Who will win the Palme at Cannes? [2022 edition]

Message Bookmarked
Bookmark Removed

At popular request, I've moved the poll close date to the day before the awards are handed out. Not that anyone's voting against Cronenberg in my opinion.

Poll Results

OptionVotes
DECISION TO LEAVE [헤어질 결심] (Park Chan-wook; South Korea) 4
CRIMES OF THE FUTURE (David Cronenberg; Canada; Greece, France) 4
SHOWING UP (Kelly Reichardt; United States) 4
LEILA'S BROTHERS [برادران لیلا] (Saeed Roustayi; Iran) 1
CLOSE (Lukas Dhont; Belgium, Netherlands, France) 1
THE STARS AT NOON (Claire Denis; United States, France) 1
TCHAIKOVSKY'S WIFE [Жена Чайковского] (Kirill Serebrennikov; Russia, France) 1
TORI ET LOKITA (Jean-Pierre & Luc Dardenne; Belgium, France) 0
RMN (Cristian Mungiu; Romania, France) 0
NOSTALGIA (Mario Martone; Italy) 0
ALMOND TREES [Les Amandiers] (Valeria Bruni Tedeschi; France) 0
HOLY SPIDER (Ali Abbasi; France, Germany, Sweden, Denmark) 0
EO [Hi-han] (Jerzy Skolimowski; Italy, Poland) 0
BROTHER AND SISTER [Frère et Sœur] (Arnaud Desplechin; France) 0
BROKER [브로커] (Hirokazu Kore-eda; South Korea) 0
BOY FROM HEAVEN (Tarik Saleh; Sweden) 0
ARMAGEDDON TIME (James Gray; United States) 0
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS (Ruben Östlund; Sweden, United Kingdom, United States, France, Greece) 0


Max Hamburgers (Eric H.), Wednesday, 20 April 2022 15:31 (three months ago) link

new Park Chan-wook wooooooooooo

Number One shlong in Devon (Noodle Vague), Wednesday, 20 April 2022 16:07 (three months ago) link

strictly as titles go, CRIMES OF THE FUTURE, HOLY SPIDER, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, & ARMAGEDDON TIME are all a+ imo

johnny crunch, Wednesday, 20 April 2022 18:57 (three months ago) link

and huh for some reason i thought skolimowski had passed, cool

johnny crunch, Wednesday, 20 April 2022 18:58 (three months ago) link

Only just now realized that's a different new Denis. Slow down there, Hamaguchi!

Max Hamburgers (Eric H.), Thursday, 21 April 2022 14:33 (three months ago) link

I just read that these three were added at the last moment?

LE OTTO MONTAGNE (Felix Van Groeningen & Charlotte Vandermeersch, Belgium)

UN PETIT FRERE (Léonor Seraille, France)

TOURMENT SUR LES ILES (Albert Serra, Spain)

StanM, Friday, 22 April 2022 05:05 (three months ago) link

three weeks pass...

It's time...

http://cannes-ratings.herokuapp.com/Cannes2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Wednesday, 18 May 2022 13:30 (two months ago) link

Guess Top Gun should've been presented in competition.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 19 May 2022 11:03 (two months ago) link

oh those japesters

what doesn't kill me makes me Hongroe (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 19 May 2022 11:22 (two months ago) link

wait is that just an aggregate of people's Letterboxd blurbs?

what doesn't kill me makes me Hongroe (Noodle Vague), Thursday, 19 May 2022 11:25 (two months ago) link

I think there’s a line entry for the Letterboxd average in there

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 19 May 2022 15:06 (two months ago) link

And we're off! The #Cannes2022 ICS Critics & Industry panel is officially underway. Bookmark this page, because it will be updated as often as possible #Cannes #FestivaldeCannes2022 https://t.co/CLWG48cPNz pic.twitter.com/MNeI4K5msU

— IntlCinephileSociety (@ICSfilm) May 19, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 19 May 2022 15:06 (two months ago) link

Well, Armageddon Time is simultaneously a) the most raved-about title and b) already canceled?

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 19 May 2022 18:42 (two months ago) link

EO [Skolimowski] Vibes-forward AU HASARD BALTHAZAR remake traverses all Polish society: EDM, soccer ultras, the legacy of the Holocaust, Isabelle Huppert, a circus performer named “Cubeman.” To all of this I can only say, “Sure. Yes. Absolutely.” A lock for the Palme d’onkey.

— Super Black Market Asch (@MarkAschParody) May 19, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 19 May 2022 22:30 (two months ago) link

read the Indiewire review and Armageddon Time sounds really good

Dan S, Friday, 20 May 2022 00:00 (two months ago) link

the films I'm most looking forward to, knowing that these Cannes competition film yearnings often don't pan out, are Lukas Dhont's Close and Kelly Reichardt's Showing Up

Dan S, Friday, 20 May 2022 00:03 (two months ago) link

voted for Kleber Mendonça Filho's Bacurau in the 2019 Cannes poll and it was pretty good, but in retrospect I thought Aquarius (2016) and especially his first film Neighboring Sounds (2012) were better.

It tied for the Jury Prize with Ladj Ly's Les Misérables, which I recently watched and also liked

Dan S, Friday, 20 May 2022 00:26 (two months ago) link

Close and Showing Up are being shown at the very end of the competition screenings. I remember reading that the films presented in the middle of the festival are most likely to win the prizes

Dan S, Friday, 20 May 2022 01:08 (two months ago) link

Bacurau really has to be seen in a cinema full of Brazilian expats shouting "Lula livre!" imo.

Daniel_Rf, Friday, 20 May 2022 10:01 (two months ago) link

Who woulda thunk that there would’ve been concessions to commerce in the TikTok Palme race?

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Friday, 20 May 2022 15:25 (two months ago) link

Bacurau really has to be seen in a cinema full of Brazilian expats shouting "Lula livre!" imo.

― Daniel_Rf, Friday, May 20, 2022 6:01 AM (five hours ago)

lol that was def the case when the crew came to present the movie at Lincoln Center for NYFF just before covid, banners and all in the audience. there was a q&a after, and someone asked why the American villains were so clichéd – he answered 'Well I love the 1st Die Hard, but the villain was called HANS GRUBER, so here's your answer' ahahaha

fpsa, Friday, 20 May 2022 15:53 (two months ago) link

Neighboring Sounds was filmed in my neighborhood - literally some 5 blocks away from where I lived most of my life. It's funny to watch such a specific slice of Brazilian life being portrayed. My favorite of his movies

fpsa, Friday, 20 May 2022 15:55 (two months ago) link

Enys Men sounds right up my street.

Alba, Friday, 20 May 2022 17:07 (two months ago) link

xp I wasn't expecting much from Neighboring Sounds but the sound design was incredible, and the combination of clashes between different socioeconomic groups with different aspirations was fascinating

Dan S, Saturday, 21 May 2022 01:20 (two months ago) link

some of the films that have shown up so far sound interesting - The Eight Mountains, EO, Triangle of Sadness, RMN

Dan S, Saturday, 21 May 2022 23:21 (two months ago) link

RMN is apparently an abbreviation for magnetic resonance imaging but I have to believe is also a reference to Romania

Dan S, Saturday, 21 May 2022 23:22 (two months ago) link

I enjoyed reading the different takes on Triangle of Sadness (the space between the eyes and above the bridge of the nose)

David Ehrlich (who didn’t like it in the end):

“It starts, as all movies should, in the world of high-end male modeling. A muted and dangerously almost-smart Derek Zoolander type who Harris Dickinson plays to perfection, the 25-year-old Carl is reaching the geriatric stage of his career, and the anxiety over his economic future is starting to make his eight-pack look two abs short.”

erickohn
@erickohn

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS splits the difference between Karl Marx and the Marx brothers for a zany romp that starts off by whispering “class satire” then screams it. I had a blast… will be even more fun to argue about than THE SQUARE!

Cédric Succivalli
@OnTheLido

I am sorry but TRIANGLE OF SADNESS didn't do it at for me. I liked its cynicism to start with but then Östlund was really trying too hard and the third part on the island was a disaster, no pun intended.

Marc v.d. Klashorst
@MarcVDKlashorst

TRIANGLE OF SADNESS is a wonderfully cynical remake of Lost. It moved me to tears. Of laughter, but still: tears.

Richard Lawson
@rilaws

Harris Dickinson is beautiful in TRIANGLE OF SADNESS, a movie about Harris Dickinson being beautiful and, uh, I dunno, class struggle or something.

douglas greenwood
@douglasgrnwd

Ruben Östlund voodoo dolls the SHIT out of the super wealthy and the instafamous for 2.5 hours in TRIANGLE OF SADNESS and I had a really fucking great time!! Raucous and repulsive, very much his usual territory, but my god he knows it well

Dan S, Sunday, 22 May 2022 00:00 (two months ago) link

We've reached the halfway mark of #Cannes2022 alive and well (sort of), and notice a film about a donkey leading the pack in our grid. Who would have thought? https://t.co/CLWG48cPNz pic.twitter.com/1E1y53QLCE

— IntlCinephileSociety (@ICSfilm) May 23, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 14:32 (two months ago) link

Bummer on the Desplechin, but he seems to have been on a decline for quite some time now.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 14:32 (two months ago) link

I have been debating whether to watch Esther Kahn, which I believe you and Morbs disagreed on, before it leaves MUBI USA, or Deception, which just arrived there.

Apollo and the Aqueducts (James Redd and the Blecchs), Monday, 23 May 2022 15:14 (two months ago) link

Also, missed this year's Queer Palme nominees:

The Blue Caftan (Le Bleu du caftan) — Maryam Touzani
Burning Days (Kurak Günler) — Emin Alper
Close — Lukas Dhont
Continental Drift (South) (La Dérive des continents (au sud)) — Lionel Baier
Diary of a Fleeting Affair (Chronique d'une liaison passagère) — Emmanuel Mouret
Dodo — Panos H. Koutras
The Five Devils (Les Cinq Diables) — Léa Mysius
Forever Young (Les Amandiers) — Valeria Bruni Tedeschi
Irma Vep — Olivier Assayas
Joyland — Saim Sadiq
A Male (Un Varón) — Fabián Hernández
Moonage Daydream — Brett Morgen
Pacifiction (Tourment sur les îles) — Albert Serra
Riposte féministe — Marie Perennès, Simon Depardon
Rodéo — Lola Quivoron
Tchaikovsky's Wife — Kirill Serebrennikov
Will-o'-the-Wisp (Fogo-Fatuo) — João Pedro Rodrigues

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 15:28 (two months ago) link

Did you use the code tags for that list?

Apollo and the Aqueducts (James Redd and the Blecchs), Monday, 23 May 2022 15:57 (two months ago) link

Yeah

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 16:13 (two months ago) link

I think it's very rude of them not to include the movie with Harris Dickenson on this list of nominees.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 16:13 (two months ago) link

Welp, there's my new #1 right there:

A true #Cannes film : DE HUMANI CORPORIS FABRICA, a grotesque and beautiful tapestry of medical procedures that transforms the viscera into pure poetry. THE ACT OF SEEING WITH ONE’S OWN EYES meets LEVIATHAN. Harvard Sensory Ethnographic Lab FTW! pic.twitter.com/nc5G74SQPq

— erickohn (@erickohn) May 23, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Monday, 23 May 2022 18:33 (two months ago) link

The most shocking thing about CRIMES OF THE FUTURE is Kristen Stewart’s newfound willingness to do an Outlandish Voice

— Kyle Buchanan (@kylebuchanan) May 23, 2022

Dan S, Monday, 23 May 2022 22:46 (two months ago) link

This year is just top to bottom ... shrug emoji.

https://d1nslcd7m2225b.cloudfront.net/Pictures/780xany/8/0/1/1371801_onlinejurygridday10_456189_crop.jpg

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Wednesday, 25 May 2022 13:18 (two months ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll is closing tomorrow.

System, Thursday, 26 May 2022 00:01 (two months ago) link

Seems like it’s Decision’s to lose

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Thursday, 26 May 2022 13:30 (two months ago) link

Close has gotten initial reviews that are all over the place (like many of the films this year), but it sounds like something I will like, so I voted for it

Dan S, Thursday, 26 May 2022 23:57 (two months ago) link

Automatic thread bump. This poll's results are now in.

System, Friday, 27 May 2022 00:01 (two months ago) link

Robbie Collin
@robbiereviews

Well – I loved everything about Lukas Dhont’s miraculous Close, which I think might well win the Palme d’Or. Tried to explain the premise to someone earlier and couldn’t even get through that without sobbing. It’s an extremely special film.

Jordan Ruimy
@mrRuimy

The first 40 or so minutes of Lukas Dhont’s CLOSE are beautifully understated and then a plot twist completely destroys the movie. This is such an emotionally manipulative film, and the violin-tinged score only makes it worse

Tim Grierson
@TimGrierson

CLOSE: Because boys aren’t taught how to talk about their feelings, they’re ill-equipped to grapple with their pain or those close to them. Lukas Dhont’s unconventional coming-of-age drama is about emotional development more than anything else. Reserved but affecting.

david ehrlich
@davidehrlich

CLOSE: deeply mixed on Lukas Dhont’s latest coming-of-age drama, which renders its young leads with great sensitivity only to come down on them with all the care of a sledgehammer.

Donald Clarke
@DonaldClarke63

There has been gossip all week at #Cannes2022 about the quality of Lukas Dhont’s CLOSE. Deserved. Study of adolescent trauma leaves every other competition film (in an indifferent year, mind) in the dust. Extraordinarily moving.

Dan S, Friday, 27 May 2022 00:18 (two months ago) link

Serra's Pacifiction seems like it might be really good too

Dan S, Friday, 27 May 2022 00:27 (two months ago) link

Happy to have a truly polarizing movie finally

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Friday, 27 May 2022 01:07 (two months ago) link

Good set of predictions based on what I’ve read (no doubt they’ll be totally wrong)

My Cannes predictions…
Palme: CLOSE
Grand Prize: DECISION TO LEAVE
Director: David Cronenberg (CRIMES OF THE FUTURE)
Actor: Mehdi Bajestani (HOLY SPIDER)
Actress: Judith State (R.M.N.)
Screenplay: TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
Jury Prize: TORI AND LOKITA pic.twitter.com/vGdRl2WwaW

— Scott Feinberg (@ScottFeinberg) May 27, 2022

Alba, Friday, 27 May 2022 06:57 (two months ago) link

Queer Palme went to Joyland, directed by Saim Sadiq, apparently the first Pakistani feature film shown at Cannes

Dan S, Friday, 27 May 2022 22:34 (two months ago) link

Un Certain Regard awards:

Prix Un Certain Regard: The Worst Ones (Les Pires) - Lise Akoka, Romane Gueret
Jury Prize: Joyland - Saim Sadiq
Best Director: Metronom - Alexandru Belc
Best Performance: Vicky Krieps, Corsage and Adam Bessa, Harka
Best Screenplay: Mediterranean Fever - Maha Haj
Coup de Coeur Award: Rodeo - Lola Quivoron

Dan S, Friday, 27 May 2022 23:27 (two months ago) link

xp that's cool

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Friday, 27 May 2022 23:40 (two months ago) link

Hlynur Palmason’s Godland, in Un Certain Regard, also got good reviews and the images I've seen from it look intriguing

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 00:08 (two months ago) link

from the reviews I've read of Kelly Reichardt's Showing Up I think I will really like it

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 00:30 (two months ago) link

after many rejugglings these are the Neil Young’s Film Lounge final Palme D’Or and Acting-Prize odds:

https://www.jigsawlounge.co.uk/film/reviews/cannes2022/

not sure where they come up with this. this website gave Titane only 22-1 odds last year in the end, although its top prediction, A Hero, won Grand Prix

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 01:44 (two months ago) link

Live stream of closing ceremony: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o9IAvOqaDCg

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 17:19 (two months ago) link

The Award for Best Actress goes to Zar AMIR EBRAHIMI in HOLY SPIDER (LES NUITS DE MASHHAD) by Ali ABBASI#Cannes2022 #Palmares #Awards #HOLYSPIDER
-
Prix d’interprétation féminine pour Zar AMIR EBRAHIMI dans HOLY SPIDER réalisé par Ali ABBASI#Cannes2022 #Palmares #Awards pic.twitter.com/rD82TZMDNF

— Festival de Cannes (@Festival_Cannes) May 28, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 18:57 (two months ago) link

livestream of ceremony here:

https://www.facebook.com/brutamerica

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:03 (two months ago) link

Screenplay: Boy From Heaven, Tarik Saleh (not a popular choice among my twitter follows)

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:08 (two months ago) link

On the flip, this seems very much popular...

Best Actor: Song Kang-ho, BROKER

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:10 (two months ago) link

"I would like to thank my donkeys, all six of them."

The Cannes jury prize (3rd place) is a tie between EO and THE EIGHT MOUNTAINS. pic.twitter.com/DWuG93kFxV

— Kyle Buchanan (@kylebuchanan) May 28, 2022

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:16 (two months ago) link

I thought for a moment that Jerzy Skolimowski had forgotten the name of one of his donkeys but it was just a pregnant pause. Good speech.

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:19 (two months ago) link

So the jury prize covers eight donkeys in total?

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:22 (two months ago) link

On the flip, this seems very much popular...

Best Actor: Song Kang-ho, BROKER


Not so popular on my timeline

I missed big chunks of the competition program but I predict prizes for Close, Decision to Leave and an acting prize for Mother and Son. Probably something undeserved for the utterly dismal Broker. Wildcard prediction: Valeria Bruni Tedeschi for a direction or screenplay.

— Wendy Ide (@wendyide) May 28, 2022



Song Kang-Ho is a great actor but I don't think he's all that in BROKER! Oh well!

— Caspar Salmon (@CasparSalmon) May 28, 2022

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:27 (two months ago) link

So, ties in both jury and grand prix?! Dang, guess this wasn't a lean year after all.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:35 (two months ago) link

Everybody gets a prize!

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:37 (two months ago) link

I just can't get excited for a Östlund double-dip.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:45 (two months ago) link

agree

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:46 (two months ago) link

Awful film. Awful.

— David Jenkins (@daveyjenkins) May 28, 2022

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:47 (two months ago) link

ugh

— Elena Lazic (@elazic) May 28, 2022

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:48 (two months ago) link

If I was on the Cannes jury, I would’ve lobbied to give the awards to good movies, but maybe that’s why I’m not!

— Charles Bramesco (@intothecrevasse) May 28, 2022

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:49 (two months ago) link

No one wins the prestigious ILX poll.

Alba, Saturday, 28 May 2022 19:50 (two months ago) link

I mean, a three-way and four-way tie in the ILX poll came pretty spiritually close to being correct.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 20:13 (two months ago) link

I liked that in his post-Cannes press conference Lukas Dhont talked about being a mama’s boy and about wanting to make a film about mothers and sons

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 22:29 (two months ago) link

Fucks sake I nearly posted "anybody but Ostlund" this afternoon. The Banky of world cinema

what doesn't kill me makes me Hongroe (Noodle Vague), Saturday, 28 May 2022 22:44 (two months ago) link

xp also his awards speech where he talked about how our collective prevailing images of men are all about violence, and that he wanted to make a movie about the opposite, to express that empathy, openness and fragility can also be powerful

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 23:01 (two months ago) link

And then RO immediately afterward cajoled the crowd into another primal scream.

Eggs Benedick (Eric H.), Saturday, 28 May 2022 23:43 (two months ago) link

exactly

Dan S, Saturday, 28 May 2022 23:47 (two months ago) link

I guess Östlund is good at coming up with memorable scenes. In The Square it was the outrageous, threatening, performance-art dinner scene (which is still imbedded in my mind)

I haven't seen this film, but from what I've read there is also a scene in this film that everyone who's seen it is talking about

Dan S, Sunday, 29 May 2022 00:25 (two months ago) link

still it is not my kind of film

Dan S, Sunday, 29 May 2022 00:32 (two months ago) link

I just want to watch it to see Harris Dickinson with his shirt off

Dan S, Sunday, 29 May 2022 00:34 (two months ago) link

the films I'm most looking forward to from this festival are Close, Showing Up, Pacifiction, RMN, Decision To Leave, and Tori and Lokita

Dan S, Sunday, 29 May 2022 01:30 (two months ago) link

Holy Spider also sounds interesting, and has the best title of all

Dan S, Sunday, 29 May 2022 01:51 (two months ago) link

listened to Nicholas Rapold's recent Cannes podcast with Manohla Dargis. She spoke about Broker, Leila's Brothers, Mother and Son, and being able to anticipate every scene in Triangle of Sadness (and hating it)

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ep-126-cannes-12-with-manohla-dargis-broker-hollywood/id1512801510?i=1000564859783

also his podcast with Justin Chang about Showing Up, Tori and Lokita, Close, and George Miller

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ep-125-cannes-11-with-justin-chang-showing-up-tori/id1512801510?i=1000564480040

Dan S, Thursday, 2 June 2022 03:50 (two months ago) link

I love Nicolas Rapold, he seems sexy to me in a nerdy way

I liked the talk about how it's a tedious job acknowledging the glamour of Cannes and its nostalgia, the ridiculousness of Tom Cruise's fighter jets, Baz Luhrmann, beautiful women on the red carpet, etc, but also how Cannes needs to cultivate that stuff as part of its mystique

Rapold has spoken to multiple critics about EO, but Dargis mentioned the barbarism toward animals, and they discussed the idea that the visual craziness of the film maybe represented the donkey's perspective

In regards to EO she talked about how we are really far removed from the natural world now to our inevitable peril and doom, and how that was the reason it was the defining film of the festival for her

Dan S, Thursday, 2 June 2022 04:53 (two months ago) link

Yeah, I really like Rapold too. His podcast (along with Film Comment's) was once again my daily companion through the festival.

Alba, Thursday, 2 June 2022 08:01 (two months ago) link


You must be logged in to post. Please either login here, or if you are not registered, you may register here.