Dead Pool 2012

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Here we go.

Rules are generally the same as in previous years.

Post in this thread a list of 15 celebrities or other notable people. If you'd rather e-mail me, that's fine, but please post in the thread that you've done so, just so I can keep track.

I'm not going to be a total stickler about notability requirements, but please try to be reasonable. If someone doesn't have a Wikipedia page at the very least, I'll probably ask you to choose someone else. Also: humans only.

One new rule for 2012: If a Wikipedia search on one of your picks directs to a disambiguation page or to someone else with the same name, please indicate which one you mean by appending the person's profession in parentheses, e.g. "(actress)" or "(football player)."

As usual, points are awarded based on the formula (100 - [age at death]). So picking Willow Smith (at 11) would get you a lot more points than picking Kirk Douglas (at 95), were both to die.

Please post your lists to this thread by January 9. No lists will be accepted after that date. If someone dies before Jan. 9, only the people who have already submitted lists will be able to collect points. You may also revise your list at any time before Jan. 9; after that, you'll be locked in.

Lastly, I will be posting everybody's final picks to this Google spreadsheet and also updating the leaderboard there as the year goes on.

(Feel free, of course, to bump this thread and alert me if I've missed an update. Deaths of British/Australian celebs in particular sometimes pass me by.)

Good luck!

Bon Ivoj (jaymc), Monday, 2 January 2012 21:19 (twelve years ago) link

Lindsay Lohan
Andy Dick
Jerry Sandusky
William "The Refrigerator" Perry
Michael Douglas
Sly Stone
Christopher Lee
Shirley Temple Black
Ariel Sharon
Edward Furlong
Kim Novak
Kim Jong-un
Jan-Michael Vincent
Etta James
Bryant Gumbel

buzza, Monday, 2 January 2012 21:50 (twelve years ago) link

Good list!

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Monday, 2 January 2012 22:05 (twelve years ago) link

wow, shirley temple's still alive.

i don't think i had ever made a correct death pool pick before amy winehouse last year (hugo chavez's cancer, CLOSE BUT NOT QUITE), if i do a list this year it will somehow reflect the ethical consequences of that.

sunn :o))) (Merdeyeux), Monday, 2 January 2012 22:18 (twelve years ago) link

Sinead O'Connor
Mgt Thatcher
Robin Gibb
Pete Doherty
Lindsay Lohan
Kerry Katona
Courtney Love
Terry Pratchett
Larry Hagman
Jenna Jameson
Stevo Jackass
Charlie Sheen
Robin Van Persie
Johnathan Rhys-Meyers
Ronnie Corbett

DeLonge and Winding Refn (darraghmac), Monday, 2 January 2012 23:39 (twelve years ago) link

RVP killed by the sudden eruption of a year's worth of accumulated injuries?

sunn :o))) (Merdeyeux), Monday, 2 January 2012 23:55 (twelve years ago) link

Hugh Hefner
Lindsay Lohan
Andy Dick
Margaret Thatcher
Jimmy Carter
Hu Jintao
Michael Douglas
Joe Paterno
Aretha Franklin
Robin Gibb
Pete Doherty
Fidel Castro
Bashar al-Assad
Hamid Karzai
Terry Pratchett

Kiarostami bag (milo z), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:05 (twelve years ago) link

Paul Gascoigne
Robbie Williams
Muhammed Ali
Margaret Thatcher
Larry Hagman
Robin Gibb
Abdelbaset Ali Al-Megrahi
Liz Dawn
Bill Tarmey
Charlie Sheen
Ian Brady
Ian Huntley
Doris Day
George Michael
Glen Campbell

ailsa, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:24 (twelve years ago) link

Lindsey Lohan
Fidel Castro
Gary Busey
Ai Wei Wei
Chuck Berry
Bob Dole
Muhammad Ali
Jerry Lee Lewis
Lauren Bacall
Steve-O
Barbara Bush
Phyllis Diller
Nancy Reagan
Justice John Paul Stevens
John Larroquette

There are several people i dearly hope i'm wrong about on here

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:28 (twelve years ago) link

Whoa! I hope John Larroquette is a wild card. : (

rustic italian flatbread, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:43 (twelve years ago) link

Jerry Sandusky
Joe Paterno
Abdelbaset Ali Al-Megrahi
Michael Douglas
Dick Cheney
Isaiah Rider
Zsa Zsa Gabor
Bobby Chacon
Muhammad Ali
Roger Ebert
Jenna Jameson
Lenny Dykstra
Chasey Lain
Lindsay Lohan
Steven Adler

Matt Armstrong, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:45 (twelve years ago) link

yep, Larroquette is my RANDOM PICK

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:46 (twelve years ago) link

shit ailsa, gascoigne is a good one

merdey- pretty much, yeah

DeLonge and Winding Refn (darraghmac), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 00:46 (twelve years ago) link

Artie Lange
Fred Phelps
Robin Gibb
Ernest Borgnine
George McGovern
Ali Khamenei
Leonard Cohen
Mario Batali
Glen Campbell
Rivers Cuomo
Joe Francis
Jerry Lewis
Liv Ullmann
Adam Yauch
Justin Bieber

Simon H., Tuesday, 3 January 2012 01:22 (twelve years ago) link

Margaret Thatcher
Richard E Grant
Paul Gascoigne
Roger Moore
Sean Connery
Timothy Dalton
Bobby Charlton
Jerry Sadowitz
Lindsey Lohan
Pete Docherty
Fidel Castro
Bashar Al-Assad
Clive James
Prince Philip
Courtney Love

kraudive, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 01:26 (twelve years ago) link

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
Bashar al-Assad
Muhammad Ali
Fidel Castro
Dick Cheney
Bob Dylan
Zsa Zsa Gabor
Kim Jong-Un
Rush Limbaugh
Lindsy Lohan
Courtney Love
Whitney Houston
George Michael
Joe Paterno
Terry Pratchet

Clay, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 01:55 (twelve years ago) link

Robert Mugabe
Kim Jong-Un
Vicente Zambada
Russell Brand
Robert Iler
Tao Lin
Michel Houllebecq
David Mamet
Tom Hardy
Bizarre
Tom Cruise
Christopher Poole
Earl Sweatshirt
Dick Cheney
Suge Knight

Love stream of mic checking (Eazy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 02:03 (twelve years ago) link

Oh, wait, with everyone else doing Kim Jong-Un, I'm going with Kim Jong-Nam.

Love stream of mic checking (Eazy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 02:04 (twelve years ago) link

I always look forward to your picks, Eazy!

Bon Ivoj (jaymc), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 02:16 (twelve years ago) link

It seems to be a blessing of long life on those I pick. (Last year everyone but Andy Rooney prospered.)

Love stream of mic checking (Eazy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 02:24 (twelve years ago) link

not a single Benedict XVI yet? do I underestimate his longevity for some reason?

V79, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 02:41 (twelve years ago) link

Andy Williams
Tariq Aziz
John Edrich
Etta James
"Superstar" Billy Graham
Geoffrey Hughes
Robin Gibb
Dennis "Fergie" Frederiksen
Abdelbaset al-Megrahi
Gary Carter
Hugo Chávez
Michael Dokes
Jeff Palmer (former gay porn actor)
Eric Lynch (dwarf)
Aditya Dev

anorange (abanana), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:09 (twelve years ago) link

ooh, I forgot Geoffrey Hughes. Had him last year as well...

ailsa, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:19 (twelve years ago) link

(dwarf)

buzza, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:29 (twelve years ago) link

Earl Sweatshirt?

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:38 (twelve years ago) link

And not Tyler?

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:38 (twelve years ago) link

Didn't want to bogart all of Odd Future.

Love stream of mic checking (Eazy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:40 (twelve years ago) link

just seems like earl is the least likely to catch an early death of that squad.

do you want me to share what i know w/ you or not? (forksclovetofu), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 03:41 (twelve years ago) link

oh shit wait can i replace Bobby Heenan, a man I never want to die, with Paul Merson

I am Newgod (a hoy hoy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 04:46 (twelve years ago) link

Still too squeamish to enter, still morbidly fascinated by the lists from those who do. Poor Lindsay Lohan.

clemenza, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 04:50 (twelve years ago) link

Frankie Muniz
Lindsey Lohan
Ashton Kutcher
Russell Brand
Andy Dick
Steve-O
Sinead O'Connor
Joe Paterno
Jerry Sandusky
Margaret Thatcher

Frobisher (Viceroy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 07:09 (twelve years ago) link

5 more bro

buzza, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 07:13 (twelve years ago) link

oh 15... damn....

Charlie Sheen
Fidel Castro
Billy Graham
Artie Lange
Terry Pratchett

Frobisher (Viceroy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 07:13 (twelve years ago) link

Earl Sweatshirt? And not Tyler?

The proper OFWGKTA answer is: more points.

Love stream of mic checking (Eazy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 07:18 (twelve years ago) link

if it turns out earl was murdered a year ago and has been lying in a ditch, does he still count towards 2012 points?

I am Newgod (a hoy hoy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:15 (twelve years ago) link

How deadly is Hep C? I'm seeing a lot of Billy Graham here. And while I would love to see him shut the shit up, he seems the type that will be dying his beard for much bloody longer.

I am Newgod (a hoy hoy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:18 (twelve years ago) link

Margaret Thatcher
Abe Vigoda
Clarence Thomas
HRH Queen Elizabeth
Donald Knuth
Terry Pratchett
Paula Deen
Roger Ebert
Kim Jong-un
Ben Gibbard
Dick Clark
Thomas Pynchon
Liza Minelli
Bono
Marc Maron

Bonus animal dead pool: National Zoo panda-in-residence Mei Xiang

tinker tailor soldier sb (silby), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:20 (twelve years ago) link

have Marc Maron's podcasts taken an interesting turn?

Matt Armstrong, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:22 (twelve years ago) link

You never know with depressives.

tinker tailor soldier sb (silby), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:23 (twelve years ago) link

etta james
lindsay lohan
margaret thatcher
mel gibson
fidel castro
joe paterno
katy perry
suri cruise
michael j fox
warwick davis
peter dinklage
kenny baker
michael j anderson
verne troyer
tony cox

sarahel, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:29 (twelve years ago) link

did a little person tick you off today or

GREENS (the putting kind) (donna rouge), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:47 (twelve years ago) link

i thought it was funny that someone upthread posted someone (dwarf), so i decided to pick a bunch of dwarves

sarahel, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 08:48 (twelve years ago) link

I had no idea Lindsay Lohan is a dwarf! I guess the camera can make you look bigger.

Tuomas, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 09:09 (twelve years ago) link

One new rule for 2012: If a Wikipedia search on one of your picks directs to a disambiguation page or to someone else with the same name, please indicate which one you mean by appending the person's profession in parentheses, e.g. "(actress)" or "(football player)"

Also, a 100 point bonus if your pick was both an actress and a football player....

Lee626, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 09:41 (twelve years ago) link

John Laws
Phillip Ruddock
Margaret Thatcher
Neil Harvey
John Kennedy (AFL coach)
Donald Rumsfeld
Etta James
Olivia de Havilland
Justin Beiber
Frank Tyson
Ronnie Wood
Engelbert Humperdinck
Jerry Lewis
Charlie Sheen
Bernie Ecclestone

Fred Nerk, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 09:54 (twelve years ago) link

Margaret Thatcher
Stephen Hawking
Fidel Castro
Terry Pratchett
Mark E. Smith
Iggy Pop
Prince Philip
Buzz Aldrin
Nelson Mandela
Keith Richards
David Attenborough
George Bush Snr
Bruce Forsyth
Patrick Moore
Sidney Poitier

only NWOFHM! is real (krakow), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 10:07 (twelve years ago) link

^^^I think every name on this list made me go, 'you sure they are still alive?', so I think you'll do p well.

I am Newgod (a hoy hoy), Tuesday, 3 January 2012 11:16 (twelve years ago) link

charlie sheen
etta james
stephen hawking
fidel castro
artie lange
pete doherty
mel gibson
margaret thatcher
dick cheney
sean parker
robin gibb
david prowse
morrissey
klas ingesson
barbara bush

sonderangerbot, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 11:49 (twelve years ago) link

Hello. My random pick list of people that I do not hope to die but then again, amaze myself (has anyone actually made a hormov where a dead pool list is involved? Actually don't answer if it's somthing obv like "Dead Pool" or else owt)..

One of Bananarama (oh ok, keren then)
Philip Glenister
Simon Cowell
Jack Black
Phil the Greek
Phil Oakey
Shirley Temple
Genesis P Oridge
Mo Tucker
Justin Bieber
Les McKeowen of the Rollers
Ronnie Corbett
Bruce Forsyth
Brian Blessed
Gary Glitter

That's it yes? I think all are alive as at:

Mark G, Tuesday, 3 January 2012 12:06 (twelve years ago) link

Am waiting for the fall to kill off my old people and the holiday season to drive my depressives to suicide. I am still in it to win it.

Three Word Username, Saturday, 12 May 2012 20:11 (eleven years ago) link

Updated for al-Megrahi.

Never translate Dutch (jaymc), Sunday, 20 May 2012 15:10 (eleven years ago) link

Finally, dude died.

Jeff, Sunday, 20 May 2012 15:11 (eleven years ago) link

14 of us just got a point bump. :(

Simon H., Monday, 21 May 2012 01:11 (eleven years ago) link

Yup, just now updated for Gibb, too. You're in the top 5, Simon.

Never translate Dutch (jaymc), Tuesday, 22 May 2012 13:10 (eleven years ago) link

four weeks pass...

Hosni Mubarak needs to make up his mind if he is dead or not.

Jeff, Tuesday, 19 June 2012 23:22 (eleven years ago) link

An Ariel Sharon for this year's pool pickers.

ailsa, Wednesday, 20 June 2012 06:44 (eleven years ago) link

one month passes...

some folk due points for Geoffrey Hughes (not me, though I had him last year).

ailsa, Saturday, 28 July 2012 16:36 (eleven years ago) link

Added, thx.

Trewster Dare (jaymc), Saturday, 28 July 2012 16:45 (eleven years ago) link

Ernest Borgnine also died.

abanana, Saturday, 28 July 2012 22:09 (eleven years ago) link

Now updated for Borgnine as well.

Trewster Dare (jaymc), Saturday, 28 July 2012 22:23 (eleven years ago) link

so does Dom hold the all-time record (327 points in 2010)? it's gonna be hard to beat, but I'll do my best...

starfish succulents (unregistered), Saturday, 28 July 2012 23:02 (eleven years ago) link

one month passes...

Andy Williams, Michael Dokes, Aditya Dev. RIP. Gimme points.

obamana (abanana), Wednesday, 26 September 2012 14:42 (eleven years ago) link

No idea who Dokes or Dev are, but OK. You're now in the lead!

Sandy Denny Real Estate (jaymc), Wednesday, 26 September 2012 15:11 (eleven years ago) link

My strategy this year of picking mainly at-risk young-guns isn't working out.

Frobisher the (Viceroy), Friday, 28 September 2012 22:30 (eleven years ago) link

The "Courtney Love" gambit.

Norah Jones Protest Vote (Eazy), Friday, 28 September 2012 23:22 (eleven years ago) link

courtney will live forever.

sriracha bishop (get bent), Friday, 28 September 2012 23:42 (eleven years ago) link

much to our chagrin.

bell biv devo (Stevie D(eux)), Saturday, 29 September 2012 05:31 (eleven years ago) link

two weeks pass...

I hit one last night. Bummed about the death, but gimmee the points.

Three Word Username, Friday, 19 October 2012 07:34 (eleven years ago) link

I went long, hoping for a massive year of young celebrity death, but unfortunately it's mostly been awesome old people this year.

sorcery is in the gutter (how's life), Friday, 19 October 2012 09:29 (eleven years ago) link

Bump for my dang points.

Three Word Username, Monday, 22 October 2012 16:32 (eleven years ago) link

Easy, easy. Got it. (David S. Ware, I assume? Weirdly both of the dudes you scored points on were 62 y/o.)

Sandy Denny Real Estate (jaymc), Monday, 22 October 2012 17:33 (eleven years ago) link

Welp, guess I know how long I got left, then.

Three Word Username, Monday, 22 October 2012 18:54 (eleven years ago) link

two weeks pass...

Bumping for my 29 Bill Tarmey points :(

ailsa, Friday, 9 November 2012 16:16 (eleven years ago) link

Who are these people? (Got it.)

Sandy Denny Real Estate (jaymc), Friday, 9 November 2012 23:23 (eleven years ago) link

two weeks pass...

Updated for Larry Hagman.

Jake Roo (jaymc), Saturday, 24 November 2012 15:45 (eleven years ago) link

three weeks pass...

Bumping for my Maurice Herzog points.

Elvis Telecom, Saturday, 15 December 2012 21:41 (eleven years ago) link

Now updated for Herzog, Ravi Shankar, and Patrick Moore.

As the year draws to a close, I'll go through and see if there's anyone else I've missed. If you happen to know that I've missed one of your picks, feel free to mention it here.

Sax Blatterday (jaymc), Wednesday, 19 December 2012 16:50 (eleven years ago) link

Elvis Telecom -- if we'd been scoring by the raw number of correct predix, you'd be tied for 3rd. With the age points factored in, you're 20th.

Sax Blatterday (jaymc), Wednesday, 19 December 2012 16:53 (eleven years ago) link

So I won?

abanana, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 06:54 (eleven years ago) link

r.i.p. it up and start again, jaymc

buzza, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 07:17 (eleven years ago) link

Not doing one this year?

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 14:15 (eleven years ago) link

Of course jaymc will.

Jeff, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 14:16 (eleven years ago) link

All my last year picks survived.

Mark G, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 14:19 (eleven years ago) link

they'll be paying you next

slitherin sockattacks (darraghmac), Wednesday, 2 January 2013 14:54 (eleven years ago) link

Only an asteroid hitting the earth can help me now.

I was otm.

Aimless, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 17:31 (eleven years ago) link

So I won?

Yes! Or at least: I think so.

Somehow the annual Dead Pool accounting slipped my mind over the last few days. I'll make the results final this weekend.

Sax Blatterday (jaymc), Wednesday, 2 January 2013 17:45 (eleven years ago) link

And here's the new thread for 2013:

Dead Pool 2013

jaymc, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 18:09 (eleven years ago) link

Playing the dwarf lottery paid off this year.

abanana, Wednesday, 2 January 2013 22:04 (eleven years ago) link

abanana: 319 points

well damn

the horse world of the bludgrass (unregistered), Wednesday, 2 January 2013 22:22 (eleven years ago) link

and uh RIP Aditya Dev, I had no idea you existed

the horse world of the bludgrass (unregistered), Wednesday, 2 January 2013 22:25 (eleven years ago) link

I've double-checked to make sure that no one else died and that the numbers add up. Nothing has changed.

Congratulations, abanana, on your win!

For posterity, here's the final leaderboard:

1. abanana (319 points) (8 picks)
2. unregistered (263) (7)
3. Stevie D(eux) (157) (4)
4. Jeff (148) (4)
5. ailsa (126) (4)
6. Simon H. (106) (4)
7. Jimmy the Mod (97) (3)
8. jaymc (82) (3)
9. Three Word Username (76) (2)
10. n/a (73) (3)
11. Clay (67) (2)
12. sonderangerbot (65) (2)
13. johnny crunch (58) (2)
14. darraghmac (57) (2)
15. Matt Armstrong (55) (2)
16. milo z (53) (2)
17. sarahel (42) (2)
18. j.lu (38) (1)
(tie) Le Bateau Ivre (38) (1)
20. Elvis Telecom (32) (4)
21. buzza (27) (1)
(tie) Fred Nerk (27) (1)
(tie) naus (27) (1)
24. silby (18) (1)
25. remy bean (17) (1)
26. Viceroy (15) (1)
27. govern yourself accordingly (15) (1)
28. krakow (11) (1)
29. forksclovetofu (5) (1)

(Nine contestants with zero points.)

Other items of note:

*The 1st- and 2nd-place finishers of 2011 switched places in 2012.
*Dom Passantino (2010) still holds the record for total points (327) and picks (9), though abanana's 39.9 points-per-pick (PPP) average > Dom's 36.3.
*Stevie D. and Three Word Username also had PPP averages of at least 38. Well done.
*Elvis Telecom's PPP average of 8.0 was the lowest of any contestant with at least 2 correct picks.
*I was the highest finisher NOT to pick Robin Gibb, the most-picked dead person. (14 of y'all got points for him.)

jaymc, Friday, 11 January 2013 05:52 (eleven years ago) link

(Oops, Viceroy and g.y.a. should be tied for 26th.)

jaymc, Friday, 11 January 2013 05:53 (eleven years ago) link

None of my picks died--did I shoot the moon?

Chief Duff (Eazy), Friday, 11 January 2013 05:55 (eleven years ago) link

None of my picks died either, though I came really close with Burt Bacharach (he didn't die, but Hal David did).

Lee626, Friday, 11 January 2013 08:27 (eleven years ago) link

None of mine died, it's like a breath of life to everyone I nom. Avoided nomming Thatch for this very reason.

Mark G, Friday, 11 January 2013 09:18 (eleven years ago) link

Dammit, just missed the podium.

Jeff, Friday, 11 January 2013 13:16 (eleven years ago) link

lol, i am officially the worst at this

What am I, in France? (forksclovetofu), Friday, 11 January 2013 17:02 (eleven years ago) link

I actually feel sort of shitty for doing so well!

Yo! MTV La Tengo (Stevie D(eux)), Saturday, 12 January 2013 04:13 (eleven years ago) link


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