First 144 games, 94 walks; next 10 games, 17 walks. Don't think I ever used the word "conspiracy," but if you don't detect any kind of a change there...
Maybe the pitchers should conspire; the Texas pitchers and all the other pitchers can have a meeting before this next series to discuss their top-secret strategies that have been getting Judge out in 69% of his AB over the season.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:03 (three years ago)
And again, my bigger question: intentional, not intentional, nibbling, whatever--is this working? When they were walking Judge much less frequently, and he was hitting a ton of HR, were the Yankees scoring at a rate of 17 runs in 19 innings?
And if it isn't working, would it maybe a good idea to walk him less frequently?
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:09 (three years ago)
clemenza. if they throw ball over plate more judge hit ball go far. if miss on heart of plate judge still hit ball go far. pitcher try no throw over heart of plate! maybe judge at this stage season more fearsome than early on! maybe reputation force weakness, error, who know! nothing "work" against hitter like judge! only less bad outcome!
― Tracer Hand, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:35 (three years ago)
If they were getting a, uh, less bad outcome, I might agree. You refuse to address that the outcome they're getting since #60 is terrible.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:43 (three years ago)
I know that your stubborness about this has absolutely nothing to do with you being a Red Sox fan, and that if it were Rafael Devers instead of Judge, you'd be every bit as understanding.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:44 (three years ago)
I wish I could call up that lead-off AB against Baltimore the other night on YouTube, the one I posted about earlier. One pitch was what you call nibbling--it was a good pitch, and Judge fouled it off. The other four pitches Bo Bichette wouldn't have swung at.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:46 (three years ago)
clemenza! they are not TRYING - by and large - to walk him! it's not a strategy! he's just forcing them to make borderline pitches that they're missing! do you realise how much more of a compliment that is to your boy than the idea that pitchers are adopting a "strategy" en masse of walking judge that is backfiring on them ??
― Tracer Hand, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:50 (three years ago)
Impasse--let's drop it. I keep saying the same thing: that most of the walks I've seen amounted to "I'll throw you a borderline strike mid-count, maybe two, and then I'm going to essentially intentionally walk you." You see something different: you see crafty pitchers battling Judge, refusing to give in, and if they walk him to lead off an inning, and two runs score, well, at least he didn't homer.
We're just seeing something different.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:57 (three years ago)
I wish I could call up that lead-off AB against Baltimore the other night on YouTube, the one I posted about earlier.
was it one of these? these are the walks (from the last three games against the O's:
https://i.imgur.com/Wzm0tcM.pnghttps://i.imgur.com/1Ry5qx7.pnghttps://i.imgur.com/O62Bw8L.pnghttps://i.imgur.com/8fREqdI.png
― Karl Malone, Monday, 3 October 2022 22:58 (three years ago)
Thanks for looking that up. Went back to my description and checked the game log; it would be the Spencer Watkins. To me, that's an IBB without four fingers: one nibble, four balls that aren't close. The Kyle Bradish AB is better, but still, three of those pitches aren't close. The other two AB, no problem.
All told, 22 pitches, 5 tough strikes/great pitches, 2 very hittable strikes. And, yes, I will point out again: the Yankees were up 4-0 in the 7th when Spencer Watkins walked him. You give up that 5th run--and they gave up four--you've essentially lost the game. That's just stupid baseball.
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 23:09 (three years ago)
Made a mad dash to the TV after that post when I remembered I could watch the Yankee game. "Jesus, don't tell me I missed #62 arguing about #62 on the internet."
― clemenza, Monday, 3 October 2022 23:14 (three years ago)
I’m not suggesting pitchers are worried about long lasting infamy as much as maybe they simply don’t want to be the guy to give up #62 and they erring on the side of giving him tough pitches. I also don’t think a walk strategy would work (and I don’t think it’s a strategy really), but if it was, as we’ve seen with managers over the years they don’t make the best decisions a lot of the time.
― omar little, Monday, 3 October 2022 23:19 (three years ago)
i haven't seen any of the recent games, but i agree that pitchers aren't having much success against Judge lately. since September 1, he's hitting .393/.556/.820, .550 wOBA, 272 wRC+. he's walked in 26.4% of his PAs. also, importantly, his BABIP is .510, which means that when he gets pitched close enough to the zone to make contact, he's still getting tons of hits.
in other words, he's playing like barry bonds in the early 2000s, when he got walked a billion times.
i think the thought that pitchers are simply pitching around him to avoid getting punished -- with poor results, as you've noted -- makes a lot more sense if you keep the assumption that the opposing teams are still trying to do everything they can to win, even if they're mathematically eliminated from the playoffs. there are a number of reasons that a player/team would still want to do everything possible to win, ranging from psychological (competitiveness) to financial (their stats are correlated to how much money they make).
― Karl Malone, Monday, 3 October 2022 23:20 (three years ago)
"Jesus, don't tell me I missed #62 arguing about #62 on the internet."
lol, this would be a very 2022 kind of event too
― Karl Malone, Monday, 3 October 2022 23:21 (three years ago)
As we thrash around in this unknowable gray area, some crystalline logic from the Yankees announcer: "We're all waiting for #62...No one's waited longer than Aaron Judge. He wants it--and he wants it before this season's over."
― clemenza, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 00:30 (three years ago)
That was weird: Gonzalez HR, Judge strikes out, Stanton HR.
Kudos to Texas--they've pitched to Judge all night. 1-4, checked-swing single, lined into a DP.
They took out Severino after 7 with a no-hitter/near-perfect game; almost 100 pitches, only his third start since July.
― clemenza, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 01:11 (three years ago)
Michael Kay is a legendary bozo
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Tuesday, 4 October 2022 01:33 (three years ago)
Doubt creeping in for the first time. If he doesn't hit one in tomorrow's double-header, and it comes down to Wednesday, I hope the Rangers start Charlie Hough.
― clemenza, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 01:48 (three years ago)
i didn't realize people felt so strongly about the AL home run record
― call all destroyer, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 01:58 (three years ago)
No one does. Just me, plus the 35,000 people who came out see if Texas could win their 67th game, plus all the people in Toronto and Baltimore (probably not Boston) booing every ball. No one else.
― clemenza, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 02:03 (three years ago)
and certainly not me, that went to NY to try and see it! (and also Jamie XX) (and also see an old friend)
― FRAUDULENT STEAKS (The Cursed Return of the Dastardly Thermo Thinwall), Tuesday, 4 October 2022 02:05 (three years ago)
(gulp) I guess this was meant to happen on the last day of the season, just like it did with Maris.
― clemenza, Tuesday, 4 October 2022 21:41 (three years ago)
there's another game tonight, right? + 1 more tomorrow
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:05 (three years ago)
there it goes
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:08 (three years ago)
Michael kay is really the worst
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:09 (three years ago)
Don’t gulp too soon
― Michael F Gill, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:10 (three years ago)
Did someone fall into the bullpen????
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:13 (three years ago)
Or into the moat
Yep someone did
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:14 (three years ago)
How long until Clemenza realizes there was a second game today
― Michael F Gill, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:17 (three years ago)
whenever i see that clip in the future, i will always look at the guy who falls
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:26 (three years ago)
Was prob a good move looking at it again; if it got dropped he would have been the only one down there
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:28 (three years ago)
yeah, it was definitely a good move by the numbers. good process, bad result, you can't fault them
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 00:30 (three years ago)
I saw 87% of it! I bowl Tuesday nights; I was up the same time Judge was. Tried to time it so I'd see every pitch, but after I threw my first ball, I looked up and the HR was in the air. So did someone catch it?
― clemenza, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 01:18 (three years ago)
honestly the stream i was watching, and the replays i've seen, it makes it hard to see where the ball even landed
(did you pick up the spare?)
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 01:19 (three years ago)
Yeah, I just looked at the replay and couldn't follow the ball...I was just too preoccupied with Judge to be my usual mediocre self tonight.
― clemenza, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 01:21 (three years ago)
i can't speak to the veracity of this because it comes via the cardinals broadcast, but according to them, the person who caught the 62nd HR is:
"vice president of ____ investment"
"manages 197 billion worldwide"
"hedgefund manager"
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 01:37 (three years ago)
he should sell the ball for $460,000
He should sell it for 69,696,642.00
― Its big ball chunky time (Jimmy The Mod Awaits The Return Of His Beloved), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 01:43 (three years ago)
Can’t wait to read MLB.com/news/meet-the-billionaire-who-caught-number-62-heartwarming-story
― Michael F Gill, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:02 (three years ago)
please don't let yourselves get played, this guy is doing fine but he's not raking in millions or anything close to it
― call all destroyer, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:22 (three years ago)
please don't let yourselves get played
as i mentioned, this came via the cardinals broadcasters and they have no idea what is going on
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:34 (three years ago)
His name is in a few news stories. He is a VP at an investment firm. Glassdoor estimates that employees in that position at his firm have a salary of about $340,000.
― jaymc, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:43 (three years ago)
now i'm on a hunt to figure out where the cardinals broadcast heard the wrong info from. shocking
i'm guessing they heard about the total investment portfolio of the firm (197 billion?! that seems like a lot but i only have like 3 dollars so everything seems big) and just attributed it all to the guy who caught the ball, due to the fact that they've been doing nothing but watching baseball for 40+ years
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:46 (three years ago)
i think they were referencing this:
Cory Youmans, the Rangers fan who caught Aaron Judge’s 62nd home run is the VP of Fisher Investments, a firm with a $200 billion portfolio based out of Dallas. I wonder if he’s gonna take a year or two off🫢— Arrowhead Live (@ArrowheadLive) October 5, 2022
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:48 (three years ago)
yes, taking the overall investment portfolio of a financial services company and associating it with one individual at VP level is laughable. 340K seems generous based on my read of his seniority but dude is comfortably into the low 6 figures for sure, as i said he's doing fine but he has a mortgage and a car payment and regular shit
― call all destroyer, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:55 (three years ago)
i think he's also married to someone who was on the bachelor
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:57 (three years ago)
"She was eliminated in week 1."
― Karl Malone, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 02:59 (three years ago)
okay so what did the tickets in that section go for? kind of a lottery ticket priced in right?
― frogbs, Wednesday, 5 October 2022 03:02 (three years ago)
incredible season. my mother has an Aaron Judge action figure and practically worships him, and one of my best friends is from East Meadow and is a die hard Yankee, and every time he would hit an HR this year, my mom would tell me, and 5 minutes later, he'd msg me.
one of the more incredible offensive seasons in history.
― stank viola (Neanderthal), Wednesday, 5 October 2022 03:18 (three years ago)