U.S. Politics, November 2024: GARBAGE DAY!!

“If he didn’t have nothing to do with it, what’s he doing in the garbage truck?”

otm

I don't actually think biden knows what year it is to be clear (heart in mouth when he was speaking in scranton yesterday), but it's not crazy to claim that Biden's garbage comment caused trump to focus on the wrong stuff

This is elder abuse

get a load of how dead Trump's crowd is as he slurs his way through an EXTREMELY low energy speech. 💤 pic.twitter.com/NelfsEcEXb

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 3, 2024

Yeah, he's getting too old for this now.

wonder if he's finally realized the groypers telling him he can win new jersey etc. are full of shit and he's probably going to spend the one year anniversary of the election in jail or in a gulf state.

Trump seems to forget where he is right now, telling the crowd in North Carolina “you have one of the best of all right here, David McCormick,” who is running for Senate in Pennsylvania.

“David is here around some place, you know … we just left him.”

— Natalie Allison (@natalie_allison) November 3, 2024

he pronounces "primo" as "prime-o" at :09, which suggests he's got a teleprompter around someplace that he read wrong -- the slowness in general feels like he's not going off the cuff

Another sign is that he is just standing there staring at it and reading off of it.

I thought he was saying "Primark jobs" but maybe Primark isn't a chain in the US

It is, at least on the East coast

June: DMR poll has Trump +18 vs. Biden in Iowa

July 29: Iowa’s six-week abortion ban goes into effect with intense controversy and news coverage

September 22: DMR poll shows 59-37% opposition to new abortion law — 69% among women. Also shows Trump lead over Harris at just…

— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) November 3, 2024

Atlas: we send out 180,000 Instagram surveys a day

NYT: we weight on education, race, age, gender, favorite console generation, zodiac sign, in-n-out secret menu order

Selzer: idk I call people and ask who they are gonna vote for

— Matthew Borgard (@MatthewBorgard) November 3, 2024

If - IF -the Selzer poll is right this time, this is polling equivalent the Battlestar Galactica being the only ship in the fleet to not use the super new fancy technology (and that being exactly why it’s the only ship to survive the initial attack of the Cylons). https://t.co/GwcKZfFfKJ

— Kristen Soltis Anderson (@KSoltisAnderson) November 3, 2024

Trump reading a teleprompter

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOnJCh-I2dQ

I'm enjoying political Cardi B

We all know Trump was a hustler, but hustling women out of the rights to THEIR OWN body is nasty work!! Hustling Americans out of their hard earned money by selling $500 Trump Sneakers, $60 Trump Bibles, and $100,000 Trump Watches is even nastier!! Tomorrow he’ll be hustling you…

— Cardi B (@iamcardib) November 2, 2024

ballot cure phone bank

Harris has come out for legalizing recreational marijuana on the federal level.

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

Herd breaking up

This is Mitchell Research, a Michigan-based pollster with exclusively Republican political clients.

They have a 2.4 / 3.0⭐️ rating from FiveThirtyEight.

You almost never see a pollster publicly adjust their sample composition/weighting like this.

Dude got spooked by something. https://t.co/ZlotmgxqJ8

— Adam Carlson (@admcrlsn) November 4, 2024

Instead of create and send out, it pull back and consume (unperson) at 6:15 3 Nov 24

Harris has come out for legalizing recreational marijuana on the federal level.

papal hotwife (milo z) at 6:18 3 Nov 24

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

she announced it on Oct. 14. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/13/nx-s1-5151968/harris-weed-crypto

Is there something to show higher early voting rates for women, AAs, and Detroiters? Like i dont know what new data there would be to use

while are pollsters such freaks someone should study them

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

she announced it on Oct. 14

Yeah well we were stoned then

I think the weed timing was right because it came after her podcast circuit so it was a good time to throw a bone to younger voters and/or vaguely libertarian podcast dudes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1CB4V9KD9o

that interview with Ann Selzer was great. the call who was a senior woman made a very compelling case for why women around that age could be breaking hard for Harris in light of the Dobbs decision compared to the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Trump's comments to Arabs whose vote he desires...

“I have many friends who are Arab,” he said recently in an interview on Al-Arabiya, an Arabic-language TV channel. “They’re very warm people. It’s a shame what’s happening over there. They’re the warmest people.”

Vance in...New Hampshire?

Looking for an Ethan Allen outlet, no doubt...

was gonna say, he should be stumping in Michigan, and hitting up the La-Z-Boy HQ for a quickie on the way out...

These photos of a Vance/Trump Jr. appearance in PA are... not what the Trump campaign wants to see two days out, I suspect.

They were expecting thousands of people at JD Vance rally, with Don Jr, in Pennsylvania. Only tens of people showed up. pic.twitter.com/X8m6OcJABN

— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) November 3, 2024

Crap Pants Vance really showing out

Final Univision poll in PA has 64-30; among Puerto Ricans, 67-27. Trump holding only 82% of his '20 voters (vs. Dems 89%)

The garbage joke broke through. Voters heard about it & don't laugh it off: 69% say it was "more racist than humorous", 67% see it as sign of Trump racism. https://t.co/mdV1M5XmOj pic.twitter.com/RxAgI4TeQ1

— Carlos Odio (@carlosodio) November 3, 2024

Trump goon punches 70-yr-old lady at Florida Harris rally

https://www.tcpalm.com/story/news/local/martin-county/2024/11/02/stuart-police-charge-teen-with-punching-harris-supporter-70/76014623007/

looking at some clips of his rally tonight and I cannot overstate how bored everyone looks, meanwhile Harris has been lookin like Obama 2.0 the last couple weeks, I've never seen an enthusiasm gap like this

Harris has a huge Philadelphia rally at the Rocky steps tomorrow. Half the city closing down already.

xp And somehow no one in the audience seems as bored as the man himself.

I dunno just look at them

https://i.imgur.com/GB1kc6s.mp4

Given it's mostly young women and black people I am like 99% sure they got these people from Craigslist

crisis actors

Lol Trump stooge FCC commissioner goes to Twitter to make daddy proud of him one last time to say that Kamala's SNL appearance violated the equal time rule, only for the FCC's policy director to go to multiple news outlets and tell them all he doesn't speak for the FCC

A 17-year-old boy — wearing a T-shirt featuring an image of Trump raising his middle finger in front of an American flag background — punched the Harris supporter, knocking her off her feet, according to police and the woman, Stuart resident Kathleen Tomasko.

Seems like Trump's effect on asshole kids doesn't get discussed enough.

“We’re ahead of my opponent, and I feel comfortable with our polling,” KARI LAKE insisted. “Our polling is a little different. We take polling, but we also combine it with AI, which reads all of what’s happening on social media and across the Internet.”https://t.co/C63c3DJH3b

— Greg Krieg (@GregJKrieg) November 4, 2024

still trying to temper my expectations here but it actually very much does seem like Trump's campaign is generating noticeably less enthusiasm in the final week which I don't think I've ever seen in any campaign that wasn't obviously doomed, and for sure not a Presidential one. like look at Kamala's rallies, that's what they're supposed to sound like at the end of the campaign, even Trump's 2016 rallies had a lot of that energy, this just really doesn't feel like a voter base that's gonna show up on Election Day

Nah, I distinctly remember Trump and his staffers coming across as cooked in the last week or two of 2016 (as opposed to being drooling, yelling assholes in 2020). There are a lot of different moving parts now than there were in 2016, but my guard's all the way up.

AI Polls tell us we're 3% ahead in LA Paz county, 6% ahead in Greenlee County, and 10% ahead in Macedonia County. While some have said the latter county doesn't exist, I prdfer to think AI has unearthed a county people forgot about

I don't recall Trump ever coming across as defeated in the last few weeks in 2016. He was pretty defiant the whole time to my recollection, other than whining that the Comey investigation was closed too fast the second time

The low point was the Access Hollywood tape, where Republican congresspeople started telling each other to try and salvage their downticket races. But confidence was even starting to return in those quarters the last few weeks, when it blew over.

I had to watch some 2016 rallies to remind me but he is like, maybe 10% as lucid now as he was in 2016. he had a good last week and his rallies were pretty rowdy. iirc he was even able to get like, Kid Rock. where the fuck is Kid Rock right now? remember a few weeks ago when he was talking about whether he'd rather die by shark or be electrocuted? he doesn't even seem mentally capable of staying on topic that long anymore

what does the part of the population that only watches Fox News think, though? We obviously don't, nor do any of the communities I engage with online, but this only seeing half the picture leads to getting burned sometimes (2016, for instance)

I mean my god in one of his court cases last year he mistook a woman he sexually assaulted for his wife, he has probably been suffering from dementia for a while but it seems to be really progressing now

I engage with way more MAGA doors than I ever did in 2016.

They're all convinced it will be 538-0 Trump