US Politics, September 2024 -- “I’m Not Going to Apologize For Posting a Joke”

yeah shell pop up writing for one of those billionaire funded vaguely right wing publications youve never heard of in six months

is it possible she does this to cultivate her sources? it seems so insanely risky. but from her articles it is clear that lots of people, especially the sloppier ones around trump, are very happy to talk to her all the time.

i know this is what lagoon suggested above. i am trying to think it out. perhaps it would be worse for these people to reveal that she does this?

its the kennedy curse

― lag∞n, Sunday, September 22, 2024 8:53 PM

https://i.imgur.com/2QMo3Ri.jpg

i like the idea that she tricked him with the imminent hit pieces ruse multiple times

― lag∞n,

He hates when that happens!

is it possible she does this to cultivate her sources? it seems so insanely risky. but from her articles it is clear that lots of people, especially the sloppier ones around trump, are very happy to talk to her all the time.

― treeship., Sunday, September 22, 2024 9:31 PM (one minute ago) bookmarkflaglink

maybe shes never gone so far as to send nudes before but how chummy she is with her sources is one of the things that made so many people skeptical of her, theres also been other unprofessional impulsive seeming behavior

I remember she had all these funny nuggets from Giuliani in 2020-21, he would text her insane shit. I guess she's kind of a crazy-old-man whisperer. But sometimes the whisperer falls in love ...

yeah i was specifically thinking of giuliani's drunk texts that she published. and then he would keep texting her!

who amongst us has NOT received Nuzzi nudes

A Nuzzi is going to be a new Sniglet meaning when a young blonde woman bombards an elderly man with demure nudes.

Sniglets? Even recognizing that term makes us the elderly.

MOre like Not Necessarily the Nuzzi, amirite.

i'm old enough to remember the pitkinville farm report which i believe predates the sniglet. the rich man's lake wobegone.

Meaning of liff

the things that you're liable
to read in the wapo
it ain't nuzzi-ssarily so

Ain't that a kick in the nuzz

this one should have absolutely been nuked in the drafts pic.twitter.com/gEUBxzbJGL

— nikki mccann ramírez (@NikkiMcR) September 23, 2024

recalling our spirited discussion following the letby affair when thinking about the british journalists reactions to this

I guess I don’t follow media news very carefully. Could someone explain what Nuzzi’s significance was prior to this RFK thing? Was she a big name in journalism?

for better or worse, yes

white house correspondent for NY magazine

it seems notable that RFK jr has form wrt to framing his philandering as him being the hapless victim of sexually aggressive women:

So, he was the victim of another mugging?https://t.co/S1XJ3Vmbi7 pic.twitter.com/9izVSxxyln

— DECOYXX (@desundial) September 23, 2024

lmao

Hahaha what

lmao pic.twitter.com/q845y1aEo7

— kels (@chesthairalert) September 21, 2024

nevertheless

Damn polls - Nate Cohn in NY Times has Orange Man ahead in Arizona , Georgia, North Carolina with no explanation from him; but also noted still many undecided there

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/us/politics/times-siena-polls-arizona-georgia-north-carolina.html

Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina are on the roster of seven battleground states where the focus of both the Trump and Harris campaigns has been since Labor Day. Ms. Harris has shown relative strength in several key states across the Midwest and, most critically to her hopes of becoming president, Pennsylvania.

But Arizona, which Mr. Biden won by just over 10,400 votes in 2020, now presents a challenge for the Harris campaign. Mr. Trump is ahead, 50 percent to 45 percent, the poll found. A Times/Siena poll there in August found Ms. Harris leading by five percentage points. Latino voters, in particular, appear to have moved away from Ms. Harris, though a significant number — 10 percent — said they were now undecided. And Mr. Trump is benefiting from ticket splitting there: While Ms. Harris is trailing, the poll shows that the Democratic candidate for Senate is ahead.

In North Carolina, which Mr. Trump won by under 75,000 votes in 2020, the former president has a slim lead over Ms. Harris, drawing 49 percent of the vote compared with 47 percent for Ms. Harris. (The poll was mostly conducted before reports that Mark Robinson, the Republican candidate for governor there, had made disturbing posts in a pornography forum, which some Republicans fear could hurt Mr. Trump in the state.)

wtf arizona

Those NYT/Siena polls have always been outliers right? The one a few weeks ago had Trump up nationally by 1, whereas nearly every other national poll had Harris by 3-6. Wonder what they’re doing different.

They are the poll counting the people who yell "Trump" and hang up.

I did some canvassing in Michigan last week and I can confirm that Trump supporters just shouting "Trump!" at anyone who asks them about the election is a real thing. They don't want to answer questions or have a discussion, it just lets them say "fuck you" without having to say "fuck you" and I think that that represents a lot of his supporters who are going to vote based on that sentiment alone.

I think those polls are worth taking seriously

Trump has not gained 10 points since the debate in Arizona

Not to mention a 22 point swing amongst women

It’s very hard coming up with a methodology that explains their 2 AZ polls (H+5 to T+5), their recalled 2020 vote went from Biden +7 to Trump +4 and the entire polling difference was from women going from Harris+26 to +4.

Neither result makes sense on its own.

— Steve Z (@StevenJ1279) September 23, 2024

Also hard to reconcile that result with this one

MassINC has Harris up in Wisconsin in a new poll.

51-45% with learners multi way
53-46% 2 way preference

800LV
9/12 - 9/18https://t.co/J2WbY90ZIY pic.twitter.com/Y3FIqEi9ZW

— Hoff-mann Hoff-amazing (@OriginalBad) September 23, 2024

it's an outlier from what's generally agreed to be the most successful and methodologically transparent pollster in the country (other than a couple that only poll in specific states). it's worth taking seriously. their own article discusses the possibility it's an outlier.

this one: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/23/upshot/trump-harris-sun-belt-polls.html

caek otm

Heartbreaking: The Worst Person You Know Just Made A Great Point dot jpg

One case where the world's most annoying media critics Actually Have A Good Point for Once is that the handling of Trump hacked documents is extremely inconsistent with the handling of the Clinton hacked documents in 2016.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 23, 2024

(xp about the NYT poll) I know you guys love to hate Nate Silver but please at least give him this, he has spent more than a decade trying to hammer home to people the fact that the more polls you take, the wider the spread of outcomes you're gonna see, just stick it in the average and get on with your life

dont know who hes talking about but those most annoying critics are prob people who call him on his shit and are often right no xp

yes they are. my point is he's right here. he's the worst person who just made a great point.

getting confused in my own orobos of worst people: social media in 2024

I know Nate has beef with David Roberts. I think he's probably talking about people like him, Brian Beutler, Parker Malloy, Dan Froomkin, etc.

layers xp

yep.

but it's worth repeating that the media is voluntarily sitting on a trove of internal comms from the trump campaign.

(they're also failing to follow up on the $10m egyptian bribe thing.)

youd think the hackers could just send the hacked docs to some less scrupulous people

October and its surprises are still a week away

I take the Siena polls seriously methodologically, but I also think it's silly to think there's been a 10-point shift in Arizona in a month. So, one of their two Arizona polls is wrong, or they both are, but they're not both right.