U.S. Politics, November 2024: GARBAGE DAY!!

I don't like that the ad posted above shows him on his phone in the voting booth. At least here in Texas, that is very much not allowed.

I just looked up what this whole squirrel thing is about and… what

peanut the squirrel has been martyred

I just looked up what this whole squirrel thing is about and… what

― DJP, Sunday, November 3, 2024

yeah it's all a bit nutty

Reverse 2016, where the right is convinced that Twitter is real life

Interview with Iowa pollster Ann Selzer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-ysKh_Gyd0

lol

IF this is right (BIG if) and polling is underrating Democrats by this much, then we are absolutely 1000% in Biden could have won territory https://t.co/ld6yMkMaMQ

— Jonathan Robinson (@jon_m_rob) November 3, 2024

Idk if this is real but it’s definitely real - https://bsky.app/profile/its.cassie.baby/post/3la2qn7r34d2z

xp selzer had biden down by *18* points the last time she polled Iowa with biden in the race. lmao.

who knows if that's right, probably not, but if you're going to use a poll *not involving biden* as evidence that biden could have won, you don't get to ignore the same person's last poll with biden included..

I don't think Biden could have won this at all. Barely ambulatory, barely compos mentis. Harris is driving over Trump like he's a pile of wrecks at a monster truck show.

So if Kamala loses GOTV doesn't matter right? No one ever needs to knock on doors again?

I actually do think Biden COULD have won. I just think he would have been much less likely to win than Harris is.

The important thing is getting the really old people out of the Oval Office...

I think there's no way to model a Biden-staying-in scenario based on anything that's happened since. I think if Biden were still in, Biden's fitness and competence would have remained the #1 issue everyone was talking about all the way through, and it's just very hard for me to imagine him winning. But anyway, I'm glad that's not where we are!

lmao maybe dark brandon knew what he was doing

Someone here referenced that the "Biden garbagegate" fiasco could actually hurt Republicans more than Democrats, because it would make Trump spend longer on the Puerto Rico rally news cycle and double down on it.

Looks oddly prescient with these anecdotes. https://t.co/copAlWDxOz

— Lakshya Jain (@lxeagle17) November 3, 2024

That's some 5D cribbage there.

good riddance to joe biden go take a nap jack

“If he didn’t have nothing to do with it, what’s he doing in the garbage truck?”

otm

I don't actually think biden knows what year it is to be clear (heart in mouth when he was speaking in scranton yesterday), but it's not crazy to claim that Biden's garbage comment caused trump to focus on the wrong stuff

This is elder abuse

get a load of how dead Trump's crowd is as he slurs his way through an EXTREMELY low energy speech. 💤 pic.twitter.com/NelfsEcEXb

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 3, 2024

Yeah, he's getting too old for this now.

wonder if he's finally realized the groypers telling him he can win new jersey etc. are full of shit and he's probably going to spend the one year anniversary of the election in jail or in a gulf state.

Trump seems to forget where he is right now, telling the crowd in North Carolina “you have one of the best of all right here, David McCormick,” who is running for Senate in Pennsylvania.

“David is here around some place, you know … we just left him.”

— Natalie Allison (@natalie_allison) November 3, 2024

he pronounces "primo" as "prime-o" at :09, which suggests he's got a teleprompter around someplace that he read wrong -- the slowness in general feels like he's not going off the cuff

Another sign is that he is just standing there staring at it and reading off of it.

I thought he was saying "Primark jobs" but maybe Primark isn't a chain in the US

It is, at least on the East coast

June: DMR poll has Trump +18 vs. Biden in Iowa

July 29: Iowa’s six-week abortion ban goes into effect with intense controversy and news coverage

September 22: DMR poll shows 59-37% opposition to new abortion law — 69% among women. Also shows Trump lead over Harris at just…

— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) November 3, 2024

Atlas: we send out 180,000 Instagram surveys a day

NYT: we weight on education, race, age, gender, favorite console generation, zodiac sign, in-n-out secret menu order

Selzer: idk I call people and ask who they are gonna vote for

— Matthew Borgard (@MatthewBorgard) November 3, 2024

If - IF -the Selzer poll is right this time, this is polling equivalent the Battlestar Galactica being the only ship in the fleet to not use the super new fancy technology (and that being exactly why it’s the only ship to survive the initial attack of the Cylons). https://t.co/GwcKZfFfKJ

— Kristen Soltis Anderson (@KSoltisAnderson) November 3, 2024

Trump reading a teleprompter

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOnJCh-I2dQ

I'm enjoying political Cardi B

We all know Trump was a hustler, but hustling women out of the rights to THEIR OWN body is nasty work!! Hustling Americans out of their hard earned money by selling $500 Trump Sneakers, $60 Trump Bibles, and $100,000 Trump Watches is even nastier!! Tomorrow he’ll be hustling you…

— Cardi B (@iamcardib) November 2, 2024

ballot cure phone bank

Harris has come out for legalizing recreational marijuana on the federal level.

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

Herd breaking up

This is Mitchell Research, a Michigan-based pollster with exclusively Republican political clients.

They have a 2.4 / 3.0⭐️ rating from FiveThirtyEight.

You almost never see a pollster publicly adjust their sample composition/weighting like this.

Dude got spooked by something. https://t.co/ZlotmgxqJ8

— Adam Carlson (@admcrlsn) November 4, 2024

Instead of create and send out, it pull back and consume (unperson) at 6:15 3 Nov 24

Harris has come out for legalizing recreational marijuana on the federal level.

papal hotwife (milo z) at 6:18 3 Nov 24

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

she announced it on Oct. 14. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/13/nx-s1-5151968/harris-weed-crypto

Is there something to show higher early voting rates for women, AAs, and Detroiters? Like i dont know what new data there would be to use

while are pollsters such freaks someone should study them

Needed to do that weeks ago if she wanted to get stoners in gear.

she announced it on Oct. 14

Yeah well we were stoned then

I think the weed timing was right because it came after her podcast circuit so it was a good time to throw a bone to younger voters and/or vaguely libertarian podcast dudes.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r1CB4V9KD9o

that interview with Ann Selzer was great. the call who was a senior woman made a very compelling case for why women around that age could be breaking hard for Harris in light of the Dobbs decision compared to the 2016 and 2020 elections.

Trump's comments to Arabs whose vote he desires...

“I have many friends who are Arab,” he said recently in an interview on Al-Arabiya, an Arabic-language TV channel. “They’re very warm people. It’s a shame what’s happening over there. They’re the warmest people.”

Vance in...New Hampshire?

Looking for an Ethan Allen outlet, no doubt...

was gonna say, he should be stumping in Michigan, and hitting up the La-Z-Boy HQ for a quickie on the way out...

These photos of a Vance/Trump Jr. appearance in PA are... not what the Trump campaign wants to see two days out, I suspect.

They were expecting thousands of people at JD Vance rally, with Don Jr, in Pennsylvania. Only tens of people showed up. pic.twitter.com/X8m6OcJABN

— Mike Sington (@MikeSington) November 3, 2024

Crap Pants Vance really showing out

Final Univision poll in PA has 64-30; among Puerto Ricans, 67-27. Trump holding only 82% of his '20 voters (vs. Dems 89%)

The garbage joke broke through. Voters heard about it & don't laugh it off: 69% say it was "more racist than humorous", 67% see it as sign of Trump racism. https://t.co/mdV1M5XmOj pic.twitter.com/RxAgI4TeQ1

— Carlos Odio (@carlosodio) November 3, 2024