U.S. Politics, November 2024: GARBAGE DAY!!

Omg they did a male version of the ‘secret vote’ ad and it’s even better than the female version. pic.twitter.com/qwXAtVWq4W

— TrumpsTaxes (@TrumpsTaxes) November 3, 2024

HRC was felled by a few things in the last few weeks of the 2016 campaign

And this year every new piece of information in the last two, maybe three weeks has been bad for Trump (Puerto Rico, Epstein recordings, Republican GOTV haplessness/fuckery, Elon Musk being Elon Musk). If you still think "Trump is more than capable of winning," despite his loss in 2020 and the Republican Party being punished in every national election since 2018, it's because you've been conditioned to think so by a media that was utterly broken by the 2016 election. Trump is not a mythic monster or some kind of political savant. He got lucky once, and he's actually so bad at politics (never mind leadership) that he completely squandered his incumbency advantage (hence "he got more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016" and still lost, badly) four years ago. He's got loser stink on him so bad you can smell it through your laptop. They should literally throw him in the back of that garbage truck he was riding around in, come Wednesday morning.

https://cdn.xcancel.com/pic/orig/media%2FGbeNiqAbEAAT4rI.png

let's hope those "secret vote" ads are a Ticket to Paradise

https://media.vanityfair.com/photos/635013c804bd48b52a859a6d/master/pass/ticket-to-paradise-julia-roberts-george-clooney.jpg

https://www.salon.com/2024/11/03/i-voted-for-donald-in-2016-because-my-husband-did-im-not-going-back/

clear from that Alberta article that the people advocating for a more conventional/focussed message from trump have lost all influence in the closing weeks, probably since the Harris debate. who knows, maybe the victim complex and promise to do more crimes is a good closing message, but it's pretty obvious he's not listening to the ex-desantis people that were originally running his campaign any more.

Trump in PA told supporters he "shouldn't have the left" the White House in 2021 in a speech where he also repeated unfounded claims of widespread election fraud & said the election is "all about the lawyers"

— Alayna Treene (@alaynatreene) November 3, 2024

biggest difference between this and past trump elections is dobbs

Dobbs, plus Jan 6, plus a 78 year old who half the nation loathes and who sounds demented is a heavy load to carry to a national victory.

Maybe this belongs in the containment thread but I'm worried that the plan is "induce unhinged supporters to storm counting facilities in cities in multiple states and destroy ballots and hope friendly courts can be induced to say, well, while this situation is of course quite regrettable, we can't count ballots that don't exist so we're declaring the results official without them"

That said, while I can be pretty cynical, I don't think I'm cynical enough to REALLY believe SCOTUS would play along with this

Post on Bluesky an hour back:

I was just on a ballot cure phone bank with 300 volunteers, roughly 90% of whom appeared to be middle aged or elderly women.

It's pretty obvious this is a bunch of people getting shit DONE and not being paid attention too.

To rather than too. Anyway.

These Dem volunteer anecdotes are really great.

Not traveling Tuesday evening and staying at home on Wednesday both seem to be great ideas

My employer gives me Tuesday off so my wife and I will go to the huge Impressionist exhibit at the National Gallery

Trump fucked my mom up so bad she ended up in a Ta-Nahisi book

in both the male and female versions of the cheating voters ad they make eye contact with a more liberal version of themselves while voting, i wasnt sure when it was just the lady one but now ive seen them both i think thats it, theyre saying were not that different just take a little step to the left its nice over here

this guy is mostly full of shit except on Election Day, but this is what I'm saying re: trump's closing message

Trump had one job in the final days: talk about the economy/border and tie Harris to Biden. And we're really talking about Puerto Rico and water fluoridation?

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2024

pretty funny to fail at the task of associating the vice president with the president

he always says "she has destroyed our country" and she is just the vice president lol

powerful closing message

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:swgxwbir4rrimj57pf75jckf/bafkreibejdrbjr2kwk7bdn3t3r77lh4wogpu6y5t7ulgh6d73zvw4kh3la@jpeg

The squirrel story is legit sad and dumb but I'm not sure why conservatives are so sure it's some big pro-Trump point. Because it happened in New York state I guess? I think any state wildlife control office would have been likely to act the same. My own reaction to it was "This is why you shouldn't call the cops."

It's over. So goes Jake, so goes the election.

https://i.imgur.com/yUxJ4CI.jpg

I don't like that the ad posted above shows him on his phone in the voting booth. At least here in Texas, that is very much not allowed.

I just looked up what this whole squirrel thing is about and… what

peanut the squirrel has been martyred

I just looked up what this whole squirrel thing is about and… what

― DJP, Sunday, November 3, 2024

yeah it's all a bit nutty

Reverse 2016, where the right is convinced that Twitter is real life

Interview with Iowa pollster Ann Selzer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P-ysKh_Gyd0

lol

IF this is right (BIG if) and polling is underrating Democrats by this much, then we are absolutely 1000% in Biden could have won territory https://t.co/ld6yMkMaMQ

— Jonathan Robinson (@jon_m_rob) November 3, 2024

Idk if this is real but it’s definitely real - https://bsky.app/profile/its.cassie.baby/post/3la2qn7r34d2z

xp selzer had biden down by *18* points the last time she polled Iowa with biden in the race. lmao.

who knows if that's right, probably not, but if you're going to use a poll *not involving biden* as evidence that biden could have won, you don't get to ignore the same person's last poll with biden included..

I don't think Biden could have won this at all. Barely ambulatory, barely compos mentis. Harris is driving over Trump like he's a pile of wrecks at a monster truck show.

So if Kamala loses GOTV doesn't matter right? No one ever needs to knock on doors again?

I actually do think Biden COULD have won. I just think he would have been much less likely to win than Harris is.

The important thing is getting the really old people out of the Oval Office...

I think there's no way to model a Biden-staying-in scenario based on anything that's happened since. I think if Biden were still in, Biden's fitness and competence would have remained the #1 issue everyone was talking about all the way through, and it's just very hard for me to imagine him winning. But anyway, I'm glad that's not where we are!

lmao maybe dark brandon knew what he was doing

Someone here referenced that the "Biden garbagegate" fiasco could actually hurt Republicans more than Democrats, because it would make Trump spend longer on the Puerto Rico rally news cycle and double down on it.

Looks oddly prescient with these anecdotes. https://t.co/copAlWDxOz

— Lakshya Jain (@lxeagle17) November 3, 2024

That's some 5D cribbage there.

good riddance to joe biden go take a nap jack

“If he didn’t have nothing to do with it, what’s he doing in the garbage truck?”

otm

I don't actually think biden knows what year it is to be clear (heart in mouth when he was speaking in scranton yesterday), but it's not crazy to claim that Biden's garbage comment caused trump to focus on the wrong stuff

This is elder abuse

get a load of how dead Trump's crowd is as he slurs his way through an EXTREMELY low energy speech. 💤 pic.twitter.com/NelfsEcEXb

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) November 3, 2024

Yeah, he's getting too old for this now.

wonder if he's finally realized the groypers telling him he can win new jersey etc. are full of shit and he's probably going to spend the one year anniversary of the election in jail or in a gulf state.

Trump seems to forget where he is right now, telling the crowd in North Carolina “you have one of the best of all right here, David McCormick,” who is running for Senate in Pennsylvania.

“David is here around some place, you know … we just left him.”

— Natalie Allison (@natalie_allison) November 3, 2024

he pronounces "primo" as "prime-o" at :09, which suggests he's got a teleprompter around someplace that he read wrong -- the slowness in general feels like he's not going off the cuff

Another sign is that he is just standing there staring at it and reading off of it.

I thought he was saying "Primark jobs" but maybe Primark isn't a chain in the US

It is, at least on the East coast