I saw it was a 71 year old but not what the reason was.
Occam's razor seems applicable here, even though there could be a range of possibilities, it looks very lone wolf
― anvil, Thursday, 16 May 2024 09:33 (one month ago) link
Slovak PM has 'very difficult hours and shits' ahead of him
― vodkaitamin effrtvescent (calzino), Thursday, 16 May 2024 18:36 (one month ago) link
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/09/eu-elections-far-right-gains-germany-austria-netherlands-exit-polls
The far right is on the rise all over the dang place, sheesh
― reggae mike love (polyphonic), Sunday, 9 June 2024 23:49 (one week ago) link
Left wing and green parties were strong in Scandinavia.
― xyzzzz__, Monday, 10 June 2024 07:07 (six days ago) link
right wing party Vlaams Belang not the biggest in local Flanders elections after all, after leading in the polls for years
― StanM, Monday, 10 June 2024 08:33 (six days ago) link
I think France is what matters, in terms of impact on the EU. The extreme right did incredibly well. Macron calling legislative elections is an incredible roll of the dice. I think there's an argument that, unlike Sunak who has played a bad hand badly, Macron may have played a bad hand reasonably well. His government was likely to collapse anyway with a vote of no confidence almost inevitable, so he's taken the initiative. The result of this election will be messy, with Reassemblement National almost certainly the largest party but probably not an absolute majority, so will have problems forming govt. Bardella is charismatic but has zero experience in govt, I guess Macron is assuming he'll fuck it up and spoil the pitch for Le Pen in the next presidential election.
― Zelda Zonk, Monday, 10 June 2024 12:15 (six days ago) link
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/10/belgium-general-election-2024-pm-prime-minister-alexander-de-croo-set-to-resign
― xyzzzz__, Monday, 10 June 2024 14:25 (six days ago) link
A French farce indeed.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/12/les-republicains-party-revolt-leader-eric-ciotti-le-pen-alliance
― ILX: a violent left-wing mob who hate our country (Tom D.), Wednesday, 12 June 2024 20:16 (four days ago) link
Yup. Interesting how a lot of the right are imploding, whereas left wing parties have put up a temporary alliance together
These have undoubtedly been the wildest 72 hours in French politics in my lifetime. Pretty incredible stuff.A 🧵— Arnaud Bertrand (@RnaudBertrand) June 13, 2024
― xyzzzz__, Thursday, 13 June 2024 08:54 (three days ago) link
It's quite a gamble, to see if the "centre"-right/right parties in France won't be able to stomach getting in bed with the far-right. Esp given how the right in the US are simply down with winning and have shown willing to bed down with blatant fascism (and were perhaps/probs willing all along)
― a based robot like Bender (stevie), Thursday, 13 June 2024 10:14 (three days ago) link
And phew that is an incredible thread!
― a based robot like Bender (stevie), Thursday, 13 June 2024 10:18 (three days ago) link
my ignorance is showing here but what i dont understand from that thread is where macrons faction sits?
and relative numbers as far as they can be projected
― close encounters of the third knid (darraghmac), Thursday, 13 June 2024 11:52 (three days ago) link
I think they're polling like 15%. They sit wherever Macron tells them to sit.
― ILX: a violent left-wing mob who hate our country (Tom D.), Thursday, 13 June 2024 12:12 (three days ago) link
Yeah, Macron's party is basically just a monument to his ego, zero work done to shore up support beyond that, nothing on offer that makes it stand out.
― Daniel_Rf, Thursday, 13 June 2024 12:25 (three days ago) link
15% is the EU elections. The last legislative election, at the start of Macron's mandate, his party was at 25% in the first round, beating the left coalition by a hair, far right at 18%. Their margins improved in the second round: 38%, 31% for the left, the far-right dropped to 17%. The question is how much has really changed and can they reiterate that. I think they can. Sending deputies to the EU is one thing, electing them in your own government is another. The left has not really progressed. The right was and is still nowhere, though maybe their stance against their own president will help them. Bardella is now arguably more popular than MLP, but he's just a face / story. I don't expect more than a minor drift for the right/far right... it can be a stepping stone for 2027 and that's where the bigger uncertainty lies.
― Nabozo, Thursday, 13 June 2024 12:36 (three days ago) link
nothing on offer that makes it stand out.
― Daniel_Rf, Thursday, 13 June 2024 bookmarkflaglink
They are neither 'hard left' or 'hard right'. Has always sounded like Guardian politics in action.
― xyzzzz__, Thursday, 13 June 2024 12:46 (three days ago) link
appreciate the detail there thx
― close encounters of the third knid (darraghmac), Saturday, 15 June 2024 20:16 (yesterday) link