US Politics, September 2024 -- “I’m Not Going to Apologize For Posting a Joke”

yeah, I just mean that in the current political ecosphere, 11 million unfortunately ain't jack shit

11 million is OK if it's carefully spent. it's not like Republican Voters Against Trump has to finance a ground game, just plant seeds in voters' minds.

Just saw a Trump ad that was weirdly old-fashioned (and kind of lame): "The debate we've all been waiting for," followed by clips of Harris on the left detailing poor economic indicators, contrasted with Harris on the right extolling Bidenomics. Guessing they had to beg Trump to okay it. "But where's the insulting nickname?"

what might have been...

It is unclear whether Trump was genuinely considering choosing Kennedy as his running mate at that stage. Days later, at the Republican national convention in Milwaukee, he announced JD Vance as the vice-presidential nominee.

But as recently as April – at a time when he was lambasting Kennedy as “a radical left Democrat” – Trump was apparently also considering him as his vice-president and musing about he liked the sound of a “Trump-Kennedy” ticket.

makes you think

Lol

Too bad about that voice

and the bear corpse and the beheaded whale

Those are pluses

his face and voice do kind of herald the end of a civilization. he's the embodiment of the rot in privilege.

Unperson, what say you

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/03/us/politics/tim-sheehy-native-americans-montana.html

More on North Carolina. New voter registration is up, and skews to women and younger women in particular. Combined with some terrible statewide GOP candidates, NC is going to be close this year.

Well, hello North Carolina. We have a voter reg update. In week 15 this year (July 21st), the total number of registrants was almost 50% higher than it was during the same week in 2020 (17,178 to 12,426).

— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) September 4, 2024

I wonder if more people voting in person will make the counting less of a shitshow than 2020

Across a group of six key battleground states, an average of 15% of likely voters said they have yet to make up their mind on who to vote for in the upcoming general election, new CNN polls by SSRS found.

lol they really don't start paying attention until after Labor Day, do they?

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/04/opinion/how-the-presidential-election-got-this-close.html?unlocked_article_code=1.IE4.AZep.71pCIGtBYhlA&smid=url-share

I guess like the last couple of elections the polls can't tell us much other than it's very close, and the outcome will depend upon enthusiasm, ground game and follow-through. It probably helps that the GOP nominee is vacuuming up all the money for himself.

The best outcome is maybe he does a Baltar on election day and flees the country for somewhere without an extradition treaty before losing at the polls

wonder where in the world wouldnt give him up russia maybe

Idi Amin’s Saudi villa is might still be unoccupied.

saudis would send him right back

He has mentioned Venezuela.

i think even venezuela would send him back if usa asked, it would need to be a country who wants to publicly antagonize america, theres just no angle there, unless youre already maxed on on americas shit list, its russia

US just impounded Maduro's plane, so they might be more open to it now

Isn't the whole thing with Venezuela that it doesn't have an extradition treaty with the US? At least that's what The Spanish Prisoner taught me.

North Korea of course.

saudis would send him right back

...in pieces.

Would love to see Trump broadcasting propaganda for South Korea

Isn't the whole thing with Venezuela that it doesn't have an extradition treaty with the US? At least that's what The Spanish Prisoner taught me.

― jaymc, Wednesday, September 4, 2024 11:38 AM (nineteen minutes ago) bookmarkflaglink

lots of places dont have extradition treaties but that doesnt mean they wont send someone back if a country asks, like if tajikistan calls cambodia and is all hey we believe our most prolific serial killer is living in your country can you pick him up for us theyll prob do it regardless if they have a formal agreement in place, conversely if the crime is tax fraud theyre likely to ignore it, spanish prisoner great movie btw

"hey, can you extradite a few tacos for me? I got you next time!"

exactly

i refuse to believe DJT would move somewhere with a primarily POC population

Belarus then

Needs a steady supply of poverty stricken blonde white women

https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:7kra3m5l4sl2pa6w5l35mi5f/bafkreietleqytpxzqiglla3lvextdakp4x2sjctkru63drbmefggwohs74@jpeg

That is quite an imbalance in MI and WI. NC too--Trump's ahead there, but by less than a point.

If Trump can flip PA and GA and the 2020 map otherwise stays the same, then that's the ballgame (though at this point I'd probably try harder to hold NC).

“If Trump can flip X state a decade into his political career” is a hypothetical on the level of “if Trump can throw a kettlebell over Mar-a-Lago’s roof”. Again I ask, who is he bringing into the tent that was not there before? Harris is absolutely kicking his ass with the “oh wow, I guess I’ll vote this year after all” crowd.

Tbf, he won PA and GA (and MI and WI and AZ) in 2016.

Furthermore, we're talking about close elections. In 2020, Biden won PA by 1.17% and GA by 0.23%. It's not crazy to think that a couple of thousand voters could move in the other direction for whatever reason.

"Again I ask, who is he bringing into the tent that was not there before?"

Republican presidential nominee former President Trump is outperforming his 2020 support among Hispanics, who prefer him on immigration during the 2024 race, according to a new poll.

You gotta dig into that story a bit:

Republican presidential nominee former President Trump is outperforming his 2020 support among Hispanics, who prefer him on immigration during the 2024 race, according to a new poll.

Hispanic voters give Trump a 42% to 37% advantage over Democrat presidential candidate Vice President Harris regarding immigration policy, Reuters/Ipsos polling shows.

Among the broader electorate, 46% preferred Trump on immigration over the 36% who preferred Harris, according to the Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted on Aug. 21-28.

Hispanics, described as a diverse and fast-growing section of the electorate in the United States, prefer Harris' approach over that of Trump by 18 points for health care and 23 points for climate change, according to the poll. On the economy, the survey found registered voters overall prefer Trump's platform over that of Harris by 45% to 36%.

Hispanic voters prefer former President Trump's approach on immigration over that of Vice President Harris, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll.

But Trump and Harris drew equally on the economy among registered Hispanic voters, garnering 39% support from that base each.

The lede is slightly misleading.

He's a got a clear lead on immigration, according to the poll, not everything else.

But this is the most important part:

Harris currently has a 13-point lead among registered Hispanic voters, the poll showed. The Hispanic vote went to Biden by 21 points four years ago, according to a 2020 Pew Research exit poll analysis

I think Harris is probably going to win too, but unperson's continual insistence that Trump cannot attract new voters is not panning out in reality.

Right! It's more accurate to say "Kamala Harris is below Biden's 2020 numbers among Hispanic voters," not the other lede.

and every single day, an angry young incel turns 18

and every single day, an angry old man yells at clouds for the last time

OH MY GOD IT'S REAL. THIS IS ON THE OFFICIAL KAMALAHQ TIKTOK ACCOUNT. THEY HAVE SUBWAY SURFER GAMEPLAY NEXT TO A CLIP. pic.twitter.com/RucxMWZerG

— Joe (@electionsjoe) September 4, 2024

i think KH is going to get way more votes than Biden did in 2020! people like her for one thing. 2020 was all about NOT TRUMP. now it is NOT TRUMP + candidate i can really like and am excited by.