U.S. Politics, November 2024: GARBAGE DAY!!

Trump would love credit for those things

God what if JD Vance might be the voice of reason behind the scenes— “hey let’s not let Elon wreck the economy and RFK give everyone polio”

Someone hijack Biden's teleprompter

Btw...

Where the House stands now.

Republicans are projected to win or (to my eye based on expected outstanding ballots) are currently favored to win 218 seats vs. 215 for Democrats.

CA-41 and CA-45 are big question marks. Perhaps slight advantage for Rs in the latter.

Still fluid. pic.twitter.com/DP3FGgw1tg

— Adam Carlson (@admcrlsn) November 7, 2024

Homan also said anyone in the United States illegally could be kicked out. He said he would restart workplace enforcement to find people working illegally in the United States and deport them. The Biden administration ended the raids, which Homan said made it easier for employers to hire unauthorized workers, including children.

Homan and Miller were key architects of the “zero tolerance” policy that separated thousands of children from their parents in the first Trump administration

Trump is expected to move quickly to rescind Biden administration programs that have relied on executive authority to dramatically expand opportunities for migrants to live and work temporarily in the United States. More than 500,000 migrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela have been allowed to enter the country lawfully under Biden, and many will be at risk of losing their legal status if Trump revokes their protections.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/immigration/2024/11/06/trump-immigration-policies/

Oh for the days of more limited Presidential power

Is he in?

*On

He was. It was performative nonsense about peaceful transition

crazy that Dems could make gains in the house

I've been reading a few books about postwar Europe over this last year and one story they keep telling is the screening of concentration camp atrocities before films in German cinemas, and the Germans there simply turning away and refusing to watch. And I just wonder, how do you take people who are complicit in these things and hold them accountable, at least to the point of having them feel their share of responsibility? Is there even any point doing so? I mean I think there is, but if it's an impossible task, maybe there isn't.

Biden address in his whispery style. Sounded like america was a horse he was about to shoot in the head.

Biden sounds like a hoarse you'd shoot in the head.

They're taking Biden to a farm upstate.

Children will feed him apple slices.

Xxxpost To that point...

My friend yesterday wrote something on social media yesterday like "All of you out there on FB today pretending today is just another day, and that nothing has happened, your silence has been noted", and as expected, the weak concern trolling came out in full force:

"If we speak up we get attacked!"

"We must end the division in this country!"

Like idk actual people put their bodies and lives on the line speaking up in the streets the last 8 years, sorry that you're so afraid of making a FB post.

(Ftr I don't really feel like policing how ppl use social media or feel anybody has an obligation to be on it, but seeing people actively post all day about everything but the election and not even throwing a bone of support to their friends in despair, then acting defensive and aggrieved when asked to speak up...I support my friend's feelings)

Also the DNC "fingers in ears" was basically a modern day version of that German movie theater scenario

Biden like Owen Wilson in Royal Tenembaums.

Wiiiildcat

fuck making a Facebook post

I mean...sure.

I am so sad about this election...please donate to my mental health fundraiser

Here are some pics of my dogs looking sad too

Dems incredibly good at getting Likes (and donations); not so good at getting votes.

We estimate that 42% of young voters (+/- 1%), ages 18-29, cast ballots in the 2024 presidential election, a lower youth turnout than in 2020—when our early estimate put youth turnout above 50%—and approximately on par with the 2016 presidential election.

We also estimate that youth voter turnout in battleground states may have been much higher: 50% on aggregate in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Young voters cast 14% of all ballots in the 2024 election, according to the National Election Pool exit poll conducted by Edison Research. While this number may be adjusted in the coming days, and other data sources may show different numbers, this 2024 youth share of the vote was also lower than in 2020 (17%) and to 2016 (19%) based on the sane data source.

https://circle.tufts.edu/2024-election

curmudgeon at 10:41 7 Nov 24

https://open.substack.com/pub/taylorlorenz/p/why-democrats-wont-build-their-own?r=2ck8a&utm_medium=ios

Why Democrats haven’t or won’t “build “ their own Joe Rogan

This is smart about the differences in the support given to influencers on the right and the left. As Lorenz points out, a big part of it is money; wealthy Dem donors aren't going to bankroll "leftist content creators who support policies that are completely at odds with what billionaires want." But some of it, if I'm not extrapolating too much, also seems to be about a general distrust among establishment Dems of the grassroots sentiment on the left, not wanting to cede messaging control to people who aren't party loyalists.

Well, yeah. Look what happened to the GOP establishment when they gave their messaging over to talk radio hosts and web crazies.

No one has to post for anyone, people who believe in this sort of economy of support and posts and likes are utterly deranged.

I have plenty to lose because of this result, and the sky-is-falling-I-am-moving-to-Canada schtick is repulsive and narcissistic. Buck up, find your people, join a mutual aid org, tell people you love them. That’s what’s important, and those sorts of actions are where real change comes from anyway.

Love when stuff I post in the middle of what I said gets ignored

(Ftr I don't really feel like policing how ppl use social media or feel anybody has an obligation to be on it, but seeing people actively post all day about everything but the election and not even throwing a bone of support to their friends in despair, then acting defensive and aggrieved when asked to speak up...I support my friend's feelings)

Do me the favor of at least assuming I haven't conflated social media with actual activism folks

Agree with your paragraph at bottom, my hissy fit notwithstanding

I just don’t agree that it’s anyone’s responsibility to validate others on social media, to “speak up” as you say. fwiw i think we just disagree about this, and that’s fine. :-)

I can make one promise this term:

No "good mourning!" posts

Ok but keep the Negronis coming

Always.

Feel like the last three months of American politics should be deleted to protect some of the more strident voices about how Trump had no chance.

Re social media, some people find a sense of community and solace there, that's good and fine and people should do whatever works for them. Post, don't post, like, don't like, whatever. I don't think it's particularly useful to call people out for showing insufficient grief or fear or whatever — some people's ways of dealing with those things is to NOT talk about them.

Personally I'm somewhat relieved to find that my pre-election prep, where I spent many months accepting that another Trump term was a real possibility and thinking through what that would mean, has actually worked in keeping my mental/emotional balance. Late Tuesday/early Wednesday I flipped the switch to "Shit, OK, this is happening," and after trudging my way through yesterday on extremely limited sleep I slept for nearly 9 hours last night and woke up feeling rested and ready. This sucks, it's gonna REALLY suck soon, but lots of things already sucked and what is there to do but keep going, whatever that means on personal and political levels.

One thing that has cracked me up a little is several posts from liberal-left folks saying, "Well at least now I feel some clarity about this country." I mean, better late than never, but really?

Tipsy, same thing. Slept almost 10 hours last night, woke up much better. Living in a red county sobers one.

An organizer friend sent me this article today, and I'm getting SO much out of it, and it links to some curriculum and suggested materials that I think are very useful.

https://wagingnonviolence.org/2024/11/10-things-to-do-if-trump-wins/

Under a Trump presidency, there are going to be so many issues that it will be hard to accept that we cannot do it all. I’m reminded of a colleague in Turkey who told me, “There’s always something bad happening every day. If we had to react to every bad thing, we’d never have time to eat.”

An elder once saw me trying to do everything and pulled me aside. “That’s not a healthy lifelong strategy,” she said. She’d been raised in Germany by the generation of Holocaust survivors who told her, “Never again.” She took it personally, as if she had to stop every wrong. It wracked her and contributed to several serious ongoing medical conditions. We can accept our humanity or suffer that lack of acceptance.

Chaos is a friend of the autocrat. One way we can unwittingly assist is by joining in the story that we have to do it all.

Over the last few months I’ve been testing out a terribly challenging tool. It’s a journaling exercise that invites you to reflect on which issues you’ll spend energy on. It asks: what are issues you’ll throw down on, do a lot for, a little for, or — despite caring about it — do nothing at all for? That last question can feel like a kind of torture for many activists, even while we’re intellectually aware that we cannot stop it all.

Slept almost 10 hours last night, woke up much better

I took a melatonin AND a valerian capsule, slept like a rock and I too feel better

xpost
If we work together - I'll worry about the crimes that start with the letter M.

People who insist that silence=death on social media are people who've never had a friend request from their boss.

Excellent first line of a novel.

Social media is for jokes and shitposting. And puppies.

Xp in orbit : thanks for posting that. Running a small nonprofit is a real exercise in figuring out the stuff in that journaling exercise … not saying that’s what everyone should do lol. The journaling exercise seems way easier. …

tabes you're good people it's fine. :).

I agree in general that it's not particularly helpful to make people feel there's a 'right' way to feel either because everybody has different ways of processing. otherwise you have people who interfere with their own grieving to make it like someone else's, but their grief isn't yours and vice versa. it goes both ways too. don't make people feel their despair is invalid but don't suggest someone's take that is more optimistic is callous either.

even despite preparing myself that it was a coinflip, Tuesday was brutal due to believing in the hope of a vibe shift. I'm a rational dude, I've been told before by people much smarter than I ignore EV stats, ignore anecdotal data on turnout, crowd sizes, etc, but I embraced them all anyway because it was a coping mechanism, I had to believe. two-three weeks prior to the election, I pretty much thought we were toast, and I doubled down on enjoying myself before what was going to be

both my friend and I were somewhat catatonic, even before the bad news really began coming in. it's funny because 2016 prepared us for what to look for - those early returns, who is overperforming their metrics? even before the needle, I started to have a bad feeling, and at the moment I first realized that it would probably take a miracle, I began hyperventilating and sweating heavily. but acceptance replaced it very fast. it was a 'heavy' acceptance, and once that set in, I decided to go to bed shortly after because I knew in that state I could sleep, but when that passed and anxiety took over, I wouldn't be able to. whereas in 2016 I could not sleep at all.

People who insist that silence=death on social media are people who've never had a friend request from their boss.

― Andrew Farrell, Thursday, November 7, 2024 2:00 PM bookmarkflaglink

I have a ton of co-workers on FB, but I have a hyper-curated friends list with different groups of friends sorted into buckets and everyone of my co-workers is part of a group who is restricted from seeing anything I actually post. it looks like I've been dormant for years.

as long as I don't make a dick pic my Cover photo I'm good

My employer sent out a memo after a certain thing in Oct 2023 that said it's okay to have your own opinion but if you express it in your social media, there will be consequences. Can they find that if your account is private? Idk but the concern is relatable.

Quite literally the only person I know from a current workplace context (almost ten years now) that I'm friends with on FB is a supervisor I got along well with, and who only sent the request some months after he retired. A coworker and I follow each other on IG but that's it there too. Basically I shunt all my actual professional contacts on the library side straight into my 'I have never really actively used it for anything at all but it's there' LinkedIn profile, should the need arise.

even though the senate is lost, i'm taking a little bit of comfort know that all of the centrist dems that were enamored with keeping the filibuster are out.

The challenge is cover photos, those are always public and if you write FUCK THE POLICE there and your boss is a copaholic...yeah

The other thing I've stopped doing is angry bantz with strangers. Not just because it's pointless, but cos if yr boss lives in the same city as you, perchance he might be reading the comments of whatever local publication you commented on..not to mention FB often shows things you responded to to your friends

Four 65-year old golfers are loudly talking about Trump and Giuliani at the burger place where I’m having lunch. I can’t imagine having to deal with these people every day in a work context.