals, Anderson to the Angels and Wacha to the Phillies
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 15 November 2022 22:05 (one year ago) link
hmm teoscar hernandez traded from the blue jays to the mariners?
― na (NA), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 15:55 (one year ago) link
For Erik Swanson and Adam Macko, two pitchers--didn't see that coming.
https://ca.yahoo.com/sports/news/mariners-reportedly-trade-for-all-star-outfielder-teoscar-hernandez-161420530.html
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 16:31 (one year ago) link
do you think one of the three jays catchers might be traded this off-season?
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 18:20 (one year ago) link
Seems to be almost a certainty. My initial guess was Jansen, but they seem pretty happy with their platoon and supposedly it's Moreno who they're looking to trade.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 18:25 (one year ago) link
what do think they're they looking for in return? starting pitching? that seems like a constant need for every team. i know the cardinals system pretty well and am willing to broker a deal with mozeliak
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 18:42 (one year ago) link
actually i just looked moreno up in some more detail and i am thinking it would take an amazing prospect dump in order to land Moreno, esp with his service time still less then a year. i don't think this is going to work. i will have to tell mo
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 18:46 (one year ago) link
Always starting pitching, yeah. We've got two solid starters, maybe three (not totally convinced that Stripling will repeat), maybe four (who knows with Berrios). We need a reliable 4.00 ERA, R.A. Dickey-type at the back end.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:01 (one year ago) link
Do what you can, KM.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:02 (one year ago) link
We need a reliable 4.00 ERA, R.A. Dickey-type at the back end.
quintana might be a good choice for that, as a free agent. it seems like he really re-found his stuff last year, and even at more median kind of projection he's still an innings-eater
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:18 (one year ago) link
Stripling is a free agent! i'm hoping they can resign, but right now we have two reliable starters plus Berrios. also, i really don't like the Hernandez deal.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:24 (one year ago) link
I don't either, after looking at the two guys. Swanson was great last year, but it was his first good season. Macko, unless I'm missing something, doesn't look like an especially promising prospect.
Forgot about Stripling's free agency.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 19:56 (one year ago) link
I can see the case for trading Teoscar--they got him for a washed-up Francisco Liriano, he's about to turn 30, and he's declined the last two seasons--I just wish they would have gotten more.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 22:42 (one year ago) link
Actually, he turned 30 last month.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 16 November 2022 22:46 (one year ago) link
So the Mets/yankees are being investigated for some possible free agent shenanigans over judge! (I doubt much comes of it tbh)
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 17 November 2022 19:00 (one year ago) link
The Hernandez deal makes total sense to me, cool player to have in that one peak season, but probably not so much in any season going forward imo. I don’t know what his defense is like but seems like a fairly one-dimensional hitter.
― omar little, Thursday, 17 November 2022 20:01 (one year ago) link
I’d definitely say he’s more than a one season fluke. He seemed to figure something out in 2020 - his OPS+ the last three years has been 135. He’s not such a great defender tho.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 17 November 2022 21:28 (one year ago) link
gio urshela to the angles
― na (NA), Friday, 18 November 2022 21:11 (one year ago) link
So weird to see passan breaking the news on Instagram
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 18 November 2022 21:23 (one year ago) link
Dodgers To Non-Tender Cody Bellinger.
Shocked, as I thought they would have kept him around and they can afford it.
― Bee OK, Saturday, 19 November 2022 00:03 (one year ago) link
Grant Brisbee thought the giants would take him if the Dodgers didn’t want him
― after several days on “the milk,” (gyac), Saturday, 19 November 2022 00:15 (one year ago) link
I read the Blue Jays were interested too, under the premise he'd hit well at Rogers Centre. I'll take the blame if he lands in Toronto.
aaron judge needs his own thread
― clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 00:38 (one year ago) link
https://dodgerblue.com/cody-bellinger-rumors-toronto-blue-jays-interested-teams-if-dodgers-non-tender/2022/11/18/
― clemenza, Saturday, 19 November 2022 00:50 (one year ago) link
Remember when Bellinger and Yelich were 1-2 in the mvp voting?
― omar little, Saturday, 19 November 2022 02:06 (one year ago) link
Someone on Reddit pointed out that Bellinger will probably want more playing time than the jays can guarantee. Makes sense for a less competitive team to take a flier and let him sink or swim in cf more than a team like the jays would.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Saturday, 19 November 2022 14:36 (one year ago) link
was wondering why the brewers would trade Renfroe for three guys that look kinda like spare parts... then saw their outfield depth chart... three top 100 outfield prospects and another couple backup options after that!!
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Wednesday, 23 November 2022 08:44 (one year ago) link
As much as I would prefer that Judge stays with the Yankees--just because I like such antiquated concepts as "face of the franchise" and players staying with one team for their career--if he leaves, I'll enjoy thinking about all those NY cretins who booed him in the playoffs.
― clemenza, Thursday, 24 November 2022 01:04 (one year ago) link
he got boo'd in the playoffs?!
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Thursday, 24 November 2022 19:14 (one year ago) link
Tbh i’m a little curious if the hair shit/NYY CULTURE OF WINNING redassery is clocked by the players or not
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Thursday, 24 November 2022 19:47 (one year ago) link
(xpost) Definitely for a game or two in Yankee Stadium--scattered but audible.
― clemenza, Thursday, 24 November 2022 20:54 (one year ago) link
xp i expect that the players who care are into it. guys like brett gardner and, apparently, anthony rizzo live for that shit
― mookieproof, Thursday, 24 November 2022 22:45 (one year ago) link
Fun predictions-style article: one big off-season move for each team:
https://www.espn.com/mlb/insider/insider/story/_/id/35047269/mlb-2022-23-free-agency-offseason-moves-all-30-teams
― NoTimeBeforeTime, Friday, 25 November 2022 10:54 (one year ago) link
not-quite-37yo carlos santana to the pirates, one year/$6.7m
― mookieproof, Saturday, 26 November 2022 03:01 (one year ago) link
Big splash by their standards
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Sunday, 27 November 2022 05:37 (one year ago) link
their biggest free-agent signing since 2016 lol
― mookieproof, Sunday, 27 November 2022 05:41 (one year ago) link
Had to look it up…. Daniel Hudson. 2 years, 11m.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Sunday, 27 November 2022 14:22 (one year ago) link
looking like jose abreu to the astros. as a white sox fan it's a bummer, though they do have andrew vaughn to put at 1b and a bunch of dudes who should probably just be DHing
― na (NA), Monday, 28 November 2022 20:08 (one year ago) link
a couple arbitration things. i guess the big one is corbin burnes. he asked for $10.75M, brewers countered with $10.01M, he lost his case. burnes wasn't happy about it:
Every fear that going to an arbitration hearing against Corbin Burnes could harm his relationship with the Brewers was founded. “There’s no denying that the relationship is definitely hurt from what [transpired],” Burnes said. pic.twitter.com/Xv8DFyiKde— Adam McCalvy (@AdamMcCalvy) February 16, 2023
sounds like during the hearing, the brewers (or their reps in the case at least) tried to blame not making the 2022 playoffs on burnes (who pitched very well last year), and he's pissed.
in less notable news, ryan helsley also lost his arbitration case. he asked for $3M, will receive $2.15M instead. he was one of the very best relievers in the game last year and can throw 104 mph, but ok cardinals
― President of Destiny Encounters International (Karl Malone), Friday, 17 February 2023 16:11 (one year ago) link
Seems like a bad way for the brewers to save 749k
― omar little, Friday, 17 February 2023 16:52 (one year ago) link
Textbook illustration of why arbitration hearings are a minefield to be avoided.
― clemenza, Friday, 17 February 2023 18:31 (one year ago) link
(If possible, obviously, and $750,000 is very avoidable.)
― clemenza, Friday, 17 February 2023 18:32 (one year ago) link
machado opting out after this season:
Machado confirms he plans to opt out at the end of this season, said Padres know where he stands when it comes to a new deal. Noted the market has changed dramatically since he signed.“There’s a lot of money out there.”“As a player about to opt out, it’s pretty good to see.”— Chelsea Janes (@chelsea_janes) February 17, 2023
― President of Destiny Encounters International (Karl Malone), Friday, 17 February 2023 18:50 (one year ago) link
Just don’t have a subpar season after you plan to opt out
― Michael F Gill, Friday, 17 February 2023 19:54 (one year ago) link
yeah, kinda gutsy! to be fair, though, i think the market has shifted such that even if he had a relatively disastrous season, he would still probably be able to get a raise by opting out and signing with a team willing to snag him based on his record so far
― President of Destiny Encounters International (Karl Malone), Friday, 17 February 2023 19:55 (one year ago) link
He would have to completely implode to not make off like a bandit next offseason
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 17 February 2023 21:25 (one year ago) link
looks like the White Sox have snagged Elvis Andrus for $3M, 1 year
― President of Destiny Encounters International (Karl Malone), Monday, 20 February 2023 00:52 (one year ago) link
One of those middle infielders I'm forever falling into the trap of thinking is a viable 3,000-hit candidate as they approach 30 (Andrus had 1,457 hits and was coming of a career high 191 going into his age-29 season). His career defensive stats are good, so it's too bad he'll be primarily remembered for his disastrous 7th inning against the Jays in the bat-flip game.
― clemenza, Monday, 20 February 2023 01:34 (one year ago) link
https://defector.com/the-search-for-the-real-jason-heyward-continues
i wish the dodgers good luck, i hope heyward gets it together but even if not he's possibly a good piece for a championship contender. would be nice, if he does get it together, that bellinger does as well. so it feels like the best possible even swap outcome.
― omar little, Wednesday, 22 February 2023 17:41 (one year ago) link
he seems like someone who might benefit from a year overseas to try out all of his possible swing mechanics with a bit less of a spotlight on his struggles
hell, pretty much everyone would benefit from a year overseas, we should all try that next year
― z_tbd, Wednesday, 22 February 2023 17:50 (one year ago) link
Apparently Machado is getting an 11 year extension at $350M. Yow.
― Michael F Gill, Monday, 27 February 2023 21:00 (one year ago) link
only some of that is new years and money, but yeah.
The star third baseman was planning to opt out of his contract after the season but will instead stick around, as Machado and the Padres are reportedly finalizing a new 11-year, $350MM contract. The extension begins this year and will run through the 2033 campaign, which will be Machado’s age-40 season. He gets full no-trade protection and the deal does not contain any opt-outs. Since Machado had six years and $180MM remaining on his previous deal, this new agreement will add five years and $170MM in new money for the MVP Sports Group client.
― z_tbd, Monday, 27 February 2023 21:19 (one year ago) link
Getting $170M for your age 35 to age 40 seasons still feels like a big win for Machado.
― Michael F Gill, Monday, 27 February 2023 22:29 (one year ago) link
oh for sure! plus they can go on and put that padres hat on his hall of flame plaque
― z_tbd, Monday, 27 February 2023 22:33 (one year ago) link
He’s so close to being a slam dunk HOF it’s kind of wild
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Monday, 27 February 2023 22:46 (one year ago) link
he's pretty close. i'd rank guys like Freeman, Arenado, Harper and Betts ahead of him in terms of HoF odds; but i wouldn't bet against him at this point
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Monday, 27 February 2023 23:39 (one year ago) link
i would bet $30 against him. but i'd bet $80 for him. and $1 on "becomes a home plate umpire", just because that one is worth tons if you win
― z_tbd, Tuesday, 28 February 2023 00:03 (one year ago) link
For the fourth consecutive season, I had the AI create a motto for every MLB team. pic.twitter.com/DE05AkuqnB— Dan Szymborski (@DSzymborski) March 4, 2023
― mookieproof, Saturday, 4 March 2023 17:55 (one year ago) link
Former Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer is finalizing a one-year contract with the Yokohama DeNA BayStars in Japan, sources tell ESPN. Bauer was released by the Dodgers and went unsigned by MLB teams after serving a record domestic-violence suspension. Deal will be official tonight.— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) March 13, 2023
― mookieproof, Monday, 13 March 2023 20:32 (one year ago) link
bye bitch!
― giant bat fucker (gyac), Monday, 13 March 2023 20:41 (one year ago) link
all the bally sports / diamond fallout continues. not sure anyone cares about the "how do i watch the games on tv" part but there's going to be an arrangement where mlb takes over the broadcasts for some of the teams affected and temporarily stream the games for free for locals...but only for 4 of the teams affected. i think. also, some of the teams that were counting on RSN money are going to get less of it. the gist of it was that the RSNs were paying too much money to some of the teams with lower viewerships
Regarding the DSG bankruptcy, these are the 8 MLB teams likely to get their RSN fees cut according to MLB insider because the current deals are uneconomical: Diamondbacks, Reds, Guardians, Rockies, A's, Pirates, Twins, Rangers.— Mike Ozanian (@MikeOzanian) March 15, 2023
― it's a new day in the international landscape (z_tbd), Wednesday, 15 March 2023 19:04 (one year ago) link
The Rangers can't get viewers because everyone's too excited to go see them in person at the world's largest Tractor Supply.
― papal hotwife (milo z), Thursday, 16 March 2023 07:46 (one year ago) link
Torn between wanting players to keep getting paid $$$$ and my desire to see the fallout from the RSN bubble bursting completely. The money would never work out but it would be cool to have local sports broadcast on channels in the UHF range again.
― papal hotwife (milo z), Thursday, 16 March 2023 07:48 (one year ago) link
Not player movement, and behind a paywall, but The Athletic's starting pitcher rankings, in tiers:
https://theathletic.com/4328582/2023/03/23/mlb-aces-project-pitcher-rankings/
They've got Manoah 20th--I'm biased and would have him higher.
― clemenza, Friday, 24 March 2023 01:55 (one year ago) link
Pitcherlist has him at 22 (mind you it’s fantasy focused). But it makes sense. None of his pitches are crazy overwhelming - his strikeout rate is pretty middle of the road and he probably has some luck on his side last year. 20-22 range still lands you as a solid number two option on most teams or the staff ace on a weaker rotation.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 24 March 2023 04:20 (one year ago) link
Alcantara had 6 complete games last year?! Insane
― Tracer Hand, Friday, 24 March 2023 08:10 (one year ago) link
Aaand Manoah is the opening day starter.
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 24 March 2023 17:26 (one year ago) link
only pitchers i'd consider moving him in front of on that list are gallen (impressive year last year, but can he keep it up?) and strider (obviously electric, but short track record)
― deadmauZedong (voodoo chili), Friday, 24 March 2023 17:33 (one year ago) link
Should I get a subscription to the Athletic??!
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Friday, 24 March 2023 17:43 (one year ago) link
idk if it's the case anymore now that it's owned by nyt, but you used to be able to get it for ludicrously cheap. i paid something like $24 for two years
― deadmauZedong (voodoo chili), Friday, 24 March 2023 17:50 (one year ago) link
Athletic is great imo but it might depend on your team, I don’t think all teams have writers?
― limb tins & cum (gyac), Friday, 24 March 2023 17:53 (one year ago) link
Many teams dont have beat writers
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Friday, 24 March 2023 18:07 (one year ago) link
Surprised--assumed it'd be Gausman.
I'm not big on BABIP when it comes to awards voting, but it's something I'd definitely pay attention to if placing a bet on next year's Cy Young winner. Gausman, as well documented, had historically bad luck last year: highest BABIP for a starting pitcher since WWII, I think. If you believe such things tend to even out year-to-year (probably not true, it takes a few seasons), note that the Jays have improved their defense, and also that, for whatever reason, shifting seemed to hurt Gausman the first half of the season, I would think he'd be a good guy to put money on for this year's CYA.
― clemenza, Friday, 24 March 2023 18:34 (one year ago) link
It's free mlb.tv day for T-Mobile customers
― papal hotwife (milo z), Tuesday, 28 March 2023 20:34 (one year ago) link
While there’s agreement on dollars between star CF Bryan Reynolds and Pirates, a major conceptual issue has prevented a deal. Reynolds has moved a lot to try to get a deal done but there remains a disagreement on this key point. Unknown if the sides may push it past 4:10 deadline— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) March 30, 2023
unfortunately, just before Reynolds was going to sign, a disagreement surfaced regarding the ontological status of concepts involving abstract objects, and negotiations quickly fell apart
― it's a new day in the international landscape (z_tbd), Thursday, 30 March 2023 20:03 (one year ago) link
Quality post
― Michael F Gill, Friday, 31 March 2023 00:15 (one year ago) link
apparently brian reynold's 6-year, $107 million extension is the pirates' a) first ever nine-figure deal b) first deal with a no-trade clause since 2006
― na (NA), Tuesday, 25 April 2023 16:21 (one year ago) link