love* in the time of plague (and by love* i mean brexit* and other dreary matters of uk politics)

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The man never drunk a carling in his life

Anti-Cop Ponceortium (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:35 (three years ago) link

"I wasn't really up for the pubs, but after seeing teetotal Rishi giving the double thumbs up to some electrical appliances, coupled with his insincere tweet ... well I'm raring to sup now"

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:44 (three years ago) link

I like how 95% of the responses are "that's a shop, mate".

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 15:53 (three years ago) link

Sunak there curiously similar to Rory Stewart saying his favourite London boozer was any branch of Pret a Manger?

the pinefox, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:19 (three years ago) link

Social activity in general makes up something like a third of consumption in this country and the longer it takes to get it back properly the worse the recession is going to be.

The quickest way to do that is to get the virus under control properly and we're probably not at that stage yet.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:26 (three years ago) link

i mean if everyone cut their consumer spending by £2000 a year and saved it for housing, there would be an immediate recession and house prices would increase as demand soared

— Jon Stone (@joncstone) June 22, 2020

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 16:31 (three years ago) link


The quickest way to do that is to get the virus under control properly and we're probably not at that stage yet.


this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it. we haven’t got any of those elements but the gov is going through the mechanical motions because this is what countries are doing. it effectively places all the risk onto the health of individuals and companies, rather than absorbing that risk until they have the competence to manage it.

from what i can see and from a psychological point of view the haphazard approach, definitions and data of the government have for some people resulted in a bit of a shoulder shrug - might as well go out, no one really knows, that’s life etc. but they are a self-selecting and quite visible group and i imagine there are plenty of people who are not comfortable with this.

“kickstarting the economy” sounds v like “leaving the economy to sink or swim”. i cant imagine restaurants or pubs having sufficient throughput, and i can’t even imagine when rush hour is going to be a meaningful thing. government support for the economy will need to continue for much longer than if they had better dealt with the virus. it looks like a botch to me.

Fizzles, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:29 (three years ago) link

basically the tory fucking idiots are going to make the same mistake they made the first time - starting lockdown too late, probably by 2 or 3 weeks at least - in reverse by opening up things too early. what a mess

Rik Waller-Bridge (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:32 (three years ago) link

Spoilsport. I was out today and apart from a few stragglers in masks it's like the whole thing never happened.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:37 (three years ago) link

Fucking traffic back, ready to mow you down as you cross the road.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:38 (three years ago) link

the no masks thing is just classic "Britain". septic isle

Rik Waller-Bridge (jim in vancouver), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:42 (three years ago) link

this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it.

Remember Tusk and 'Please do not waste this time' wrt brexit extension? Kinda feel our mostly fake lockdown just bought us some wasted time. We didn't get the numbers low enough and we haven't got adequate TTI in place.
Most recent strategy looks to me like "can't we just fucking talk about something else?" while we're still burying almost a thousand people a week.

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:43 (three years ago) link

Look at NZ having a shitfit over 2 infected travellers or China reinforcing lockdown in Beijing after 36 cases and compare with UK/US where the response to thousands of cases and hundreds of deaths every day is to stop counting.

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:46 (three years ago) link

Yeah, this is really fucking unsafe for women particularly. https://t.co/cBeKWomqLK

— pickwick (@pickwick) June 23, 2020

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:48 (three years ago) link

Too right. Fuck that.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:51 (three years ago) link

And in other news:

Wow. MPs vote 243-238 IN FAVOUR of Chris Bryant's amendment to rule out Commons debates on serious complaints against MPs

— Esther Webber (@estwebber) June 23, 2020



Briefly, this means anyone accusing an MP of abuse doesn’t have to have the accusation dissected in a parliamentary debate. Can’t wait to see the names who voted against it.

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 17:53 (three years ago) link

_this is it isn’t it. total lockdown was a reasonable response to something we knew nothing about and which was spreading v quickly. if you can get the infection numbers down to v low figures and have a good track and trace system in place then it is reasonable to relax constraints and people will also have confidence in it._


Remember Tusk and 'Please do not waste this time' wrt brexit extension? Kinda feel our mostly fake lockdown just bought us some wasted time. We didn't get the numbers low enough and we haven't got adequate TTI in place.
Most recent strategy looks to me like "can't we just fucking talk about something else?" while we're still burying almost a thousand people a week.


Ha I made this same comparison a few weeks ago. I actually saw the 1000 figure quoted in the guardian as “some good news”

covid coronenberg (wins), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:03 (three years ago) link

Wonder how different things would've been if legend Bozza had carked it?

Boris the Spreader (NickB), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:12 (three years ago) link

pub has already got my Facebook that should do right?

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:14 (three years ago) link

aye you're grand, especially since FB forced to you to gvot name yourself

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:23 (three years ago) link

govt

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:23 (three years ago) link

exackly

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:27 (three years ago) link

Wonder how different things would've been if legend Bozza had carked it?

Raab or Gove would have stepped up to the plate in true "cometh the hour" style, dithered around doing fuck all and the outcome would've been the same, other than that the Tories would've self-destructed over the new danger to the Brexit Project and become even more distracted by that.

bob catley signature stage move (Matt #2), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:31 (three years ago) link

The lockdown would have been ended even sooner had Raab and Sunak had anything to do with it.

Future England Captain (Tom D.), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:36 (three years ago) link

Why tf is there a several episodes long documentary on the Witch this week, prime time at the beeb?

Scampidocio (Le Bateau Ivre), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 18:57 (three years ago) link

sad to see y'all navigating the "re-opening" as badly as we are

sound of scampo talk to me (El Tomboto), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:25 (three years ago) link

pretty sure there's some kind of death toll competition going on at this point

never mind that shit, here comes scampo (Noodle Vague), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:28 (three years ago) link

Just went to Newmarket and got "what the fuck is wrong with you?" vibes from almost everyone for (a) wearing a mask and (b) moving out of their way to maintain some (like a metre) distance, so Cambridge not that bad after all.

Anti-Cop Ponceortium (Camaraderie at Arms Length), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:44 (three years ago) link

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/weeklyprovisionalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales

having a look at the figures you can find here which run up 12th June and it looks like England is coming out of lockdown with a death tally higher than it went into lockdown with?

boxedjoy, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:50 (three years ago) link

I don't think that makes much of a difference if the number of new cases and levels of infection continue to decline (big if). Deaths trail infections by three or four weeks and I don't think anyone is seriously suggesting the virus itself is more prevalent or spreading as rapidly as it was in late March.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:53 (three years ago) link

Also we're testing much more now so although new case levels are similar there were probably many more in late March that weren't picked up.

chonky floof (groovypanda), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 19:56 (three years ago) link

When the extremely online get elected

I too express my excitement at going to the pub by taking a photo giving a shop full of kettles a big old thumbs up like a very normal guy 🙃 https://t.co/3iWjxmNmq6

— Charlotte Nichols (@charlotte2153) June 23, 2020

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 20:12 (three years ago) link

The 'r' number is still estimated at iirc 0.7-0.9 and potentially as high as 1.0 in some regions. It doesn't take a whole lot of unlocking to push that above 1 and if we're starting at a base no lower than end-March lockdown numbers again the whole exercise seems like a short delay in order to fuck up the economy and idk save petrol or something

BRAVE THE AFRIAD (onimo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 20:13 (three years ago) link

R number isn’t the tell-all because there are probably places with huge numbers of infections (factories and meat processing plants as well as care homes) where community spread is relatively low.

scampos mentis (gyac), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 20:18 (three years ago) link

I just don't think it's true that we're starting from a base no lower than the end of March - the level of infection was really high back then largely due to people doing things like going to Cheltenham and spreading it all over the country. The R rate and the death rate between them don't tell the whole story.

Despite that the level of infection is too high to be relaxing everything - I guess we'll know by the end of July and I'm not going to be setting foot in a pub before then. (xpost)

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 20:25 (three years ago) link

Briefly, this means anyone accusing an MP of abuse doesn’t have to have the accusation dissected in a parliamentary debate. Can’t wait to see the names who voted against it.

Andrea Leadsom, Penny Mordaunt and some obscure backbencher called Theresa May.

Matt DC, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 21:02 (three years ago) link

Sir Michael "warm your hands on my balls" Fallon will be saying too late!

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 21:13 (three years ago) link

"Most recent strategy looks to me like "can't we just fucking talk about something else?" while we're still burying almost a thousand people a week."

Yeah, this.

Anyway, walked to Sainsbury's tonight and people had just taken over the path - a group of four adults hogged the whole (wide) path despite me doing a comedy swerve. Couples were holding hands and refusing to walk in single file.

I work in health and wonder if I'm just over-used to risk assessing. Like, I know meeting a friend carries risk (compared to staying in) but I can think "Yeah, that's worth it." But the idea of going to the pub and potentially being infected by someone random feels too ... pointless.

djh, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 21:25 (three years ago) link

I can't imagine what would be fun about the pub right now. Sitting with your pals in a weird pentagram behind perspex screens, watching a harassed member of staff constantly wiping everything down, unable to pick up glasses from the top because you don't want your fingers on the surfaces people have just had in their mouths. If I'm allowed to sit close to my pals again then they're coming to my house where I can be certain the surfaces have been cleaned properly and I'm not going to risk a drunken randomer invade my personal space in the name of friendly banter.

boxedjoy, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 22:34 (three years ago) link

yeah I would really just like a friend to just come and visit and get drunk in my house tbh

I am pretty isolated! but my nearest friends can't because one of them is a cancer survivor and is classed as vulnerable, so they are still isolating seriously, and my family are miles away and also mostly vulnerable or living with someone who is. I'm thinking of hiring a car so I can drive to the Midlands without getting a train, if they'll let me. would need to find a cat-sitter first tho

chipstick rebellion (Colonel Poo), Tuesday, 23 June 2020 22:42 (three years ago) link

Interesting to see how Kier Starmer has changed his tune from "get a grip you are risking a second wave" to "government is doing the right thing, we support them" isn't it. Almost as if he doesn't believe in anything. @TonePolicing

This was on june 2nd:https://t.co/LNmKwVoWqx

— Hunt and Eat Billionaires ☭ Ⓐ ☆ 🦀 ACAB, KTA. (@miriksmit) June 23, 2020

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 23:38 (three years ago) link

he has been oscillating between the two positions throughout, while managing not to put any real pressure on the govt when he forensically opposes them. Useless tory arsehole¬!

calzino, Tuesday, 23 June 2020 23:53 (three years ago) link

useless useful tory arsehole

calzino, Wednesday, 24 June 2020 00:10 (three years ago) link

Can't believe they cancelled the daily briefing show after one season just because the main characters killed loads of people

— TechnicallyRon (@TechnicallyRon) June 23, 2020

calzino, Wednesday, 24 June 2020 07:25 (three years ago) link

Exclusive: the Home Office has begun the process of evicting hundreds of refugees from its accommodation in England, as the government decides not to extend the ban on asylum seeker evictions. https://t.co/bWqBxpK8qb

— Lucie Heath (@luciemheath) June 23, 2020

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 24 June 2020 09:23 (three years ago) link

Government just killed 65,000 other people - how about we let 65,000 asylum seekers stay in their place?

Boris the Spreader (NickB), Wednesday, 24 June 2020 09:30 (three years ago) link

Boris Johnson agrees with a Conservative MP that it is people's “patriotic duty” to go to the pub once they reopen.

— Adam Bienkov (@AdamBienkov) June 23, 2020

The other thing about avoiding the pubs first thing is that you avoid this crowd too. Maybe 'r' will go up in Tory areas so it's impossible to know whether it's a good thing or not etc.

xyzzzz__, Wednesday, 24 June 2020 09:36 (three years ago) link

sometimes a bit of disease on disease violence is needed

calzino, Wednesday, 24 June 2020 09:42 (three years ago) link


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