French elections 2017: completing the hat-trick?

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After Brexit and Trump, Marine?

The good news is that Sarkozy is out. The bad news is... everything else?

Juppé (more of a centrist) and Fillon (a right wing nut job) are debating right now for Les Républicain's primary.

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:20 (two years ago) Permalink

bonne chance france

imago, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:24 (two years ago) Permalink

Before that, Wilders will prob be the biggest in March 2017. Good times...

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:42 (two years ago) Permalink

https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/2af7359a129b696fb680722b66cf4e83a648a26b/0_379_4228_2537/master/4228.jpg?w=620&q=55&auto=format&usm=12&fit=max&s=ccd68748209f84d9ef5651d9b634703e

Juppé has an ominously Jeb!-esque exclamation point on his official logo, which doesn't seem to bode well for him

soref, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:50 (two years ago) Permalink

Before that, Wilders will prob be the biggest in March 2017. Good times...

... and before that

The Doug Walters of Crime (Tom D.), Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:53 (two years ago) Permalink

I realized that just after hitting submit

Le Bateau Ivre, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:54 (two years ago) Permalink

there's an italian referendum coming up too

Mordy, Thursday, 24 November 2016 20:54 (two years ago) Permalink

Hollande has apparently now signalled that he will stand for re-election despite his appalling poll numbers, on the basis that he might just have a shot now that Fillon is unexpectedly looking likely to become the centre-right candidate? A Le Pen vs Fillion run-off and a Le Pen vs Hollande both seem like alarming prospects though.

soref, Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:06 (two years ago) Permalink

what is macron up to, the wee fuck

||||||||, Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:07 (two years ago) Permalink

has anyone ever successfully run for re-election shortly after a poll showing they have an approval rating of 4%?

http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21709508-fran-ois-hollandes-approval-falls-4-abyss

soref, Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:09 (two years ago) Permalink

damn how did his numbers get so low

Mordy, Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:10 (two years ago) Permalink

Xp, Yeltsin but he had a bit of help.

Bubba H.O.T.A.P.E (ShariVari), Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:13 (two years ago) Permalink

damn how did his numbers get so low

― Mordy, Thursday, November 24, 2016 4:10 PM (four minutes ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

The whole way the El Khomri law has been implemented was seriously disgusting and won't be forgotten soon, I say this as someone who is generally favourable to the law itself. I think it will have a lasting impact on how people Hollande.

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 24 November 2016 21:19 (two years ago) Permalink

So, from what I've heard, what usually happens is that if a FN candidate wins in the first round of elections, the centre party candidate who's gotten less votes withdraws and asks their voters to go for the other centre candidate. So is the danger that Le Pen's votes will beat out the ones cast for Filon (or Juppe) and Hollande both, or has this been wrongly explained to me?

Daniel_Rf, Friday, 25 November 2016 11:49 (two years ago) Permalink

France has a two round voting system so if anyone doesn't get over 50%, the top two candidates go through to a run-off and everyone else is eliminated. Whether Le Pen came first or second, if she's in the second round the assumption is that the majority of other parties would throw their support behind her opponent, whoever it is. Socialists, Greens, etc, came out in force to vote for Chirac (who they hated) when Le Pen sr came second in 2002. They have nobody else to vote for (their own candidates having been eliminated) so the danger is always low turnout if they don't show up at all.

Bubba H.O.T.A.P.E (ShariVari), Friday, 25 November 2016 12:25 (two years ago) Permalink

Yeah, that's what I understood. Le Pen beating out the supporters of all major parties banded together seems like a long shot, even compared to Trump and brexit. But who even knows anymore.

Daniel_Rf, Friday, 25 November 2016 12:46 (two years ago) Permalink

this comes down to islamophobia, right? france has copped much more terrorism than all the other western nations combined of late. it's easy to see how this might play

imago, Friday, 25 November 2016 12:50 (two years ago) Permalink

much more 'successful' terrorism, i add

imago, Friday, 25 November 2016 12:50 (two years ago) Permalink

I'm fairly sure the center-right candidate would beat Le Pen in the runoff, but would the socialist? If Le Pen splits the right wing vote in the first round, will the right then come out in force for the leftist?

Frederik B, Friday, 25 November 2016 14:23 (two years ago) Permalink

I've seen concerns that if there's a Fillion/Le Pen run-off, Fillion's commitment to liberalising the labour market and cutting the welfare state will allow the FN to present themselves as defenders of ordinary workers' rights, and that Fillion's Thatcherism (coupled with his social conservatism) might make him too toxic for some leftist voters to turn out for, and that all this could give Le Pen a route to victory, I don't know how likely that is? Though I guess FF's social conservatism and positions re: Islam and protecting "French culture" might attract some voters who would have otherwise gone with the FN?

soref, Friday, 25 November 2016 15:42 (two years ago) Permalink

I suspect the latter but who tf knows anymore

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Friday, 25 November 2016 16:17 (two years ago) Permalink

That explanation would require for the economic explanation to actually be stronger than the racism one, and I don't think thats true. Which I guess is good in this case? The French system makes this whole thing full of dillemas.

Frederik B, Friday, 25 November 2016 16:27 (two years ago) Permalink

this guy likely to be the *least* racist of the two candidates in the second round, remember

He told Europe 1 Radio: "We must fight that fundamentalism, in the same way that in the past... we fought some forms of Catholic fundamentalism and we fought the drive by Jews to live in a community that did not respect all the rules of the French Republic."

Fillon later said he had been misunderstood, and had not intended to question Jews’ commitment to the values of France.

http://europe.newsweek.com/francois-fillon-jewish-leaders-integration-muslims-jews-524849?rm=eu

soref, Friday, 25 November 2016 17:46 (two years ago) Permalink

though this article presents a more mixed view of his positions re: France's jewish population

http://www.jpost.com/Diaspora/A-pleasant-surprise-for-many-of-Frances-Jews-473291

he seems pretty unambiguous on the subject of Islam, though

Fillon’s sudden rise in popularity is in large part due to a book he published this autumn called Conquering Islamic Totalitarianism, which won him support on the right.

In it, he lambasted the current French government for failing to deal with the Islamic terrorism that had seen more than 230 people killed in France in a period of 18 months. Leaning towards the “clash of civilisations” theory developed in the 1990s by Samuel Huntington, Fillon warned that “the bloody invasion of Islamism into our daily life could herald a third world war”.

In Lyon, he was loudly cheered when he said: “Radical Islam is corrupting some of our Muslim fellow citizens.” He promised administrative controls on Islam in France, including dissolving the Salafi movement and banning preaching in Arabic. This summer he supported a law to ban burkini full-body swimsuits from French beaches.

soref, Friday, 25 November 2016 17:51 (two years ago) Permalink

Le Pen is positioning herself to the left of Fillon on the welfare state. If there's little difference between them on immigration, then, I suppose Europe becomes the big question. Which is interesting bc in Brexit "Europe" seems to have stood for immigration among the general population though among Brexiteers Europe stood for other things.

droit au butt (Euler), Friday, 25 November 2016 21:15 (two years ago) Permalink

Hollande announced he won't be running for a second term.

Van Horn Street, Thursday, 1 December 2016 19:20 (two years ago) Permalink

Manuel Valls to run for president

The Doug Walters of Crime (Tom D.), Monday, 5 December 2016 18:15 (two years ago) Permalink

No idea who is going to oppose him in the primaries, Taubira would have been ideal but she doesn't seem excited by the idea? Valls has a representative of the socialistes is a very sobering thought.

Van Horn Street, Monday, 5 December 2016 21:14 (two years ago) Permalink

well, there's Mélanchon

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 5 December 2016 21:18 (two years ago) Permalink

on like Nov 10th i talked to a French guy who assured me Le Pen wouldn't win because in the run-off against Sarkozy (this was before he lost primary) and Le Pen all the leftists would vote Sarkozy. having just been burned so hard by Trump, i told him I'd bet him 100$ he was wrong. he didn't take it

flopson, Monday, 5 December 2016 21:22 (two years ago) Permalink

Mélenchon isn't going through the primaries, and neither is Macron.

Dinsdale, Monday, 5 December 2016 21:25 (two years ago) Permalink

Taubira is great. But this is not her time. Valls is...... pretty right-wing for a socialist :/

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 6 December 2016 10:45 (two years ago) Permalink

one month passes...

Didn't know where else to put this, but uh-oh...

Serbia wants to annex part of Kosovo using 'Crimea model': president

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 16 January 2017 18:17 (one year ago) Permalink

(Seeing this thread as the most prescient of nationalism/fascisms rise in Europe)

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 16 January 2017 18:18 (one year ago) Permalink

Of=on

Le Bateau Ivre, Monday, 16 January 2017 18:20 (one year ago) Permalink

AUBERVILLIERS, France — A man clutches a bag filled with cigarettes, hawking his illicit merchandise outside a kebab shop on a nondescript street in the center of Aubervilliers, a town on the outskirts of Paris — “Marlboro, Marlboro! Camel, Camel!”

http://www.politico.eu/article/marine-le-pen-surprise-muslim-islam-supporters-national-front-banlieues/

Change Aubervilliers to Paris (though only like 4km south of Aubervilliers) and you have my neighborhood right now. Descriptively at least. I don't know if people around here are FN supporters.

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 23 January 2017 17:24 (one year ago) Permalink

Is the "Marlboro" thing, a thing elsewhere, like in London or New York? They're trafficking cigarettes brought in from Algeria and Tunisia.

droit au butt (Euler), Monday, 23 January 2017 17:25 (one year ago) Permalink

Yes, mostly trafficking from Belarus or the Balkans iirc.

Multiple Xps, Serbs argue Crimea was annexed under the Kosovo model!

Bubba H.O.T.A.P.E (ShariVari), Monday, 23 January 2017 17:30 (one year ago) Permalink

Is the "Marlboro" thing, a thing elsewhere, like in London or New York? They're trafficking cigarettes brought in from Algeria and Tunisia.

This used to be a big thing on the Holloway Road, like, 10 years ago but the police cracked down on it hard and I've never seen it since... though I still see some of the guys who used to sell the cigarettes around the area and, yes, Algerians afaict.

Eats like Elvis, shits like De Niro (Tom D.), Monday, 23 January 2017 18:29 (one year ago) Permalink

Hamon has won the socialist candidacy comfortably over Valls. Another dinosaur bites the dust (after Hollande and Sarko). Hamon more in line w/ Sanders/Corbyn/Podemos than the more centred social democrats. Can't see him stand a chance tho.

Le Bateau Ivre, Sunday, 29 January 2017 20:05 (one year ago) Permalink

the socialists won't have a chance in france for ten years after hollande's performance. it's gonna be le pen against macron, i guess. fillon seems to be finished. his trustworthiness is about as good as that of a second hand car dealer now.

it's the distortion, stupid! (alex in mainhattan), Sunday, 29 January 2017 20:13 (one year ago) Permalink

If only Fillon had given his mistress a fake job, instead of to his wife amirite?

You are otm tho. Macron does have something going for him tbf, with a lot of other sides including the Green Party not immediately writing him off, showing some willingness to rally behind him to keep Le Pen at bay. It's... Something.

Le Bateau Ivre, Sunday, 29 January 2017 20:23 (one year ago) Permalink

hope Valls gets a burkini now

droit au butt (Euler), Sunday, 29 January 2017 21:16 (one year ago) Permalink

i like hamon!! but yeah w macron in the race (and melenchon!) i guess he doesn't stand a chance. dunno tho, these are weird times. centrists aren't winning.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Sunday, 29 January 2017 22:05 (one year ago) Permalink

Fillon has said he will withdraw from the presidential race if judges decide to formally accuse him of wrongdoing. It is unclear where this leaves his party as the primaries runner-up Juppé has ruled out stepping in to replace Fillon.

“François Fillon is not in the position of pulling out. He has explained that he will do so if he is officially put under investigation, but he is not officially under investigation,” Juppé said.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jan/31/francois-fillon-faces-fresh-claims-over-paying-wife-and-children

does anyone have any idea what would happen if Fillon pulled out? what would be the latest point at which another candidate could take his place as the Les Republicans' candidate? it would be something if this led to an 11th hour Sarko comeback, I suppose that's unlikely though.

soref, Tuesday, 31 January 2017 22:34 (one year ago) Permalink

we live in unlikely times. the whole primary system is so new i wouldn't be surprised if the rules don't speak to this situation. Borgen eat your heart out!

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Tuesday, 31 January 2017 23:33 (one year ago) Permalink

god the stuff that's happening w Fillon is just too delicious.

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Wednesday, 1 February 2017 12:32 (one year ago) Permalink

I've been wondering whether the Socialist Party choosing a hard left candidate makes it more likely that Macron will get through to the second round (because he will be able to pick up a lion's share of centre-left votes in the first round in a way that he may not have done if the Socialists had picked another centrist) or less likely (e.g. if the Socialists had put up a candidate with similar views to Macron then left-wing voters may have rallied behind Macron as the person most likely to succeed - but now they have a genuine alternative in the form of Hamon they may be more tempted to vote for him the first round instead?). I guess the number of people who would have voted for Melenchon in the first round who will now vote for Hamon instead is another factor?

soref, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 12:56 (one year ago) Permalink

I do have an increasing fear that all this uncertainty an volatility is going to end with Le Pen being elected President, but I don't really know enough about French politics to assess how rational that is.

soref, Wednesday, 1 February 2017 12:59 (one year ago) Permalink

looks like an absolute shitshow over there

ogmor, Friday, 7 December 2018 12:30 (one week ago) Permalink

It’s always interesting how different protests get treated differently. Like the way ‘fuel tax protests’ in the UK a while back - the media is immediately behind such actions, whereas the default stance to left wing protests is opposition.

Leaghaidh am brón an t-anam bochd (dowd), Friday, 7 December 2018 13:11 (one week ago) Permalink

I saw my first gilet jaune a little bit ago. Near the Jardin de Luxembourg

All Parisian lycées are closed tomorrow so my kids are happy, won’t have to navigate the civil war. The city feels very tense today. Cops are gonna be reluctant to intervene tomorrow so it’ll be up to the army. We’ll not be leaving the house.

L'assie (Euler), Friday, 7 December 2018 13:13 (one week ago) Permalink

just checked into our hotel in saint germain des pres. not planning on crossing the river tomorrow but don’t really want to be hotel-bound. do you think it’s likely violence will spread far beyond the 8th?

call all destroyer, Friday, 7 December 2018 13:19 (one week ago) Permalink

I’m aware the north american twitter left and jacobin readers have a hard-on over Mélenchon because old grumpy socialists are very fashionable (collection hiver automne 2020) but Mélenchon is just a fucking idiot, like watching Brexit happening in real time and still thinking France should get out of the EU kind of fuckin idiot.

― Van Horn Street, Thursday, 6 December 2018 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

otm

― L'assie (Euler), Thursday, 6 December 2018 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Yep, completely.

― pomenitul, Thursday, 6 December 2018 Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

Take out Nothern Ireland and there wouldn't be as much of a problem. The deal would probably have gone through, even with tight numbers in parliament.

The EU are facing serious problems integrating the Euro - and having to impose austerity in Southern Europe. It needs serious reform and thought. Saying Melenchon is part of a 'fashion' is laughable and you are all fooling yourselves.

xyzzzz__, Friday, 7 December 2018 13:29 (one week ago) Permalink

It’s not clear where the violence will be tomorrow. Something may go down at Denfert-Rochereau, which isn’t that far from Saint-Germain-des-Près. My daughter’s lycée is in SGDP, I’m glad she won’t be there tomorrow. Up here in L@ Ch@p3ll3 I expect things will be like Ghostbusters after the EPA lets all the ghosts out : while the cops are with the rich scum tomorrow the gangsters up here will have their way.

L'assie (Euler), Friday, 7 December 2018 13:45 (one week ago) Permalink

delightful. thx for the intel.

call all destroyer, Friday, 7 December 2018 13:50 (one week ago) Permalink

So a noted yellow vest who also happens to be a holocaust denier 'accidentally' ended up on the cover of Paris Match:

https://www.lesinrocks.com/2018/12/06/actualite/un-militant-dextreme-droite-se-retrouve-en-une-de-paris-match-pour-illustrer-les-gilets-jaunes-111149819/

pomenitul, Friday, 7 December 2018 23:04 (one week ago) Permalink

The EU are facing serious problems integrating the Euro - and having to impose austerity in Southern Europe. It needs serious reform and thought. Saying Melenchon is part of a 'fashion' is laughable and you are all fooling yourselves.

I fail to see how this precludes a critique of Mélenchon himself. Like I said, La France insoumise has much to gain by getting rid of his top-down leadership style.

pomenitul, Friday, 7 December 2018 23:09 (one week ago) Permalink

ex-trots can never stop trotting

( ͡☉ ͜ʖ ͡☉) (jim in vancouver), Friday, 7 December 2018 23:19 (one week ago) Permalink

The EU are facing serious problems integrating the Euro - and having to impose austerity in Southern Europe. It needs serious reform and thought. Saying Melenchon is part of a 'fashion' is laughable and you are all fooling yourselves.

― xyzzzz__, Friday, December 7, 2018 8:29 AM (ten hours ago) Bookmark Flag Post Permalink

All indications is that serious reform and thought of the European Union is not Mélenchon's priority.

It's not hard at all to imagine a France + Southern Europe coalition that shoved down a real equalizations payments system on the Germans today, that would have been a real constructive debate. I can see how citizens of Spain, Portugal, Italy, Greece and France today would be into it. But they didn't unite over it and instead just decided to shit on neo-liberals and the euro and now the situation keeps getting worse. Equalizations works elsewhere and should have been the future of a truly united Europe. Now both the anti-establishment left and right just prefers economic nationalism because its easy dumb votes for shitheads who don't have the imagination to understand that yes our current situation as other options than either protectionism or neoliberalism. For the likes of Mélenchon, its like we never tried protectionism, like we don't have the data on how it created massive problems, like it never lead to absolute chaos in the past.

What infuriates me is that over the past week Macron passed a really though law, one that will reverberate around Europe, to regulate the trucking industry and labor conditions but nobody gives a shit because he wears a suit or whatever he has the tag he has; that's the kind of law that would just infuriate a classic anti-regulation neo-liberals, it stands for exactly everything the populist/protectionist are for while keeping it true to pan-European ideals. I'm not defending his policies as a whole, I think a lot of policies are shit, I did not vote for him in the first round, but I would love to see the grander left celebrate shit that matters sometimes, even if it's the dramatic voice*** centrist mortal enemy who did it. Also fuck that tax hike on gas. The obvious first step would have been to tax the shit out of Total to begin with, and I'm glad the tax has been reversed but boy its going to be real nasty when the same tactics are used for nasty islamophobia/xenophobia and at this point I'm fairly certain it will, the venn diagram has just too much overlap.

Van Horn Street, Saturday, 8 December 2018 00:02 (one week ago) Permalink

What infuriates me is that over the past week Macron passed a really though law, one that will reverberate around Europe, to regulate the trucking industry and labor conditions but nobody gives a shit because he wears a suit or whatever he has the tag he has;

That seems a bit reductive, don't you think? There's much more to it that him wearing a suit. It goes back all the way to his actios under the Hollande government to everything and said to did since he was elected. The trucking thing is a good thing but it doesn't cancel the rest at all. Like you said his policies are shit. Almost everyone in this country who isn't super-wealthy is fed up with decades of shit policies, even though not everyone is fed up with the same policies for the same reasons.

I don't support the Gilets Jaunes nor their methods and I got into seriously heated arguments with colleagues over it but this governement totally deserves a loud reminder that Macron isn't our king and people won't just shut up for 5 years and accept anything. If anything maybe he'll show less contempt for people now.

Dinsdale, Saturday, 8 December 2018 06:07 (one week ago) Permalink

*everything he did and said*, sorry it's early

Dinsdale, Saturday, 8 December 2018 06:07 (one week ago) Permalink

His supposed arrogance is also a theatrical posture he developed to avoid coming off as weak. Damned if you do, damned if you don't: either they take to the streets to demand that the new Roi-Soleil be guillotined or they diss your supposed softness until you hit rock bottom and are forced out of politics for good (Hollande).

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 09:47 (one week ago) Permalink

I'd also like to take this opportunity to remind everyone that France's Gini index, which measures inequality, is still low compared to that of other Western European countries, that there are exceedingly poor nations with a shit-tier GDP that are indeed less unequal in their wealth distribution but whose standard of living would be considered appalling by the gilets jaunes, that the French get five weeks of paid vacation, a 35-hour work week, free world-class health care and benefits that would (and should) make the socialist parties of comparable countries quite jealous.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 09:57 (one week ago) Permalink

Macron supports all that, does he?

Monica Kindle (Tom D.), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:07 (one week ago) Permalink

The lingering problem is unemployment. How would you solve it?

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:12 (one week ago) Permalink

How's he solving it, he's the President of France, I'm not.

Monica Kindle (Tom D.), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:13 (one week ago) Permalink

There was nothing supposed about Hollande's softness. He kept trying to please the right, who would never like him no matter what because socialism is evil, while forgetting he's got elected on the basis of left-leaning promises. The ecotaxe was actually a good thing, for once, but he abandoned it as soon as the industry protested. On gay marriage, which is a fucking non-issue for everyone except a bunch of homophobic fucktards, he almost pussied out (as a side not it's interesting to note that Macron has shown much more empathy to the "humiliated" (his words) opponents to gay marriage than he has ever shown towards to any other kind of protesters). As one comedian said once of Hollande, "we expected absolutely nothing from him and he still managed to disappoint".

Dinsdale, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:15 (one week ago) Permalink

From a UK perspective all you ever hear about France is how it needs to reform itself, to be more in line with UK and US, that is something I've been hearing about from right wing and, yes, centrist, commentators in the UK for as long as I can remember - which is a long time. It comes in two forms - sniggering schadenfreude from the right and patronising mock concern from the centre, as always driven by British resentment of the French.

Monica Kindle (Tom D.), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:19 (one week ago) Permalink

35 hr week is pretty theoretical for a lot of professions

"free" healthcare, well, apart from the deductibles and/or the mutuelle that you've bought to cover them

but in general i agree

illegal economic migration (Tracer Hand), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:20 (one week ago) Permalink

well given that the deductibles are mostly reimbursed by CPAM even if you don't have a mutuelle, it's not as bad as that sounds.

the biggest healthcare gripe I hear is that eyeglasses are not really covered. as a former american I lol every time I hear someone go about vision coverage here.

L'assie (Euler), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:28 (one week ago) Permalink

Tom, he lengthened bereavement leaves and implemented a 'right to disconnection'. He is unlikely to get rid of the 35 hour work week and will extend health coverage to dental care, which is currently not free. He also plans on giving benefits to the self-employed as part of his labour reforms. Truly neoliberalism incarnate.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:32 (one week ago) Permalink

Oh and eyeglasses will also be covered by 2021 at the latest.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:33 (one week ago) Permalink

Dinsdale, everyone on the left conveniently leaves out the 75% wealth tax, which Hollande was subsequently forced to backpedal on because it turned out to be a complete and utter failure. So yes, he did aim for maximum 'leftism' given his wiggle room. A tragic cautionary tale if ever there was one.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:38 (one week ago) Permalink

That said, I don't think Macron's ISF reform is the way forward.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:42 (one week ago) Permalink

I agree with everything you're saying, pomenitul

I do think that the gilets jaunes are a good counterweight to French neoliberalism, in LREM and LR and whoever else. There was no such voice in the presidential election : instead it was fought about immigration because of the fascists. I'm heartened by the gilets jaunes' lack of interest in immigration. If racism becomes a prominent part of their surges then I'll be cheering the army on. As it is, this is a democratic counterweight of which we were robbed by Le Pen (and by Mélenchon's lack of interest in ordinary French life but rather in the mostly-irrelevant "international politics of the left")

L'assie (Euler), Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:49 (one week ago) Permalink

This is mere anecdotal evidence, of course, but my (French) wife has been keeping me informed about the bits of far-right 'alternative facts' her supposedly left-leaning relatives – all gilets jaunes sympathizers or members – are spreading on Facebook and there are some significant racist elements among them.

Les Décodeurs do a great job of summing up this particular xenophobic conspiracy theory, which has gained a fair amount of traction worldwide these past few weeks:

https://www.lemonde.fr/les-decodeurs/article/2018/12/06/vendre-la-france-a-l-onu-de-donald-trump-aux-gilets-jaunes-l-itineraire-mondial-d-une-intox_5393268_4355770.html

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 10:56 (one week ago) Permalink

Yes, I've seen articles about that in several European countries this week. No doubt the Russians are trying to seize upon the moment.

L'assie (Euler), Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:00 (one week ago) Permalink

For those who haven't encountered it yet, it's about how Macron's decision to sign the UN Global Compact for Migration on Monday will accelerate the so-called 'grand remplacement' or 'great replacement', a now-mainstream racist theory developed by the loathsome writer and 'intellectual' Renaud Camus. In essence, it states that white Christian Europeans are being deliberately, systematically replaced by exogenous, coloured forces bent on the destruction of Western civilization.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:03 (one week ago) Permalink

There surely are lots of rotten apples within the Gilets Jaunes and especially with those are somehow appear as "leaders" (self-appointed or not). Which is part of why I can't fully support them.

Dinsdale, everyone on the left conveniently leaves out the 75% wealth tax, which Hollande was subsequently forced to backpedal on because it turned out to be a complete and utter failure. So yes, he did aim for maximum 'leftism' given his wiggle room. A tragic cautionary tale if ever there was one.

Like you said, he backpedaled. That's pretty much his M.O.

The lingering problem is unemployment. How would you solve it?

According to Macron finding a job is actually easy, you just have to cross the street. So I don't know what he's waiting for, build more streets Manu! And actually, at this very moment you have thousands of people walking in the streets of France, they haven't figured out the whole crossing thing but as soon as they do we can kiss unemployment goodbye.

Dinsdale, Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:05 (one week ago) Permalink

You forgot the 'complete and utter failure' part.

Anyway, Macron's calculatedly off-the-cuff statements are often quite dumb and he definitely deserves to get flak for them.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:09 (one week ago) Permalink

He scolds like a French schoolteacher.

L'assie (Euler), Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:11 (one week ago) Permalink

On a slightly different note, I do find it sad that Renaud Camus, an excellent prose stylist and disciple of Roland Barthes, now follows in Céline's footsteps.

pomenitul, Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:13 (one week ago) Permalink

Mélenchon does indeed seem to be losing support on the left, for reasons more to do with his personality and dictatorial style than policy afaict.

That being said, it is pretty galling to hear so much about how the international left doesn't understand French politics when international liberalism still views Macron as a saviour because, uh, he's not Le Pen and he zinged the orange guy once.

Daniel_Rf, Saturday, 8 December 2018 11:16 (one week ago) Permalink

A lot of French politics is right in the currents of stuff happening in world politics.

And Melenchon's loss of support has been reported on in the English press:

https://www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2018/11/22/samuel-earle/melenchons-decline/

xyzzzz__, Saturday, 8 December 2018 13:33 (one week ago) Permalink

xp strong handshake too

j., Saturday, 8 December 2018 17:54 (one week ago) Permalink

This is a detailed account of the yellow vests: https://www.nybooks.com/daily/2018/12/11/from-sans-culottes-to-gilets-jaunes-macrons-marie-antoinette-moment/

Goes contrary to the excuses ppl on the thread have been making for Macron.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 11 December 2018 15:43 (six days ago) Permalink

Yeah, the part about how there are almost no far-right elements among the gilets jaunes is simply not true. Read up on their spokespeople and their obsession with the aforementioned migration compact. Check their Facebook accounts, which is where it all started.

pomenitul, Tuesday, 11 December 2018 16:12 (six days ago) Permalink

Yes I did find it funny how on the one hand there was little non-white make-up and yet there was also no far-right elements/racist messaging - but it doesn't look like anyone has truly co-opted the movement.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 11 December 2018 16:15 (six days ago) Permalink

For sure, it's still fairly heterogenous at this point. I do wonder whether backpedaling on wealth tax reform would get them to stop protesting completely (it's the Macron policy I disagree with the most).

pomenitul, Tuesday, 11 December 2018 16:20 (six days ago) Permalink

The piece has an arc to it - sounds like when he was first deregulating/fighting unions people were giving him some leeway to see where it was all going, hence Macron's success in pushing that through.

With tax reforms, coupled with the abuses of power and the rhetoric since it looks likes its going in a direction that people are very angry with. And, as has been discussed, he won but he doesn't have a very strong mandate.

xyzzzz__, Tuesday, 11 December 2018 16:33 (six days ago) Permalink

This may not be the ideal thread for it, but what the hell.

How to draw attention to yourself (as if it were still necessary) prior to the release of your latest novel:

https://harpers.org/archive/2019/01/donald-trump-is-a-good-president/

pomenitul, Friday, 14 December 2018 19:08 (three days ago) Permalink

Isn't that exactly what you'd expect him to say though?

It's Beginning to Look a Lot Like Christ (Tom D.), Friday, 14 December 2018 19:20 (three days ago) Permalink

Indeed it is. His trolling used to be more subtle, however. It suited him and his writing better.

pomenitul, Friday, 14 December 2018 19:24 (three days ago) Permalink

lol, he really puts the terrible into being an ageing enfant these days. He ought to be a bit disturbed that his Trump/Brexit controps just pretty much sound like what you'd currently read in the dying UK tabloid press, but not in a making u think way or the oh so hilarious provocateurish "own the libs" thing I think he might be trying to aim for.

calzino, Friday, 14 December 2018 19:44 (three days ago) Permalink

The first American military interventions I can really remember are those of the two Bushes, especially the son’s. France refused to join him in his war against Iraq—a war that was in equal parts immoral and stupid;

I'm thirty years younger than him, and I can clearly remember that there was another guy in between the two Bushes who intervened a couple of times. Or is he saying that his memory is not what it used to be?

Frederik B, Friday, 14 December 2018 20:02 (three days ago) Permalink

how is his position any different from yr standard counterpunch / greenwaldian pov?

Mordy, Friday, 14 December 2018 20:34 (three days ago) Permalink

He's a couple of years older and has an accent

Frederik B, Friday, 14 December 2018 21:36 (three days ago) Permalink


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