Brazil - have you been there?

Hope it doesn't work, but from the polling these are fine margins..

Polls now closed.

🚨 The head of Brazil’s Supreme Electoral Tribunal REFUSES to take action against the Bolsonarista conspiracy to suppress votes in Lula strongholds, saying the 560 blockades “affected both sides” and that the pre-meditated actions of the Federal Highway Police were actually okay.

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 30, 2022

Going to be doomscrolling for the next few hours.

🚨 Brazil’s electoral authorities send out a country-wide message to everyone who has downloaded their app: “To impede the population from voting is to commit an electoral crime.” pic.twitter.com/5kFhmzqXc6

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 30, 2022

Lula edged ahead with 67% in, perhaps a little ahead of projection?

🇧🇷#Brazil, presidential election results (2nd round):

67,76 % of polling places counted:

Lula (PT): 50,01 %
Bolsonaro (PL-inc): 49,99 %#Eleicoes2022 pic.twitter.com/1SDzoLvGCw

— World Elects (@ElectsWorld) October 30, 2022

something you do not hate to see

*jorge ben voice* lula da, lula da, lula da, lula da silvaaaaaa

refreshing this thread every minute

Brazil projection using municipality swings in areas with 50%+ counted (86.7% of the vote in)

🔴 Lula: 50.81% (+0.06)
🔵 Bolsonaro: 49.19% (-0.06)

— Patrick Flynn (@patrickjfl) October 30, 2022

just been looking on betfair to see where the money is going, it's looking good for Lula

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/politics/brazil-general-election/brazil-general-election-2022/president-after-2022-election-betting-1.180434883

🚨 I think I've seen enough 🚨

🇧🇷 PROJECTION: Bar a coup from Jair Bolsonaro, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will be Brazil's next president.

— Patrick Flynn (@patrickjfl) October 30, 2022

lots of ropey outlets in a desperate scramble to call Lula first, but holy shit it's looking good!

He is leading 50.7%-49.3% with 96.6% in, apparently most outstanding votes from northeast. Lula winning isn’t the issue, it’s whether Bolsonaro concedes.

don't cry because it's over, smile because it happened pic.twitter.com/wQzs0vRvBA

— Bris Angel (@Cryptoterra) October 30, 2022

wau this is fucking great

thoughts and prayers to all the fascist Brazilian footballers in the premiere league

— Nihal | نهال (@NotNihal) October 30, 2022

yes, a certain Spurs winger instantly comes to mind

Half the Liverpool squad rn pic.twitter.com/pZe6MNSGKF

— Daniel Stapleton (@danstapleton89) October 30, 2022

Absolutely dying at the LFC fans going in

You and your husband pic.twitter.com/SXN4N2GhU1 https://t.co/kfdA3jZR0Y

— Jamie 🔴 (@_jamiemoran) October 30, 2022

Congratulations to President Lula and all his supporters.

Was confused walking through the park by a massive crowd of people all in red screaming in joy

Brazil: The Supreme Electoral Court has declared that former President Lula (PT, centre-left) has won the presidential election, defeating incumbent President Bolsonaro (PL, right). #Brazil #Lula #Bolsonaro #eleições2022

— America Elects (@AmericaElige) October 30, 2022

Cry more!

Bolsonaristas are crying and praying away their loss to Lula. pic.twitter.com/D8F0wUNwna

— David Adler (@davidrkadler) October 30, 2022

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/10/30/world/brazil-presidential-election

https://storage.googleapis.com/afs-prod/media/187042dd4584454f9de2c445476f0f7c/800.jpeg

for a second I was thinking this image was revealing that Lula smokes rollups, but quite disappointingly it's his voting ticket

can't get enough of something good happening, congratulations Brazil.

pic.twitter.com/l4LYB8tR3b

— Stan's Account (@tristandross) October 30, 2022

Biden and Macron have given their congrats.

In the UK.

if you want something from a senior British politician in support of Brazilian democracy, you're stuck with this guy for now https://t.co/aDpTjMsCqS

— jamie k (@jkbloodtreasure) October 31, 2022

great outcome but scary how close it was relative to first round and polls

Incredible news. Congratulations to Lula and the people of Brazil.

Northeast #Brazil rn pic.twitter.com/AE0ZeINFP9

— Abier (@abierkhatib) October 31, 2022

that's actually footage of split.

https://www.newsflare.com/video/389053/fans-of-croatias-hajduk-split-celebrate-clubs-70th-anniversary-with-spectacular-fireworks-display

🤣🤣

lmao he waited until the morning to check there wasn’t a coup first (he was up and tweeting about football when the result was confirmed) https://t.co/b5Jo1ORMfb

— the uk press cover for serial groper nick cohen (@wariotifo) October 31, 2022

He was actually waiting until his advisors woke up in the morning and told him it was ok to do so. Tweeting only after most major foreign leaders had already done it.

Kieth won't take a dump until he's focus grouped it tbf

meanwhile i would advise Lula to take swift and permanent action to ensure Bolsonaro can never make a comeback

man some states changed the pace of how their votes are counted, and that threw me off a while. thank fucking god this is (starting to be) over.

btw NYPD screw you for deploying 4 cars and 10 police officers to finish a small party at a corner in Astoria at 8pm.

Nobody has heard anything from Bolsonaro or his sons yet, but his wife Michelle and him unfollowed each other

— Benjamin Fogel (@BenjaminFogel) October 31, 2022

Has he still not said anything as of yet?

So perhaps we may hope he is quietly giving up:

While Bolsonaro remained mute, key allies did accept the result in a sign that the populist’s power was rapidly ebbing away after four tumultuous years in office.

Silas Malafaia, a prominent televangelist who was one of Bolsonaro’s most vocal cheerleaders, tweeted: “The sovereign will of the people has established itself.”

Malafaia tweeted a quote from the British writer CS Lewis as his candidate’s defeat sank in: “It is not your business to succeed, but to do right. When you have done so the rest lies with God.”

The newly elected pro-Bolsonaro governor of São Paulo, Tarcísio de Freitas, also recognized Lula’s win, telling journalists: “The election result is sovereign.”

Another key ally, the lower house leader, Arthur Lira, said: “The will of the majority, expressed at the polls, should never be challenged.”

Even Sergio Moro, the pro-Bolsonaro judge who controversially jailed Lula in the lead-up to the 2018 election before taking a job in Bolsonaro’s cabinet, recognized the leftist’s victory.

“Thus is democracy,” Moro tweeted.

By Monday lunchtime the only hint that Bolsonaro might be prepared to accept defeat was a tweet from one of his closest allies, the evangelical preacher Damares Alves, in which she wrote: “We lost an election but we haven’t lost our love for our country ... Bolsonaro will leave the presidency in January with his head held high”.

José Roberto de Toledo, a political columnist for the news website UOL, thought it mattered little whether Bolsonaro conceded defeat or not.

“The senate has accepted [the result]. The lower house has accepted it. The electoral court has accepted it. All of the institutions have accepted it – and the military is quiet,” Toledo said, adding that he was rather enjoying a rare break from the president’s blathering. “Bolsonaro’s a poet when he shuts up,” Toledo said.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/31/brazil-election-bolsonaro-concede-reaction

Bolsonaro 81% in Miami lmao. What a shitty city. pic.twitter.com/XZuDT4urwO

— Justin (@jdabre11) October 31, 2022

the middle class to comfortably well off S American diaspora/ex pats in the US always seem to be big fans of fascism, both domestically and back in the "home country". Great set of lads.

It was ever thus. Older expats, I'll stress. I know a few younger ones who're naturalized citizens working for progressive causes.

Yeahh I have some relatives who emigrated to Brazil from Iran and later moved to Miami. idk how well off they still are but the last time I saw them one of them was spouting Fox News bullshit and the other was ranting about how universities are brainwashing our kids.

afaict the move to Miami precipitated their turn to fascism, don't remember it being an issue before that.

My Brazilian sister-in-law tells me Miami is full of wealthy Carioca law-and-order types who have fled Rio because the cops aren't killing enough people in the favelas to their liking.

you can just call them all sudestinos lol

being from the u.s. and kind of sheltered i was at first shocked to discover that many immigrants here were true believing chauvinists and white supremacists, even more hardcore than many americans. but now it makes a lot more sense. if you want to move here enough to make it happen you would most likely buy into what is a core part of the u.s.'s identity. also frantz fanon etc.

US numbers

https://s2.glbimg.com/OYRmbPZMixmJ9n9_IcLP_uEwibQ=/0x0:1200x5167/1000x0/smart/filters:strip_icc()/i.s3.glbimg.com/v1/AUTH_59edd422c0c84a879bd37670ae4f538a/internal_photos/bs/2022/J/B/MBhw75Q8qlYSdECrs8ow/3110eua.png

I think it's also hard for most non-Brazilians to understand what Anti-PT ideology has done in the last 2 decades... it's a constant talking point and battle for so long, since Lula's first try at election in 1989, but the 2000s and 2010s were really bad in turning people against them.