Rolling Teenpop 2007 Thread

My guess is "D.A.N.C.E." has a decent shot at top 10 and so does "Upgrade U". I'd put "All My Friends" as a near top 10 lock but I guess I don't really know. It was #1 on the Stylus list.

I'd bet "Girlfriend" for top 10 as well.

There's the problem of crossing years, but I'd think that "Rehab" might do well if it gets enough this year for last year's votes to qualify; maybe "Back To Black," though I'd hardly say it's assured in the Top 20. The Timbo/Hilson?

And I simply have no reading for how music critics are rating "Gimme More" and "Piece Of Me," which I think are both better than "Toxic" but I don't think the critical community is with me on this. They could go top twenty, or they could bomb out altogether.

Is Kanye West's "Stronger" in play? Another thing I can't read.

Other than "Lazy Eye," what are the indie singles that critics are getting behind. "Standing In The Way Of Control" would have gotten most of its votes in 2006, right?

D.A.N.C.E."..."Upgrade U"... "All My Friends"

Off the top of my head, I can identify the artists who did exactly zero of these.

I could totally see "Rehab" beating "Umberlla," come to think of it. And yeah, "Stronger" will be way up there.

I should also say here that it kind of ticks me off that my Avril feat. Lil Mama vote will probably count toward just plain Avril votes (which it's not), but if it does, Lil Mama will help "Girlfriend"s's standing, I'm sure.

If it peaked in the U.K. in 2007, I guarantee that plenty of people consider it a 2007 song (though they may or may not be critics.)

Your parenthetical here is key, Chuck. The people who vote in P&J and Idolator tend to be U.S.-based critics, and I'm guessing that the U.S.-based critics who care about Robyn in the first place would've heard this in 2006 (on Pitchfork or on blogs or wherever) and considered it a 2006 song, since to their knowledge it didn't blow up any more than that. It's not a case of hearing "Toxic" in 2003 or "Since U Been Gone" in 2004 or "Crazy" in 2005 or "Rehab" in 2006 but then finding it inescapable the following year. It's a case of hearing an mp3 in 2006 and having no reason to encounter it further after that.

so does "Upgrade U"

Beyonce or Lil Wayne? I don't think either of them have much of a shot, to be honest.

Let me add: I have no pulse on the critical consensus and don't even have a vote myself. My predictions are not particularly educated guesses.

"All My Friends" deserves to do well, but again its something I don't have much of a reading on. (Xhuxk, it's LCD Soundsystem.)

I'm guessing these are top 10.

Kanye West, "Stronger"
Amy Winehouse, "Rehab"
Peter Bjorn + John, "Young Folks" (with 2006 carryover votes)
Rihanna, "Umbrella"
Avril Lavigne, "Girlfriend"
Lil Mama, "Lip Gloss"
LCD Soundsystem, "All My Friends" (if this isn't Pitchfork's #1, I'll be very surprised)
Feist, "1234"

Can't think of what the other two will be...

I'm calling Fall Out Boy on the top 10. And I see 'Piece of Me' placing a lot higher than just top 50.

Also, I'd be really surprised if Lip Gloss hit the top 10. Thrilling, but shocked.

See, Chuck mentioning "Soulja Boy" as a potential (or probable?) Top 10 just proves how little I probably know; I would've assumed that among critics Dude & Nem stand a better chance, even though the Soulja Boy is a much more popular record.

"Rehab" I totally agree with--I wouldnt' be shocked if it won (it'll bridge a major age gap, I'm guessing) (note that I don't think the oldtimers around here--present company included--really count among the demographic I'm thinking... even Greil Marcus likes "Rehab"!).

I'll begrudgingly admit "Girlfriend" will be Top 10, despite having come to really dislike it myself after an initial positive reaction (don't know the Lil Mama vers.). Sincerely hope "1234" isn't right up there, but yeah, it probably has a shot also. (I've tried to convince myself I like Feist, even taking my wife to see her live once, but I think I'm giving up on that illusion.)

I think Timbo/Hilson's got a shot at the top ten. And I'm skeptical about "Young Folks" and "Stronger" (but see below), and I wish "Girlfriend" and "1234" wouldn't make it but I think they will. And there's a chance that a lot of people will consider "Rehab" old news. I'm pleased you're all sure that "Lip Gloss" is a lock. I think Rihanna slaughters everyone else, but I was sure in 2005 that "Gold Digger" would be lucky to get Top 5 and that the battle was between "Since U Been Gone" and "1 Thing," so my prognostication isn't particularly valuable.

The Britney's a really hard call. The Idolator poll allots points for singles, correct? If so, I'd give it better chances there than in P&J, because I think some voters will want to throw their weight behind it (just because it's Britney, and they'll want to see it place) (and duh, because they also really like it). But in P&J, I can't see it garnering enough actual votes to do all that great.

Or wait, am I just imagining that Idolator allots singles points? I don't have that e-mail handy right now.

Not that this means anything pollwise, but here are iTunes best-selling singles of 2007:

1. Fergie "Big Girls Don't Cry (Personal)"
2. Gwen Stefani "The Sweet Escape"
3. Plain White T's "Hey There Delilah"
4. Avril Lavigne "Girlfriend"
5. Fergie "Glamorous"
6. Kanye West "Stronger"
7. Maroon 5 "Makes Me Wonder"
8. Akon "Don't Matter"
9. Timbaland "The Way I Are (feat. Keri Hilson & D.O.E.)
10. Shop Boyz "Party Like a Rock Star"

I like the two Fergies more than any of the others, but that won't impress pollsters. I'm surprised by the strength of "Stronger," since I'd thought most Kanye purchases would go towards the album.

Speaking of "Rock Star (Party Like A)," do you think the Nickelback "Rockstar" will place in the P&J top 100 (it seems to have charted on Billboard twice, once last year and once this)? I doubt that it will get much rock-critic support, but if any Nickelback song would, I'd think it would be this one.

What'll be the highest-ranking P&J song to feature Akon? (Probably the Stefani.) Lil Wayne?

My guess is the highest Lil Wayne is "Upgrade U", the highest Akon is "Sweet Escape" and that T-Pain has no songs that chart particularly well.

Wow. Plain White T's kicked some ass this year.

I doubt that it will get much rock-critic support, but if any Nickelback song would, I'd think it would be this one.

Didn't "How You Remind Me" or whatever it was called actually place in the P&J singles top 40 a few years back?

("Rockstar," though, is only my second favorite Nickelback song, behind "Photograph." I've yet to hear their version of the song that Travis Tritt covered, though, and Tritt's cover is great.)

2. Gwen Stefani "The Sweet Escape"

I wouldn't be surprised to see this as a Top 10 in one of the polls.

Forgot to mention that I like Da Shop Boyz, but prefer the soundalike by Montana Da Mac, "Rock On" I think it's called. Don't like either enough to vote for them, mind you.

Am I right in assuming that lots of critics loathe "Party Like a Rock Star"? It strikes me as the sort of record a lot of rock critics (by which I also include hip-hop critics) would loathe.

xhuxk, do all the Nickelback songs still sound exactly the same? (I haven't heard one since "Someday")

do all the Nickelback songs still sound exactly the same?

Nope -- Some sound constipated in a catchier or more touching way than others. (And though "Rockstar" would be slow for, say, Kid Rock song, it is not slow as Nickelback songs go. It is also funnier than any other Nickelback song, or at least it tries to be. But it is not as funny as if Kid Rock or the Shop Boyz or Joe Walsh or Dr. Hook and the Medicine Show wrote a song about a similar topic, as they might do someday, not even close.)

Anyway, I have more Nickelback comments upthread somewhere, I think...

lots of critics loathe "Party Like a Rock Star"

Morons.

(That was mean...sorry. Actually, I get the same idea, but I hope I'm wrong.)

("Party Like A Rock Star" is only the Shop Boyz' second best song, though, after "Rollin'." But the former is the one that will make my singles balllot anyway, since it's a single.)

Sharam, "P.A.T.T. (Party All the Time)"

I loved this when it was up for review in the old-skool weekly Stylus jukebox -- I think I gave it its highest score (7 or 8), and remember redundantly saying that it put me in touch with a "subconscious need I wasn't aware I had."

I doubt Fall Out Boy will pull an MCR this year and gain some critical support (they won't on my ballot anyway, since I still don't like them) -- I get the feeling there's still more general resentment toward them that will work against "Arms Race" placing. But who knows.

I'm hoping for a groundswell of support for "See You Again." I'm also hoping I win the lottery and/or get some of the revenue from Hannah Montana ticket sales.

Also this: Over the weekend, Alicia Keys single No One received a 59% kick on the Radio Disney Music Mailbag.

Also this: three AmIdols currently on the Radio Diney Top 30: Jordin with "Tattoo," Daughtry with "Over You," and Carrie with "Ever Ever After."

Also: who the hell is Colbie Caillat? Oh wait, I've heard this song. (A lot, actually...no idea where! I think my girlfriend's sister was playing it during Thanksgiving.) I wonder when Kate Gnash will find her way to Radio Disney? She's like halfway there.

Beyoncé, "Irreplaceable" (3) (unpredictable; not sure how last year's showing will effect this year's)

Not much (if any) support this year...It received quite a bit of support last year, I think.

I think Gui Boratto will rank higher than you predicted, and Rich Boy will not make the top 40.

I'm guessing these are top 10.

Kanye West, "Stronger"
Amy Winehouse, "Rehab"
Peter Bjorn + John, "Young Folks" (with 2006 carryover votes)
Rihanna, "Umbrella"
Avril Lavigne, "Girlfriend"
Lil Mama, "Lip Gloss"
LCD Soundsystem, "All My Friends" (if this isn't Pitchfork's #1, I'll be very surprised)
Feist, "1234"

Can't think of what the other two will be...

-- jaymc, Tuesday, 11 December 2007 19:29 (2 hours ago)

Mostly OTM, though these stand a chance, too:
UGK feat. Outkast - Intl. Player's Anthem
M.I.A. - Paper Planes
Panda Bear - Bros
The National - Fake Empire
Battles - Atlas
Snoop Dogg - Sensual Seduction (???)
Justin Timberlake???? (I consider those songs 2006, but most were released this year)

"Ever, Ever After" is from a Disney movie so that's almost cheating. That Colbie Caillat song has been in the top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 for months now even though nobody seems to know who she is. Apparently, she got a record deal through Myspace or something I dunno. I like the song.

I like "Over You" less than all 4 teenpop "Over It"s this year.

So has everybody forgotten "Candyman" by Xtina already? Nobody thinks that one has any chance of placing? (As my favorite hit by her since "Genie in a Bottle," I hope it does, but I don't expect to vote for it myself.)

hahahaha

(No)

Snoop Dogg - Sensual Seduction

I voted for this, but I voted for it as "Sexual Eruption" in P&J and "Sensual Seduction" in Idolator. I think I prefer the edited title (and that way it includes the video)...there might be name problems but I doubt it will place very well anyway, unless the video gets more people to vote for it.

The Justin Timberlake song to look for would be "What Goes Around...Comes Back Around." More title problems.

Panda Bear - Bros
The National - Fake Empire
Battles - Atlas

I'd be surprised if any of these finish in the top 10, but then who knows; I'm totally (and gladly) out of touch indie-wise, but do people really hear these as singles, as opposed to just album tracks? (Assuming they are all actual album tracks; I'm not going to go back and check. Obviously the National and Battles albums, neither of which I have any use for, will do really well. Panda Bear is news to me in all formats.) If they do place that high, it's one more reason to be nostalgic for the days that the only indie singles that ever placed high in Pazz & Jop were actual, you know, singles, where people owned the actual 45s, and usually the band didn't even have an album out yet.

I'm not sure why asking about the Christina song is so hilarious, either, but what the hell. She's placed a couple other singles in Pazz & Jop in the last few years, and this one is better than those. But if critics hate it, I guess they hate it.

It would actually be more interesting if somebody like say Vampire Weekend (whose singer or lack thereof annoys me, but whose music I still prefer to the National or Battles or Panda Bear stuff I've heard) placed a single on the critics' lists -- They actually had one, right? (Or at least an EP and a top-of-their-myspace-page song?) And their album isn't out until next year -- That's what indie singles are good for (not that they're all that good.)

And who was that other band -- Black Kids? Never heard them; assume I wouldn't like them. But they have no album out yet either, right? So a single vote for them would still seem ahead of the curve, somehow.

(By "ahead of the curve," I'm of course speaking in the old Bush Tetras/Pylon/Robin Lane and the Chartbusters Pazz & Jop singles sense. Though of course I'd be shocked if Black Kids were 1/20th as good as any of those groups were.)

I'm not sure why asking about the Christina song is so hilarious, either, but what the hell. She's placed a couple other singles in Pazz & Jop in the last few years, and this one is better than those. But if critics hate it, I guess they hate it.

It wasn't a hit (peaked at #25 in February...haven't heard it since then), and I don't see how it warrants any votes when songs like "Rehab" and "Seven Day Fool" exist.

If it appears in the top 40, though, I'll buy you ice cram

It would actually be more interesting if somebody like say Vampire Weekend (whose singer or lack thereof annoys me, but whose music I still prefer to the National or Battles or Panda Bear stuff I've heard) placed a single on the critics' lists -- They actually had one, right? (Or at least an EP and a top-of-their-myspace-page song?) And their album isn't out until next year -- That's what indie singles are good for (not that they're all that good.)

Cape Cod Kwassa something something, yeah, has a good chance of making top 30...Los Campesinos! are in a similiar situation (though I MUCH prefer them to Vampire Weekend)

Actually, come to think of it, I could see "Icky Thump" finishing pretty high - - that was the White Stripes' single, right? And maybe that Modest Mouse song, "Dashboard" or whatever it was called. (And did the Shins or Arcade Fire have actual radio hits anywhere? If so, no matter what the hits were, they'll get some votes.)

Arcade Fire's "Intervention" will make top 20, i bet

Spoon?

It feels pretty arbitrary to me with a lot of these indie bands. People want to acknowledge the band, and so they vote for whatever the single is, even though the single is nothing special on its own. (Ie: It becomes representative of the album.) There are some exceptions, of course, Feist's 1,2,3,4 and The National's Fake Empire. But if a Panda Bear single hits the top 40, or an Arcade Fire single, I suspect it'll be because of that.

Rich Boy will not make the top 40.

Really? I thought this was a big deal for 7 days last February or something. Ah well, it will make my top 40, though not my top 10.

I remember "Candyman," xhuxk -- oddly enough, it's also the second song I've ever liked by Aguilera after "Genie" (I think we had this conversation once before). Still think the dirty lyrics are really funny (as opposed to some of her other dirty lyrics which are both un-funny and horribly un-sexy, as she herself is for the most part).

Couple of other teen-identified things I liked this year:

- Roxette, "Reveal" - You wouldn't be wrong calling it a lame ballad, but it's still really pretty and it's about getting naked (they have a plan).
- Booty Luv, "Some Kinda Rush" - Bit headache-inducing, but fills a 2 Unlimited void, sort of.
- Manhattan Love Suicides, "Crush Whatever"
- Sophie Ellis Bextor, "Me and My Imagination" - For stuffy Brit-disco I prefer her to Roisin Murphy, who I've yet to hear anything by that isn't entirely forgettable (I say this as a DJ who's played the shit out of Moloko's big hit)

Rich Boy will not make the top 40.

Really? I thought this was a big deal for 7 days last February or something.

Actually, it might make top 40, but too many people associate it with 2006 for it to do that well...It will probably make my top ten.

I'm persuaded also that "No One" will make top 10. Alicia is a critics favourite, and again, like Amy Winehouse, I think she'll reach a wide demographic (I couldn't believe how much radio was playing the shit out of it when my wife and I went to the states a few weeks ago). I like the music a lot, just not nuts about her vocals.

If it appears in the top 40, though, I'll buy you ice cram

this reminds me that there were two singles i liked (though didn't love) in 2007 called "Ice Cream," one by Muscles (weird pop-house track--from Australia, I think?), the other by New Young Pony Club (sort of like Delta 5 asking if they can have a taste of your ice cream).

Forgot about that one...Alicia sounds like she's mimicking Keyshia Cole on "No One." Sadly, it will probably rank higher than any Cole track.

so you prefer Keyshia?